Want to see GEO full AI Analyst Report?
GEO Stock Chart & Stats
$32.60
<$0.01(0.03%)
At close: 4:00 PM EDT
$32.60
<$0.01(0.03%)
Day’s Range― - ―
52-Week Range$12.51 - $33.17
Previous CloseN/A
Volume1.26M
Average Volume (3M)2.65M
Market Cap
$3.63B
Enterprise Value$5.48B
Total Cash (Recent Filing)$57.13M
Total Debt (Recent Filing)$1.61B
Price to Earnings (P/E)12.9
Beta1.50
Next Earnings
Nov 05, 2026EPS Estimate
0.35Next Dividend Ex-DateN/A
Dividend Yield18.54%
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)2.14
Shares Outstanding131,619,580
10 Day Avg. Volume2,252,881
30 Day Avg. Volume2,645,500
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.01
Price to Book (P/B)1.50
Price to Sales (P/S)0.86
P/FCF Ratio-18.03
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.51
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.94
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit4.57
Enterprise Value/Ebitda8.46
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$40.00Price Target Upside22.70% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)1.31
Revenue Forecast (FY)$2.99B
Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Contract-driven GrowthContract wins and facility activations are supporting substantial revenue growth and expanding the operating base. This provides greater visibility than purely transactional demand, while the multi-year nature of government contracts can support continued revenue and earnings development over coming quarters.
Balance-sheet OptimizationThe Adelanto transaction converts a major owned asset into cash without ending GEO’s operating role at the facilities. Using proceeds to reduce debt can improve financial flexibility, lower secured-debt exposure, and strengthen the company’s ability to fund operations and capital priorities.
Higher-value Monitoring MixThe shift toward GPS monitoring and case-management services increases the proportion of higher-priced offerings within ISAP. A richer service mix can support revenue quality and profitability even when total participant growth is moderate, making this a potentially durable business improvement.
Bears Say
Government Funding DependenceGEO’s growth depends heavily on government appropriations, procurement decisions, and policy direction, particularly from ICE. Funding interruptions or changed priorities can delay activations, disrupt revenue ramps, and make otherwise awarded opportunities less predictable over the medium term.
Delayed Contract RevenueThe Florida contract delays defer a meaningful revenue opportunity and postpone the benefits of nearly 2,900 beds. This reduces near-term growth conversion from previously announced awards and demonstrates that facility onboarding and government implementation timing can materially affect results.
Uneven Cash ConversionWeak and volatile free-cash-flow conversion means reported earnings are not consistently translating into cash after capital spending and other uses. That can constrain internally funded expansion, increase reliance on asset proceeds or financing, and reduce flexibility during activation periods.
Geo Group News
GEO FAQ
What was Geo Group’s price range in the past 12 months?
Geo Group lowest stock price was $12.51 and its highest was $33.17 in the past 12 months.
What is Geo Group’s market cap?
Geo Group’s market cap is $3.63B.
When is Geo Group’s upcoming earnings report date?
Geo Group’s upcoming earnings report date is Nov 05, 2026 which is in 7 days.
How were Geo Group’s earnings last quarter?
Geo Group released its earnings results on Aug 06, 2026. The company reported $0.37 earnings per share for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $0.288 by $0.082.
Is Geo Group overvalued?
According to Wall Street analysts Geo Group’s price is currently Undervalued.
Does Geo Group pay dividends?
Geo Group pays a Quarterly dividend of $0.25 which represents an annual dividend yield of 18.54%. See more information on Geo Group dividends here
What is Geo Group’s EPS estimate?
Geo Group’s EPS estimate is 0.35.
How many shares outstanding does Geo Group have?
Geo Group has 131,619,580 shares outstanding.
What happened to Geo Group’s price movement after its last earnings report?
Geo Group reported an EPS of $0.37 in its last earnings report, beating expectations of $0.288. Following the earnings report the stock price went down -4.074%.
Which hedge fund is a major shareholder of Geo Group?
