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SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR (HDL) AI Stock Analysis

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HDL

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR

(NASDAQ:HDL)

Select Model
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:$11.00â–²(7.37% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/06/26

HDL scores 61 primarily on improving financial stability and cash generation (turnaround with healthier balance sheet and stronger cash flows), supported by an earnings call showing operating-profit momentum and continued expansion plans. The score is held back by weak technicals (below major moving averages with negative MACD) and a demanding valuation (P/E ~63), plus earnings sensitivity to FX swings and mixed same-store performance.

Positive Factors
Revenue and operating-profit growthRevenue growth combined with a more than doubling of operating profit indicates improving operating leverage and demand execution. If sustained, stronger margins can provide greater flexibility to fund expansion, absorb cost pressure, and compound earnings over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Compressed profitabilityThe sharp decline in net margin shows that top-line expansion is not yet translating consistently into bottom-line earnings. Persistently higher operating or non-operating costs could limit cash available for expansion and make future profitability less durable than revenue momentum suggests.

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR (HDL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%HDL-40.02%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$581.89M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1,384
Price to Earnings (P/E)
50.9
Beta (1Y)
0.51
Revenue Growth
10.21%
EPS Growth
-80.13%
Country
US
Employees
14,003
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Restaurants

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Super Hi International Holding Ltd., functioning as an investment holding entity, manages and operates a global chain of Haidilao-branded Chinese hot pot restaurants. Its culinary reach extends across various regions, including Asia, North America, E...

How the Company Makes Money

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. makes money primarily by monetizing its restaurant network through (1) company-operated restaurant sales and (2) franchising-related income where applicable. For company-operated locations, revenue is generated fro...

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 25, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-26.56%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 29, 2023
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presents a generally positive operational story: revenue growth, material operating profit expansion, improving customer traffic and table turnover, stronger revenue diversification via delivery and other businesses, and healthy cash reserves. These operating improvements were partially offset by a reported net loss caused mainly by a large adverse foreign-exchange swing and uneven regional performance (North America and some other markets). Management emphasized ongoing efficiency gains, cautious and localized expansion, and product/marketing initiatives to drive further improvement.

Positive Updates

Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $219.0M in Q2 2026, up 10.0% year-over-year; Haidilao restaurant operating revenue $198.0M, up 4.6% YoY.

Negative Updates

Net Loss Driven by Foreign Exchange
Reported after-tax net loss of $1.93M in Q2 versus a net profit of $16.39M in prior-year quarter; swing driven by FX: prior-year net FX gain $16.33M vs Q2 FX loss $4.34M (negative swing > $20M).

Company Guidance

Management guided that it will continue to expand cautiously while converting traffic into per-store revenue and profitability, targeting double-digit new store openings for the full year (several openings expected in H2 with some in July–August) across North America, East Asia and Southeast Asia; they reaffirmed no uniform price hike (markets adjust locally), a standard new-store payback of ~3–4 years (faster in Southeast Asia, slower in Europe/US), continued investment in the Pomegranate Plan (12 brands, 22 second‑brand restaurants cumulatively) with controlled small‑scale rollouts, and disciplined FX and cash management (natural hedging plus selective hedges). Guidance was supported by Q2 operating metrics: total revenue $219M (+10% YoY), Haidilao restaurant revenue $198M (+4.6%), 8.1M customer visits (+5.2%), overall table turnover 3.9 turns/day (same‑store 4.0, both +0.1), delivery $7.562M (+105%), other revenue $13.39M (+119.7%) (delivery+other $21M, +114.3%, ~9.6% of revenue vs ~5% prior year), operating profit $8.1M (+118.9%) with operating margin 3.7% (+1.8 pp), operating cash inflow $28M (+6.2%), cash reserves ~$266M, 129 overseas Haidilao restaurants at quarter end (111 same‑store restaurants; same‑store sales ~$179M, -0.8%) and signed-but-not-opened stores in the double digits.

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Multi-year turnaround with strong revenue growth, a repaired balance sheet (positive and growing equity; manageable debt-to-equity ~0.59), and solid operating/free cash flow. The main drag is sharply weaker TTM profitability (net margin ~1% vs ~4% in 2025) and lower ROE, raising questions about near-term margin durability despite top-line momentum.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

70Positive

Cash Flow

75Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue889.01M841.62M779.63M687.53M560.63M312.37M
Gross Profit250.03M190.13M235.04M203.87M156.09M43.39M
EBITDA126.82M143.67M136.94M115.13M81.02M-8.39M
Net Income10.28M36.47M21.80M25.65M-41.25M-150.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets751.09M745.88M684.42M576.88M576.11M626.73M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments269.95M271.99M254.72M152.91M93.89M129.46M
Total Debt234.38M228.80M212.63M202.94M242.30M728.32M
Total Liabilities351.38M354.24M322.76M304.76M334.07M813.91M
Stockholders Equity395.98M390.10M360.03M270.09M239.81M-187.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow89.28M61.36M84.95M81.07M3.40M-72.36M
Operating Cash Flow120.83M114.65M119.70M114.05M63.90M-4.92M
Investing Cash Flow-182.34M-177.31M-27.62M-11.78M888.00K-87.66M
Financing Cash Flow-48.70M-51.03M12.58M-43.79M-65.87M108.50M

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price10.24

Price Trends

50DMA11.67Negative
100DMA12.33Negative
200DMA13.76Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.43Negative
RSI42.30Neutral
STOCH33.38Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HDL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.74, below the 50-day MA of 11.67, and below the 200-day MA of 13.76, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HDL.

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Risk Analysis

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

HDL against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
YUMCYUMC83Outperform$15.68B16.7117.84%2.42%8.78%12.47%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
HDLHDL61Neutral$595.43M50.862.63%―10.21%-80.13%
BLMNBLMN55Neutral$905.01M33.037.35%1.42%-2.05%―
KRUSKRUS54Neutral$424.76M-205.65-0.90%―18.39%78.94%
GENKGENK43Neutral$52.00M-1.79-31.91%―-2.94%-462.05%
THCHTHCH40Underperform$38.12M-0.5140.16%―-8.19%-47.68%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%HDLBLMNYUMCKRUSTHCHGENKDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HDL and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HDLSUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR10.24-7.02-40.64%
BLMNBloomin' Brands10.573.8156.36%
YUMCYum China Holdings45.782.816.54%
KRUSKura Sushi34.96-19.08-35.31%
THCHTh International Limited1.19-1.52-56.09%
GENKGEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A1.49-1.35-47.54%

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Corporate Events

Super Hi International Reports Stable Share Capital and Public Float for September 2026

Oct 2, 2026

Super Hi International Holding Ltd. reported its October 2026 Form 6-K filing alongside a monthly return for the period ended 30 September 2026, confirming no changes in its authorised or issued share capital. The company’s issued ordinary shar...

Super Hi International Files 2026 Interim Report With SEC and Markets

Sep 22, 2026

Super Hi International Holding Ltd., the Cayman Islands-incorporated hot pot restaurant operator listed in both the U.S. and Hong Kong, published its 2026 interim report on September 22, 2026, covering unaudited condensed consolidated financial state...

Super Hi International Reports Stable Share Capital and Compliant Public Float for July 2026

Aug 5, 2026

Super Hi International Holding Ltd., a foreign private issuer listed in Hong Kong under stock code 09658 and reporting to the U.S. SEC on Form 20-F, operates from its principal executive offices in Singapore. The company’s equity is traded on t...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2026