tiprankstipranks
Goldman Sachs Group (GS)
NYSE:GS
Want to see GS full AI Analyst Report?

Goldman Sachs Group (GS) AI Stock Analysis

10,172 Followers

Top Page

GS

Goldman Sachs Group

(NYSE:GS)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$1,226.00
â–²(32.40% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/15/26
The score is held back primarily by financial-quality risks—especially persistently negative operating/free cash flow and elevated leverage—despite improved profitability. Offsetting that, technicals indicate strong upward price momentum, and the latest earnings call was notably positive with strong results and constructive guidance/capital returns. Valuation is middling due to a higher P/E and modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Improved profitability and high ROE
Goldman’s trailing profitability has improved materially versus 2023–24, with TTM net income of $18.1B and substantially higher margins. Strong ROE and record quarterly ROE/ROTE metrics reflect durable franchise economics and underwriting/trading advantages that support reinvestment and shareholder returns over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Persistently negative operating cash flow
Sustained negative OCF and FCF over recent periods signal weak cash conversion relative to reported earnings, reducing organic funding for growth and returns. This forces reliance on external financing or asset sales, compressing flexibility if capital‑markets activity or funding conditions deteriorate.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved profitability and high ROE
Goldman’s trailing profitability has improved materially versus 2023–24, with TTM net income of $18.1B and substantially higher margins. Strong ROE and record quarterly ROE/ROTE metrics reflect durable franchise economics and underwriting/trading advantages that support reinvestment and shareholder returns over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Goldman Sachs Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Goldman Sachs is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsAmericas has reasserted itself as the primary growth engine with a recent sharp pickup alongside a notable Asian surge — evidence that the firm’s record GBM and equities‑financing momentum (management called out record equities and strong financing) is driving geographic concentration of revenues. EMEA is recovering more gradually. This mix matters because the gains are market‑sensitive and tied to higher‑risk financing activity that has lifted RWAs and compressed CET1 despite hefty buybacks; expect outsized earnings upside in good markets but greater capital and volatility exposure if activity cools.
Data provided by:The Fly

Goldman Sachs Group (GS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Goldman Sachs Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) operates as a prominent global financial services firm, offering an extensive array of services to corporations, financial institutions, governmental bodies, and individuals worldwide. The company's operations ar...
How the Company Makes Money
Goldman Sachs primarily makes money by earning fees and spreads across four main revenue streams: (1) Investment banking: Goldman earns advisory fees for mergers, acquisitions, divestitures, restructurings, and other strategic assignments, and ear...

Goldman Sachs Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 14, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a strongly positive operating quarter with broad-based record revenues, record EPS, robust investment banking, equities and FICC performance, significant AWM inflows, record alternatives fundraising, and disciplined capital returns. Management also highlighted strategic positioning to capture a multi-year AI infrastructure cycle and demonstrated capital and stress-test strength. Noted risks include a $102 million PCL on wholesale loans, a decline in the SLR to 4.3% (capacity constraints for balance-sheet-intensive financing), rising transaction-related non-comp expenses, pockets of pressure within alternatives, subdued sponsor volumes, and the potential non-linear nature of the AI cycle. Overall, the positive accomplishments and momentum materially outweigh the manageable and called-out challenges.
Positive Updates
Record Firmwide Financial Results
Net revenues of $20.3 billion (record); diluted earnings per share of $20.98 (record); ROE 23.5% and ROTE 25.5% for the quarter.
Negative Updates
Provision for Credit Losses and Wholesale Impairments
Provision for credit losses of $102 million in the quarter, primarily reflecting impairments related to wholesale loans.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Firmwide Financial Results
Net revenues of $20.3 billion (record); diluted earnings per share of $20.98 (record); ROE 23.5% and ROTE 25.5% for the quarter.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's near‑term guidance emphasized continued momentum and several numeric expectations: full‑year alternatives fundraising is now expected to exceed $125 billion (Q2 gross $59bn, YTD $85bn; private credit $31bn in Q2), Platform Solutions revenues are expected to be broadly consistent with Q2 ($221m), incentive fees should increase materially for the remainder of the year (Q2 incentive fees $112m), and the full‑year effective tax rate is expected to be ~20% (YTD 18.5%). They reiterated capital priorities to invest in the business, sustainably grow the dividend (quarterly dividend raised to $5, +25% YoY, +150% over five years) and return excess capital via buybacks (Q2 repurchases $4bn), noting a CET1 ratio of 12.9% (150 bps above the 11.4% requirement) and a 3.4% stress capital buffer effective through September 2027. Contextual Q2 metrics underpinning the guidance included net revenues $20.3bn, EPS $20.98, ROE 23.5% / ROTE 25.5%, GBM revenues $15.5bn, equities $7.4bn, FICC $4.6bn, AWM revenues $4.6bn, assets under supervision $4.0tn (wealth client assets ≈$2.0tn), Q2 long‑term net inflows $91bn (34th consecutive quarter), total loans $261bn (up 3% seq), net interest income $4.0bn, provision for credit losses $102m, Q2 operating expenses $11.7bn (YTD $22.1bn) and a YTD efficiency ratio of 58.8% (improved 320 bps); management also noted the investment‑banking backlog is the highest in five years and expressed confidence the franchise "flywheel" will continue.

