Icl AI Stock Analysis
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Icl (ICL) AI Stock Analysis
Icl
(NYSE:ICL)
The score is primarily weighed down by weakened profitability/returns and weaker cash conversion versus prior-cycle years, alongside bearish technical positioning (price below major moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting factors include an attractive dividend yield and a constructive earnings-call tone with reiterated guidance and expected cost-savings benefits, though near-term input-cost and demand risks remain.
Icl Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Revenue by SegmentBreaks down where sales come from across ICL’s businesses — for example potash, phosphate and specialty minerals — highlighting which areas drive growth and where the company is concentrated. Increasing revenue share in higher-value specialty products suggests more stable, higher-margin growth, while heavy reliance on commodity-facing segments raises sensitivity to crop cycles and global commodity prices.
ICL appears to be coming out of the post‑2022 commodity trough with potash leading a recovery in 2024–25 that underpins the raised EBITDA guidance; phosphate and Growing Solutions show durable top‑line momentum but phosphate margins are at risk from sharply higher sulfur costs and a stronger shekel. Industrial Products (bromine) is a timely earnings offset, so watch potash volume/price sustainment and management’s ability to pass input costs through before extrapolating the rebound.
The FlyIcl (ICL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $5.90B
- Dividend Yield
- 4.51%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 1.50M
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 19.0
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.80
- Revenue Growth
- 10.15%
- EPS Growth
- -15.98%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 13,007
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Sector Strength
- 61
- Industry
- Agricultural Inputs
Icl Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
ICL Group Ltd, a global enterprise specializing in the production of minerals and chemicals, conducts its operations through four distinct business units. The company, which originated as Israel Chemicals Ltd and adopted its current name in May 2020,...
How the Company Makes Money
ICL makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling mineral-based products and specialty chemical formulations across several end-markets, with revenue largely tied to sales volumes, product mix (commodity vs. specialty), and market pricing for ke...
Icl Earnings Call Summary
The call was predominantly positive. The company delivered year-over-year growth in sales, adjusted EBITDA, gross margin, and adjusted net income despite substantial raw material, logistics, currency, and demand pressures. Industrial Products performed strongly, the balance sheet remained solid, guidance was reaffirmed, and management expressed confidence in the ELEVATE savings program and improving conditions in 2027. The principal challenges were weaker potash EBITDA, lower phosphate fertilizer demand and profitability, soft conditions in Brazil and Europe, elevated sulfur and freight costs, and near-term fourth-quarter sulfur pressure.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
For 2026, ICL reiterated guidance for consolidated EBITDA of between $1.5 billion to $1.7 billion and is currently targeting to be ahead of the midpoint of this range; potash sales volumes are expected to be between 4.5 million and 4.7 million metric tons, and the annual adjusted tax rate is expected to be approximately 30%. ELEVATE is expected to deliver more than $350 million on an annual basis by the end of 2028, with approximately 50% to 60% of projected EBITDA improvement from productivity gains and operational efficiencies, 30% to 40% from reduced external spend and 10% to 20% from SG&A optimization; for 2027, ICL expects more than $150 million in annual EBITDA improvement by year-end, with savings beginning in Q1 and a gradual increase, and remains confident in achieving at least $350 million for 2028. For 2027, Potash demand is there and the market is stabilized, phosphate fertilizer demand will go up most probably, and lower sulfur purchase prices should begin to benefit results in the first quarter of next year; for Q4, higher cost of sulfur in the P&L versus Q3 is expected to be the main headwind, while no dramatic change is expected in potash versus Q3.
Icl Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Revenue has returned to modest growth, but profitability and returns remain compressed versus prior-cycle levels (TTM net margin ~3.5% vs 2023 ~8.6% and 2022 ~21.6%). Leverage is manageable, though debt has drifted higher and ROE is low (~4.3%). Cash flow is positive, but free-cash-flow conversion has weakened materially versus prior years.
