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IPG Photonics Corporation (IPGP)
NASDAQ:IPGP
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IPG Photonics (IPGP) AI Stock Analysis

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IPGP

IPG Photonics

(NASDAQ:IPGP)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$91.00
▲(8.19% Upside)
IPG Photonics' overall stock score is driven by its financial challenges, including declining revenue and profitability. However, the company shows positive momentum in technical analysis and strategic advancements highlighted in the earnings call. Despite these strengths, the negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield weigh down the valuation score.
Positive Factors
Strategic Advancements
The CROSSBOW launch with Lockheed Martin highlights IPG's innovation and strengthens its position in defense applications, potentially opening new revenue streams and enhancing its competitive edge in advanced laser solutions.
Revenue Growth in Advanced Applications
Record revenue in advanced applications indicates strong demand in high-tech sectors, suggesting IPG's strategic focus on these areas is paying off and could drive sustainable growth.
Micromachining and Medical Growth
Growth in micromachining and medical sectors reflects IPG's ability to diversify and capture opportunities in niche markets, which can provide resilience against broader industrial downturns.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue in Core Markets
Declining revenue in core materials processing markets suggests challenges in maintaining market share and could impact overall financial performance if not addressed.
Uncertain Demand Environment
Uncertainty in demand due to tariffs and macroeconomic factors poses risks to revenue stability and growth, potentially affecting long-term strategic planning.
Increased Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses can strain profitability, requiring careful management to ensure investments translate into sufficient revenue growth and operational efficiency.

IPG Photonics (IPGP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

IPG Photonics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIPG Photonics Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells various high-performance fiber lasers, fiber amplifiers, and diode lasers used in various applications primarily in materials processing worldwide. The company's laser products include hybrid fiber-solid state lasers with green and ultraviolet wavelengths; fiber pigtailed packaged diodes and fiber coupled direct diode laser systems; high-energy pulsed lasers, multi-wavelength and tunable lasers, and single-polarization and single-frequency lasers; and high-power optical fiber delivery cables, fiber couplers, beam switches, chillers, scanners, and other accessories. It also provides erbium-doped fiber and Raman amplifiers, and integrated communications systems, which are deployed in broadband networks; and ytterbium and thulium specialty fiber amplifiers and broadband light sources. In addition, the company offers integrated laser systems; 2D compact flat sheet cutter systems and multi-axis systems; welding seam stepper and picker, a fiber laser welding tool; high precision laser systems; specialized fiber laser systems; and optical transceiver and transponder modules for interconnecting electronic equipment, including Ethernet switches, IP routers and DWDM/SONET/SDH optical transport modules within telecommunications, cable multi-system operators, and data center networking applications. It's lasers and amplifiers are also used in materials processing, communications, and medical and advanced applications. The company markets its products to original equipment manufacturers, system integrators, and end users through direct sales force, as well as through agreements with independent sales representatives and distributors. IPG Photonics Corporation was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Oxford, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyIPG Photonics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its fiber lasers and related products. The company operates on a direct sales model, targeting industrial customers who require high-precision laser solutions for cutting, welding, marking, and engraving applications. Key revenue streams include the sale of laser systems, replacement parts, and service contracts. Additionally, IPG benefits from long-term partnerships with manufacturers and distributors in various industries, which helps to expand its market reach and drive sales. The company also invests in research and development to innovate and enhance its product offerings, ensuring a competitive edge in the rapidly evolving laser technology market.

IPG Photonics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted positive revenue growth, strategic advancements, and successful product launches such as CROSSBOW, despite ongoing challenges in materials processing and uncertain demand environments influenced by tariffs and macroeconomic factors.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sequential Revenue Growth
Second quarter revenue increased 10% sequentially and 2% year-over-year, excluding divestitures, marking the first year-over-year revenue increase since 2022.
Advanced Applications Record
Achieved another quarter of record revenue in advanced applications driven by higher demand in directed energy, semiconductor, and scientific applications.
CROSSBOW Launch with Lockheed Martin
Announced the delivery of multiple units of the first laser counter UAV solution, CROSSBOW, to Lockheed Martin. The system underwent extensive field testing and customer demonstration.
Micromachining and Medical Growth
Micromachining delivered strong year-over-year revenue growth despite tariff-related shipment delays. Progress in medical with a new urology customer driving revenue growth.
Strategic Investments and Leadership
Continued focus on organic growth with $100 million CapEx planned for 2025 and introduction of new key leaders to support global growth.
Negative Updates
Materials Processing Revenue Decline
Materials processing revenue decreased 6% year-over-year due to divestitures and lower sales in cutting, welding, and additive manufacturing applications.
Uncertain Demand Environment
Despite some signs of stabilization, the demand environment remains uncertain, with ongoing tariff-related pressures and external macroeconomic factors.
Reduced Revenue from North America and Europe
Sales in North America decreased 4% year-over-year, and Europe saw an 11% decline year-over-year, excluding divestitures, with soft industrial demand impacting welding and cutting sales.
Operating Expenses Increase
Operating expenses were higher than the previous year due to strategic investments and organizational strengthening, impacting overall profitability.
Company Guidance
During IPG Photonics' second quarter 2025 conference call, the company provided guidance indicating a positive trajectory despite ongoing challenges. The company achieved a 10% sequential increase and a 2% year-over-year rise in revenue, excluding divestitures, marking its first annual revenue growth since 2022. This growth was fueled by demand improvements across multiple markets and geographies, with a significant contribution from strategic initiatives targeting a $5 billion total addressable market (TAM). IPG is focusing on areas such as medical micromachining and advanced applications, including directed energy and semiconductor solutions. The company highlighted the successful delivery of their CROSSBOW laser defense system to Lockheed Martin, showcasing it at an upcoming defense exhibition. Furthermore, IPG expects third-quarter revenue between $225 million and $255 million, with an adjusted gross margin of 36% to 38%. Despite tariff-related uncertainties, the company remains cautiously optimistic, supported by a book-to-bill ratio of approximately 1, strategic investments, and a balanced capital allocation strategy, which includes $100 million in planned 2025 capital expenditures and continued share repurchases.

