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Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited
(1788)
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Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
HK$3.00
â–²(4.17% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/17/26
The score is primarily held back by high and rising leverage and an uneven cash-flow history despite a sharp 2025 profitability rebound. Technicals are supportive due to strong trend and MACD, but extreme RSI/Stoch levels raise near-term pullback risk. Valuation is middling with a moderate dividend yield and a P/E that is not particularly cheap.
Positive Factors
Sharp 2025 earnings rebound
The substantial improvement in revenue and profitability strengthens internal capital generation and demonstrates operating leverage. If retained across a normalized market cycle, the rebound could support investment in the company’s brokerage, financing and capital-markets franchises.
Negative Factors
High and rising leverage
Rising leverage relative to a modest equity base increases balance-sheet sensitivity to market losses, funding costs and regulatory capital requirements. It can constrain strategic flexibility and make earnings less resilient during weaker trading or financing conditions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Sharp 2025 earnings rebound
The substantial improvement in revenue and profitability strengthens internal capital generation and demonstrates operating leverage. If retained across a normalized market cycle, the rebound could support investment in the company’s brokerage, financing and capital-markets franchises.
Read all positive factors
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited (1788) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$27.44B
Dividend Yield2.43%
Average Volume (3M)52.56M
Price to Earnings (P/E)18.7
Beta (1Y)2.76
Revenue Growth43.49%
EPS Growth109.36%
CountryHK
Employees692
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryFinancial - Capital Markets
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.15
Shares Outstanding9,529,944,000
10 Day Avg. Volume21,217,939
30 Day Avg. Volume52,559,780
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.06
Price to Book (P/B)1.53
Price to Sales (P/S)3.91
P/FCF Ratio9.50
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited, an investment holding firm based in Central, Hong Kong, delivers a comprehensive array of financial services both domestically and globally. The company's Wealth Management division provides customized ...
How the Company Makes Money
The company primarily makes money by earning fees, commissions, and trading/financing income across its financial services platforms. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Brokerage and wealth management: commission and fee income from execut...
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 7.25B | 6.21B | 2.17B | 3.22B | 2.32B | 3.97B |
| Gross Profit | 6.90B | 5.82B | 3.47B | 2.33B | 2.11B | 3.21B |
| EBITDA | 4.77B | 4.17B | 2.89B | 1.77B | 615.02M | 2.14B |
| Net Income | 1.47B | 1.35B | 347.78M | 201.26M | 80.38M | 1.09B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 217.02B | 153.50B | 130.17B | 107.54B | 94.46B | 106.29B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 114.10B | 65.76B | 80.91B | 59.27B | 40.02B | 28.13B |
| Total Debt | 151.19B | 100.44B | 89.43B | 69.73B | 58.53B | 60.12B |
| Total Liabilities | 200.72B | 137.53B | 115.15B | 92.57B | 79.52B | 90.85B |
| Stockholders Equity | 16.19B | 15.86B | 14.91B | 14.84B | 14.81B | 15.31B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -1.37B | 2.56B | 1.74B | -4.94B | -1.92B | 38.97M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -1.35B | 2.59B | 1.78B | -4.91B | 1.66B | 5.88B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -3.20B | -3.21B | -50.75M | -32.67M | -39.30M | -43.06M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 13.60B | 8.60B | -2.23B | 4.58B | 801.87M | -5.98B |
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Technical Analysis
Positive
2.88
Price Trends
2.47
Positive
2.35
Positive
2.49
Positive
Market Momentum
0.11
Positive
80.90
Negative
70.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1788, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.88, above the 50-day MA of 2.47, and above the 200-day MA of 2.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 80.90 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1788.
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | HK$343.04B | 9.07 | 10.01% | 5.06% | 37.61% | -2.94% | |
68 Neutral | HK$482.31B | 10.08 | 13.81% | 3.13% | 101.98% | 67.41% | |
68 Neutral | HK$176.27B | 8.66 | 13.66% | 4.83% | 97.85% | 74.02% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% | |
64 Neutral | HK$195.99B | 8.41 | 10.67% | 3.90% | 123.03% | 20.90% | |
59 Neutral | HK$27.44B | 18.66 | 9.18% | 2.43% | 43.49% | 109.36% | |
57 Neutral | HK$200.53B | 14.76 | 14.85% | 3.31% | 5.66% | 47.31% |
* Financial Sector Average
HK:1788
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited
2.88
-2.45
-45.97%
HK:6030
CITIC Securities Co
25.22
-3.01
-10.66%
HK:6886
Huatai Securities Co
17.14
-1.38
-7.45%
HK:6099
China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H
14.68
-1.96
-11.78%
HK:6066
CSC Financial Co., Ltd. Class H
11.53
-1.96
-14.54%
HK:2611
Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd. Class H
14.75
-0.96
-6.11%
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Corporate Events
Guotai Haitong Launches HK$3.00-Per-Share Offer to Privatise Guotai Junan International
Aug 7, 2026
Guotai Haitong Financial Holdings has put forward a pre-conditional proposal to privatise Guotai Junan International Holdings via a scheme of arrangement under Hong Kong company law. If completed, all scheme shares will be cancelled, replaced by n...
Guotai Junan International Sets August Board Meeting on Interim Results and Dividend
Aug 4, 2026
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited, a Hong Kong-incorporated financial services company listed under stock code 1788, operates through subsidiaries to provide securities and investment-related services to regional and international client...
Guotai Junan International Halts Trading in Shares and Notes Pending Takeover Announcement
Jul 23, 2026
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited announced that trading in its shares and three series of U.S. dollar-denominated notes listed in Hong Kong has been halted from 9:00 a.m. on 23 July 2026. The suspension covers its 2028 fixed-rate notes,...
Guotai Junan International Secures Shareholder Backing for Dividends, Board and Capital Mandates
May 22, 2026
Guotai Junan International Holdings reported the poll results of its annual general meeting held on 22 May 2026, where all proposed ordinary resolutions received strong shareholder support. Shareholders approved the 2025 audited financial statemen...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.