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D-Market (HEPS) AI Stock Analysis

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HEPS

D-Market

(NASDAQ:HEPS)

Select Model
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:$2.50â–¼(-9.42% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/19/26

The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance: persistent net losses, negative equity in TTM, and a return to negative free cash flow. Technicals also lean bearish with the stock trading below major moving averages and MACD negative. Valuation is difficult to frame positively due to the negative P/E and lack of dividend yield data.

Positive Factors
Revenue Scale and Gross MarginRevenue expansion and a stable gross margin indicate that Hepsiburada continues to operate at meaningful scale while retaining a consistent spread on sales. This supports ongoing investment in its marketplace, retail and service ecosystem as customer activity develops.
Negative Factors
Persistent Net LossesThe company is not converting its relatively stable gross margin into operating or net profitability. Persistent losses reduce internally generated capital, limit financial flexibility, and make durable earnings improvement dependent on better cost discipline or stronger operating leverage.

D-Market (HEPS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%HEPS+20.00%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$985.94M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
307.97K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-5.8
Beta (1Y)
0.44
Revenue Growth
15.26%
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
3,611
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Specialty Retail

D-Market Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

D-Market Elektronik Hizmetler ve Ticaret A.S., founded in 2000 and headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey, is a prominent enterprise focused on managing a diverse portfolio of e-commerce platforms throughout Turkey. The company's flagship online retail de...

How the Company Makes Money

D-Market’in gelir modeli ağırlıklı olarak e-ticaret ekosisteminden alınan komisyon ve hizmet gelirleri ile doğrudan ürün satışlarından oluşur. (1) Pazaryeri gelirleri: Hepsiburada, platformunda satış yapan üçüncü taraf satıcılardan genellikle işlem b...

D-Market Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025(Q4-2024)|% Change Since:7.81%|Next Earnings Date:May 08, 2025
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

Hepsiburada showed strong growth in GMV and customer base, with successful expansion of strategic programs like Hepsiburada Premium and HepsiJet. However, the company faced significant challenges from macroeconomic pressures and increased operating expenses. Despite these challenges, the overall financial performance, particularly in revenue growth areas, indicates a balanced outlook.

Positive Updates

GMV Growth
Hepsiburada achieved a real GMV growth of 12.1% in 2024, with an unadjusted inflation basis growth of 74% year-on-year.

Negative Updates

Macroeconomic Headwinds and Boycotts
The start of 2025 was challenging with macroeconomic pressures on consumer purchasing power and boycotts against shopping.

Company Guidance

During the call, Hepsiburada provided guidance on several key metrics for the fiscal year 2024. The company achieved a real GMV growth of 12.1% and a growth contribution margin of 11.3%, marking a 2.1 percentage point improvement year-on-year. Their EBITDA as a percentage of GMV expanded to 1.1%, a 0.7 percentage point increase from the previous year. On an unadjusted inflation basis, GMV grew by 74% year-on-year, and EBITDA as a percentage of GMV reached 2.1%. The company's active customer base grew by 235,000 to 12.2 million, with order frequency over the last 12 months increasing by 14% to 10.8. Hepsiburada's delivery service, HepsiJet, delivered 72% of total parcels, while the lending solutions reached a total volume of 16.2 billion lira, a 2.6 times increase from 2023. Furthermore, HepsiJet increased its off-platform volume by 8% to 9% year-on-year, with its off-platform share rising to 34.6% of its total volume.

D-Market Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue has grown to 96.2B TTM (+6.7%) with steady ~36% gross margin, but profitability remains weak (TTM EBIT margin ~-1.6%, net margin ~-7.7%). Balance sheet risk is elevated with stockholders’ equity turning negative in TTM, and free cash flow flipped to negative (~-0.85B TTM) despite positive operating cash flow (~1.4B).