Income Statement
56NeutralBalance Sheet
66PositiveCash Flow
52Neutral| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 7.71B | 7.15B | 6.84B | 7.54B | 10.02B | 6.96B |
| Gross Profit | 2.36B | 2.19B | 2.26B | 2.67B | 5.03B | 2.61B |
| EBITDA | 1.46B | 1.35B | 1.38B | 1.67B | 4.04B | 1.69B |
| Net Income | 305.00M | 226.00M | 407.00M | 647.00M | 2.16B | 783.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 13.19B | 12.41B | 11.32B | 11.63B | 11.75B | 11.08B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 662.00M | 496.00M | 442.00M | 592.00M | 508.00M | 564.00M |
| Total Debt | 3.30B | 2.76B | 2.29B | 2.69B | 2.82B | 3.01B |
| Total Liabilities | 6.75B | 6.17B | 5.33B | 5.59B | 6.04B | 6.34B |
| Stockholders Equity | 6.15B | 5.98B | 5.72B | 5.77B | 5.46B | 4.53B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 290.95M | 130.00M | 650.00M | 815.00M | 1.38B | 454.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.08B | 954.00M | 1.36B | 1.59B | 2.13B | 1.06B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -915.26M | -930.00M | -711.00M | -863.00M | -747.00M | -579.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -250.26M | -78.00M | -724.00M | -712.00M | -1.42B | -244.00M |
Icl Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ICL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.57 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.71, below the 50-day MA of 5.08, and below the 200-day MA of 5.29, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ICL.
Icl Risk Analysis
Icl disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Icl reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Latest Risks Added
0 New RisksIcl Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
CF77Outperform
IPI65Neutral
UAN65Neutral- ICL56Neutral
SMG54Neutral
MOS47Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF | 77Outperform | $17.90B | 8.67 | 40.30% | 1.70% | 17.87% | 70.91% |
| IPI | 65Neutral | $446.37M | 17.94 | 4.81% | ― | 5.04% | ― |
| UAN | 65Neutral | $1.19B | 11.22 | 35.58% | 12.81% | 7.31% | -16.36% |
| Sector * | 61Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% |
| ICL | 56Neutral | $6.03B | 18.96 | 5.02% | 4.51% | 10.15% | -15.98% |
| SMG | 54Neutral | $3.79B | 36.54 | -30.38% | 4.06% | -3.64% | -29.50% |
| MOS | 47Neutral | $7.31B | -17.14 | -3.78% | 3.86% | 0.02% | -191.20% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICL | Icl Group Ltd. | 4.57 | -0.73 | -13.71% | |
| CF | Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. | 123.24 | 40.62 | 49.16% | |
| UAN | CVR Partners LP | 112.92 | 23.06 | 25.66% | |
| IPI | Intrepid Potash Inc | 32.97 | 6.91 | 26.52% | |
| MOS | Mosaic Co | 22.80 | -1.84 | -7.48% | |
| SMG | Scotts Miracle-Gro | 65.04 | 9.16 | 16.39% |
Icl Corporate Events
ICL Announces Closing of Tax Assessments
On November 10, 2026, ICL Group Ltd. reported that it had reached an agreement with the Israeli Tax Authority that constituted a complete and final waiver of the authority’s claims regarding income-tax liabilities of ICL and its material Israeli subs...
ICL Reports Third-Quarter 2026 Results With Higher Sales and Net Income
ICL Group is a global specialty minerals company providing agriculture, food and industrial solutions through its Industrial Products, Potash, Phosphate Solutions and Growing Solutions segments. The company uses mineral resources and related expertis...
ICL Board Resolves to Declare $0.04881 Per-Share Dividend
The release identifies ICL Group Ltd., but does not specify the company’s industry, primary products or services, or market focus.On November 10, 2026, ICL’s Board resolved to declare a cash dividend of $0.04881 per share, or about $63 million. The r...
ICL Group Files November 2026 Investor Presentation on Third-Quarter Results
ICL Group Ltd.’s November 10, 2026 filing included an investor presentation covering its third-quarter 2026 results and businesses spanning fertilizer, industrial products, phosphate solutions and magnesium products.The presentation described third-q...
ICL Group Shareholders Back Board and Auditor at 2026 AGM
On September 17, 2026, ICL Group Ltd. held its 2026 Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, with investors voting by wide margins to approve all resolutions presented. The meeting confirmed the re-election of nine directors and the continued engageme...
ICL Group Details $75 Million Dividend and Withholding Tax Terms for September 2026 Payout
On September 1, 2026, ICL Group Ltd. filed a supplemental report detailing a cash dividend of about $75 million that had been previously announced on August 5, 2026, specifying the payout at $0.05811 per share in U.S. dollars and ILS 0.1750273 per sh...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2026