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John Marshall Bancorp
(NASDAQ:JMSB)
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Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$25.00
▲(7.34% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:08/20/26
The score is driven primarily by improving profitability and steady equity growth, tempered by earnings cyclicality and softer TTM free-cash-flow growth plus a modest rise in leverage. Valuation appears reasonable for a regional bank, technicals point to a stable (not strongly trending) setup, and recent buyback/dividend actions provide an additional positive support.
Positive Factors
Improved profitability
The recovery in net and operating margins indicates stronger earnings capacity than in 2023. If supported by disciplined banking operations and credit performance, improved profitability can strengthen capital generation and provide resilience over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Cyclical earnings profile
The wide variation in historical margins shows that earnings remain sensitive to the interest-rate and credit cycle. This reduces confidence that current profitability can be sustained uniformly and may create pressure on returns if funding costs rise or loan conditions weaken.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved profitability
The recovery in net and operating margins indicates stronger earnings capacity than in 2023. If supported by disciplined banking operations and credit performance, improved profitability can strengthen capital generation and provide resilience over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
John Marshall Bancorp (JMSB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$323.03M
Dividend Yield1.23%
Average Volume (3M)17.56K
Price to Earnings (P/E)13.1
Beta (1Y)0.80
Revenue Growth5.41%
EPS Growth29.77%
CountryUS
Employees140
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryBanks - Regional
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.73
Shares Outstanding14,112,134
10 Day Avg. Volume16,943
30 Day Avg. Volume17,556
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.53
Price to Book (P/B)1.07
Price to Sales (P/S)2.46
P/FCF Ratio12.88
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$25.00Price Target Upside7.34% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)1.84
Revenue Forecast (FY)$71.23M
John Marshall Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. functions as the parent entity for John Marshall Bank, which offers a comprehensive array of banking products and financial services. The institution provides various deposit options, including checking, demand, NOW, sa...
How the Company Makes Money
John Marshall Bancorp makes money primarily through its banking subsidiary by (1) generating net interest income and (2) earning noninterest income (fees), while managing operating costs and credit losses.
1) Net interest income (largest driver f...
John Marshall Bancorp Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
63
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 119.44M | 115.33M | 112.40M | 85.83M | 85.76M | 75.84M |
| Gross Profit | 66.65M | 60.95M | 53.69M | 38.80M | 71.94M | 64.52M |
| EBITDA | 32.52M | 28.90M | 23.56M | 9.70M | 41.98M | 34.49M |
| Net Income | 24.44M | 21.23M | 17.12M | 5.16M | 31.80M | 25.46M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 2.40B | 2.33B | 2.23B | 2.24B | 2.35B | 2.15B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 6.48M | 147.25M | 143.27M | 269.00M | 419.18M | 345.10M |
| Total Debt | 125.18M | 85.69M | 86.16M | 39.15M | 54.98M | 47.91M |
| Total Liabilities | 2.13B | 2.07B | 1.99B | 2.01B | 2.14B | 1.94B |
| Stockholders Equity | 273.64M | 265.64M | 246.61M | 229.91M | 212.80M | 208.47M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 21.59M | 22.03M | 16.78M | 17.39M | 33.00M | 32.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 21.64M | 22.58M | 17.26M | 18.00M | 33.16M | 32.35M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -93.44M | -88.68M | 30.96M | 144.84M | -270.87M | -303.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 113.90M | 73.60M | -24.76M | -125.43M | 193.52M | 237.99M |
John Marshall Bancorp Risk Analysis
John Marshall Bancorp disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. John Marshall Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
John Marshall Bancorp Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
79 Outperform | $388.25M | 9.41 | 12.05% | 2.68% | 3.23% | 29.90% | |
75 Outperform | $329.23M | 11.84 | 10.57% | 0.37% | 5.31% | -4.05% | |
71 Outperform | $363.56M | 8.18 | 12.00% | 3.94% | -4.60% | -6.95% | |
69 Neutral | $323.03M | 13.12 | 9.16% | 0.77% | 5.41% | 29.77% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% | |
56 Neutral | $349.02M | 10.58 | 10.33% | ― | -32.49% | -159.95% | |
51 Neutral | $192.55M | 13.59 | 7.04% | ― | 89.08% | -1.15% |
* Financial Sector Average
JMSB
John Marshall Bancorp
22.69
2.84
14.30%
NECB
Northeast Community Bancorp
26.33
4.51
20.66%
CZFS
Citizens Financial Services
80.68
20.50
34.06%
AVBH
Avidbank Holdings
31.75
6.86
27.56%
COSO
CoastalSouth Bancshares
27.35
5.74
26.54%
FINW
FinWise
14.00
-5.45
-28.02%
John Marshall Bancorp Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
John Marshall Bancorp Extends Stock Repurchase Program
Positive
Aug 19, 2026
On August 18, 2026, John Marshall Bancorp’s board authorized a one-year extension of its stock repurchase program, originally adopted in 2021 and set to expire on August 31, 2026. The program now runs through August 31, 2027, allowing the co...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
John Marshall Bancorp Highlights Growth at KBW Conference
Positive
Jul 28, 2026
John Marshall Bancorp, Inc., the parent of John Marshall Bank, is a commercially focused regional bank with $2.4 billion in assets, $2.0 billion in loans and $2.0 billion in deposits as of June 30, 2026, emphasizing disciplined credit, efficiency ...
DividendsFinancial Disclosures
John Marshall Bancorp Boosts Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Jul 22, 2026
On July 21, 2026, John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per share of common stock, reflecting an 11% increase from the prior quarter. The dividend, representing a 33% annualized increase versus a year earlier, is ...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
John Marshall Bancorp Shareholders Reelect Board and Auditor
Positive
Jun 16, 2026
John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. reported the results of its Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on June 16, 2026, where investors elected eight director nominees to serve until the 2027 annual meeting, affirming the company’s existing board lead...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
John Marshall Bancorp Highlights Growth Strategy Before Shareholder Meeting
Positive
Jun 16, 2026
John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. will hold its Annual Meeting of Shareholders on June 16, 2026, where investors are set to vote on proposals outlined in the company’s proxy materials. The bank has released an accompanying investor presentation hi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.