TipRanks
Go Ultimate55% OFF

SigmaRoc (SRC) AI Stock Analysis

GB:SRC

SigmaRoc

(LSE:SRC)

Select Model
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:GBX 133.00▲(7.87% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/15/26

The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (material margin and earnings step-up) and a constructive earnings-call outlook (growth, synergies, and lower leverage). Offsetting these positives are mixed/weak technical signals (negative MACD and price below key moving averages) and only moderate valuation support (P/E ~15.3 with no dividend yield provided).

Positive Factors
Earnings and Margin ExpansionDouble-digit EBITDA and EPS growth alongside substantial margin expansion indicates stronger operating performance across the group. If sustained, improved profitability can support reinvestment, strengthen resilience through construction cycles, and increase the earnings contribution from future growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Meaningful LeverageMeaningful debt remains a constraint despite leverage improving from the prior year. It can reduce financial flexibility during a weaker construction cycle, increase sensitivity to refinancing and interest costs, and limit the capacity to fund acquisitions or other investment solely from the balance sheet.

SigmaRoc (SRC) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%GB:SRC+9.70%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
GBP 1.37B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
5.41M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
15.4
Beta (1Y)
1.30
Revenue Growth
4.46%
EPS Growth
100.00%
Country
UK
Employees
3,000
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Construction Materials

SigmaRoc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Headquartered in London, UK, SigmaRoc plc, established in 1999 and previously known as Messaging International Plc until its rebranding in August 2016, is actively involved in acquiring and investing in enterprises within the construction materials i...

How the Company Makes Money

SigmaRoc makes money primarily by producing and selling construction materials (most notably aggregates) to customers involved in infrastructure, commercial, and residential construction. Revenue is generated from (1) sales volumes of materials extra...

SigmaRoc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 06, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-3.90%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 21, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall. Management reported double-digit EBITDA and EPS growth, higher margins, lower leverage, healthy cash conversion, continued synergy delivery, asset expansion and an attractively valued, earnings-enhancing Lithuanian acquisition. The main cautions were weak European residential construction, a 3% overall volume decline in the EBITDA bridge, geopolitical and interest-rate uncertainty, cautious margin guidance, and ongoing management of energy hedges and working capital.

Positive Updates

Strong First-Half Earnings Growth
SigmaRoc described the first half of 2026 as a fantastic first half, with EBITDA up 11.3%, EPS up 12.2%, EBITDA margins at 25.1% and margin evolution of 200 basis points.

Negative Updates

Weak European Residential Construction
Residential construction in Europe has been weak for years. Although there have been tendencies of recovery and increased permitting, management said these have not yet translated into a full recovery in house building, volumes or pricing.

Company Guidance

Management expressed confidence in the full year outlook and said the second half, which is typically a stronger half than the first, has started well ahead of last year; the board’s view is that the group is “on track for another solid performance,” while remaining cautious and preferring to “keep guidance as it stands and then revise later in the year.” The synergy program delivered EUR 5 million in H1, has reached the minimum increased from EUR 30 million to EUR 40 million, and management will aim for EUR 60 million, with EUR 15 million more to go after; for acquisitions, the guidance is “about 25% EBITDA increase on any deal,” while the Dolomitas deal is expected to complete at the end of Q3 and into Q4. Medium-term annualized CapEx guidance is “around 65-ish” excluding leases, rising by “10% plus” with Dolomitas, with “65, 70-ish” pre-leases a good number; working capital is expected to remain at 5%-10% of revenue, leverage is managed within 1.5x to 2x, and the typical tax guidance is 22%.

