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Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation
(OTC:HKHC)
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Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$27.00
â–¼(-3.57% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/19/26
HKHC scores mid-range primarily due to inconsistent operating results and weak recent cash-flow conversion despite a strong, low-debt balance sheet. Technical indicators also lean bearish (below key moving averages with negative MACD). These risks are partially offset by reasonable valuation (P/E ~10.8 and a dividend) and a mixed-but-notably constructive earnings call highlighting ETF/SMA growth and strong liquidity, tempered by near-term losses, expense pressure, and AUM/GAAP volatility.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low leverage and substantial liquid and investment resources give HKHC flexibility to fund operations, withstand AUM pressure and invest in product distribution without relying heavily on external financing.
Negative Factors
Weak recent cash conversion
Recent negative operating and free cash flow shows that reported earnings are not consistently converting into cash. If this persists, HKHC may need to draw on its balance sheet to support dividends, investment and ongoing operations.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low leverage and substantial liquid and investment resources give HKHC flexibility to fund operations, withstand AUM pressure and invest in product distribution without relying heavily on external financing.
Read all positive factors
Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation (HKHC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$485.45M
Dividend Yield1.86%
Average Volume (3M)956.00
Price to Earnings (P/E)10.4
Beta (1Y)-0.39
Revenue Growth-2.26%
EPS Growth-5.63%
CountryUS
Employees81
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryAsset Management
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)2.51
Shares Outstanding18,635,320
10 Day Avg. Volume1,689
30 Day Avg. Volume956
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.95
Price to Book (P/B)1.29
Price to Sales (P/S)6.01
P/FCF Ratio-10.09
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation is an employee-owned asset management company. While primarily serving affluent individuals, its client base also includes a diverse array of entities such as other individuals, investment firms, pension and pr...
How the Company Makes Money
HKHC makes money primarily through asset-based management fees earned for managing client assets. These fees are generally calculated as a percentage of assets under management (AUM) and are recognized as advisory fee revenue as services are provi...
Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture: clear positives include strong ETF revenue growth (+30%), SMA growth (+8.6%), a meaningful first-quarter incentive fee that boosted six-month advisory revenues and resulted in a $54.2 million YTD GAAP net income, solid liquidity and no third-party debt, plus a declared dividend. Offsetting these were a Q2 GAAP net loss driven by consolidated noncontrolling interests (net loss to HKHC $18.4M), a 19% decline in operating income, a 17% drop in mutual fund revenues driven by a large redemption, rising operating expenses (+5.5%) and quarter-to-quarter AUM volatility driven by mark-to-market declines in key holdings (TPL -7.8%, bitcoin-related -13.7%). Management emphasized operational continuity, a strong pipeline (notably data-center and inflation-beneficiary opportunities) and an upcoming marketing push to grow ETF distribution. Overall the positives and growth initiatives are meaningful but are balanced by short-term accounting losses, expense pressure and AUM volatility.Positive Updates
ETF Revenue Growth
Revenue from the firm's ETF group increased 30% in Q2 2026, led by the Inflation Beneficiaries ETF (INFL); management noted a targeted marketing push starting in early September to grow ETF distribution.
Negative Updates
Quarterly GAAP Net Loss (Consolidated)
The company reported a Q2 2026 quarterly net loss of approximately $113 million; $95 million of this related to redeemable noncontrolling interests within consolidated SIPs, resulting in a net loss attributable to HKHC shareholders of $18.4 million (loss of $0.99 per share).
