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ImmunityBio (IBRX) AI Stock Analysis

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IBRX

ImmunityBio

(NASDAQ:IBRX)

Select Model
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:$6.00â–¼(-1.15% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/10/26

The score is held down primarily by weak financial quality—deep losses, negative equity, and high leverage despite rapidly rising revenue and very strong gross margins. Technicals are neutral with mild near-term softness, offering limited momentum support. Positive FDA and clinical-trial news improves the commercialization runway, but valuation remains constrained by negative earnings and lack of dividend support in the provided data.

Positive Factors
Rapid revenue scaling and high gross marginRapid revenue expansion combined with an exceptionally high gross margin indicates strong initial product economics and growing commercial adoption. If the company can control operating costs as sales scale, this revenue base could provide meaningful operating leverage and support reinvestment in additional indications.
Negative Factors
Deep and persistent operating lossesThe company’s revenue growth has not yet translated into operating profitability, as expenses remain far ahead of sales and losses are worsening at the EBITDA level. Persistent losses may delay self-funded growth, reduce flexibility in commercial investment, and keep execution dependent on successful future scaling.

ImmunityBio Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue By GeographyBreaks down revenue across different regions, highlighting where ImmunityBio is generating the most income and identifying areas with potential for growth or risk due to regional market dynamics and healthcare policies.

$0.00$10.00M$20.00M$30.00M$40.00M$50.00MMar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

ImmunityBio's US revenue has surged dramatically, reflecting a robust expansion strategy and possibly successful product launches or partnerships. In contrast, European revenue experienced a significant drop to zero in early 2025, before partially recovering. This disparity suggests potential operational or regulatory challenges in Europe, while the US market remains a strong growth driver. Investors should monitor future developments in Europe for signs of stabilization or strategic shifts.

Data provided by:The Fly

ImmunityBio (IBRX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%0%100%200%300%400%500%IBRX+189.05%SPY+14.97%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$6.46B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
12.50M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-5.7
Beta (1Y)
2.01
Revenue Growth
121.15%
EPS Growth
-162.88%
Country
US
Employees
688
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Biotechnology

ImmunityBio Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ImmunityBio, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology firm, founded in 2014 and based in San Diego, California. The company is focused on developing groundbreaking therapies and vaccines designed to treat a wide array of cancers and infectious diseases...

How the Company Makes Money

ImmunityBio’s business model is primarily based on generating revenue from the commercialization of its approved products (where applicable), as well as potential revenue from collaborations (e.g., licensing, co-development, or commercialization part...

ImmunityBio Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 03, 2026(Q4-2025)|% Change Since:-41.86%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call highlighted strong commercial traction for ANKTIVA with very large year-over-year revenue and unit growth, multiple regulatory milestones (including EU conditional authorization and Saudi first-in-world lung cancer approval), robust enrollment and promising clinical signals across randomized and single-arm QUILT programs, and strategic commercial partnerships and manufacturing initiatives. Offsetting these positives are substantial operating losses and cash burn, significant balance sheet liabilities, continued high R&D investment (including a one-time $14M equipment write-off), and some regulatory delays and market-access complexity in certain cohorts and geographies. Overall, the company is demonstrating clear commercial momentum and clinical progress but remains capital-intensive and faces execution and regulatory risks as it scales internationally.

Positive Updates

Transformational Revenue Growth for ANKTIVA
Full-year net product revenue for ANKTIVA was $113.0M in FY2025 versus $14.1M in FY2024, a 700% year-over-year increase; unit sales volume increased ~750% year-over-year, and Q4 revenue of $38.3M represented a 20% sequential increase vs Q3, indicating accelerating commercial adoption.

Negative Updates

Large Net Loss and Cash Burn
Net loss was $351.4M in FY2025; net cash used before operating activities was $304.9M for the year while consolidated cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities stood at $242.8M as of Dec 31, 2025, indicating significant near-term cash burn relative to on‑hand liquidity.

Company Guidance

The company did not provide forward financial guidance on the call but gave extensive 2025 metrics and near‑term milestones: ANKTIVA net product revenue was $113.0M in FY2025 (up 700% vs $14.1M in FY2024) with unit volumes +750% YoY and Q4 revenue $38.3M versus Q3 $31.1M (+20% sequential); ANKTIVA is authorized in 33 countries across four major jurisdictions (US, U.K., EU, KSA) with an EU conditional marketing authorization in Feb‑2026 and two Saudi approvals (bladder and conditional NSCLC combo) in Jan‑2026; cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities were $242.8M at 12/31/2025 and net cash used in operations was $304.9M for the year; FY R&D expense was $218.6M (vs $190.2M in 2024), SG&A was $150M (down from $168.8M), and FY net loss attributable to common stockholders was $351.4M (improved from $413.6M); key liabilities include $505M related‑party convertible notes and ~ $325M revenue‑interest liability. Clinical/regulatory metrics highlighted: QUILT‑2.005 fully enrolled 366 patients (interim 6‑month CR 85% vs 57%; 9‑month 84% vs 52%), QUILT‑3.032 Cohort A CR 71% (n≈100) with duration >53 months and Cohort B 12‑month DFS 58% / 24‑month DFS 52% with 36‑month disease‑specific survival 96% and ~82% bladder preservation; recombinant BCG expanded access spans ~100 sites and ~580 patients with several thousand doses delivered, BCG‑naive enrollment reported at 100% with a targeted BLA in Q4‑2026, QUILT‑3.055 treated ~147 patients, and the company introduced its askIB AI platform and NANT Leonardo automated cell‑manufacturing plans.

