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Genie Energy Commo (GNE) AI Stock Analysis

GNE

Genie Energy Commo

(NYSE:GNE)

Select Model
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:$18.50▲(12.46% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:08/20/26

The overall score reflects solid underlying profitability and an exceptionally strong, low-debt balance sheet, reinforced by recent margin and earnings recovery and stable technical trends, offset by weaker and less consistent cash generation, recent declines in revenue and energy volumes, higher acquisition-driven cost pressure, commodity price exposure, and execution risks in growth initiatives, placing the stock in a moderately attractive but not top-tier quality and risk-reward range.

Positive Factors
Very low leverage and strong liquidityThe near debt-free balance sheet gives Genie substantial financial flexibility to fund customer growth, renewable projects and strategic initiatives without heavy interest obligations. Strong liquidity also improves resilience when energy markets are volatile and supports continued dividends or opportunistic share repurchases.
Negative Factors
Falling revenue, customers and energy volumesDeclining customers and consumption reduce the scale of the retail platform and make future revenue growth more dependent on pricing or successful reacquisition. Persistent volume erosion could weaken operating leverage, limit margin recovery and offset benefits from higher revenue per unit.

Genie Energy Commo Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Operating Income by SegmentShows profit after operating costs for each segment, helping you identify which businesses actually generate earnings versus those that consume cash. Useful for judging management’s cost control, capital allocation, and which segments support margins or could drag results if costs rise.

-$60.00M-$40.00M-$20.00M$0.00$20.00MMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

GRE is the company’s profit engine — consistently positive but showing margin pressure recently — while GREW remains a recurring drag, with volatile, deepening losses tied to Genie Solar write‑downs and early‑stage investments. Corporate is usually a modest headwind but can produce large, lumpy charges that swing results. Management’s guidance cut reflects winter-driven commodity cost shocks and higher acquisition spend, though they expect margins to normalize and Genie Solar/Roded to improve later; near‑term upside depends on GRE margin recovery and materially reducing GREW losses.

Data provided by:The Fly

Genie Energy Commo (GNE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%GNE+13.94%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$432.96M
Dividend Yield
1.82%
Average Volume (3M)
73.93K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.8
Beta (1Y)
0.14
Revenue Growth
9.95%
EPS Growth
199.00%
Country
US
Employees
139
Sector
Utilities
Sector Strength
66
Industry
Regulated Electric

Genie Energy Commo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Genie Energy Ltd. is an energy solutions provider delivering electricity and natural gas to individual consumers and small businesses. The company's reach extends internationally, encompassing significant markets such as the United States, Finland, S...

How the Company Makes Money

Genie Energy primarily makes money through (1) retail energy sales and (2) renewable energy project development and ownership. In its Genie Retail Energy segment, the company earns revenue by selling electricity and natural gas to end customers in de...

Genie Energy Commo Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:17.11%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call conveyed a predominantly positive message: strong margin recovery, sizable year-over-year improvements in gross profit, adjusted EBITDA and net income, a robust cash position and clear operational progress in growth initiatives (Diversegy, Genie Solar, Roded). Offsetting items include modest top-line revenue declines, reduced customer volumes, materially higher customer acquisition costs and exposure to commodity price swings. Management framed the higher acquisition spend as an intentional tradeoff to build higher-LTV customer cohorts and emphasized balance sheet strength to fund growth.

Positive Updates

Strong Margin and Profitability Recovery
Consolidated gross profit increased 43.4% year-over-year to $33.7M and consolidated gross margin expanded to 33.5%, driven by normalized wholesale energy market conditions and improved retail energy margins.

Negative Updates

Decline in Top-Line Revenue and Customer Base
Consolidated revenue decreased 4.6% to $100.4M. GRE customer counts declined to 345,000 RCEs (from 413,000, ~-16%) and 363,000 meters (from 419,000, ~-13%), reflecting expirations of aggregation deals and lower low-margin volumes.