Income Statement

32Negative

Balance Sheet

24Negative

Cash Flow

41Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Mar 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue96.20B84.65B57.05B35.56B38.23B24.79B
Gross Profit34.91B30.67B21.39B7.25B8.31B5.35B
EBITDA2.01B1.64B3.29B3.67B-4.89B-2.11B
Net Income-7.40B-5.70B-1.60B75.53M-6.92B-3.33B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets33.10B36.95B26.14B25.38B16.59B13.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.04B13.32B9.13B10.43B8.71B8.17B
Total Debt2.37B2.43B2.23B668.00M471.81M664.36M
Total Liabilities33.68B34.93B22.82B20.61B13.22B8.57B
Stockholders Equity-582.28M2.01B3.32B4.77B3.37B4.81B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-768.57M2.19B-42.92M50.66M-76.55M-54.58M
Operating Cash Flow1.43B4.81B18.25M99.09M-25.60M-48.58M
Investing Cash Flow-1.33B-1.52B-25.38M-92.01M54.22M-122.76M
Financing Cash Flow-306.69M1.71B29.23M-6.63M-25.58M427.31M

D-Market Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price2.76

Price Trends

50DMA2.66Positive
100DMA2.75Positive
200DMA2.74Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.03Positive
RSI55.02Neutral
STOCH68.97Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HEPS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.76, above the 50-day MA of 2.66, and above the 200-day MA of 2.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HEPS.

D-Market Risk Analysis

D-Market disclosed 77 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. D-Market reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

D-Market Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

HEPS against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SESE74Outperform$46.54B35.5713.71%―44.12%19.70%
EBAYEBAY71Outperform$54.23B26.2746.11%0.99%15.33%-0.34%
MELIMELI71Outperform$75.55B40.5625.15%―47.07%-9.00%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
CPNGCPNG51Neutral$29.27B-20.92-37.92%―7.41%-450.60%
JMIAJMIA45Neutral$687.61M-6.10-304.73%―27.37%18.19%
HEPSHEPS44Neutral$985.94M-5.75-386.05%―15.26%―

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%50%HEPSEBAYMELISEJMIACPNGDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
HEPS and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HEPSD-Market Electronic Services & Trading2.760.4418.97%
EBAYEbay Inc122.6839.3147.16%
MELIMercadolibre, Inc.1512.02-519.03-25.55%
SESea Ltd73.99-66.05-47.17%
JMIAJumia Technologies5.72-4.35-43.20%
CPNGCoupang, Inc. Class A15.99-12.54-43.95%

D-Market Corporate Events

D-Market Reports Lower Third-Quarter GMV and Wider Loss

Nov 5, 2026

Hepsiburada, the Turkish e-commerce platform operated by D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading, connects consumers with merchants through its online marketplace and also offers fintech products such as consumer loans. Its primary market focus is Tür...

Hepsiburada Shareholders Approve Board and No 2025 Dividend

Nov 4, 2026

D-Market Electronic Services & Trading, known as Hepsiburada, operates a Turkish e-commerce marketplace providing online retail and related digital commerce services to consumers and merchants. Its focus is Türkiye’s online shopping market.At its Oct...

Hepsiburada Sets November 5 Date for Q3 2026 Earnings Release

Oct 27, 2026

Hepsiburada, the Turkish e-commerce platform operated by D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading and listed on Nasdaq as HEPS, combines marketplace services, proprietary retail, logistics and payment solutions to serve millions of customers across Tür...

Hepsiburada Sets October 30, 2026 General Assembly to Approve 2025 Results and Governance Changes

Sep 30, 2026

Hepsiburada announced on September 30, 2026 that it will convene its Ordinary General Assembly Meeting of shareholders for the financial year 2025 on October 30, 2026 at its Istanbul headquarters. Holders of the company’s American Depositary Shares m...

Hepsiburada Completes Major Capital Increase to Bolster Equity Base

Sep 9, 2026

On September 9, 2026, Hepsiburada announced it had completed a capital increase that had been approved at its Extraordinary General Assembly of Shareholders held on August 14, 2026, strengthening its financial base in Türkiye’s competitive e-commerce...

Hepsiburada Shareholders Approve Capital Increase at August 14 Extraordinary Meeting

Aug 20, 2026

On August 20, 2026, Hepsiburada disclosed the voting outcomes of its Extraordinary General Assembly of Shareholders held on August 14, 2026 in Istanbul, where a quorum was confirmed under Turkish commercial regulations. Shareholders approved an incre...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 19, 2026