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ZHONGTAI FUTURES Company Limited Class H (1461) AI Stock Analysis

HK:1461

ZHONGTAI FUTURES Company Limited Class H

(HKEX:1461)

Select Model
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:HKD 0.57â–¼(-3.22% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/18/26

The score is held back primarily by weakening operating momentum and a significant deterioration in cash flow (negative operating and free cash flow in 2025), despite a low-leverage balance sheet. Technical signals are also mildly bearish/soft, while the main offset is a very low P/E and a modest dividend yield that suggest the stock is priced cheaply relative to earnings.

Positive Factors
Low LeverageVery low leverage gives the company a conservative financial structure and reduces pressure from debt servicing. This should preserve flexibility to support client services, absorb earnings volatility, and allocate capital without relying heavily on additional borrowing.
Negative Factors
Revenue DeclineA multi-year revenue decline points to weakening operating momentum rather than a single-period fluctuation. Continued contraction can reduce the scale benefits of the brokerage platform, limit reinvestment capacity, and make future earnings more dependent on volatile trading conditions.

ZHONGTAI FUTURES Company Limited Class H (1461) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%HK:1461-17.94%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 591.12M
Dividend Yield
1.32%
Average Volume (3M)
129.40K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
3.4
Beta (1Y)
0.67
Revenue Growth
-47.43%
EPS Growth
329.85%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
762
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Financial - Capital Markets

ZHONGTAI FUTURES Company Limited Class H Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ZHONGTAI FUTURES Company Limited, established in 1995 and headquartered in Jinan, People's Republic of China, stands as a prominent provider of commodity and financial futures brokerage services across the PRC market. The firm's extensive business mo...

ZHONGTAI FUTURES Company Limited Class H Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are mixed with notable risk. The balance sheet is conservatively positioned with low leverage and a stable equity base, but operating performance has weakened: revenue fell sharply in 2025 (down ~38% vs. 2024) after a multi-year decline, earnings have been volatile, and cash generation deteriorated materially with 2025 turning to negative operating and free cash flow.

Income Statement

38Negative

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

32Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue906.02M890.18M1.85B2.15B2.45B2.25B
Gross Profit706.20M660.14M1.85B2.15B2.45B2.25B
EBITDA243.49M153.70M52.42M207.18M248.01M273.61M
Net Income147.95M83.33M4.53M133.72M166.10M188.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets49.58B45.26B33.76B30.13B28.86B20.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments511.14M481.26M1.24B18.82B16.47B10.37B
Total Debt90.66M92.03M147.16M50.11M60.28M19.07M
Total Liabilities46.85B42.62B31.21B27.57B26.42B18.40B
Stockholders Equity2.73B2.64B2.55B2.56B2.44B2.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.32B-2.21B1.86B2.83B5.88B4.96B
Operating Cash Flow-7.29B-2.19B1.88B2.85B5.89B4.98B
Investing Cash Flow-27.73M-19.79M-19.56M-21.31M-4.01M-296.38M
Financing Cash Flow-60.52M-100.08M49.87M-240.12M170.99M-33.29M

ZHONGTAI FUTURES Company Limited Class H Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.59

Price Trends

50DMA0.65Negative
100DMA0.63Negative
200DMA0.63Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.02Positive
RSI42.79Neutral
STOCH42.43Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1461, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.59 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.60, below the 50-day MA of 0.65, and below the 200-day MA of 0.63, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1461.

ZHONGTAI FUTURES Company Limited Class H Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

HK:1461 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
HK:1788HK:178859NeutralHKD 27.06B18.449.18%2.46%43.49%109.36%
HK:1428HK:142855NeutralHKD 10.16B15.3533.51%―-1.70%8.52%
HK:8540HK:854054NeutralHKD 913.89M49.387.60%0.96%4.08%-73.74%
HK:1461HK:146154NeutralHKD 591.12M3.405.52%1.32%-47.43%329.85%
HK:3678HK:367853NeutralHKD 459.45M49.251.71%0.25%-90.99%148.61%
HK:0218HK:021849NeutralHKD 1.20B9.904.36%―200.24%―

