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China Overseas Land & Investment (0688) AI Stock Analysis

HK:0688

China Overseas Land & Investment

(HKEX:0688)

Select Model
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:HKD 13.50â–²(6.38% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/19/26

The score is held back primarily by deteriorating financial performance (declining revenue, compressed margins, lower ROE, and a steep 2025 free-cash-flow drop) and bearish technical signals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation provides partial support via a moderate P/E and a ~3.9% dividend yield, but not enough to overcome weakening operating and momentum trends.

Positive Factors
Balance-sheet resilienceLeverage has remained relatively stable at about 0.64 debt-to-equity in 2024–2025, while total assets stayed near HKD 916B. This provides a substantial operating base and suggests the company has not undergone major balance-sheet contraction, supporting resilience as it manages the property cycle.
Negative Factors
Revenue contractionRevenue has declined for two consecutive years following strong growth in 2023, indicating weaker project deliveries, sales activity or recognized development revenue. Persistent top-line contraction can reduce operating leverage, constrain reinvestment and make recovery dependent on a stronger property cycle.

China Overseas Land & Investment (0688) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%HK:0688+1.67%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 17.62B
Dividend Yield
3.78%
Average Volume (3M)
28.02M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.7
Beta (1Y)
0.85
Revenue Growth
4.14%
EPS Growth
-16.76%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
3,130
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Real Estate - Development

China Overseas Land & Investment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

China Overseas Land & Investment Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development, commercial property operations, and other businesses in the People's Republic of China and the United Kingdom. It is involved in the rental...

How the Company Makes Money

China Overseas Land & Investment (COLI) primarily makes money through (1) property development and sales, and (2) recurring income from investment properties and related services. 1) Property development and sales (primary revenue stream) - What it d...

China Overseas Land & Investment Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Fundamentals are weakening: revenue declined in 2024 (-0.09%) and 2025 (-12.91%), with material margin compression (gross margin 20.32% in 2023 to 16.15% in 2025; net margin 12.65% to 7.49%). The balance sheet is relatively supported (debt-to-equity ~0.64 in 2024–2025), but returns have deteriorated (ROE 6.87% in 2023 to 3.19% in 2025). Cash flow is the key concern, with free cash flow dropping sharply in 2025 (~HKD 9.7B, -77.27% YoY) after strong 2023–2024.

Income Statement

46Neutral

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

38Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue183.33B168.02B185.15B202.52B187.05B242.24B
Gross Profit26.89B24.77B32.76B41.15B38.39B57.03B
EBITDA20.97B18.51B27.80B42.56B37.73B64.40B
Net Income11.02B12.69B15.64B25.61B23.26B40.16B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets882.17B916.09B908.63B923.60B1.03T1.06T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments121.08B103.67B124.17B105.63B123.85B160.19B
Total Debt237.46B247.81B242.55B258.72B271.54B252.47B
Total Liabilities455.61B496.01B506.80B530.69B606.45B627.29B
Stockholders Equity392.61B388.11B380.61B373.02B397.99B420.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.93B9.73B46.26B35.07B-12.64B22.34B
Operating Cash Flow37.12B9.95B46.45B35.28B-11.90B22.56B
Investing Cash Flow-6.81B-7.37B1.84B-4.77B-8.14B-14.47B
Financing Cash Flow-18.45B-22.49B-29.80B-35.02B-2.07B14.43B

China Overseas Land & Investment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price12.69

Price Trends

50DMA12.82Negative
100DMA12.98Negative
200DMA13.13Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.11Positive
RSI49.29Neutral
STOCH25.19Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0688, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 12.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.83, below the 50-day MA of 12.82, and below the 200-day MA of 13.13, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:0688.

China Overseas Land & Investment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

HK:0688 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:1113HK:111375OutperformHKD 161.55B12.213.39%3.90%47.69%16.48%
HK:0016HK:001670OutperformHKD 315.57B14.723.41%3.47%17.33%11.15%
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
HK:0083HK:008364NeutralHKD 97.87B20.842.67%5.68%15.20%7.32%
HK:1109HK:110963NeutralHKD 217.21B7.888.04%4.40%-11.74%-11.38%
HK:0688HK:068851NeutralHKD 138.89B10.662.82%3.78%4.14%-16.76%
HK:0960HK:096045NeutralHKD 31.39B-96.00-0.14%4.16%-41.83%-102.04%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%50%HK:0688HK:1113HK:1109HK:0960HK:0083HK:0016Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:0688 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:0688China Overseas Land & Investment 12.690.050.44%
HK:1113CK Asset Holdings46.168.4822.51%
HK:1109China Resources Land 30.463.1011.33%
HK:0960Longfor Group Holdings 4.54-5.07-52.79%
HK:0083Sino Land Co 10.210.919.83%
HK:0016Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited108.9015.7816.94%

China Overseas Land & Investment Corporate Events

China Overseas Land & Investment Posts Mixed Sales Trend and Boosts Land Bank in Key Cities

Oct 9, 2026

China Overseas Land & Investment reported that its contracted property sales in September 2026 fell 22.8 percent year on year to about RMB15.58 billion, with sales area down 38.9 percent, even as accumulated sales for the first nine months rose 6...

China Overseas Land & Investment Sets Board Meeting to Review Q3 2026 Results

Oct 5, 2026

China Overseas Land & Investment Limited has scheduled a board meeting for Wednesday, 28 October 2026 to review the group’s financial performance and business operations for the third quarter of 2026. The session will cover the company and...

China Overseas Land & Investment Wins HKEX Approval for Public Fund Spin-Off

Sep 11, 2026

China Overseas Land & Investment Limited has secured approval from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to proceed with a proposed spin-off involving the listing of a public fund, under the framework of Practice Note 15. The exchange has also granted a w...

China Overseas Land & Investment Sets Cut-Off for Unclaimed 2020 Dividends

Sep 11, 2026

China Overseas Land & Investment Limited has invoked its articles of association to warn shareholders that unclaimed dividends declared in 2020 will be forfeited if not collected by 30 September 2026. The move concerns a final dividend of HK57 ce...

China Overseas Land & Investment Plans Shenzhen REIT Spin-off for Foshan Mall

Sep 7, 2026

China Overseas Land & Investment plans to spin off a Foshan shopping mall into a publicly traded real estate investment trust to be listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange. The REIT will be structured as a public fund managed by CAMC, with underlyi...

China Overseas Land & Investment Expands Land Bank as Cumulative Sales Grow Despite August Slowdown

Sep 4, 2026

China Overseas Land & Investment reported contracted property sales of about RMB15.98 billion in August 2026, down 12.8% year-on-year, with sales area falling 42.4% to roughly 511,600 square meters. Despite the weaker August performance, cumulati...

China Overseas Land & Investment Declares HKD 0.23 Interim Dividend

Aug 26, 2026

China Overseas Land & Investment Limited has declared an interim ordinary cash dividend of HKD 0.23 per share for the six months ended 30 June 2026, for the financial year ending 31 December 2026. The ex-dividend date is set for 16 September 2026...

China Overseas Land & Investment Sets Board Meeting to Approve Interim 2026 Results

Aug 7, 2026

China Overseas Land & Investment has scheduled a board meeting for 26 August 2026 to review and approve the interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026 for the company and its subsidiaries. The board will also consider the declaration o...

China Overseas Land & Investment Grows Sales Value and Expands Land Bank Despite Lower Volumes

Aug 6, 2026

China Overseas Land & Investment reported that its China Overseas Series of Companies achieved contracted property sales of about RMB15.1 billion in July 2026, up 27.6% year on year, despite a 16.6% decline in sales area to roughly 550,600 square...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 19, 2026