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John B Sanfilippo & Son
(NASDAQ:JBSS)
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Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$83.00
▲(9.56% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/25/26
Overall score reflects strong underlying financial health (especially the strengthened balance sheet and steady revenue/profitability) and supportive valuation (high dividend yield with a moderate P/E). The score is held back by weak technical momentum and near-term operating headwinds highlighted on the earnings call, including Q4 margin compression and cash-flow variability.
Positive Factors
Steady revenue growth and scale
Consistent multi-year revenue expansion and record FY2026 sales indicate durable demand and operating scale. JBSS serves branded, private-label, and contract customers, diversifying its routes to market and supporting continued growth.
Negative Factors
Structural margin pressure
Margin compression reflects more than a single issue: higher input, freight, packaging, customer-claim, and manufacturing costs all pressured profitability. Persistent cost volatility and pass-through timing could constrain earnings quality over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Steady revenue growth and scale
Consistent multi-year revenue expansion and record FY2026 sales indicate durable demand and operating scale. JBSS serves branded, private-label, and contract customers, diversifying its routes to market and supporting continued growth.
Read all positive factors
John B Sanfilippo & Son Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Channel
Breaks down sales across channels like retail, club stores, foodservice, private label, international and e‑commerce so you can see where growth and margin are coming from. For JBSS, channel mix matters because some channels (e.g., private label or large retail contracts) drive steady volume but thinner margins, while specialty or direct‑to‑consumer channels can boost profitability and brand control. Watch for shifts toward higher‑margin channels, customer concentration in a single channel, or seasonal and supply‑driven volatility that could affect revenue stability and the company’s ability to pass on raw‑material cost changes.
Breaks down sales across channels like retail, club stores, foodservice, private label, international and e‑commerce so you can see where growth and margin are coming from. For JBSS, channel mix matters because some channels (e.g., private label or large retail contracts) drive steady volume but thinner margins, while specialty or direct‑to‑consumer channels can boost profitability and brand control. Watch for shifts toward higher‑margin channels, customer concentration in a single channel, or seasonal and supply‑driven volatility that could affect revenue stability and the company’s ability to pass on raw‑material cost changes.
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The Fly
The FlyJohn B Sanfilippo & Son (JBSS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$865.20M
Dividend Yield6.03%
Average Volume (3M)117.45K
Price to Earnings (P/E)14.1
Beta (1Y)0.36
Revenue Growth6.18%
EPS Growth4.75%
CountryUS
Employees1,770
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryPackaged Foods
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)5.29
Shares Outstanding9,096,055
10 Day Avg. Volume122,592
30 Day Avg. Volume117,446
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio3.53
Price to Book (P/B)2.62
Price to Sales (P/S)0.85
P/FCF Ratio27.80
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$100.00Price Target Upside32.00% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)6.05
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.19B
John B Sanfilippo & Son Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc., operating across the United States through its subsidiary JBSS Ventures, LLC, specializes in the processing and distribution of both tree nuts and peanuts. The company's core offerings include a wide selection of ra...
How the Company Makes Money
JBSS makes money primarily by selling nut- and snack-based products through a mix of branded, private-label, and contract-manufactured offerings across multiple channels. Its key revenue streams are: (1) Branded product sales: JBSS generates reven...
John B Sanfilippo & Son Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 19, 2026
(Q4-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call conveyed a mixed picture: the company delivered record full-year net sales and modest EPS growth, returned significant capital to shareholders, and laid out a sizable growth opportunity from new bar capacity (>$300M potential). However, the fourth quarter exhibited meaningful profitability deterioration driven by recall costs, customer deductions, higher input/transportation costs, manufacturing inefficiencies during onboarding, and category softness in snack nuts and trail mix. Management emphasized remediation plans, cost and productivity initiatives, and optimism around new bar lines and private-label wins, but near-term margin pressure and operational issues temper the outlook.Positive Updates
Record Full-Year Net Sales
Net sales for fiscal 2026 reached a record $1.2 billion (full year).
Negative Updates
Significant Q4 Profitability Decline
Fourth quarter net income fell to $8.4 million ($0.71 per diluted share) from $13.5 million ($1.15 per diluted share) a year earlier — an approximate 38% decline in EPS; gross profit decreased $4.6 million (down 9.5%) to $44.1 million.