SigmaRoc Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitability improved sharply in 2025 (net income ~£79.9m vs ~£23.3m; stronger gross and EBIT margins), but the balance sheet carries meaningful leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.77) and free-cash-flow conversion vs earnings remains moderate and somewhat volatile historically.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

66Positive

Cash Flow

61Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.05B1.04B962.51M541.65M537.99M271.99M
Gross Profit271.61M268.99M228.57M123.56M115.94M61.92M
EBITDA260.67M238.59M163.86M77.86M89.69M22.93M
Net Income88.12M79.86M23.26M13.53M31.24M-7.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.28B2.26B2.15B1.02B966.93M769.32M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments183.74M166.67M131.36M55.87M68.62M69.92M
Total Debt646.31M639.03M641.83M238.30M262.48M233.92M
Total Liabilities1.41B1.41B1.39B500.38M497.08M358.16M
Stockholders Equity845.97M825.57M724.77M500.74M458.12M400.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow66.61M75.71M42.01M9.08M35.01M6.92M
Operating Cash Flow173.02M171.12M117.02M52.12M87.73M29.54M
Investing Cash Flow-106.55M-91.39M-584.63M-64.56M-85.53M-375.16M
Financing Cash Flow-58.95M-51.86M547.89M957.00K2.88M388.54M

SigmaRoc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price123.30

Price Trends

50DMA125.78Negative
100DMA125.58Negative
200DMA126.93Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-1.36Negative
RSI49.33Neutral
STOCH63.43Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:SRC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 123.30 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 123.64, below the 50-day MA of 125.78, and below the 200-day MA of 126.93, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:SRC.

SigmaRoc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

GB:SRC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GB:MSLHGB:MSLH69NeutralGBP 438.43M21.303.79%4.02%-0.25%-12.96%
GB:BREEGB:BREE66NeutralGBP 1.15B14.136.73%4.62%7.88%-9.34%
GB:MBHGB:MBH66NeutralGBP 63.92M17.414.06%6.52%-7.01%-28.77%
GB:SRCGB:SRC66NeutralGBP 1.37B15.3510.54%―4.46%100.00%
GB:FORTGB:FORT65NeutralGBP 324.06M18.947.98%3.66%-4.66%16.91%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
GB:IBSTGB:IBST46NeutralGBP 318.58M-13.93-6.19%2.48%-10.12%-287.99%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%GB:SRCGB:FORTGB:IBSTGB:MSLHGB:MBHGB:BREEDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
GB:SRC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:SRCSigmaRoc plc123.3010.108.92%
GB:FORTForterra plc163.80-11.62-6.63%
GB:IBSTIbstock plc80.65-53.21-39.75%
GB:MSLHMarshalls plc174.2010.486.40%
GB:MBHMichelmersh Brick Holdings70.50-12.63-15.19%
GB:BREEBreedon Group plc330.008.932.78%

SigmaRoc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions

SigmaRoc buys Lithuanian dolomite producer Dolomitas in €118m Baltics push

Positive
Sep 7, 2026

SigmaRoc has agreed to acquire Lithuanian dolomite producer AB Dolomitas for €110m on a debt- and cash-free basis, plus €8m for non-core assets including industrial land near the port of Klaipėda. Dolomitas, established in 1964, supp...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing

SigmaRoc Delivers Strong H1, Bolsters Balance Sheet and Growth Capacity

Positive
Sep 7, 2026

SigmaRoc reported a robust first half of 2026, with revenue rising 2.5% to £523.1m and underlying EBITDA up over 11% to £131.2m, lifting margins by 200 basis points. Underlying EPS increased 12.2%, net debt fell 7.2%, covenant leverage impr...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

SigmaRoc resets investor presentation time ahead of 7 September interim results

Positive
Aug 11, 2026

SigmaRoc has confirmed that it will publish its interim results on Monday, 7 September 2026, and will host an online analyst briefing at 08:30 BST the same day. The company has also adjusted the time of its Investor Meet Company presentation for priv...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing

SigmaRoc Posts Strong First Half and Expands Limestone Reserves

Positive
Jul 22, 2026

SigmaRoc reported a strong first half to 30 June 2026, with like-for-like revenue up 2.5% to £523.1m and EBITDA rising 11.3%, lifting margins by 200 basis points. Core volumes grew 1% for the first time in three years, driven by improving constr...

Business Operations and Strategy

SigmaRoc CEO Increases Stake with Additional Share Purchase

Positive
Jun 15, 2026

SigmaRoc, the AIM-quoted European lime and minerals group, reported that its chief executive, Max Vermorken, has purchased 10,000 ordinary shares in the company at 119.65 pence per share. Following this transaction, Vermorken holds 3,271,124 shares,...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 15, 2026