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Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH)
NYSE:HHH

Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH) AI Stock Analysis

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Howard Hughes Holdings

(NYSE:HHH)

71Outperform
Howard Hughes Holdings demonstrates strong financial recovery and strategic growth initiatives, supported by a significant investment from Pershing Square. Despite these strengths, high debt levels and mixed technical indicators temper the overall score. Continued focus on operational efficiency and liquidity management will be crucial for maintaining momentum.
Positive Factors
Market Opportunities
HHH is expected to benefit from limited housing supply and strong migration trends to the Sunbelt, offering continued growth opportunities.
Sales Performance
Howard Hughes sold 70 residential acres at a higher price per acre, showing strong land sales performance.
Strategic Investments
Pershing Square's revised offer injects more cash into HHH, providing the company with $900M to use for future acquisitions.
Negative Factors
Financial Risks
The increase in leverage to 58.0% net debt/TEV as part of the transaction may pose financial risks.
Market Uncertainty
The unclear investment strategy for the new entity creates uncertainty about its future valuation.
Timing Concerns
The timing of the announcement is questioned due to HHH having minimal time to establish itself post-spinoff of Seaport Entertainment, adding uncertainty.

Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Howard Hughes Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHoward Hughes Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate development company in the United States. It operates in four segments: Operating Assets; Master Planned Communities (MPCs); Seaport; and Strategic Developments. The Operating Assets segment consists of developed or acquired retail, office, and multi-family properties along with other retail investments. Its MPCs segment develops, sells, and leases residential and commercial land designated for long-term community development projects in and around Las Vegas, Nevada; Houston, Texas; and Phoenix, Arizona. The Seaport segment is involved in the landlord operations, managed businesses, and events and sponsorships services of its restaurant, retail, and entertain properties in Pier 17, New York City; Historic Area/Uplands; and Tin Building, as well as in 250 Water Street and in the Jean-Georges restaurants. The Strategic Development segment develops and redevelops residential condominiums and commercial properties. It serves homebuilders. Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyHoward Hughes Holdings makes money through a multi-faceted revenue model primarily centered around real estate development and management. The company generates revenue from the sale of residential properties, leases of commercial and retail spaces, and management fees from its portfolio of properties. Additionally, HHH earns income through strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other developers and investors, leveraging its expertise in large-scale, master-planned community projects. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by market demand for real estate in its target areas and its ability to effectively manage and enhance property values over time.

Howard Hughes Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Howard Hughes Holdings has shown a strong recovery in 2024 with significant revenue growth and a return to profitability. While the high debt levels present a risk, the improvement in cash flow and equity stability are positive indicators. Continued focus on operational efficiency and debt management will be crucial for sustaining this positive trajectory.
Income Statement
Howard Hughes Holdings has shown a remarkable increase in revenue from $1.02 billion in 2023 to $1.75 billion in 2024, indicating strong growth. Gross profit margins have improved significantly, and the transition from a net loss in 2023 to a net income of $197.7 million in 2024 demonstrates a turnaround. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins are still lower compared to earlier years, reflecting ongoing challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
The company has a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio due to significant debt levels, which could pose risks in a rising interest rate environment. However, the equity ratio remains stable, indicating a reasonable level of equity funding. Return on equity has improved as the company returned to profitability, enhancing shareholder value.
Cash Flow
Howard Hughes Holdings has improved its free cash flow significantly from negative figures in 2023 to a healthy $447.8 million in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient cash generation relative to profit. This turnaround in cash flow provides a solid foundation for future investments and debt reduction.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.75B1.02B1.61B1.43B699.49M
Gross Profit
731.95M433.97M633.62M500.01M201.98M
EBIT
559.92M-528.21M369.13M241.87M-119.56M
EBITDA
710.44M-342.20M556.39M399.26M358.20M
Net Income Common Stockholders
197.70M-551.77M184.53M56.10M-26.15M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
596.08M631.55M626.65M843.21M1.01B
Total Assets
9.21B9.58B9.60B9.58B9.14B
Total Debt
5.13B5.35B4.80B4.66B4.36B
Net Debt
4.54B4.72B4.17B3.82B3.34B
Total Liabilities
6.37B6.52B6.00B5.85B5.43B
Stockholders Equity
2.78B2.99B3.54B3.71B3.71B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
447.75M-265.82M323.25M-285.77M-74.48M
Operating Cash Flow
447.75M-258.48M325.25M-283.96M-72.87M
Investing Cash Flow
-300.79M-336.14M-220.69M101.46M-428.55M
Financing Cash Flow
-150.35M548.75M-222.26M156.14M1.12B