Goldman Sachs Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and returns have improved (TTM net income $18.1B, ~16.3% net margin; ROE ~14.6%), but the balance sheet is highly levered (debt-to-equity ~5.43) and cash generation is a major concern with sustained negative operating and free cash flow (TTM OCF about -$39.8B; FCF about -$41.9B). Revenue is also down ~11.5% TTM, underscoring cyclicality.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
33
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue110.77B125.10B126.85B108.42B68.71B64.99B
Gross Profit61.53B59.40B52.16B45.23B44.65B58.98B
EBITDA24.94B24.03B20.79B15.60B15.94B29.06B
Net Income18.07B17.18B14.28B8.52B11.26B21.64B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.06T1.81T1.68T1.64T1.44T1.46T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments706.68B624.53B921.83B924.95B721.95B778.72B
Total Debt694.19B609.53B616.93B583.13B434.55B487.76B
Total Liabilities1.94T1.68T1.55T1.52T1.32T1.35T
Stockholders Equity122.78B124.97B122.00B116.91B117.19B109.93B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-41.92B-47.22B-15.30B-14.90B4.96B1.63B
Operating Cash Flow-39.79B-45.15B-13.21B-12.59B8.71B6.30B
Investing Cash Flow-77.79B-44.23B-49.62B-17.31B-75.96B-30.46B
Financing Cash Flow127.57B66.10B7.32B27.80B59.60B134.74B

Goldman Sachs Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price925.95
Price Trends
50DMA
1029.54
Positive
100DMA
948.43
Positive
200DMA
898.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
14.71
Positive
RSI
49.74
Neutral
STOCH
42.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 925.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1061.37, below the 50-day MA of 1029.54, and above the 200-day MA of 898.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 14.71 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GS.

Goldman Sachs Group Risk Analysis

Goldman Sachs Group disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Goldman Sachs Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Goldman Sachs Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$913.98B14.5716.32%1.79%8.17%19.76%
76
Outperform
$339.90B22.7816.38%2.14%17.82%40.08%
74
Outperform
$32.81B15.6017.21%1.26%5.83%1.44%
73
Outperform
$434.81B13.7010.50%1.93%-2.06%27.92%
72
Outperform
$176.63B20.2619.08%1.07%8.11%53.31%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$314.25B23.7814.58%1.55%2.31%42.87%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GS
Goldman Sachs Group
1,055.03
362.96
52.45%
BAC
Bank of America
60.42
13.95
30.03%
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
338.87
53.36
18.69%
MS
Morgan Stanley
210.94
73.78
53.79%
RJF
Raymond James Financial
168.32
11.09
7.05%
SCHW
Charles Schwab
102.54
7.50
7.89%

Goldman Sachs Group Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Goldman Sachs posts strong Q2 earnings and dividend hike
Positive
Jul 15, 2026
On July 14, 2026, Goldman Sachs reported second-quarter net revenues of $20.34 billion and net earnings of $6.63 billion, with diluted EPS of $20.98, annualized ROE of 23.5% and book value per share rising to $367.67. The firm also announced an in...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Goldman Sachs Increases Dividend After Strong Fed Review
Positive
Jun 24, 2026
On June 24, 2026, the Federal Reserve released its 2026 Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review results, confirming that Goldman Sachs remains well capitalized to withstand a wide range of economic conditions. In line with unchanged stress capit...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Goldman Sachs Simplifies Capital Structure After Series Redemption
Positive
May 12, 2026
Goldman Sachs Group, a leading global financial services provider, has further streamlined its capital structure by eliminating a class of preferred equity tied to its Restated Certificate of Incorporation. The move reflects ongoing optimization o...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Goldman Sachs Shareholders Back Board, Reject Governance Changes
Neutral
May 1, 2026
Goldman Sachs Group, a global investment banking and financial services firm, held its annual meeting of shareholders on April 29, 2026, where all 13 nominated directors, including Chief Executive Officer David Solomon and President John Waldron, ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 15, 2026