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Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. (HHH)
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Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH) AI Stock Analysis

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HHH

Howard Hughes Holdings

(NYSE:HHH)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$86.00
▲(6.75% Upside)
Howard Hughes Holdings receives a solid overall score driven by strong earnings call performance and reasonable valuation. Financial performance is stable but impacted by high leverage and declining revenue growth. Technical indicators suggest a cautious outlook with potential bearish trends.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Growth
The significant growth in free cash flow indicates robust cash generation capabilities, enhancing the company's ability to invest in future projects and maintain financial stability.
Record Land Sales
Record land sales and high prices per acre reflect strong demand and effective pricing strategies, supporting long-term revenue growth and profitability.
Strategic Initiatives
The strategic acquisition of an insurance operation aims to grow intrinsic value per share, diversifying revenue streams and leveraging investment operations for sustained growth.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage poses a risk to financial flexibility and could strain cash flows, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Decline in Revenue Growth
A decline in revenue growth suggests challenges in maintaining market position and expanding sales, which could affect long-term profitability and competitiveness.
Retail Portfolio NOI Decline
The decline in retail portfolio NOI indicates potential issues in the retail segment, which may affect overall profitability and necessitate strategic adjustments.

Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Howard Hughes Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHoward Hughes Holdings (HHH) is a diversified real estate development and management company based in the United States. It operates primarily in the residential, commercial, and mixed-use sectors, focusing on creating master-planned communities, retail properties, and office spaces. The company's portfolio includes notable projects such as the Woodlands in Texas and the Seaport District in New York City, which exemplify its commitment to innovative and sustainable urban development.
How the Company Makes MoneyHoward Hughes Holdings generates revenue through a variety of streams related to its real estate operations. Key revenue sources include the sale of residential properties, leasing of commercial and retail spaces, and management fees from its developments. The company also benefits from partnerships with local governments and other developers, which can facilitate access to land and resources. Additionally, HHH engages in strategic joint ventures to enhance its project financing and expand its market reach, thereby contributing to its overall earnings.

Howard Hughes Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong quarter for Howard Hughes Holdings with record land sales and increased operating cash flow guidance. Despite some challenges in new home sales and retail NOI, the strategic direction, including the planned insurance acquisition, indicates a positive outlook for future growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Land Sales and Prices
The company achieved a new record high average price per acre of $1.35 million, a 29% increase over last year, with Summerlin leading with a record average price per acre of $1.6 million.
Strong Operating Asset Performance
Operating assets set a new record quarterly NOI with a 5% year-over-year increase, driven by a 6% increase in office NOI and a 19% increase in multifamily NOI.
Raising Full Year Guidance
Full year guidance for adjusted operating cash flow increased to a range between $385 million and $435 million, with a midpoint increase of $60 million compared to the original guidance.
Reduced Debt Maturities
Successfully reduced near-term debt maturities to $282 million for 2025 and extended the construction loan on Marlow multifamily properties to April 2027.
Strategic Insurance Acquisition Plans
Plans to acquire a diversified insurance operation, aiming to grow intrinsic value per share at a high rate over time, leveraging investment operations similar to Berkshire Hathaway.
Negative Updates
Decline in New Home Sales
A decline in new home sales with a total of 487 homes sold in the second quarter due to reduced inventory and regulatory delays.
Retail Portfolio NOI Decline
Retail portfolio NOI decreased by 7% year-over-year, primarily due to nonrecurring collections on tenant reserves at Ward Village in the prior year.
Company Guidance
During the Howard Hughes Holdings Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided robust guidance updates, showcasing strong financial and operational metrics. They reported an adjusted operating cash flow of $91 million or $1.64 per diluted share for the quarter. Full-year guidance for adjusted operating cash flow was increased to a range between $385 million and $435 million, with a midpoint of $410 million, reflecting a $60 million increase from the original guidance. The Master Planned Communities (MPC) segment delivered exceptional earnings before taxes (EBT) of $102 million, driven by record land sales, including a new high average price per acre of $1.35 million. The Operating Asset segment recorded a 5% year-over-year growth in net operating income (NOI), reaching $69 million. The company also maintained its cash G&A and condo sales guidance, projecting condo revenues of approximately $375 million for the year. With a strong balance sheet, including $1.4 billion of cash and $515 million in undrawn credit, Howard Hughes Holdings is well-positioned to further capitalize on its diversified strategic initiatives.

