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Country Garden Holdings
(2007)
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Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
HK$0.14
â–¼(-25.26% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/04/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—especially negative equity, heavy debt, and unstable profitability despite a small net profit in 2025. Technicals are only mildly supportive with neutral momentum and a still-weak longer-term trend. Valuation appears very low on P/E, but likely reflects the elevated financial and solvency risk shown in the statements.
Positive Factors
Diversified property revenue model
The residential development platform is supplemented by recurring property management fees and commercial-property-related income. This gives Country Garden more than one monetization channel, potentially supporting customer retention and revenue resilience as communities mature, although property sales remain the core driver.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue contraction
The steep and sustained revenue contraction signals weaker project sales or delivery economics and reduces the scale available to absorb fixed development costs. Continued top-line pressure could constrain cash generation, impair operating leverage, and make recovery dependent on a meaningful improvement in housing demand and execution.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified property revenue model
The residential development platform is supplemented by recurring property management fees and commercial-property-related income. This gives Country Garden more than one monetization channel, potentially supporting customer retention and revenue resilience as communities mature, although property sales remain the core driver.
Read all positive factors
Country Garden Holdings (2007) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$6.59B
Dividend Yield8.02%
Average Volume (3M)284.79M
Price to Earnings (P/E)0.3
Beta (1Y)0.74
Revenue Growth-41.85%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryHK
Employees14,069
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryReal Estate - Development
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.45
Shares Outstanding46,852,992,000
10 Day Avg. Volume204,546,834
30 Day Avg. Volume284,788,088
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.03
Price to Book (P/B)-12.06
Price to Sales (P/S)0.07
P/FCF Ratio6.75
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
HK$0.10Price Target Upside-47.37% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Sell
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.58
Revenue Forecast (FY)HK$71.38B
Country Garden Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Country Garden Holdings Company Limited operates as an investment group, primarily focused on real estate development, investment, and construction projects across mainland China. Its operations are organized into two key divisions: Property Devel...
How the Company Makes Money
Country Garden primarily makes money by developing real estate projects and selling completed (or pre-sold) residential properties to homebuyers. Its main revenue stream is recognized from property sales—i.e., proceeds from the sale of apartments,...
Country Garden Holdings Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
22
Negative
Balance Sheet
12
Very Negative
Cash Flow
28
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 125.80B | 154.89B | 252.76B | 401.01B | 430.37B | 523.06B |
| Gross Profit | -42.57B | -43.12B | -1.69B | -93.61B | 32.88B | 92.78B |
| EBITDA | 18.48B | 20.30B | -15.55B | -159.67B | 7.63B | 64.31B |
| Net Income | 6.94B | 3.26B | -32.84B | -178.40B | -6.05B | 26.80B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 745.41B | 812.12B | 1.04T | 1.29T | 1.74T | 1.95T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 24.50B | 12.19B | 15.06B | 18.82B | 139.69B | 161.16B |
| Total Debt | 145.01B | 150.64B | 256.00B | 251.65B | 271.72B | 318.61B |
| Total Liabilities | 714.34B | 767.86B | 984.59B | 1.20T | 1.43T | 1.65T |
| Stockholders Equity | -12.18B | -859.00M | -7.18B | 25.95B | 203.62B | 198.74B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -5.24B | 1.53B | -3.32B | -77.06B | 33.68B | 7.26B |
| Operating Cash Flow | -5.24B | 1.53B | -3.28B | -76.13B | 35.62B | 10.86B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 393.98M | 1.65B | 6.05B | 9.54B | 4.41B | -18.04B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -6.15B | -3.73B | -3.53B | -54.44B | -58.69B | -12.90B |
Country Garden Holdings Technical Analysis
Negative
0.19
Price Trends
0.18
Negative
0.18
Negative
0.24
Negative
Market Momentum
>-0.01
Positive
29.87
Positive
7.96
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2007, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.17, above the 50-day MA of 0.18, and below the 200-day MA of 0.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.87 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.96 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:2007.
