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Iveco Group NV (IT:IVG)
:IVG
Italy Market
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Iveco Group NV (IVG) AI Stock Analysis

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IT:IVG

Iveco Group NV

(IVG)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
€20.00
▲(8.46% Upside)
Iveco Group NV's overall stock score reflects a balanced view of its financial performance, technical indicators, valuation, and recent earnings call insights. The company's operational efficiency and improving cash flow metrics are positive, but challenges in revenue growth and high leverage pose risks. Technical indicators suggest a positive trend, while valuation metrics indicate fair pricing. The earnings call provides a mixed outlook with strengths in certain segments but ongoing challenges in others.

Iveco Group NV (IVG) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

Iveco Group NV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIveco Group N.V. engages in the design, production, marketing, sale, servicing, and financing of trucks, commercial vehicles, buses and specialty vehicles for firefighting, defense, and other applications in Italy and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Commercial and Specialty Vehicles, Powertrain, and Financial Services. It offers commercial and specialty vehicles comprising light, medium, and heavy vehicles for the transportation and distribution of goods under the IVECO brand; city and commuter buses under the IVECO BUS and HEULIEZ BUS brands; quarry and mining equipment under the IVECO ASTRA brand; firefighting vehicles under the Magirus brand; and vehicles for civil defense and peace-keeping missions under the Iveco Defence Vehicles brand. The company also designs, manufactures, and distributes powertrains under the FPT Industrial brand; and combustion engines, alternative propulsion systems, transmission systems, and axles for on- and off-road applications, as well as for marine and power generation. In addition, it offers financial products and services to dealers and customers; and administers wholesale and retail financing services to customers for the purchase or lease of new and used vehicles sold by brand dealers and distributors. Iveco Group N.V. was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Turin, Italy.
How the Company Makes MoneyIveco Group NV generates revenue primarily through the sale of its commercial vehicles, which includes trucks, buses, and vans. The company benefits from multiple revenue streams, including direct vehicle sales, aftersales services such as maintenance and repairs, and the provision of financing solutions for customers. Significant partnerships with other manufacturers, suppliers, and technology firms enhance its product offerings and market reach. Additionally, the growing demand for sustainable and efficient transportation solutions contributes to its earnings, as the company invests in electric and alternative fuel vehicles, aligning with global trends towards greener logistics.

Iveco Group NV Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Feb 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in the bus and powertrain segments, with promising signs of recovery in engine volumes and a robust order book. However, significant challenges remain in the truck segment, particularly with light commercial vehicles, and overall financial performance has declined. The sentiment is balanced between positive long-term strategic moves and current operational challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Bus Segment Performance
The bus segment showed strong performance with net revenues up 31.4% in Q3 2025, and deliveries increased by 20% compared to Q3 2024. Iveco Bus maintained its #2 position in the European market with a 21.3% market share year-to-date.
Powertrain Segment Recovery
Engine volumes in the Powertrain segment increased by 1% compared to Q3 2024, marking the first sign of recovery after nearly two years of decline. New third-party customer contracts were signed with Lindner and JCB.
Order Book Strength
The order book remains robust, with a notable framework agreement signed with Ildefrance Mobility for up to 4,000 low and zero-emission buses and coaches between 2026 and 2032.
Efficiency Program Acceleration
The company's efficiency program is expected to deliver a significant EUR 150 million in savings for the current year, with additional areas of improvement identified for further savings.
Negative Updates
Truck Segment Challenges
The truck net revenues totaled EUR 2 billion in Q3 2025, down 11% versus the prior year, mainly due to lower delivery rates in light-duty trucks and a challenging environment in the chassis cab subsegment.
LCV Market Decline
European deliveries of light commercial vehicles were down 27% year-over-year, affecting profitability in the truck segment.
Financial Performance Decline
Consolidated net revenues contracted by 3.6% year-over-year, and the adjusted EBIT margin of industrial activities contracted by 210 basis points compared to Q3 2024.
Medium and Heavy Truck Order Decline
European order intake for medium and heavy trucks declined by 3% year-over-year, with a book-to-bill ratio of 0.82, reflecting a softer demand environment.
Company Guidance
During the Iveco Group conference call for the third quarter of 2025, the company highlighted several key metrics and strategic actions. Iveco reported consolidated net revenues of EUR 3.1 billion, reflecting a year-over-year contraction of 3.6%. The truck industry faced a challenging market, with European deliveries down 27% for light commercial vehicles, while the worldwide truck book-to-bill ratio improved by 25 basis points to 1.0. The bus unit saw a 31.4% increase in net revenues, boosted by higher volumes and a strong order book. In the powertrain sector, engine volumes showed a 1% increase, marking the first sign of recovery after a prolonged decline. The group's adjusted EBIT was EUR 111 million, with an adjusted EBIT margin of 3.6%. Iveco's financial guidance for 2025 includes adjusted EBIT between EUR 830 million and EUR 880 million and industrial net revenues expected to decline by 3% to 5% year-over-year. The company is also on track with its efficiency program, targeting EUR 150 million in CapEx and OpEx savings, and anticipates the completion of its defense business sale by the first half of 2026.

