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Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG)
NYSE:HIG

Hartford Financial (HIG) AI Stock Analysis

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Hartford Financial

(NYSE:HIG)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$143.00
▲(13.62%Upside)
Hartford Financial's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and a positive earnings call that highlights strategic growth and effective risk management. While technical indicators and valuation are moderate, they do not detract significantly from the company's robust financial health and strategic advancements.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
HIG reported better-than-expected results in Property & Casualty underlying results and Employee Benefits.
Reserve Management
HIG shares should trade up on the lack of reserve noise within Commercial Lines.
Shareholder Returns
Share repurchases of $400 million came in above expectations.
Negative Factors
Catastrophe Losses
Catastrophe losses came in higher than expected, with significant contributions from California fires.
Earnings in Group Benefits
Earnings in group benefits were worse than consensus, impacted by higher loss ratio in paid family and medical leave products and higher long-term disability incidence.
Investment Income
Investment income missed expectations due to weaker results in limited partnerships.

Hartford Financial (HIG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hartford Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. provides insurance and financial services to individual and business customers in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. Its Commercial Lines segment offers workers' compensation, property, automobile, liability, umbrella, bond, marine, livestock, and reinsurance; and customized insurance products and risk management services, including professional liability, bond, surety, and specialty casualty coverages through regional offices, branches, sales and policyholder service centers, independent retail agents and brokers, wholesale agents, and reinsurance brokers. The company's Personal Lines segment provides automobile, homeowners, and personal umbrella coverages through direct-to-consumer channel and independent agents. Its Property & Casualty Other Operations segment offers coverage for asbestos and environmental exposures. The company's Group Benefits segment provides group life, disability, and other group coverages to members of employer groups, associations, and affinity groups through direct insurance policies; reinsurance to other insurance companies; employer paid and voluntary product coverages; disability underwriting, administration, and claims processing to self-funded employer plans; and a single-company leave management solution. This segment distributes its group insurance products and services through brokers, consultants, third-party administrators, trade associations, and private exchanges. Its Hartford Funds segment offers investment products for retail and retirement accounts; exchange-traded products through broker-dealer organizations, independent financial advisers, defined contribution plans, financial consultants, bank trust groups, and registered investment advisers; and investment management and administrative services, such as product design, implementation, and oversight. The company was founded in 1810 and is headquartered in Hartford, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe Hartford generates revenue primarily through insurance premiums, investment income, and fees. The company's main revenue streams include premiums collected for property and casualty insurance policies, which cover areas like workers' compensation, auto, and home insurance. Additionally, The Hartford earns income from investment activities, where it manages and invests the premiums collected until claims are paid out. The Group Benefits segment contributes to revenue by providing life and disability insurance, as well as other employee benefits, to corporate clients. Hartford Funds generates revenue through asset management fees from the mutual funds it offers. These activities, combined with strategic partnerships and a focus on maintaining efficient operations and selective underwriting, contribute to The Hartford's financial performance.

Hartford Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.98%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong start to the fiscal year with significant growth in business insurance and global specialty segments, and notable successes in employee benefits and investment performance. However, challenges remain with high catastrophe losses and pressures in workers' compensation and personal auto lines.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start for Fiscal Year 2025
The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. reported a strong start to Q1 2025, sustaining momentum with top-line growth in business insurance of 10% and an underlying combined ratio of 88.4.
Record Performance in Global Specialty
Global Specialty achieved an underlying combined ratio of 84 and record first-quarter written premium of $1 billion, with 11% growth driven by strong renewal execution and pricing increases.
Employee Benefits Outperformance
Employee benefits achieved a core earnings margin of 7.6%, exceeding the prior year by 1.5 points, driven by improvements in group life and disability.
Investment Portfolio Success
The investment portfolio performed well with net investment income of $656 million and a total annualized portfolio yield of 4.4% before tax.
Negative Updates
Impact of Catastrophe Losses
PNC current accident year catastrophe losses totaled $467 million before tax, including $325 million related to the January California wildfires, significantly impacting first-quarter results.
Pressure in Workers' Compensation
The workers' compensation segment is experiencing competitive pressure with pricing slightly better than expected but still negative, leading to a reduction in the book.
Challenges in Personal Auto
Personal insurance reported core earnings of only $6 million with an underlying combined ratio of 89.7, despite an improvement of 8.1 points in the underlying loss ratio.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. reported strong financial performance despite facing significant challenges such as the most destructive wildfires in U.S. history. Key metrics from the quarter included a 10% top-line growth in business insurance with an underlying combined ratio of 88.4 and a 6.4-point improvement in personal insurance’s underlying combined ratio to 89.7, notably with over eight points improvement in auto. The employee benefits segment achieved a core earnings margin of 7.6%, surpassing the long-term target range of 6% to 7%. The company reported core earnings of $639 million, or $2.2 per diluted share, yielding a trailing twelve-month core earnings ROE of 16.2%. Catastrophe losses totaled $467 million before tax, primarily due to the January California wildfires, yet were effectively managed within the company’s reinsurance framework. The Hartford also noted significant growth in their small business and global specialty segments, with the latter achieving over $1 billion in quarterly written premium and maintaining underlying margins in the mid-80s. The company continues to focus on enhancing digital capabilities and leveraging AI to drive future growth, with investments aimed at improving customer experience and expanding product offerings.