Howard Hughes Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Howard Hughes Holdings exhibits strong financial performance with notable revenue growth and improved profitability metrics. The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage, but increasing debt reliance could be a concern. Cash flow generation is solid, reinforcing the company's liquidity and operational efficiency.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company's revenue has shown a strong growth trajectory, with a significant increase observed in the latest TTM compared to previous years. Gross profit margin and net profit margin have improved, indicating better cost management. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting solid operational efficiency. However, past volatility in net income highlights some historical instability.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Howard Hughes Holdings maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, which indicates a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on Equity (ROE) has improved, showing better profitability relative to equity. However, the equity ratio has been decreasing over the years, suggesting increasing reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks in downturns.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a robust operating cash flow to net income ratio, highlighting efficient cash generation from operations. Free cash flow growth is promising, suggesting improved liquidity. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating effective cash management. However, historically fluctuating cash flows may signal potential volatility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.77B1.75B1.02B1.61B1.43B699.49M
Gross Profit703.72M731.95M433.97M633.62M500.01M210.15M
EBITDA650.91M710.44M-342.20M539.82M399.26M358.20M
Net Income227.48M197.70M-551.77M184.53M56.10M-26.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.30B9.21B9.58B9.60B9.58B9.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.44B596.08M631.55M626.65M843.21M1.24B
Total Debt5.23B5.13B5.35B4.80B4.66B4.36B
Total Liabilities6.59B6.37B6.52B6.00B5.85B5.43B
Stockholders Equity3.64B2.78B2.99B3.54B3.71B3.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow526.71M394.45M-265.82M323.25M-285.77M-74.48M
Operating Cash Flow538.30M396.59M-258.48M325.25M-283.96M-72.87M
Investing Cash Flow-255.81M-307.25M-336.14M-220.69M9.40M-444.78M
Financing Cash Flow610.74M-148.25M548.75M-222.26M156.14M1.12B

Howard Hughes Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price80.56
Price Trends
50DMA
80.31
Negative
100DMA
75.26
Positive
200DMA
73.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.51
Positive
RSI
42.04
Neutral
STOCH
12.16
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HHH, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 80.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 79.97, above the 50-day MA of 80.31, and above the 200-day MA of 73.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.16 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HHH.

Howard Hughes Holdings Risk Analysis

Howard Hughes Holdings disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Howard Hughes Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Howard Hughes Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$3.40B32.6914.16%1.14%26.89%53.54%
74
Outperform
$4.31B23.656.66%6.59%6.89%240.70%
69
Neutral
$4.64B17.057.80%62.02%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
60
Neutral
$4.04B48.726.89%7.43%-4.98%-65.45%
52
Neutral
$4.67B-18.42%4.02%8.06%74.33%
51
Neutral
$3.81B0.61%6.06%8.60%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HHH
Howard Hughes Holdings
78.34
-5.48
-6.54%
MAC
Macerich
17.67
-0.92
-4.95%
SBRA
Sabra Healthcare REIT
18.20
0.15
0.83%
SLG
SL Green Realty
50.85
-26.23
-34.03%
JOE
St Joe Company
59.49
6.93
13.18%
NSA
National Storage Affiliates
30.70
-9.62
-23.86%

Howard Hughes Holdings Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Howard Hughes Holdings Approves 2025 Equity Incentive Plan
Neutral
Oct 7, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where the 2025 Equity Incentive Plan was approved by the stockholders, following the Board’s prior approval in August. Additionally, the stockholders elected the Board of Directors and voted on several proposals, including the ratification of KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for fiscal 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (HHH) stock is a Buy with a $94.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Howard Hughes Holdings stock, see the HHH Stock Forecast page.

Howard Hughes Holdings: Strong Land Sales and Strategic Growth
Aug 12, 2025

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. recently held its earnings call, showcasing a robust performance in land sales and operating assets, despite some challenges in new home sales and retail NOI. The sentiment was generally optimistic, bolstered by strategic investments and a shift towards a diversified holding strategy.

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. Reports Q2 2025 Earnings
Aug 8, 2025

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. is a diversified real estate company primarily engaged in the development and management of master planned communities and mixed-use properties across the United States. The company is known for its large-scale projects and strategic investments in real estate ventures.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Howard Hughes Holdings Secures Major Investment from Pershing Square
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. reported its second-quarter 2025 results, highlighting strong demand and record pricing for its master planned community land, alongside solid performance in operating assets. The company announced a significant investment from Pershing Square, which purchased $900 million of newly issued HHH stock, positioning Howard Hughes to transform into a diversified holding company. Despite a net loss from continuing operations, the company raised its full-year guidance for adjusted operating cash flow and expects record earnings before taxes from its master planned communities. The strategic developments at Ward Village and other areas are anticipated to drive future growth, supported by strong leasing rates and a robust pipeline of condo tower completions.

The most recent analyst rating on (HHH) stock is a Hold with a $76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Howard Hughes Holdings stock, see the HHH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025