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%40%HK:1461HK:1788HK:1428HK:0218HK:3678HK:8540Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:1461 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:1461ZHONGTAI FUTURES Company Limited Class H0.59-0.12-16.78%
HK:1788Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited2.85-0.85-23.00%
HK:1428Bright Smart Securities & Commodities Group Limited5.99-3.36-35.99%
HK:0218Shenwan Hongyuan (H.K.) Limited0.77-0.86-52.76%
HK:3678Holly Futures Co. Ltd. Class H1.84-1.97-51.73%
HK:8540Victory Securities (Holdings) Co. Ltd.4.37-0.54-11.02%

ZHONGTAI FUTURES Company Limited Class H Corporate Events

Zhongtai Futures Completes RMB600 Million Subordinated Bond Issue to Bolster Capital

Oct 22, 2026

Zhongtai Futures Company Limited has completed a non-public issuance of its 2026 subordinated bonds (first tranche) to professional investors, following approval at its 2025 annual general meeting and clearance from the Shanghai Stock Exchange. The c...

Zhongtai Futures Confirms Valid Poll Results at 2026 Extraordinary General Meeting

Sep 30, 2026

ZHONGTAI FUTURES Company Limited, a Hong Kong-listed PRC futures brokerage with a dual-share structure of domestic and H shares, operates under the majority control of Zhongtai Securities and adheres to PRC Company Law and Hong Kong listing rules in...

Zhongtai Futures Reschedules 2026 Extraordinary Meeting and Extends Share Register Closure

Sep 15, 2026

ZHONGTAI FUTURES Company Limited has postponed its 2026 third extraordinary general meeting from 28 September to 30 September, while keeping the meeting venue in Jinan, Shandong unchanged. The adjustment, made for work coordination reasons, shifts th...

Zhongtai Futures Calls EGM to Approve Service and Tenancy Deals

Sep 15, 2026

ZHONGTAI FUTURES Company Limited has convened its third extraordinary general meeting of 2026 for 30 September in Jinan, Shandong Province, to seek shareholder approval for two key ordinary resolutions. These resolutions cover an IB Services Framewor...

ZHONGTAI FUTURES Sets September 2026 Extraordinary General Meeting and Closes Register of Members

Sep 9, 2026

ZHONGTAI FUTURES Company Limited has scheduled its third extraordinary general meeting of 2026 for 9:30 a.m. on 28 September 2026 in Jinan, Shandong Province, to be held as an on-site meeting at the company’s conference facilities. The move ref...

Zhongtai Futures Seeks Shareholder Approval for New Connected IB Services Deal

Aug 28, 2026

ZHONGTAI FUTURES Company Limited has entered into a new IB Services Framework Agreement with Zhongtai Securities, effective for three years until 31 December 2028, replacing a former arrangement once approved. The company aims to maintain continuity...

Zhongtai Futures Releases Unaudited Interim Results for First Half of 2026

Aug 21, 2026

Zhongtai Futures Company Limited announced its unaudited consolidated interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026, comparing performance with the same period in 2025 and confirming that the figures were reviewed by its audit committee. The...

Zhongtai Futures Sets Board Meeting to Approve 2026 Interim Results

Aug 11, 2026

ZHONGTAI FUTURES Company Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 21 August 2026 to review and approve the interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026, along with their planned publication. The move signals the company’s progress tow...

Zhongtai Futures Plans New IB Services Framework as Business Grows

Aug 6, 2026

ZHONGTAI FUTURES Company Limited plans to revise its commercial arrangements with Zhongtai Securities for IB services as its IB business continues to expand. The company intends to replace the existing framework with a new three-year IB Services Fram...

Zhongtai Futures Signs RMB18.8 Million Connected Office Leases in Jinan

Aug 6, 2026

Zhongtai Futures Company Limited and its wholly owned subsidiary Zhongtai Huirong Capital have entered into new tenancy agreements with Qilu Zhongtai Property, a unit of their controlling shareholder Zhongtai Securities, securing office space in Jina...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 17, 2026