Howard Hughes Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price71.53
Price Trends
50DMA
70.90
Positive
100DMA
73.56
Negative
200DMA
74.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Negative
RSI
59.75
Neutral
STOCH
74.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HHH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 71.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.37, above the 50-day MA of 70.90, and below the 200-day MA of 74.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HHH.

Howard Hughes Holdings Risk Analysis

Howard Hughes Holdings disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Howard Hughes Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Howard Hughes Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NHNHI
79
Outperform
$3.54B24.2710.56%4.70%7.44%4.23%
EPEPR
78
Outperform
$3.80B31.126.25%6.64%0.69%-19.22%
HHHHH
71
Outperform
$3.46B17.3510.15%82.64%
RYRYN
64
Neutral
$3.57B9.9718.78%4.92%12.61%111.99%
PCPCH
62
Neutral
$2.92B63.802.31%4.72%10.86%6.72%
60
Neutral
$2.80B11.090.20%8508.36%6.13%-16.84%
JOJOE
59
Neutral
$2.59B33.3510.96%1.21%1.25%-4.31%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HHH
Howard Hughes Holdings
71.53
8.34
13.20%
NHI
National Health Investors
76.77
14.09
22.48%
PCH
PotlatchDeltic
38.20
-4.06
-9.61%
RYN
Rayonier
23.44
-3.80
-13.95%
JOE
St Joe Company
44.45
-12.91
-22.51%
EPR
EPR Properties
52.91
13.66
34.80%

Howard Hughes Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.12%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook, with strong performance in Master Planned Communities and strategic developments, despite challenges in the retail segment and a year-over-year decline in home sales. The company's focus on increasing liquidity and extending debt maturities was noted as a strategic move to ensure financial stability.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Operating Income
Howard Hughes reported a new quarterly record for operating assets with $72 million in NOI, a 9% year-over-year improvement.
Strong Master Planned Communities Performance
MPC EBT of $63 million was reported, marking a 161% year-over-year increase, driven by land sales growth and significant superpad sales in Summerlin.
Condo Pre-sales Success
Condo pre-sales were robust with 27 units contracted, representing $51 million in future revenue. The 11th condo project in Ward Village reached 64% pre-sold.
Increased Liquidity and Extended Maturities
Closed on important financings, including a $200 million upsize and extension to a non-consolidated credit facility, increasing liquidity.
Positive Strategic Developments
The company has plans for an additional 2.5 to 3.5 million square feet of residential entitlements in Ward Village, indicating potential for future growth.
Negative Updates
Decline in Home Sales Year-over-Year
New home sales totaled 543 units, a decline compared to the previous year's high first-quarter results, although there was a sequential improvement.
Retail Portfolio NOI Decrease
Retail portfolio NOI saw a 2% year-over-year decrease, primarily due to tenant reserves in Ward Village.
Significant Debt Maturities
Howard Hughes has $425 million of debt maturing in 2025, though efforts are underway to refinance these amounts.
Company Guidance
During the Howard Hughes Management's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, guidance was provided that highlighted various key metrics and future expectations. The company reported an adjusted operating cash flow of $63 million, or $1.27 per diluted share, and expects a full-year EBT guidance of $375 million driven by robust land sales. The operating assets segment delivered a record $72 million of NOI, marking a 9% year-over-year growth. The company also reported a condo pipeline representing $2.7 billion of future revenue between 2025 and 2028. In terms of financial health, Howard Hughes closed several financings, increasing liquidity and extending maturities, ending the quarter with $494 million in cash and $317 million in available lender commitments, totaling over $800 million in liquidity. The company anticipates full-year NOI for operating assets to range between $257 million and $267 million and projects adjusted operating cash flow to range between $325 million and $375 million in 2025, with a midpoint of approximately $350 million or $7 per share.

