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Shinobu Foods Products Co., Ltd. (JP:2903)
:2903
Japanese Market
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Shinobu Foods Products Co., Ltd. (2903) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2903

Shinobu Foods Products Co., Ltd.

(2903)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,893.00
▲(13.42% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:07/14/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial fundamentals—especially the profitability recovery and substantially reduced leverage—tempered by thin/volatile margins and uneven free-cash-flow conversion. Technicals are supportive with the stock above key moving averages and a positive MACD, though the elevated stochastic suggests limited near-term upside momentum. Valuation is favorable with a modest P/E and a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Steady Revenue Growth
Consistent ~5% annual top-line growth through 2026 indicates durable demand and product traction in packaged foods. A recovering revenue base supports operating leverage and planning visibility, helping sustain investment in core brands and margin recovery over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Thin & Volatile Margins
Low single-digit net margins and historical swings (near-breakeven in 2023) imply limited pricing power and a small earnings buffer against cost inflation or input volatility. This structural margin thinness heightens earnings sensitivity to adverse shocks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Steady Revenue Growth
Consistent ~5% annual top-line growth through 2026 indicates durable demand and product traction in packaged foods. A recovering revenue base supports operating leverage and planning visibility, helping sustain investment in core brands and margin recovery over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Shinobu Foods Products Co., Ltd. (2903) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Shinobu Foods Products Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Shinobu Foods Products Co., Ltd. operates in Japan, focusing on the production and sale of various prepared rice-based items. Their diverse product portfolio includes convenience meals such as pre-packaged lunch boxes, traditional rice balls, and ...

Shinobu Foods Products Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Steady revenue growth through 2026 (~5% YoY) and a meaningful profitability rebound from the weak 2023 result support the score. Balance-sheet risk has declined with materially lower leverage (debt-to-equity down to ~0.28 by 2026). Offsetting factors are thin/variable margins and uneven cash conversion, with choppy free cash flow and 2026 FCF covering less than half of net income.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue61.97B57.65B54.83B51.05B48.65B
Gross Profit9.00B8.54B8.01B7.06B6.58B
EBITDA3.93B2.97B3.20B2.05B3.09B
Net Income1.70B997.00M1.17B103.00M1.08B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.40B29.71B30.47B30.40B30.96B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.39B6.28B6.98B6.63B5.48B
Total Debt4.29B5.82B7.26B8.54B9.15B
Total Liabilities13.22B14.57B15.51B16.37B16.77B
Stockholders Equity15.17B15.13B14.95B14.03B14.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.59B1.60B2.01B2.02B1.71B
Operating Cash Flow3.37B3.21B3.67B2.97B2.59B
Investing Cash Flow-1.80B-1.67B-1.70B-940.00M-998.00M
Financing Cash Flow-3.46B-2.25B-1.62B-879.00M-792.00M

Shinobu Foods Products Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1669.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1513.42
Positive
100DMA
1591.84
Positive
200DMA
1642.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
45.07
Negative
RSI
66.71
Neutral
STOCH
89.68
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2903, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1669 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1554.75, above the 50-day MA of 1513.42, and above the 200-day MA of 1642.99, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 45.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.68 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2903.

Shinobu Foods Products Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥18.27B11.191.74%7.50%86.07%
72
Outperform
¥33.13B12.561.96%0.57%7.20%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
¥42.02B15.000.80%11.39%43.67%
52
Neutral
¥5.12B24.190.84%
52
Neutral
¥36.24B363.471.65%-0.17%-70.24%
48
Neutral
¥13.99B29.881.61%2.00%-44.01%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2903
Shinobu Foods Products Co., Ltd.
1,673.00
149.56
9.82%
JP:2831
Hagoromo Foods Corporation
3,520.00
275.51
8.49%
JP:2901
Ishigaki Foods Co., Ltd.
179.00
-440.50
-71.11%
JP:2904
Ichimasa Kamaboko Co., Ltd.
759.00
31.16
4.28%
JP:2910
Rock Field Co., Ltd.
1,363.00
-130.71
-8.75%
JP:2923
Sato Foods Co., Ltd.
8,330.00
1,225.00
17.24%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 14, 2026