Company Guidance

Guidance from the call reiterated management’s plan for the balance of 2026 to “boost cash generation” across Genie Retail Energy (GRE), Diversegy and Genie Solar, advance early-stage initiatives (notably Roded) and “return value to shareholders” via opportunistic buybacks and quarterly dividends while still expecting to achieve the prior guidance. That outlook is supported by Q2 results: consolidated revenue of $100.4M (down 4.6%), consolidated gross profit $33.7M (+43.4%) and gross margin 33.5%, GRE gross profit $30.3M (+42.2%) with GRE adjusted EBITDA $8.7M (+96.7%), GREW adjusted EBITDA $0.3M (vs -$0.097M), consolidated adjusted EBITDA $7.5M, and consolidated net income $11.4M ($0.43/share). Management highlighted operational momentum—Diversegy at double‑digit annualized book growth, Genie Solar brought a second NY community solar project online late Q2 (impacting Q3), Roded nearing facility capacity and Verra certification—and a strong balance sheet: cash, restricted cash and marketable equity securities of $204.3M, working capital $199.6M, net debt $6.8M, ~47,000 shares repurchased for $659k in Q2 and a $2.0M quarterly dividend; customer metrics included 65,000 gross new customers in Q2 and 345,000 RCEs / 363,000 meters at quarter end.

Genie Energy Commo Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Genie Energy combines consistent profitability with a very conservative, low-debt balance sheet and more than doubled shareholders’ equity, providing strong financial resilience, while weaker recent cash generation, volatile revenue growth, and softer margins versus 2022 keep the financial profile in the upper-mid range rather than best-in-class.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

88Very Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue502.62M501.97M425.20M428.71M315.54M323.27M
Gross Profit127.34M124.69M138.48M146.21M154.78M91.64M
EBITDA35.05M37.82M21.22M18.67M78.04M24.52M
Net Income24.77M24.01M12.59M19.54M87.81M29.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets369.72M389.38M371.27M330.56M277.62M229.47M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments184.84M212.69M104.81M108.00M99.06M94.90M
Total Debt1.32M8.76M10.98M309.00K250.00K0
Total Liabilities114.48M144.93M191.72M146.05M103.97M118.68M
Stockholders Equity261.64M250.90M190.51M197.24M187.12M123.28M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.89M38.16M62.70M53.45M79.67M68.26M
Operating Cash Flow19.94M46.34M70.74M62.48M80.68M68.38M
Investing Cash Flow-7.60M-15.35M-16.04M13.64M-49.32M2.69M
Financing Cash Flow-17.16M-19.14M-15.75M-15.16M-25.52M-5.67M

Genie Energy Commo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price16.45

Price Trends

50DMA16.07Positive
100DMA15.15Positive
200DMA14.53Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.14Positive
RSI50.27Neutral
STOCH50.43Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GNE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 16.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.65, above the 50-day MA of 16.07, and above the 200-day MA of 14.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GNE.

Genie Energy Commo Risk Analysis

Genie Energy Commo disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Genie Energy Commo reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Genie Energy Commo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)

Financial Indicators

GNE against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
OGEOGE76Outperform$10.23B18.5311.14%3.44%2.38%6.90%
MGEEMGEE72Outperform$2.79B18.1611.10%2.62%7.07%13.07%
GNEGNE72Outperform$432.95M14.8210.29%1.82%9.95%199.00%
Sector *66Neutral$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
CNPCNP65Neutral$28.13B24.2510.03%2.17%7.78%10.84%
PPLPPL62Neutral$26.83B20.978.53%3.16%6.73%26.95%
NWENWE59Neutral$4.91B28.615.92%3.35%10.69%-24.15%

* Utilities Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%GNECNPMGEENWEOGEPPLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
GNE and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GNEGenie Energy Ltd. Class B Commo16.451.9513.48%
CNPCenterpoint Energy Inc42.444.8812.98%
MGEEMGE Energy Inc73.73-7.23-8.93%
NWENorthwestern79.8122.0438.14%
OGEOGE Energy Corp49.476.9416.31%
PPLPPL Corporation35.650.381.08%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026