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
ETF Revenue Growth
Revenue from the firm's ETF group increased 30% in Q2 2026, led by the Inflation Beneficiaries ETF (INFL); management noted a targeted marketing push starting in early September to grow ETF distribution.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's guidance for Q3 and the rest of FY2026 emphasized a targeted marketing push to grow ETF distribution beginning early September (around Sept 6–7), continued Q3 overlap rent/occupancy costs from two office moves, and ongoing volatility in GAAP results due to unrealized gains/losses and incentive fees; key metrics cited included Q2 GAAP management and advisory revenue of $18.8M (flat YoY), operating income $3.0M (down 19% YoY), operating expenses $16.1M (up 5.5%), AUM $10.8B as of June 30 (vs $9.6B at 12/31/25 and $11.4B at 3/31/26), a Q2 net loss of ~$113M (with ~$95M attributable to redeemable noncontrolling interests) and a net loss to HKHC shareholders of $18.4M (‑$0.99/share), year‑to‑date GAAP management and advisory fees of $37.0M (‑1.8% YoY) with $18.1M of incentive fees in Q1 (and $6.1M associated incremental costs) and $8.3M of unearned incentive fees as of 6/30, six‑month GAAP net income of $54.2M ($2.91/share), liquidity of $34.3M cash plus $105M investments and $8.3M digital assets and ~$263M private fund interests, a declared dividend of $0.13/share payable Sept 10 (record Aug 26) bringing trailing 12‑month dividends to $0.484/share, and examples of investment volatility such as TPL down 7.8% in Q2 but +52% YTD and GBTC down 13.7% in Q2; management reiterated caution on market valuations (S&P 12‑month trailing earnings $2.31T vs ~$69T market cap → earnings yield 3.35% plus 1.04% dividend = 4.39% vs 10‑yr Treasury 4.70%).Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
34
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 72.26M | 72.85M | 57.18M | 47.26M | 2.98M | 29.74M |
| Gross Profit | 34.06M | 39.70M | 18.60M | 20.41M | 1.37M | 12.53M |
| EBITDA | 5.13M | 14.31M | -13.61M | 46.00K | -9.29M | -4.71M |
| Net Income | 46.92M | 4.90M | 92.47M | -4.49M | -8.85M | -11.09M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.94B | 2.00B | 2.03B | 1.12B | 10.73M | 20.87M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 72.94M | 82.38M | 58.75M | 69.59M | 49.00K | 770.00K |
| Total Debt | 25.84M | 8.25M | 7.38M | 9.50M | 6.17M | 5.91M |
| Total Liabilities | 160.72M | 105.25M | 147.69M | 28.80M | 7.91M | 9.33M |
| Stockholders Equity | 388.48M | 338.95M | 340.17M | 209.09M | 2.82M | 11.54M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -31.07M | -43.38M | 11.79M | 25.38M | -1.99M | -791.00K |
| Operating Cash Flow | -29.55M | -43.07M | 11.84M | 25.48M | -1.85M | -322.00K |
| Investing Cash Flow | 37.96M | 73.03M | 2.14M | 782.00K | 338.00K | 4.38M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -7.92M | -6.34M | -24.82M | -15.39M | 290.00K | -2.79M |
Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation Technical Analysis
Negative
28.00
Price Trends
28.10
Negative
27.73
Negative
27.99
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.44
Positive
37.55
Neutral
29.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HKHC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.87, below the 50-day MA of 28.10, and above the 200-day MA of 27.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HKHC.
Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation Risk Analysis
Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation disclosed 16 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
79 Outperform | $633.12M | 1.34 | 6.00% | 15.92% | 5.95% | 6.91% | |
74 Outperform | $618.48M | 7.73 | 21.39% | 6.58% | 37.63% | 47.35% | |
73 Outperform | $747.70M | 9.44 | 10.54% | 8.86% | 3.27% | -9.84% | |
72 Outperform | $605.98M | 13.01 | 5.40% | 14.73% | -11.34% | -48.35% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% | |
66 Neutral | $682.48M | 9.24 | 7.45% | 11.90% | -3.92% | -16.93% | |
55 Neutral | $485.45M | 10.37 | 12.58% | 1.52% | -2.26% | -5.63% |
* Financial Sector Average
HKHC
Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation
26.04
-11.32
-30.30%
FDUS
Fidus Investment
19.73
0.64
3.37%
NOAH
Noah Holdings
8.48
-1.76
-17.20%
SLRC
SLR Investment Corp.
12.48
-2.41
-16.20%
VINP
Vinci Partners Investments
9.60
0.21
2.21%
NCDL
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.
12.40
-1.58
-11.30%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.