Iveco Group NV Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Iveco Group NV shows operational efficiency with stable gross profit margins and improving EBIT margins. However, declining revenue growth and low net profit margins are concerning. The balance sheet indicates high leverage, posing financial risk, but return on equity is improving. Cash flow metrics are strengthening, reflecting better cash management.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Iveco Group NV shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has maintained a stable gross profit margin around 16-17% over the years, indicating consistent cost management. However, the net profit margin remains low at approximately 2.5% TTM, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into profit. The revenue growth rate has been negative recently, with a decline of 9.23% TTM, which is concerning. Despite this, EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown slight improvements, suggesting operational efficiency gains.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.23 TTM, indicating significant leverage which could pose financial risk. Return on equity has improved to 14.54% TTM, showing better utilization of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is relatively low, highlighting a reliance on debt financing. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a leveraged position with moderate returns on equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows positive trends with a 12.7% growth in free cash flow TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.15, suggesting adequate cash flow relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.41, indicating a healthy conversion of earnings into cash. Despite past fluctuations, recent improvements in cash flow metrics are promising.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.81B15.29B16.21B14.36B12.65B10.41B
Gross Profit2.44B2.65B2.70B1.97B1.77B949.00M
EBITDA1.57B1.50B1.26B992.00M837.00M173.00M
Net Income322.00M349.00M218.00M147.00M52.00M-408.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.57B19.44B18.39B16.01B16.56B15.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.75B3.48B2.64B2.23B780.00M599.00M
Total Debt5.93B6.37B5.93B4.43B5.79B5.31B
Total Liabilities15.91B16.67B15.99B13.62B14.25B13.29B
Stockholders Equity2.60B2.70B2.35B2.35B2.29B2.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow639.00M248.00M366.00M630.00M-25.00M158.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.40B1.20B1.34B1.41B539.00M559.00M
Investing Cash Flow-676.00M-284.00M-2.22B-1.34B-45.00M-90.00M
Financing Cash Flow23.00M68.00M1.49B1.34B-88.00M-407.00M

Iveco Group NV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.44
Price Trends
50DMA
18.30
Positive
100DMA
17.94
Positive
200DMA
16.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
58.24
Neutral
STOCH
60.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:IVG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.35, above the 50-day MA of 18.30, and above the 200-day MA of 16.48, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IT:IVG.

Iveco Group NV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
€5.02B11.933.04%-0.22%-12.64%
73
Outperform
€4.25B16.6942.37%2.73%30.91%40.89%
73
Outperform
€3.40B13.5815.86%2.46%21.15%17.26%
72
Outperform
€4.70B21.9610.96%0.76%-4.26%-9.37%
69
Neutral
€6.36B15.211.79%-7.26%13.88%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
€7.03B54.2314.30%18.44%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IT:IVG
Iveco Group NV
18.44
8.82
91.68%
IT:FCT
Fincantieri S.p.A.
20.72
15.01
262.87%
IT:BRE
Brembo SPA
9.86
1.08
12.25%
IT:IP
Interpump Group SPA
43.74
1.76
4.19%
IT:MAIRE
MaireTecnimont SpA
13.05
6.37
95.27%
IT:WBD
Webuild SpA
3.29
0.70
27.15%

Iveco Group NV Corporate Events

Iveco Group NV Reports Q3 2025 Results Amid Strategic Shifts
Nov 6, 2025

Iveco Group NV reported a challenging third quarter in 2025, highlighting a decrease in EBIT and net profit compared to the previous year. Despite these challenges, the company is optimistic about future profitability improvements due to strategic initiatives like the Efficiency Program and new contracts in the bus segment. The sale of its Defence business is proceeding as planned, which is expected to streamline operations and focus on core business areas.

The most recent analyst rating on (IT:IVG) stock is a Hold with a EUR20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Iveco Group NV stock, see the IT:IVG Stock Forecast page.

Iveco Group to Present Q3 2025 Financial Results
Oct 23, 2025

Iveco Group N.V. announced that it will present its financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on November 6, 2025. The announcement includes a live audio webcast of the conference call, which will be accessible to stakeholders, and the related press release and presentation materials will be available on the company’s website. This event is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (IT:IVG) stock is a Hold with a EUR20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Iveco Group NV stock, see the IT:IVG Stock Forecast page.

DLL and Iveco Group Launch Joint Venture to Boost Sustainable Mobility in Europe
Oct 1, 2025

DLL and Iveco Group have formed a joint venture named GATE to accelerate the transition to low and zero-emission commercial vehicles in Europe. With DLL acquiring a majority stake, the JV aims to expand sustainable mobility solutions across Europe, leveraging financial support and expertise to enhance its growth strategy and broaden its market reach.

The most recent analyst rating on (IT:IVG) stock is a Hold with a EUR20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Iveco Group NV stock, see the IT:IVG Stock Forecast page.

TML CV Holdings Initiates Public Purchase Offer for Iveco Group Shares
Aug 19, 2025

TML CV Holdings Pte. Ltd., a company fully owned by Tata Motors Ltd., has filed an offer document with Consob for a voluntary public purchase offer on all ordinary shares of Iveco Group N.V., a company listed on Euronext Milan. This move is part of a strategic acquisition effort by TML CV Holdings, highlighting its interest in expanding its market presence through the acquisition of Iveco Group’s shares, subject to regulatory approvals and compliance with Italian and U.S. securities laws.

The most recent analyst rating on (IT:IVG) stock is a Hold with a EUR20.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Iveco Group NV stock, see the IT:IVG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025