Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA (GOFPY)
OTHER OTC:GOFPY
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Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA
(OTC:GOFPY)
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Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$9.00
▼(-16.12% Downside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:06/20/26
The score is driven primarily by strong profitability/free cash flow and attractive valuation (low P/E with a high dividend yield). These positives are tempered by elevated leverage on the balance sheet and mixed technicals (improving near-term momentum but still below longer-term trend levels and showing overbought signals).
Positive Factors
12-year Hellenic Lotteries concession
Securing a 12-year national lotteries concession materially extends long-term revenue visibility and regulatory positioning. It enables product refreshes and exclusive product control, supporting sustained cash flows, scale advantages in retail distribution, and strategic planning through 2038.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
A higher leverage ratio (~2.3x debt/equity) materially increases financial risk and limits strategic optionality. Elevated debt raises refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity, constraining investment capacity and making the firm more vulnerable if cash flow or margins weaken over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
12-year Hellenic Lotteries concession
Securing a 12-year national lotteries concession materially extends long-term revenue visibility and regulatory positioning. It enables product refreshes and exclusive product control, supporting sustained cash flows, scale advantages in retail distribution, and strategic planning through 2038.
Read all positive factors
Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA (GOFPY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$12.24B
Dividend Yield6.24%
Average Volume (3M)42.85K
Price to Earnings (P/E)9.9
Beta (1Y)0.44
Revenue Growth8.91%
EPS Growth4.89%
CountryUS
Employees1,315
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryGambling, Resorts & Casinos
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.64
Shares Outstanding1,613,565,000
10 Day Avg. Volume0
30 Day Avg. Volume42,854
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-3.91
Price to Book (P/B)15.96
Price to Sales (P/S)5.38
P/FCF Ratio9.83
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.91
Enterprise Value/Revenue6.86
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit12.21
Enterprise Value/Ebitda13.24
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
OPAP Holding SA is an entity primarily focused on offering number-based lottery and sports wagering options. Its comprehensive range of activities spans several distinct divisions, including Lotteries, Sports Betting, Instant & Passive games, VLTs...
How the Company Makes Money
GOFPY generates revenue primarily through the operation of its licensed betting and gaming activities. Its key revenue streams include earnings from sports betting, fees associated with lottery and scratch card sales, and commissions from retail o...
Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Mar 03, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominantly positive operational and strategic picture: full-year GGR grew 4.9% and underlying margins (34.7%) met guidance, the 12-year Hellenic Lotteries concession was secured with an imminent May 1 start, VLT and retail investments are driving visitation, and the Allwyn rebrand has been well received. Offsetting these positives were a recent decline in online sports betting (not fully quantified), elevated Q4 operating expenses driven by digital investments, some muted retail lottery comps versus a strong prior-year quarter, and lingering uncertainties around regulatory implementation and a major license beyond 2030. Overall, management emphasized momentum, transformational digital and retail initiatives, and confidence entering the Allwyn combination, while acknowledging near-term headwinds and some open items.Positive Updates
Full-Year GGR Growth in Line with Guidance
Group Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) grew 4.9% for the fiscal year 2025, in line with the company's provided outlook.
Negative Updates
Q4 Online Sports Betting Decline
Online sports betting declined in Q4 (attributed to customer-friendly sporting results) and has trended down for several quarters; management says Q1 shows business back on track but did not quantify the decline percentage.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Full-Year GGR Growth in Line with Guidance
Group Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) grew 4.9% for the fiscal year 2025, in line with the company's provided outlook.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The management reiterated its FY2025 guidance and outcomes: Group GGR grew 4.9% for the year, and management had guided operating metrics toward the mid-30s (~35%) range — excluding one-off items the reported margin for the year was 34.7%. They expect to begin operating the new 12‑year Hellenic Lotteries concession from the beginning of May (May 1) once parliamentary ratification and publication are complete, noted the legacy exclusive games rights currently expire in 2030, and described 2026 as “a year of great success” (no numeric 2026 revenue/profit guidance given). On brand transition, the consumer-facing rebrand launched January 19 and current Allwyn awareness is roughly 50%; management also flagged anticipated positive effects from forthcoming illegal-betting legislation and ongoing digital investments (one app/one wallet/retail digital upgrades) but offered no additional quantitative forecasts.Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
72
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.62B | 1.26B | 1.57B | 1.44B | 1.33B | 1.04B |
| Gross Profit | 911.18M | 699.00M | 962.93M | 852.35M | 1.11B | 605.84M |
| EBITDA | 839.98M | 786.94M | 835.32M | 744.50M | 875.98M | 543.66M |
| Net Income | 467.83M | 464.34M | 485.78M | 408.32M | 592.33M | 259.43M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 19.73B | 2.18B | 2.00B | 2.10B | 2.57B | 2.70B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.49B | 773.25M | 494.87M | 490.89M | 728.07M | 863.99M |
| Total Debt | 7.79B | 968.14M | 681.41M | 686.58M | 835.51M | 1.10B |
| Total Liabilities | 13.20B | 1.70B | 1.39B | 1.33B | 1.50B | 1.75B |
| Stockholders Equity | 5.32B | 423.06M | 579.41M | 740.65M | 1.04B | 910.86M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 689.04M | 686.91M | 672.09M | 497.92M | 637.00M | 469.17M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 734.41M | 697.69M | 704.85M | 527.59M | 659.80M | 493.38M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 1.31B | -237.55M | -18.49M | 92.63M | -53.23M | -39.10M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -245.70M | -191.70M | -683.60M | -857.32M | -742.49M | -100.80M |
Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Technical Analysis
Neutral
10.73
Price Trends
7.55
Positive
8.10
Negative
9.15
Negative
Market Momentum
0.17
Negative
59.16
Neutral
85.33
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GOFPY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 10.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.62, above the 50-day MA of 7.55, and above the 200-day MA of 9.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.33 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GOFPY.
Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
80 Outperform | $6.77B | 27.52 | 31.93% | 1.34% | 19.93% | 79.81% | |
72 Outperform | $12.24B | 9.86 | 99.08% | 6.24% | 8.91% | 4.89% | |
70 Outperform | $463.79M | 209.79 | 8.62% | ― | 6.33% | -150.96% | |
68 Neutral | $6.78B | 80.21 | 26.36% | ― | 28.20% | 310.24% | |
65 Neutral | $23.46B | 219.26 | 7.88% | ― | 25.80% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
53 Neutral | $17.72B | -36.75 | -3.56% | ― | 18.90% | -172.89% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
GOFPY
Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA
7.98
-2.18
-21.49%
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RSI
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CDRO
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.