Howard Hughes Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Howard Hughes Holdings Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results
Positive
May 7, 2025

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with net income from continuing operations reaching $0.21 per diluted share, a significant improvement from the previous year’s loss. The company achieved a record quarterly net operating income of $72 million, driven by robust performance in office and multifamily segments, and saw a 161% increase in MPC earnings before taxes due to substantial land sales. Additionally, a $900 million investment by Pershing Square is set to transform Howard Hughes into a diversified holding company, enhancing its growth prospects and liquidity.

Spark’s Take on HHH Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, HHH is a Outperform.

Howard Hughes Holdings shows strong financial recovery and a positive outlook based on earnings guidance and strategic corporate developments. Despite these strengths, challenges such as high debt levels and mixed technical indicators temper the overall score. The company’s ongoing focus on operational efficiency and strategic growth initiatives, supported by the recent Pershing Square investment, are key factors that contribute to its favorable stock evaluation.

To see Spark’s full report on HHH stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Howard Hughes Holdings Announces Strategic Shift with Pershing Square
Positive
May 6, 2025

On May 5, 2025, Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. announced a strategic shift to become a diversified holding company, following a significant investment from Pershing Square Holdco, L.P. Pershing Square purchased 9 million shares of Howard Hughes for $900 million, representing a 48% premium over the previous closing price, and now owns 46.9% of the company. This investment is expected to enhance Howard Hughes’ financial flexibility and credit profile, allowing it to acquire controlling interests in high-quality public and private companies. Bill Ackman, CEO of Pershing Square, has been appointed Executive Chairman of Howard Hughes, with Ryan Israel assuming the role of Chief Investment Officer. The transaction, approved by Howard Hughes’ Special Committee, is anticipated to create long-term value for stakeholders by leveraging Pershing Square’s expertise and resources.

Spark’s Take on HHH Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, HHH is a Neutral.

Howard Hughes Holdings shows strong financial recovery and positive future guidance, indicating a solid performance outlook. However, technical indicators are bearish, signaling potential near-term challenges in stock price movement. The valuation is reasonable, but high debt levels pose risks. Overall, the stock score reflects strengths in financial recovery and earnings guidance but is tempered by technical analysis and debt concerns.

To see Spark’s full report on HHH stock, click here.

Business Operations and Strategy
Howard Hughes Extends Standstill Agreement with Pershing Square
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. announced an extension of its standstill agreement with Pershing Square Capital Management L.P. until May 30, 2025. The company has engaged Morgan Stanley as a financial advisor and Hogan Lovells US LLP and Richards, Layton & Finger, P.A. as legal counsel to assist in the ongoing discussions, though no specific outcomes are assured.

Spark’s Take on HHH Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, HHH is a Neutral.

Howard Hughes Holdings shows strong financial recovery and positive future guidance, indicating a solid performance outlook. However, technical indicators are bearish, signaling potential near-term challenges in stock price movement. The valuation is reasonable, but high debt levels pose risks. Overall, the stock score reflects strengths in financial recovery and earnings guidance but is tempered by technical analysis and debt concerns.

To see Spark’s full report on HHH stock, click here.

Business Operations and Strategy
Howard Hughes Extends Standstill Agreement with Pershing Square
Neutral
Apr 14, 2025

On April 14, 2025, Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. announced the extension of its standstill agreement with Pershing Square Capital Management L.P. until April 30, 2025. The company has engaged Morgan Stanley as a financial advisor and Hogan Lovells US LLP and Richards, Layton & Finger, P.A. as legal counsel to the Special Committee of the Board of Directors. This extension indicates ongoing negotiations, but there is no assurance of any particular outcome, impacting the company’s strategic positioning and stakeholder interests.

Spark’s Take on HHH Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, HHH is a Outperform.

Howard Hughes Holdings receives a solid score due to its financial recovery, strong earnings call guidance, and stable valuation. Key strengths include revenue growth and cash flow improvement, while high debt levels and operational challenges pose risks. Neutral technical indicators and the absence of a dividend yield are secondary factors.

