Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA (GOFPY) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $8.62B
• Dividend Yield: 6.65%
• Average Volume (3M): 929.00
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 15.9
• Beta (1Y): 0.37
• Revenue Growth: 12.84%
• EPS Growth: 20.01%
• Country: US
• Employees: 1,949
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
• EPS (TTM): 0.17
• Shares Outstanding: 740,125,500
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 0
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 929
• PEG Ratio: 0.60
• Price to Book (P/B): 9.88
• Price to Sales (P/S): 3.64
• P/FCF Ratio: 8.51
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.97
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 5.16
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 8.35
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 9.86
• 1Y Price Target: $12.50
• Price Target Upside: 7.11% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 73 Outperform
• Price Target: $12.50 ▲(7.11% Upside)

GOFPY shows strong financial performance and attractive valuation, with robust revenue growth and a high dividend yield. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and concerns about rising operating expenses and reduced interim dividends were noted in the earnings call.

Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Organization of Football Prognostics S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates and manages numerical lottery and sports betting games in Greece. The company operates through Lotteries, Betting (Land Based), Online Betting, Other Online Games, Instant & Passives, VLTs (video lottery terminals), Telecommunication & eMoney Services, and Other segments. It holds rights to conduct, manage, organize, and operate numerical lottery games, betting games, passive and instant lotteries, VLTs, and terrestrial and online horseracing mutual betting. The company's sports betting games category includes the fixed odds game comprising PAME STOIXIMA, and the mutual betting games, such as PROPO, PROPOGOAL, HORSE RACING STOIXIMA, POWERSPIN, and PAME STOIXIMA virtual sports; numerical lottery games comprise the fixed odds games, such as KINO, SUPER 3, and EXTRA 5, as well as the mutual games, including TZOKER, LOTTO, and PROTO; passive lotteries include LAIKO, ETHNIKO, and STATE; and instant lotteries comprise the SCRATCH Luck. In addition, it provides transaction services through electronic means; intangible talk time selling and bill payments services; and software services. The company also holds license for the instalment and operation of 25,000 VLTs under the brand name PLAY. It provides its products and services through a franchised retail network, and online betting and gaming platforms. The company also offers its products and services through sales and distribution networks, including agents, street vendors, and retailers. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 3,628 OPAP stores, 373 PLAY stores, 10,139 independent points of sale, and 1,924 street vendors that distribute SCRATCH tickets and passive lotteries. The company was founded in 1958 and is based in Athens, Greece.

How the Company Makes Money

GOFPY generates revenue primarily through the collection of betting margins on wagers placed by customers. Each bet includes a built-in margin that ensures profitability for the company regardless of the outcome of the event. Additionally, GOFPY earns income through various partnerships with online gaming platforms and promotional agreements with local and international sports organizations. The company may also generate revenue from advertising, sponsorships, and affiliate marketing, where it receives commissions for directing traffic to partner sites. Furthermore, GOFPY's investment in data analytics and innovative technology helps to attract and retain customers, contributing to sustained earnings growth.

Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The company demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability. While leverage has increased, the company maintains high returns on equity. Cash flow generation is strong, though the recent decline in free cash flow growth warrants monitoring.

Income Statement

The company shows strong revenue growth, particularly in the TTM period with a 11.8% increase. Gross profit margins are robust at over 61%, and net profit margins are healthy at around 30%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong, indicating efficient operations. However, the slight decline in net profit margin from the previous year suggests some pressure on profitability.

Balance Sheet

The debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 1.29 in the TTM period, indicating higher leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully. However, the return on equity remains high at 86%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced approach to financing.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow is strong, with a high operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.92 in the TTM period. However, free cash flow growth has declined by 6.18%, which could be a concern if it continues. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains solid, indicating good cash generation relative to net income.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.62B	1.57B	1.44B	1.33B	1.04B	737.26M
Gross Profit	999.37M	962.93M	852.35M	1.11B	605.84M	421.16M
EBITDA	846.89M	835.32M	744.50M	875.98M	543.66M	356.00M
Net Income	487.59M	485.78M	408.32M	592.33M	259.43M	205.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.92B	2.00B	2.10B	2.57B	2.70B	2.32B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	502.21M	494.87M	490.89M	728.07M	863.99M	511.50M
Total Debt	677.65M	681.41M	686.58M	835.51M	1.10B	1.10B
Total Liabilities	1.36B	1.39B	1.33B	1.50B	1.75B	1.57B
Stockholders Equity	524.96M	579.41M	740.65M	1.04B	910.86M	739.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	692.14M	672.09M	497.92M	637.00M	469.17M	167.51M
Operating Cash Flow	729.83M	704.85M	527.59M	659.80M	493.38M	186.39M
Investing Cash Flow	-24.83M	-18.49M	92.63M	-53.23M	-39.10M	-78.51M
Financing Cash Flow	-662.43M	-683.60M	-857.32M	-742.49M	-100.80M	-234.82M

Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 11.67
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GOFPY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.49, above the 50-day MA of 11.40, and above the 200-day MA of 10.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GOFPY.

Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
RSI	75 Outperform	$5.12B	101.59	3.04%	―	26.99%	―
GOFPY	73 Outperform	$8.62B	15.87	85.43%	6.65%	12.84%	20.01%
SGHC	71 Outperform	$6.81B	51.46	20.29%	2.05%	26.85%	1963.28%
FLUT	63 Neutral	$49.88B	125.11	3.28%	―	―	―
CDRO	55 Neutral	$323.14M	503.65	16.24%	―	―	―
DKNG	52 Neutral	$37.63B	-57.31	-30.16%	―	25.80%	27.64%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%