ImmunityBio Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue has scaled rapidly ($14.7M in 2024 to $113.3M in 2025 and $182.6M TTM) with exceptionally high gross margin (~97% TTM), but fundamentals remain weak: very large operating losses (TTM net margin ~-608%), negative equity worsening to about -$1.15B TTM, and leverage that exceeds the asset base (TTM debt ~$869.5M vs. assets ~$609.4M). Cash burn improved (operating cash flow -$70.4M TTM vs. -$304.9M in 2025) but remains negative, implying ongoing funding/dilution risk. KPI note: growth is heavily US-led, adding concentration risk if domestic adoption slows.

Income Statement

22Negative

Balance Sheet

18Very Negative

Cash Flow

28Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue182.57M113.29M14.74M622.00K240.00K934.00K
Gross Profit176.50M112.53M14.74M622.00K240.00K934.00K
EBITDA-1.01B-223.56M-264.43M-478.66M-351.88M-320.75M
Net Income-1.11B-351.40M-413.56M-583.20M-416.57M-346.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets609.39M501.90M382.93M504.45M362.36M468.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments334.33M242.82M149.81M266.46M107.18M317.12M
Total Debt869.52M878.12M504.17M726.72M723.77M645.66M
Total Liabilities1.75B1.00B871.06M1.09B812.18M712.82M
Stockholders Equity-1.15B-499.57M-489.10M-586.99M-447.33M-242.17M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-297.09M-308.78M-398.12M-397.34M-415.67M-307.98M
Operating Cash Flow-287.56M-304.94M-391.24M-366.76M-337.51M-274.42M
Investing Cash Flow-103.59M-149.80M-12.25M-30.47M27.30M-84.89M
Financing Cash Flow376.30M400.24M281.63M558.34M233.61M505.44M

ImmunityBio Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price6.07

Price Trends

50DMA8.63Negative
100DMA8.25Negative
200DMA7.97Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.57Positive
RSI32.86Neutral
STOCH9.67Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IBRX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.11, below the 50-day MA of 8.63, and below the 200-day MA of 7.97, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IBRX.

ImmunityBio Risk Analysis

ImmunityBio disclosed 95 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ImmunityBio reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Tech & Innovation - Risks related to the company’s reliance on technology and ability to make innovative products

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

ImmunityBio Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

IBRX against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
VIRVIR72Outperform$2.25B-9.70-21.38%―1695.96%65.40%
PCVXPCVX54Neutral$10.86B-8.07-42.04%――-65.42%
IMCRIMCR52Neutral$1.63B-48.03-7.96%―13.01%―
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
IBRXIBRX49Neutral$7.10B-5.65124.59%―121.15%-162.88%
RCUSRCUS45Neutral$2.71B-4.92-90.04%―-58.33%-6.14%
IMNMIMNM39Underperform$2.25B-7.05-51.33%―-100.00%11.09%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%300%400%IBRXRCUSVIRPCVXIMNMIMCRDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
IBRX and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
IBRXImmunitybio Inc6.074.04199.01%
RCUSArcus Biosciences17.77-2.22-11.11%
VIRVir Biotechnology, Inc.12.126.63120.77%
PCVXVaxcyte, Inc.64.6916.3533.82%
IMNMImmunome, Inc.18.700.573.14%
IMCRImmunocore Holdings Plc30.48-6.09-16.67%

ImmunityBio Corporate Events

Product-Related Announcements

ImmunityBio Reports Positive ANKTIVA Bladder Cancer Trial Results

Positive
Nov 9, 2026

On November 9, 2026, ImmunityBio reported that ANKTIVA plus BCG achieved the primary efficacy endpoint in Cohort A of the randomized QUILT-2.005 trial, which included 370 patients with BCG-naïve, high-grade non-muscle invasive bladder cancer. The che...

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance

ImmunityBio gains FDA expansion for ANKTIVA bladder therapy

Positive
Oct 14, 2026

On October 14, 2026, ImmunityBio announced that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration expanded the approved indication for its immunotherapy ANKTIVA, used in combination with Bacillus Calmette-Guérin, to cover all adult patients with BCG-unresponsive...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 10, 2026