To see Spark’s full report on HHH stock, click here.

Business Operations and Strategy
Howard Hughes Extends Standstill Agreement with Pershing Square
Neutral
Apr 7, 2025

On April 7, 2025, Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. announced an extension of its standstill agreement with Pershing Square Capital Management L.P. until April 15, 2025. The company has engaged Morgan Stanley as a financial advisor and Hogan Lovells US LLP and Richards, Layton & Finger, P.A. as legal counsel for the Special Committee of the Board of Directors. The impact of this extension on the company’s operations and industry positioning remains uncertain, as Howard Hughes Holdings has not committed to any specific outcomes from discussions with Pershing Square.

Spark’s Take on HHH Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, HHH is a Outperform.

Howard Hughes Holdings receives a solid score due to its financial recovery, strong earnings call guidance, and stable valuation. Key strengths include revenue growth and cash flow improvement, while high debt levels and operational challenges pose risks. Neutral technical indicators and the absence of a dividend yield are secondary factors.

To see Spark’s full report on HHH stock, click here.

Executive/Board Changes
Howard Hughes Holdings Announces Leadership Changes
Neutral
Apr 4, 2025

On April 1, 2025, Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. announced amendments to the employment agreements of its executive officers, including David R. O’Reilly, Carlos Olea, and Joseph Valane. These amendments revise the definition of ‘Good Reason,’ introduce the term ‘Transaction,’ and extend the terms of O’Reilly’s and Olea’s agreements to December 31, 2028. Additionally, O’Reilly’s annual target Long-Term Incentive Plan award is increased to $4.5 million. On April 2, 2025, the company and its President, L. Jay Cross, agreed not to renew his employment agreement upon its expiration on December 1, 2025, marking a significant leadership change.

Business Operations and Strategy
Howard Hughes Extends Standstill Agreement with Pershing Square
Neutral
Mar 12, 2025

On March 12, 2025, Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. announced an extension of its standstill agreement with Pershing Square Capital Management L.P., now effective until April 7, 2025. The company has not guaranteed any specific outcomes from these discussions and will provide further updates only if necessary. Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC is advising the Special Committee of the Board of Directors, with Hogan Lovells US LLP and Richards, Layton & Finger, P.A. serving as legal counsel.

Business Operations and Strategy
Howard Hughes Rejects Pershing Square’s Proposal
Neutral
Mar 3, 2025

On March 3, 2025, Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. announced that its Special Committee has rejected a proposal from Pershing Square Capital Management L.P. received on February 13, 2025, deeming it unacceptable in its current form. The company has entered into a standstill agreement with Pershing Square to explore potential alternatives, which will last until March 13, 2025, unless extended. The outcome of these discussions is uncertain, and the company has stated it will not provide further comments unless necessary. Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC is advising the Special Committee, with legal counsel from Hogan Lovells US LLP and Richards, Layton & Finger, P.A.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Howard Hughes Holdings Reports Record 2024 Financial Results
Positive
Feb 26, 2025

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. reported record financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, with significant increases in net income and earnings before taxes across its segments. The company achieved record sales in its Master Planned Community segment and strong leasing performance in its Operating Assets segment, while also completing the spinoff of Seaport Entertainment Group to focus more on real estate operations. Looking ahead, the company anticipates continued growth in 2025, driven by strong homebuilder demand and strategic developments, including potential new residential entitlements in Ward Village, Hawai’i.

M&A Transactions
Howard Hughes Receives Revised Acquisition Proposal
Neutral
Feb 19, 2025

On February 18, 2025, Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. confirmed the receipt of a revised unsolicited acquisition proposal from Pershing Square Capital Management L.P. The proposal, which replaces an initial proposal submitted on January 13, 2025, was discussed in a meeting on February 13, 2025, between Pershing Square and a Special Committee formed by the Howard Hughes Board of Directors. The Special Committee has not yet engaged in negotiations or made any determinations regarding the proposal, and no action is required from stockholders at this time. The proposal is contingent upon a definitive agreement and approvals from the Special Committee and the HHH Board of Directors.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.