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U.s. Global Investors (GROW)
NASDAQ:GROW
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US Global Investors (GROW) AI Stock Analysis

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GROW

US Global Investors

(NASDAQ:GROW)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-7.06% Downside)
The overall stock score of 54 reflects the significant financial challenges faced by US Global Investors, particularly in terms of declining revenue and profitability. While the balance sheet provides some stability, and there are strategic initiatives in place, the negative valuation metrics and mixed technical indicators suggest caution. The company's efforts to expand globally and maintain dividends are positive, but operational improvements are necessary to enhance financial health.

US Global Investors (GROW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

US Global Investors Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionU.S. Global Investors, Inc. is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm primarily provides its services to investment companies. It also provides its services to pooled investment vehicles. The firm manages equity and fixed income mutual funds for its clients. It also manages hedge funds. The firm also manages exchange traded funds. It invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe. It invests in G.A.R.P. and value stocks to make its equity investments. The firm employs a fundamental and quantitative analysis with top-down and bottom-up stock picking approach to make its investments. U.S. Global Investors, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is based in San Antonio, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyUS Global Investors generates revenue primarily through management fees charged on assets under management (AUM) in its mutual funds and ETFs. These fees are typically calculated as a percentage of AUM and vary based on the specific fund and its investment strategy. Additionally, the company may earn performance fees if certain funds exceed benchmark performance targets. Other revenue streams include service fees from investment advisory services, distribution fees, and potential partnerships with financial institutions for fund distribution. The firm’s ability to attract and retain investors, particularly in its niche sectors, plays a significant role in influencing its revenue.

US Global Investors Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 08, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted the growth in revenue for certain segments and strategic expansions in global markets. However, significant financial challenges were evident, including a notable decline in operating revenues and a net loss for the fiscal year.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue for Royalty Companies
Franco-Nevada reported record revenue for the quarter, up 42% year-over-year. Wheaton also generated record revenue and operating cash flow.
Growing Global Reach
U.S. Global ETFs, particularly JETS and GOAU, are now listed on the Mexican Stock Exchange and are gaining more trading volume in Bogota, Peru, and Chile.
AI and Military Super Cycle
A significant increase in military spending and AI development is noted, with a super cycle driven by AI, data centers, and NVIDIA chips.
Increase in Share Buyback
Buyback authorizations increased by 19% year-to-date, reflecting a strategic move to enhance shareholder value.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Operating Revenues
Operating revenues for the year were $8.5 million, a decrease of $2.5 million or 23% from the prior year, primarily due to a decrease in assets under management, especially in the JETS ETF.
Net Loss for Fiscal Year
The company reported a net loss of $334,000 or $0.03 per share, an unfavorable change of $1.7 million compared to the net income of $1.3 million in the prior year.
Assets Under Management Decline
Average assets under management were $1.4 billion, indicating a decrease from the previous year, contributing to the overall loss.
Company Guidance
During the call, U.S. Global Investors provided guidance for Fiscal Year 2025, emphasizing a quantamental strategy in thematic investing, notably in sectors like gold, precious metals, and airlines. Frank Holmes, CEO and CIO, highlighted the company's focus on managing volatility, with key metrics indicating a target for a 3% to 4% change over 10 days as an indicator of momentum shifts. The company reported $1.4 billion in average assets under management, with a net operating revenue of $8.5 million, marking a 23% decrease from the previous year due to a decline in assets under management, particularly in the JETS ETF. Despite a net loss of $334,000 or $0.03 per share, the balance sheet remains strong with a net working capital of $37.2 million and a current ratio of 20.9:1. The firm remains committed to its strategy of buying back stock and paying monthly dividends, while expanding its global reach and enhancing marketing efforts through digital channels.

US Global Investors Financial Statement Overview

Summary
US Global Investors faces significant challenges with declining revenue and profitability, as reflected in the income statement. The balance sheet remains stable with low leverage, providing some financial cushion. Cash flow performance is weak, with negative operating cash flow, but there is potential for improvement. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and improve profitability to enhance its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a declining trend in revenue and profitability. The company experienced a negative revenue growth rate of -5.36% in the most recent year, with a net profit margin of -3.95%. Gross profit margin decreased to 41.66% from 56.28% the previous year. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, indicating operational challenges. Overall, the income statement reflects declining performance and profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet remains relatively stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0018, indicating minimal leverage. However, the return on equity has turned negative at -0.74%, reflecting recent losses. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting a solid capital structure. Despite the negative ROE, the low leverage provides some financial stability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a mixed picture. Operating cash flow is negative, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, indicating some cash flow coverage. Free cash flow growth is positive at 16.60%, but the operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow challenges. Overall, cash flow performance is weak but shows some potential for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.93M8.45M10.98M15.07M24.71M21.65M
Gross Profit3.98M3.52M6.18M10.28M18.66M14.29M
EBITDA-1.34M-2.99M2.11M2.53M3.46M8.54M
Net Income162.00K-334.00K1.33M3.15M3.44M31.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets48.76M48.06M51.96M55.67M58.36M62.28M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments35.95M24.55M37.04M37.04M34.45M20.76M
Total Debt17.00K83.00K39.00K66.00K93.00K43.00K
Total Liabilities2.66M983.00K2.96M3.48M4.20M7.95M
Stockholders Equity46.10M45.21M49.01M52.20M53.78M54.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-711.00K-829.00K777.00K2.90M10.31M4.69M
Operating Cash Flow-671.00K-822.00K990.00K2.91M10.54M4.77M
Investing Cash Flow2.65M1.06M4.42M2.67M-1.02M8.65M
Financing Cash Flow-3.18M-3.08M-3.41M-2.50M-1.64M-941.00K

US Global Investors Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.69
Price Trends
50DMA
2.46
Positive
100DMA
2.39
Positive
200DMA
2.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
68.64
Neutral
STOCH
84.88
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GROW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.51, above the 50-day MA of 2.46, and above the 200-day MA of 2.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.88 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GROW.

US Global Investors Risk Analysis

US Global Investors disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. US Global Investors reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

US Global Investors Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
79.19B25.9716.96%1.41%-4.35%-43.32%
58
Neutral
18.40M7.390.45%-12.05%-87.87%
54
Neutral
$34.87M242.00-0.71%3.35%67.97%-128.30%
47
Neutral
539.68M-2.07-15.65%-8.73%0.54%
47
Neutral
218.16M-3.891.10%373.29%-209.98%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GROW
US Global Investors
2.69
0.21
8.47%
APO
Apollo Global Management
137.63
14.32
11.61%
TURN
180 Degree Capital
4.96
1.59
47.18%
NISN
NiSun International Enterprise Development Group
3.99
-12.01
-75.06%
BTCS
BTCS
4.54
3.39
294.78%
ALTI
Alvarium Tiedemann Holdings
3.68
-0.06
-1.60%

US Global Investors Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
US Global Investors Boosts Bitcoin Exposure Amid Regulatory Shift
Positive
Jun 26, 2025

On June 25, 2025, U.S. Global Investors, Inc. announced its decision to maintain monthly dividends and increase its exposure to Bitcoin, reflecting a positive regulatory shift in the U.S. towards digital assets. The company also highlighted its Smart Beta 2.0 tools for targeted fear trade strategies, emphasizing investments in gold and defense sectors amid global geopolitical tensions. The continuation of monthly dividends, starting in July 2025, offers an annualized yield of 3.73%, while the company’s shareholder yield stood at 10.5% as of March 31, 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 10, 2025