Currently, no hedge funds are holding shares in GEO
What is the TipRanks Smart Score and how is it calculated?
Smart Score combines eight research factors - such as analyst recommendations, hedge fund trends, and technical indicators - to measure a stock’s outlook. These signals are unified into a single score that reflects bullish or bearish momentum. See detailed methodology
Geo Group Stock Smart Score
Outperform
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Analyst Consensus
Strong Buy
Average Price Target:
$40.00 (22.70% Upside)
$40.00 (22.70% Upside)
Blogger Sentiment
Neutral
GEO Sentiment 56%
Sector Average 63%
Sector Average 63%
Hedge Fund Trend
Increased
By 162.6K Shares
Last Quarter.
Last Quarter.
Insider Transactions
Sold Shares
Worth $1.0M over
the Last 3 Months
the Last 3 Months
Crowd Wisdom
Very Negative
Last 7 Days ▲ 1.7%
Last 30 Days ▼ 6.5%
Last 30 Days ▼ 6.5%
News Sentiment
Neutral
Bullish news 50%
Bearish news 50%
Bearish news 50%
Technicals
SMA
Positive
20 days / 200 days
Momentum
65.18%
12-Months-Change
Fundamentals
Return on Equity
19.30%
Trailing 12-Months
Asset Growth
2.21%
Trailing 12-Months
Learn more about TipRanks Smart Score
Company Description
Geo Group
The GEO Group, Inc. is dedicated to the operation, leasing, and ownership of secure correctional centers, administrative processing hubs, and community reentry facilities situated in the United States, Australia, and South Africa. The company's operations are segmented into four main areas: U.S. Secure Services, Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, Reentry Services, and International Services. GEO Group provides a comprehensive suite of services. This includes offering counseling, educational programs, and treatment for alcohol and drug dependency within its various locations. It also leverages compliance technologies for monitoring services and implements empirically supported supervision and rehabilitation programs for individuals on parole, probation, or awaiting trial in a community setting. The firm's secure facility management services span security protocols, administrative tasks, rehabilitative initiatives, educational opportunities, and food provision. Its reentry services involve overseeing individuals in community-based programs and specialized centers, furnishing temporary housing, structured programming, employment assistance, and other essential support. Furthermore, GEO Group delivers monitoring and reporting solutions aimed at enhancing the participation of non-detained foreign nationals in the immigration court system. Additional services include secure transportation. Under its "GEO Continuum of Care" platform, the company offers extensive rehabilitation services, encompassing evidence-based cognitive behavioral therapy, post-release support, and academic and vocational training focused on life skills and therapeutic interventions. Beyond its operational roles, GEO Group also develops, designs, constructs, and finances new facilities, often under contract. Established in 1984, The GEO Group, Inc. maintains its corporate headquarters in Boca Raton, Florida.
GEO Company Deck
GEO Earnings Call
Q2 2026
0:00 / 0:00
Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
The call presented strong operational and financial momentum: solid top-line growth (+15% revenue), outsized net income and EPS gains (63% and 71%), improved adjusted EBITDA (+20%), raised full-year guidance, meaningful new ICE contracts that add significant bed capacity and future revenue, and active share repurchases. Key risks and challenges cited include timing delays for several managed contracts (Florida facilities), a temporary lapse in skip-tracing revenue due to funding disruptions, modest near-term ISAP headcount growth despite favorable device/case mix, higher operating expenses from activations, and uncertainty around potential asset sales to ICE. On balance, positive execution and upgraded guidance substantially outweigh the operational and timing risks described on the call.View all GEO earnings summariesGEO Stock 12 Month Forecast
All Analysts
Top Analysts
Average Price Target
$40.00
▲(22.70% Upside)
Technical Analysis
1 Day
3 Days
1 Week
1 Month
Ownership Overview
4.54% Insiders
15.52% Mutual Funds
3.90% Other Institutional Investors
52.03% Public Companies and
Individual Investors