Read all updates
Q4-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Full-Year Net Sales
Net sales for fiscal 2026 reached a record $1.2 billion (full year).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company’s guidance centered on three priorities — restore snack-nut and trail-mix volume, ramp and sell through new bar capacity at Elgin, and aggressively manage cost volatility and productivity — alongside several measurable targets and timelines: FY2026 results included record net sales of $1.2 billion (+6.2% y/y), net income $61.9 million ($5.26 diluted EPS, +4.6% y/y), while Q4 net sales were $280.4 million (+4.2% y/y) but Q4 net income fell to $8.4 million ($0.71 diluted EPS) as gross profit declined $4.6 million to $44.1 million and gross margin slipped to 15.7% (vs. 18.1% prior year); inventories were down $8.8 million (–3.4%) even as weighted average input cost per pound rose 12.1%. Management reiterated plans to have the new high‑speed bar lines fully operational by Q2 FY2027 (with chewy-bar activity expected as early as October), estimated over $300 million of potential new growth from that capacity (targeted over ~3–5 years), expects to pass through freight/packaging surcharges (c. a few million dollars incurred in Q4) beginning in Q2, and highlighted dividend actions — a 5.6% raise to an annual $0.95/share plus a $1.05 special dividend, totaling $3.50/share paid in calendar 2026 — while pursuing AI, plant efficiency, SKU rationalization, procurement and trade‑spend initiatives to protect margins.John B Sanfilippo & Son Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
76
Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
63
Positive
| Breakdown | Jun 2026 | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 1.18B | 1.11B | 1.07B | 999.69M | 955.87M |
| Gross Profit | 211.18M | 203.47M | 214.14M | 211.63M | 199.63M |
| EBITDA | 118.70M | 112.89M | 109.09M | 109.65M | 103.33M |
| Net Income | 61.93M | 58.93M | 60.25M | 62.86M | 61.79M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 658.58M | 597.60M | 515.58M | 425.29M | 447.26M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.15M | 585.00K | 484.00K | 1.95M | 415.00K |
| Total Debt | 109.35M | 102.12M | 52.94M | 12.83M | 52.65M |
| Total Liabilities | 278.63M | 236.91M | 192.96M | 133.08M | 168.44M |
| Stockholders Equity | 379.95M | 360.70M | 322.61M | 292.21M | 278.82M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 35.75M | -20.17M | 73.36M | 103.92M | 1.85M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 123.84M | 30.55M | 101.67M | 124.66M | 19.60M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -86.17M | -50.82M | -87.35M | -24.29M | -11.38M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -37.11M | 20.38M | -15.79M | -98.83M | -8.48M |
John B Sanfilippo & Son Technical Analysis
Negative
75.76
Price Trends
81.28
Negative
78.59
Negative
75.39
Negative
Market Momentum
-1.82
Positive
37.69
Neutral
18.38
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JBSS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 75.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 79.93, below the 50-day MA of 81.28, and above the 200-day MA of 75.39, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.38 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JBSS.
John B Sanfilippo & Son Risk Analysis
John B Sanfilippo & Son disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. John B Sanfilippo & Son reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
John B Sanfilippo & Son Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | $1.30B | 11.43 | 16.36% | ― | 12.46% | 177.68% | |
70 Outperform | $865.20M | 14.11 | 16.51% | 1.11% | 6.18% | 4.75% | |
68 Neutral | $1.29B | 7.77 | -32.15% | ― | 5.52% | -50.47% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
52 Neutral | $282.03M | -3.96 | -16.45% | 18.95% | -4.91% | 68.74% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
JBSS
John B Sanfilippo & Son
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13.28
21.63%
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John B Sanfilippo & Son Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
John B. Sanfilippo & Son Highlights FY 2026 Growth
Positive
Aug 25, 2026
On August 25, 2026, John B. Sanfilippo Son presented its FY 2026 year-end investor update at the BWS Financial Growth and Value Summer Investor Series Conference in New York, highlighting its evolution into a vertically integrated, multi-facility...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
John B. Sanfilippo Announces CEO Succession Plan
Positive
Jul 17, 2026
On July 16, 2026, John B. Sanfilippo Son announced that Chief Executive Officer Jeffrey T. Sanfilippo will step down to become Executive Chair of the Board on October 1, 2026. On July 15, 2026, the Board appointed longtime executive Jasper B. San...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.