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Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd.
(2869)
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Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
HK$5.00
▲(13.12% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
Overall score is driven primarily by strong financial fundamentals—especially the low-leverage balance sheet—tempered by thinner margins and volatile free cash flow. Technicals add support with the stock trading above major moving averages and moderately positive momentum. Valuation is reasonable with a mid-teens P/E and a ~3.7% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
A conservatively positioned balance sheet with low leverage and a materially declining debt burden increases resilience to downturns. This durable strength supports capital allocation, reduces refinancing risk, and preserves optionality for capex or strategic M&A over the next several months.
Negative Factors
Volatile Free Cash Flow
Marked volatility in free cash flow — including a notable 2025 decline after prior gains — undermines predictability of internal funding for capex, dividends and M&A. This uneven conversion of earnings into cash complicates planning and may increase reliance on external financing.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
A conservatively positioned balance sheet with low leverage and a materially declining debt burden increases resilience to downturns. This durable strength supports capital allocation, reduces refinancing risk, and preserves optionality for capex or strategic M&A over the next several months.
Read all positive factors
Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd. (2869) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$13.53B
Dividend Yield3.73%
Average Volume (3M)2.68M
Price to Earnings (P/E)12.0
Beta (1Y)0.97
Revenue Growth12.73%
EPS Growth28.42%
CountryHK
Employees51,785
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryReal Estate - Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.30
Shares Outstanding3,156,551,500
10 Day Avg. Volume3,762,550
30 Day Avg. Volume2,675,424
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.45
Price to Book (P/B)1.66
Price to Sales (P/S)0.69
P/FCF Ratio9.01
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
HK$6.04Price Target Upside36.54% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering4
EPS Forecast (FY)0.33
Revenue Forecast (FY)HK$20.59B
Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd. offers extensive residential property management services across China, Australia, and Hong Kong. Their primary responsibilities encompass essential tasks such as security, cleaning, landscaping, and general repair...
How the Company Makes Money
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Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
71
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 19.64B | 19.16B | 17.89B | 17.39B | 14.86B | 12.57B |
| Gross Profit | 3.32B | 3.32B | 3.01B | 2.91B | 2.40B | 2.33B |
| EBITDA | 1.76B | 1.54B | 1.40B | 1.54B | 1.05B | 1.23B |
| Net Income | 963.88M | 880.20M | 785.08M | 605.37M | 547.50M | 846.27M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 18.92B | 18.32B | 17.69B | 18.08B | 16.85B | 14.37B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 6.30B | 6.45B | 5.79B | 5.69B | 5.07B | 5.51B |
| Total Debt | 286.22M | 511.11M | 803.52M | 1.73B | 1.85B | 1.32B |
| Total Liabilities | 10.21B | 9.60B | 9.15B | 9.86B | 8.98B | 7.00B |
| Stockholders Equity | 7.95B | 7.96B | 7.79B | 7.41B | 7.12B | 7.02B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.52B | 1.47B | 1.15B | 933.16M | 241.48M | 609.28M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.61B | 1.59B | 1.47B | 1.44B | 695.28M | 1.02B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -88.37M | -291.63M | -503.29M | -377.53M | -140.77M | -301.51M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -817.77M | -837.96M | -651.45M | -717.25M | -720.42M | -778.69M |
Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd. Technical Analysis
Positive
4.42
Price Trends
4.17
Positive
4.23
Positive
4.21
Positive
Market Momentum
0.02
Negative
53.10
Neutral
48.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2869, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.23, above the 50-day MA of 4.17, and above the 200-day MA of 4.21, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:2869.
Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
75 Outperform | HK$13.53B | 12.00 | 12.12% | 3.73% | 12.73% | 28.42% | |
75 Outperform | HK$15.54B | 8.46 | 14.87% | 5.68% | 7.89% | 8.60% | |
74 Outperform | HK$11.51B | 8.06 | 21.17% | 8.43% | 10.76% | -12.76% | |
65 Neutral | $2.17B | 12.19 | 3.79% | 4.94% | 3.15% | 1.96% | |
60 Neutral | HK$2.41B | 28.41 | 0.70% | 7.76% | -2.93% | ― | |
57 Neutral | HK$18.56B | 28.06 | 1.56% | 0.95% | 11.42% | -55.21% | |
57 Neutral | HK$12.38B | 10.57 | 54.42% | ― | 8.66% | 7.46% |
* Real Estate Sector Average
HK:2869
Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd.
4.28
-0.30
-6.48%
HK:2669
China Overseas Property Holdings
3.55
-1.48
-29.47%
HK:6098
Country Garden Services Holdings Co
5.58
-0.56
-9.07%
HK:3319
A-Living Smart City Services Co., Ltd. Class H
1.66
-1.17
-41.43%
HK:6049
Poly Property Services Co., Ltd. Class H
28.28
-5.64
-16.63%
HK:6666
Evergrande Property Services Group Ltd.
1.16
0.25
27.47%
Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd. Corporate Events
Greentown Service Grants 9.6 Million Share Options to Management and Staff
Jun 24, 2026
Greentown Service Group has granted 9,622,040 share options to its senior management and employees under its share option scheme adopted in June 2023. The options carry an exercise price of HK$4.328 per share, aligned with recent market prices, an...
Greentown Service Wins Strong Shareholder Backing for Dividends, Share Mandates at AGM
Jun 18, 2026
Greentown Service Group reported that all resolutions at its 18 June 2026 annual general meeting were passed by poll, including approval of the 2025 accounts, a final and special dividend, and the re-election of three directors alongside the reapp...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.