IPG Photonics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
IPG Photonics faces significant challenges in revenue and profitability, with a TTM revenue growth rate of -72.7% and negative net profit margins. The balance sheet shows low leverage and a strong equity base, but the negative return on equity highlights profitability concerns. Cash flow generation has weakened, indicating operational difficulties.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
IPG Photonics has experienced a significant decline in revenue with a TTM revenue growth rate of -72.7%. The gross profit margin has decreased from 42.1% in 2023 to 34.7% in the TTM period. Additionally, the company is facing negative net profit margins, indicating losses. The EBIT margin has turned negative, indicating operational challenges. Overall, the income statement reflects declining performance and profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.008, indicating low leverage and financial stability. However, the return on equity has turned negative in the TTM period, reflecting profitability challenges. The equity ratio remains strong, suggesting a solid financial foundation despite recent performance issues.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow has decreased significantly, with a TTM operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.70, indicating reduced cash generation efficiency. Free cash flow has also declined, with a negative growth rate of -42.0%. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains positive, suggesting some ability to generate cash despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue945.99M977.13M1.29B1.43B1.46B1.20B
Gross Profit327.82M338.15M541.70M555.41M696.40M539.00M
EBITDA59.48M75.92M301.19M321.97M462.91M326.06M
Net Income-215.42M-181.53M218.88M109.91M278.42M159.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.38B2.29B2.70B2.74B3.17B2.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments899.60M930.19M1.18B1.18B1.51B1.39B
Total Debt16.86M17.96M18.26M38.05M58.13M62.19M
Total Liabilities274.90M264.79M283.51M357.92M423.32M341.59M
Stockholders Equity2.10B2.02B2.42B2.39B2.75B2.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow64.64M149.37M185.50M102.51M266.59M197.64M
Operating Cash Flow151.07M247.90M295.99M212.65M389.70M285.33M
Investing Cash Flow-361.43M208.73M-237.55M296.95M-416.28M-99.57M
Financing Cash Flow-163.85M-339.62M-236.38M-514.55M-125.07M-10.08M

IPG Photonics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price84.11
Price Trends
50DMA
83.13
Positive
100DMA
78.24
Positive
200DMA
70.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.08
Positive
RSI
48.62
Neutral
STOCH
38.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IPGP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 84.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 85.78, above the 50-day MA of 83.13, and above the 200-day MA of 70.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IPGP.

IPG Photonics Risk Analysis

IPG Photonics disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. IPG Photonics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

IPG Photonics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$10.73B48.0524.23%43.69%51.22%
$6.98B29.1215.07%1.19%6.23%10.12%
$1.41B13.559.89%-1.79%-22.58%
$31.94B29.4110.97%2.37%4.86%6.44%
$5.88B287.2111.57%22.22%
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
$3.55B-9.89%-14.77%-261.91%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IPGP
IPG Photonics
84.11
1.82
2.21%
ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co
15.04
5.41
56.18%
NVMI
Nova
344.00
159.01
85.96%
PLAB
Photronics
23.93
0.75
3.24%
SMTC
Semtech
67.81
23.27
52.25%
OLED
Universal Display
146.90
-31.23
-17.53%

IPG Photonics Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
IPG Photonics Updates Executive Severance and Compensation Plans
Neutral
Oct 3, 2025

On September 30, 2025, IPG Photonics‘ Board of Directors approved significant updates to their Executive Severance Plan and other executive compensation structures. These changes include revised severance payments and performance-based equity awards for executives, particularly in the event of a Change in Control, and the termination of certain senior vice presidents’ employment agreements to align with the new plan. Additionally, the Senior Executive Annual Incentive Plan was amended to coordinate with the Severance Plan, and the Non-Employee Director Compensation Plan was updated to increase the annual cash retainer for the Non-Executive Chair.

The most recent analyst rating on (IPGP) stock is a Buy with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IPG Photonics stock, see the IPGP Stock Forecast page.

IPG Photonics Reports Strong Q2 2025 Performance
Aug 6, 2025

IPG Photonics Corporation is a leading provider of high-power fiber lasers and amplifiers, primarily serving the materials processing industry with innovative laser solutions that enhance productivity and reduce costs.

IPG Photonics’ Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 6, 2025

IPG Photonics’ recent earnings call painted a mixed picture for investors. On the positive side, the company reported a notable revenue growth trend and highlighted successful strategic investments in advanced applications and the medical sector. However, challenges persist, particularly with revenue declines in key segments such as materials processing and the European market. Additionally, the impact of tariffs and increased operating expenses remain areas of concern.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025