Country Garden Holdings Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | HK$10.57B | 7.32 | 21.17% | 9.32% | 10.76% | -12.76% | |
65 Neutral | $2.17B | 12.19 | 3.79% | 4.94% | 3.15% | 1.96% | |
63 Neutral | HK$217.21B | 7.88 | 8.04% | 4.40% | -11.74% | -11.38% | |
51 Neutral | HK$6.59B | 0.27 | -106.41% | 8.02% | -41.85% | ― | |
51 Neutral | HK$138.89B | 10.66 | 2.82% | 3.78% | 4.14% | -16.76% | |
47 Neutral | HK$31.39B | -96.20 | -0.14% | 4.16% | -41.83% | -102.04% | |
44 Neutral | HK$41.32B | -0.45 | -79.94% | 7.60% | -35.13% | -45.10% |
* Real Estate Sector Average
HK:2007
Country Garden Holdings
0.14
-0.43
-75.26%
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2.16
-2.25
-51.02%
HK:0688
China Overseas Land & Investment
12.69
0.05
0.44%
HK:2669
China Overseas Property Holdings
3.22
-1.36
-29.74%
HK:1109
China Resources Land
30.46
3.10
11.33%
HK:0960
Longfor Group Holdings
4.54
-5.07
-52.79%
Country Garden Holdings Corporate Events
Country Garden Publishes Major Bond-Related Corporate Announcements Across Mainland and Hong Kong Markets
Oct 30, 2026
Country Garden Holdings Company Limited, a leading Chinese property developer listed in Hong Kong and incorporated in the Cayman Islands, announced that it has released major corporate updates related to its onshore bond programs on the Shanghai a...
Country Garden Posts RMB 2.21 Billion in Preliminary September Contracted Sales
Oct 9, 2026
Country Garden reported unaudited contracted sales attributable to shareholders of about RMB 2.21 billion for September 2026. The group also recorded approximately 0.27 million square meters of contracted gross floor area in the month, reflecting ...
Country Garden Advances Onshore Bond Restructuring to Address Audit Disclaimer
Sep 30, 2026
Country Garden Holdings has provided an update on its efforts to address a disclaimer of opinion issued by its auditor on the group’s 2024 and 2025 consolidated financial statements, which stemmed from limitations in assessing the appropriat...
Country Garden Aligns Mainland and Hong Kong Disclosures on Major Bond Matters
Sep 30, 2026
Country Garden Holdings has issued an overseas regulatory announcement to notify Hong Kong investors of major corporate matters disclosed on mainland Chinese exchanges. The company and its key subsidiaries have published bond-related announcements...
Country Garden Posts RMB 2.28 Billion in Preliminary August Contracted Sales
Sep 3, 2026
Country Garden Holdings reported unaudited contracted sales attributable to shareholders of about RMB 2.28 billion for August 2026, corresponding to roughly 0.28 million square meters of gross floor area. These figures provide a snapshot of monthl...
Country Garden Aligns Cross-Border Disclosures on Major Onshore Bond Matters
Aug 28, 2026
Country Garden Holdings has issued an overseas regulatory announcement in Hong Kong to mirror disclosures made on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges regarding major corporate matters tied to several onshore bond issues. The move, made under...
Country Garden posts steep first-half loss as it navigates sector reset
Aug 28, 2026
Country Garden has reported interim results for the six months to 30 June 2026 that underscore the ongoing strain in China’s real estate sector. The group generated contracted sales of about RMB14.25 billion and revenue of RMB44.08 billion, ...
Country Garden sets August board meeting to approve interim results and consider dividend
Aug 17, 2026
Country Garden Holdings has scheduled a board meeting for 28 August 2026 to review and approve the interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026. The board will also consider the potential declaration of an interim dividend, signaling that...
Country Garden Posts RMB 2.26 Billion in Preliminary July Contracted Sales
Aug 4, 2026
Country Garden reported unaudited contracted sales attributable to shareholders of about RMB 2.26 billion for July 2026, with roughly 0.28 million square meters of gross floor area sold. The figures, drawn from internal management data, provide a ...
Country Garden Aligns Mainland Bond Disclosures With Hong Kong Market
Jul 31, 2026
Country Garden Holdings has issued an overseas regulatory announcement to notify Hong Kong investors of major corporate matters disclosed on mainland Chinese exchanges. The company and its key subsidiaries have published bond-related announcements...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.