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Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA
(OTC:GOFPY)
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Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$9.00
▼(-16.12% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:07/04/26
The score is primarily driven by strong profitability and solid free cash flow, offset by a higher-risk balance sheet with materially increased leverage and some inconsistency in recent margin data. Technicals are mildly supportive (improving momentum, still below the 200-day), while valuation is a positive contributor due to the low P/E and high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong profitability & margins
Consistently high operating and EBITDA margins indicate durable unit economics and pricing power in GOFPY's core wagering business. Strong margins support sustained cash generation, fund reinvestment and dividends, and provide a buffer versus competitors during industry slowdowns.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage and falling equity
Leverage near 2.3x and declining equity materially reduce financial flexibility and raise refinancing and covenant risk. Higher fixed obligations amplify downturn impacts, limit strategic investment capacity, and make the firm more sensitive to interest rate or cash flow shocks over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong profitability & margins
Consistently high operating and EBITDA margins indicate durable unit economics and pricing power in GOFPY's core wagering business. Strong margins support sustained cash generation, fund reinvestment and dividends, and provide a buffer versus competitors during industry slowdowns.
Read all positive factors
Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA (GOFPY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$11.50B
Dividend Yield9.55%
Average Volume (3M)42.85K
Price to Earnings (P/E)9.6
Beta (1Y)0.42
Revenue Growth16.04%
EPS Growth0.84%
CountryUS
Employees1,315
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryGambling, Resorts & Casinos
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.64
Shares Outstanding1,613,565,000
10 Day Avg. Volume0
30 Day Avg. Volume42,854
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-3.91
Price to Book (P/B)15.96
Price to Sales (P/S)5.38
P/FCF Ratio9.83
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Allwyn AG provides lottery and gaming operating services. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Luxembourg....
How the Company Makes Money
null...
Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Mar 03, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominantly positive operational and strategic picture: full-year GGR grew 4.9% and underlying margins (34.7%) met guidance, the 12-year Hellenic Lotteries concession was secured with an imminent May 1 start, VLT and retail investments are driving visitation, and the Allwyn rebrand has been well received. Offsetting these positives were a recent decline in online sports betting (not fully quantified), elevated Q4 operating expenses driven by digital investments, some muted retail lottery comps versus a strong prior-year quarter, and lingering uncertainties around regulatory implementation and a major license beyond 2030. Overall, management emphasized momentum, transformational digital and retail initiatives, and confidence entering the Allwyn combination, while acknowledging near-term headwinds and some open items.Positive Updates
Full-Year GGR Growth in Line with Guidance
Group Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) grew 4.9% for the fiscal year 2025, in line with the company's provided outlook.
Negative Updates
Q4 Online Sports Betting Decline
Online sports betting declined in Q4 (attributed to customer-friendly sporting results) and has trended down for several quarters; management says Q1 shows business back on track but did not quantify the decline percentage.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Full-Year GGR Growth in Line with Guidance
Group Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) grew 4.9% for the fiscal year 2025, in line with the company's provided outlook.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The management reiterated its FY2025 guidance and outcomes: Group GGR grew 4.9% for the year, and management had guided operating metrics toward the mid-30s (~35%) range — excluding one-off items the reported margin for the year was 34.7%. They expect to begin operating the new 12‑year Hellenic Lotteries concession from the beginning of May (May 1) once parliamentary ratification and publication are complete, noted the legacy exclusive games rights currently expire in 2030, and described 2026 as “a year of great success” (no numeric 2026 revenue/profit guidance given). On brand transition, the consumer-facing rebrand launched January 19 and current Allwyn awareness is roughly 50%; management also flagged anticipated positive effects from forthcoming illegal-betting legislation and ongoing digital investments (one app/one wallet/retail digital upgrades) but offered no additional quantitative forecasts.Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
72
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.62B | 1.26B | 1.57B | 1.44B | 1.33B | 1.04B |
| Gross Profit | 911.18M | 699.00M | 962.93M | 852.35M | 1.11B | 605.84M |
| EBITDA | 839.98M | 786.94M | 835.32M | 744.50M | 875.98M | 543.66M |
| Net Income | 467.83M | 464.34M | 485.78M | 408.32M | 592.33M | 259.43M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 19.73B | 2.18B | 2.00B | 2.10B | 2.57B | 2.70B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.49B | 773.25M | 494.87M | 490.89M | 728.07M | 863.99M |
| Total Debt | 7.79B | 968.14M | 681.41M | 686.58M | 835.51M | 1.10B |
| Total Liabilities | 13.20B | 1.70B | 1.39B | 1.33B | 1.50B | 1.75B |
| Stockholders Equity | 5.32B | 423.06M | 579.41M | 740.65M | 1.04B | 910.86M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 689.04M | 686.91M | 672.09M | 497.92M | 637.00M | 469.17M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 734.41M | 697.69M | 704.85M | 527.59M | 659.80M | 493.38M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 1.31B | -237.55M | -18.49M | 92.63M | -53.23M | -39.10M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -245.70M | -191.70M | -683.60M | -857.32M | -742.49M | -100.80M |
Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Technical Analysis
Negative
10.73
Price Trends
7.59
Negative
7.76
Negative
8.88
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.04
Positive
37.34
Neutral
-0.02
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GOFPY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.81, above the 50-day MA of 7.59, and above the 200-day MA of 8.88, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -0.02 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GOFPY.
Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
80 Outperform | $7.48B | 30.64 | 31.93% | 1.34% | 19.93% | 79.81% | |
72 Outperform | $7.57B | 84.75 | 26.36% | ― | 28.20% | 310.24% | |
70 Outperform | $422.87M | 83.25 | 8.62% | ― | 6.33% | -150.96% | |
67 Neutral | $11.50B | 9.63 | 1704.22% | 6.24% | 16.04% | 0.84% | |
65 Neutral | $22.18B | 202.44 | 7.88% | ― | 25.80% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
54 Neutral | $18.54B | -51.12 | -3.56% | ― | 18.90% | -172.89% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
GOFPY
Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA
7.44
-2.92
-28.17%
FLUT
Flutter Entertainment PLC
106.56
-195.97
-64.78%
DKNG
DraftKings
24.94
-19.53
-43.92%
RSI
Rush Street Interactive
32.50
17.95
123.37%
SGHC
Super Group (SGHC)
14.73
3.72
33.78%
CDRO
Codere Online
9.30
0.80
9.41%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.