Vistry Group (VTY) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £2.05B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.02M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 28.2
• Beta (1Y): 2.04
• Revenue Growth: -0.57%
• EPS Growth: -104.08%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 4,587
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Residential Construction
• EPS (TTM): 0.18
• Shares Outstanding: 323,115,840
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,686,797
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,024,408
• PEG Ratio: -0.40
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.60
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.52
• P/FCF Ratio: 14.79
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: £606.75
• Price Target Upside: -4.72% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 13

• Rating: 57 Neutral
• Price Target: 636.00p ▼(-0.13% Downside)

Vistry Group's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance, which shows strong revenue growth but challenges in profitability and leverage management. Technical analysis suggests a neutral market position with some bearish momentum. Valuation is a significant concern due to a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield, reflecting potential profitability issues.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Vistry Group's consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.

Cash Flow Management

Improved cash flow management enhances Vistry's ability to sustain operations and invest in future growth, ensuring financial stability.

Equity Position

A stable and growing equity position provides a strong financial foundation, supporting Vistry's long-term strategic initiatives and resilience.

Negative Factors

Profit Margin Decline

Decreasing profit margins indicate rising cost pressures, which could impact Vistry's profitability and operational efficiency over time.

Increased Leverage

Higher leverage may limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially affecting Vistry's ability to invest in growth and manage downturns.

Decline in ROE

A declining ROE suggests reduced efficiency in generating profits from equity, which could challenge Vistry's attractiveness to investors.

Vistry Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Vistry Group PLC, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a housebuilder in the United Kingdom. The company offers one-bedroom to five-bedroom family homes. As of December 31, 2021, it had 42,770 controlled land bank plots and 40,000 strategic land bank plots. The company was formerly known as Bovis Homes Group PLC and changed its name to Vistry Group PLC in January 2020. Vistry Group PLC was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in West Malling, the United Kingdom.

How the Company Makes Money

Vistry Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of residential properties, including private homes and affordable housing units. The company's revenue model is anchored in its housebuilding segment, where it constructs homes and sells them to consumers, investors, and housing associations. Additionally, Vistry earns income from its partnerships segment, which involves working with local authorities and other organizations to deliver large-scale residential projects, often funded through government initiatives. Key revenue streams include the sale of completed homes, land sales, and partnership revenues from joint ventures. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with local governments and housing associations, enhancing its ability to secure contracts and generate consistent revenue.

Vistry Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Vistry Group shows strong revenue growth and a stable equity position, but faces challenges with declining profit margins and increased leverage. Positive free cash flow generation after a previous decline is a positive indicator, though cost control and efficient capital use remain critical.

Income Statement

Vistry Group shows a consistent revenue growth trend, increasing from £1.81 billion in 2020 to £3.78 billion in 2024. However, the gross profit margin decreased from 2023 to 2024, indicating higher cost pressures. The net profit margin also declined in 2024, suggesting reduced profitability despite revenue growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins dropped compared to prior years, reflecting operating efficiency challenges.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a stable equity position with stockholders' equity growing over time. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has increased slightly due to rising total debt, indicating increased leverage. The equity ratio has remained relatively stable, showing a firm capital structure. Return on Equity (ROE) declined in 2024, reflecting lower profitability relative to equity.

Cash Flow

Vistry Group demonstrated a positive free cash flow in 2024 after a negative performance in 2023. The free cash flow to net income ratio improved, suggesting better cash management. Despite fluctuations in operating cash flow, the company has managed to generate positive free cash flows, indicating an ability to sustain operations and invest in growth.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.69B	3.78B	3.56B	2.77B	2.41B	1.81B
Gross Profit	304.70M	291.70M	545.40M	413.70M	445.02M	257.87M
EBITDA	164.40M	213.90M	388.50M	233.00M	341.00M	141.66M
Net Income	-10.10M	74.50M	223.40M	204.30M	254.13M	76.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	6.23B	6.04B	6.09B	6.02B	3.84B	3.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	457.40M	320.30M	418.30M	676.80M	398.71M	340.99M
Total Debt	844.40M	597.40M	605.40M	645.20M	197.31M	345.25M
Total Liabilities	2.98B	2.81B	2.77B	2.77B	1.45B	1.44B
Stockholders Equity	3.25B	3.24B	3.32B	3.25B	2.39B	2.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	199.20M	132.10M	-74.90M	102.30M	312.79M	206.06M
Operating Cash Flow	206.90M	139.00M	-72.10M	103.90M	315.85M	208.80M
Investing Cash Flow	-29.90M	23.10M	52.50M	-30.30M	-4.12M	-410.95M
Financing Cash Flow	-42.80M	-260.10M	-238.90M	204.50M	-254.00M	181.18M

