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Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited (1788) AI Stock Analysis
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Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited
(HKEX:1788)
The score is primarily held back by high and rising leverage and an uneven cash-flow history despite a sharp 2025 profitability rebound. Technicals are supportive due to strong trend and MACD, but extreme RSI/Stoch levels raise near-term pullback risk. Valuation is middling with a moderate dividend yield and a P/E that is not particularly cheap.
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited (1788) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
- Market Cap
- HKD 27.06B
- Dividend Yield
- 2.46%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 37.33M
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 18.4
- Beta (1Y)
- 1.53
- Revenue Growth
- 43.49%
- EPS Growth
- 109.36%
- Country
- Hong Kong
- Employees
- 729
- Sector
- Financial
- Sector Strength
- 68
- Industry
- Financial - Capital Markets
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited, an investment holding firm based in Central, Hong Kong, delivers a comprehensive array of financial services both domestically and globally. The company's Wealth Management division provides customized fin...
How the Company Makes Money
The company primarily makes money by earning fees, commissions, and trading/financing income across its financial services platforms. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Brokerage and wealth management: commission and fee income from executing...
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income statement strength (2025 revenue +128.88% and improved net margin ~21.7%) is offset by elevated balance-sheet risk (debt-to-equity ~6.33 and rising) and historically volatile cash flows despite positive OCF/FCF in 2024–2025.
Income Statement
72PositiveBalance Sheet
46NeutralCash Flow
55Neutral| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 7.25B | 6.21B | 2.17B | 3.22B | 2.32B | 3.97B |
| Gross Profit | 6.90B | 5.82B | 3.47B | 2.33B | 2.11B | 3.21B |
| EBITDA | 4.77B | 4.17B | 2.74B | 1.77B | 615.02M | 2.14B |
| Net Income | 1.47B | 1.35B | 347.78M | 201.26M | 80.38M | 1.09B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 217.02B | 153.50B | 130.17B | 107.54B | 94.46B | 106.29B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 114.10B | 65.76B | 80.91B | 59.27B | 40.02B | 28.13B |
| Total Debt | 151.19B | 100.44B | 89.43B | 69.73B | 58.53B | 60.12B |
| Total Liabilities | 200.72B | 137.53B | 115.15B | 92.57B | 79.52B | 90.85B |
| Stockholders Equity | 16.19B | 15.86B | 14.91B | 14.84B | 14.81B | 15.31B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -24.61B | 2.56B | 1.74B | -4.94B | -1.92B | 38.97M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -24.57B | 2.59B | 1.78B | -4.91B | 1.66B | 5.88B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -3.22B | -3.21B | -50.75M | -32.67M | -39.30M | -43.06M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 34.21B | 8.60B | -2.23B | 4.58B | 801.87M | -5.98B |
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1788, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.87, below the 50-day MA of 2.88, and above the 200-day MA of 2.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:1788.
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
HK:261174Outperform
HK:688668Neutral
HK:603065Neutral
HK:609960Neutral- HK:178859Neutral
HK:606654Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HK:2611 | 74Outperform | HKD 307.29B | 8.30 | 9.38% | 5.73% | 37.61% | -2.94% |
| HK:6886 | 68Neutral | HKD 170.74B | 7.55 | 9.61% | 4.54% | 123.03% | 20.90% |
| Sector * | 68Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% |
| HK:6030 | 65Neutral | HKD 417.31B | 9.88 | 12.77% | 3.97% | 101.98% | 67.41% |
| HK:6099 | 60Neutral | HKD 151.36B | 6.54 | 15.54% | 5.76% | 97.85% | 74.02% |
| HK:1788 | 59Neutral | HKD 27.06B | 18.44 | 9.18% | 2.46% | 43.49% | 109.36% |
| HK:6066 | 54Neutral | HKD 178.12B | 13.40 | 14.55% | 3.71% | 2.88% | 38.11% |
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HK:1788 | Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited | 2.85 | -0.85 | -23.00% | |
| HK:6030 | CITIC Securities Co Class H | 19.88 | -8.37 | -29.62% | |
| HK:6886 | Huatai Securities Co Class H | 14.72 | -3.65 | -19.86% | |
| HK:6099 | China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H | 12.30 | -2.86 | -18.88% | |
| HK:6066 | CSC Financial Co., Ltd. Class H | 10.29 | -2.40 | -18.89% | |
| HK:2611 | Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd. Class H | 13.02 | -1.48 | -10.23% |
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Corporate Events
Guotai Haitong Launches HK$3.00-Per-Share Offer to Privatise Guotai Junan International
Guotai Haitong Financial Holdings has put forward a pre-conditional proposal to privatise Guotai Junan International Holdings via a scheme of arrangement under Hong Kong company law. If completed, all scheme shares will be cancelled, replaced by new...
Guotai Junan International Sets August Board Meeting on Interim Results and Dividend
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited, a Hong Kong-incorporated financial services company listed under stock code 1788, operates through subsidiaries to provide securities and investment-related services to regional and international clients....
Guotai Junan International Halts Trading in Shares and Notes Pending Takeover Announcement
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited announced that trading in its shares and three series of U.S. dollar-denominated notes listed in Hong Kong has been halted from 9:00 a.m. on 23 July 2026. The suspension covers its 2028 fixed-rate notes, 20...
Guotai Junan International Secures Shareholder Backing for Dividends, Board and Capital Mandates
Guotai Junan International Holdings reported the poll results of its annual general meeting held on 22 May 2026, where all proposed ordinary resolutions received strong shareholder support. Shareholders approved the 2025 audited financial statements,...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026