Hartford Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hartford Financial exhibits strong financial performance with consistent revenue and profit growth. Efficient cost management is evident from a high gross profit margin of 75.76% TTM, and a solid net profit margin of 11.14% TTM. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26 TTM. Cash flow is robust with a high free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.90 TTM.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The income statement shows strong performance with a consistent revenue growth over the years, particularly a 9.30% increase in 2024 and a 6.20% increase in TTM. The gross profit margin stands at 75.76% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. Net profit margin is solid at 11.14% TTM, although slightly decreased from the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting robust core operations despite minor fluctuations.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with an equity ratio of 20.47% TTM, showing reliance on equity financing. The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate at 0.26 TTM, indicating manageable leverage within the industry norms. Return on Equity is strong at 17.74% TTM, suggesting efficient use of equity to generate profits. However, consistent monitoring of liabilities is advised.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow statements reveal solid cash generation capabilities with a stable operating cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 1.90 TTM, indicating strong free cash flow generation relative to net income. While free cash flow growth rate shows a slight decrease, the overall cash flow position remains healthy and supports future growth initiatives.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
26.77B26.38B24.53B22.36B22.39B20.52B
Gross Profit
20.27B26.38B24.53B17.53B17.61B16.04B
EBIT
3.83B4.05B3.31B3.02B2.81B1.99B
EBITDA
3.88B4.05B3.80B3.10B3.81B2.92B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.99B3.11B2.50B1.82B2.37B1.74B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
3.50B4.25B126.00M40.32B46.75B48.47B
Total Assets
82.31B80.92B76.78B73.02B76.58B74.11B
Total Debt
4.37B4.37B4.36B4.36B4.94B4.35B
Net Debt
4.23B4.18B4.24B4.13B4.74B4.20B
Total Liabilities
65.46B64.47B54.77B59.39B4.94B4.35B
Stockholders Equity
16.84B16.45B15.33B13.63B17.84B18.56B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
5.66B5.76B4.00B3.83B3.96B3.76B
Operating Cash Flow
5.80B5.91B4.22B4.01B4.09B3.87B
Investing Cash Flow
-3.73B-3.77B-2.43B-1.28B-2.47B-2.07B
Financing Cash Flow
-2.15B-2.08B-1.95B-2.71B-1.58B-1.78B

Hartford Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price125.86
Price Trends
50DMA
123.65
Positive
100DMA
119.70
Positive
200DMA
116.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Positive
RSI
47.61
Neutral
STOCH
30.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HIG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 125.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 128.24, above the 50-day MA of 123.65, and above the 200-day MA of 116.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HIG.

Hartford Financial Risk Analysis

Hartford Financial disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hartford Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hartford Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
HIHIG
79
Outperform
$35.58B12.4818.49%1.66%7.55%14.16%
PFPFG
73
Outperform
$17.20B16.459.70%4.00%5.84%-10.64%
73
Outperform
$34.10B9.3318.42%25.29%-23.19%
EQEQH
71
Outperform
$15.68B14.0356.67%2.09%12.41%14.76%
AEAEG
70
Neutral
$10.82B15.299.36%5.10%-5.03%
AIAIG
68
Neutral
$48.76B18.906.13%2.13%-44.30%-33.09%
64
Neutral
$12.87B9.767.85%78.04%12.07%-7.94%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HIG
Hartford Financial
125.86
26.30
26.42%
AEG
Aegon
7.02
1.02
17.00%
AIG
American International Group
85.44
13.00
17.95%
ACGL
Arch Capital Group
91.14
-3.20
-3.39%
PFG
Principal Financial
76.73
1.63
2.17%
EQH
Equitable Holdings
53.01
13.82
35.26%

Hartford Financial Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hartford Financial Appoints Thomas Bartlett to Board
Positive
Jun 10, 2025

On June 10, 2025, The Hartford announced the appointment of Thomas Bartlett to its board of directors, effective July 1, 2025. Bartlett, a former CEO of American Tower Corp. and a veteran of Verizon Communications, brings extensive C-suite experience and financial acumen to the board. His appointment is expected to enhance the company’s strategic direction and shareholder growth through innovation and customer focus.

The most recent analyst rating on (HIG) stock is a Hold with a $105.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hartford Financial stock, see the HIG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Hartford Financial Confirms Board and Auditor for 2025
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Hartford Financial held its annual meeting of shareholders where several key decisions were made. The election of the Board of Directors was confirmed, with nominees elected to serve until the 2026 meeting. Additionally, the appointment of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent auditor for 2025 was ratified, and the compensation of named executive officers was approved. The 2025 Long Term Incentive Stock Plan was also approved, while a proposal for special meeting rights for shareholders at 10% was not passed.

The most recent analyst rating on (HIG) stock is a Hold with a $105.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hartford Financial stock, see the HIG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hartford Financial Announces Leadership Restructuring in 2025
Neutral
Mar 31, 2025

On March 27, 2025, Deepa Soni resigned as executive vice president and chief information and operations officer of The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc., transitioning to an advisory role to support the transition. The company announced a new organizational structure for its Technology and Operations functions, appointing Shekar Pannala as chief information officer and Jeffery Hawkins as chief data, AI, and operations officer, both reporting directly to the CEO. This restructuring aims to enhance The Hartford’s technological capabilities and competitive advantages in the industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.