Vistry Group Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 636.80
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:VTY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 636.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 614.79, above the 50-day MA of 612.30, and above the 200-day MA of 610.36, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.72 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:VTY.

Vistry Group Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
BKG	72 Outperform	3.52B	9.87	10.73%	6.74%	0.90%	-4.04%
PSN	68 Neutral	3.55B	13.83	7.62%	4.96%	16.74%	-0.16%
TW	66 Neutral	3.49B	41.13	4.99%	9.58%	4.21%	-65.57%
BWY	60 Neutral	2.77B	18.92	0.00%	2.52%	-11.63%	-31.81%
VTY	57 Neutral	£2.05B	28.23	-0.31%	―	-0.57%	-104.08%
BTRW	57 Neutral	5.33B	27.65	0.00%	4.60%	33.83%	15.11%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%

Vistry Group Corporate Events

Vistry Group Executes Share Buyback, Adjusts Voting Rights

Vistry Group PLC has executed a share buyback transaction, purchasing 48,000 of its ordinary shares as part of its ongoing share buyback program. The shares were acquired at prices ranging from 608.60 GBp to 620.00 GBp, with an average price of 613.19 GBp. Following the cancellation of these shares, the total number of voting rights in the company will be adjusted to 323,147,705. This move is likely to impact the company’s share capital structure and could influence shareholder value and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:VTY) stock is a Sell with a £5.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vistry Group stock, see the GB:VTY Stock Forecast page.

Vistry Group CFO Engages in Share Purchase Plan

Vistry Group PLC announced that its Chief Financial Officer, T Lawlor, has made an initial notification regarding the purchase of shares within the company’s Share Incentive Plan. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, involves the purchase of 24 ordinary shares at a price of £6.102 each, funded through monthly salary deductions. The move reflects ongoing participation in the Plan, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s financial health and future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:VTY) stock is a Sell with a £5.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vistry Group stock, see the GB:VTY Stock Forecast page.

Vistry Group Executes Share Buyback Program

Vistry Group PLC has executed a share buyback program, purchasing 49,000 of its ordinary shares through Peel Hunt LLP. The shares were bought at prices ranging from 591.80 GBp to 625.00 GBp, with a volume-weighted average price of 611.02 GBp. These shares will be canceled, reducing the total number of shares in issue and affecting the total voting rights, which will now stand at 323,195,705. This move is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:VTY) stock is a Hold with a £628.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vistry Group stock, see the GB:VTY Stock Forecast page.

Vistry Group Executes Share Buyback, Reducing Voting Shares

Vistry Group PLC has announced the purchase of 85,000 of its own ordinary shares as part of its ongoing share buyback program. The shares were acquired at prices ranging from 580.00 GBp to 597.80 GBp and will be canceled, reducing the total number of voting rights in the company to 323,244,705. This move is part of Vistry’s strategy to manage its capital structure and could potentially enhance shareholder value by reducing the number of shares in circulation.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:VTY) stock is a Hold with a £628.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vistry Group stock, see the GB:VTY Stock Forecast page.

Vistry Group Executes Share Buyback as Part of Capital Strategy

Vistry Group PLC has announced a transaction involving the repurchase of 85,675 of its Ordinary 50p Shares as part of its ongoing share buyback programme. The shares were acquired at prices ranging from 566.60 GBp to 595.80 GBp, with a volume-weighted average price of 583.61 GBp. Following the cancellation of these shares, the total number of voting rights in the company will be 323,329,705. This move is in line with the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:VTY) stock is a Hold with a £6.01 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vistry Group stock, see the GB:VTY Stock Forecast page.