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Ramsdens Holdings (RFX) AI Stock Analysis

GB:RFX

Ramsdens Holdings

(LSE:RFX)

Select Model
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:GBX 715.00â–²(13.31% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/17/26

Strong financial performance and attractive valuation support the score, led by sustained growth, healthy balance-sheet strength, and low leverage. Weak near-term technical momentum and inconsistent cash generation limit the upside.

Positive Factors
Strong Revenue GrowthThe substantial multi-year expansion shows that Ramsdens has increased the scale of its financial and retail operations. Continued annual growth provides a broader revenue base, supports operating investment, and strengthens the company’s ability to compound earnings over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Volatile Cash GenerationInconsistent conversion of accounting earnings into cash reduces confidence in the durability and timing of internally generated funds. The sharp 2025 free-cash-flow decline could constrain reinvestment or distributions if the pattern persists and makes financial planning more dependent on performance improving.

Ramsdens Holdings (RFX) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%120%GB:RFX+95.81%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
GBP 206.11M
Dividend Yield
2.38%
Average Volume (3M)
87.45K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.3
Beta (1Y)
0.58
Revenue Growth
43.98%
EPS Growth
97.22%
Country
UK
Employees
836
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Banks - Regional

Ramsdens Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ramsdens Holdings PLC operates as a provider of diverse financial and retail services, serving customers in the United Kingdom and globally. Its business operations are structured into four key areas: foreign exchange, pawnbroking, trading in preciou...

How the Company Makes Money

Ramsdens generates revenue primarily through fees, interest, and trading margins across its in-store financial and retail activities. A major revenue stream is foreign currency exchange, where it earns income from the spread between the rates at whic...

Ramsdens Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 13, 2026(Q4-2025)|% Change Since:56.18%|Next Earnings Date:Jan 18, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presented a strongly positive operational and financial performance for FY25 driven by record revenue (>GBP 100m), PBT up 43% to GBP 16.2m, robust retail and gold-buying growth, a healthy balance sheet (net assets GBP 62.9m, cash c. GBP 15m, ROE ~20%) and clear FY26 guidance to exceed GBP 18m PBT alongside plans to open 8–12 new stores. Key risks highlighted include pronounced sensitivity to gold price movements, margin pressure in the currency business due to channel mix shifts, and higher operating costs (wages and NI). Overall, the positives from strong growth, cash generation and clear guidance outweigh the listed risks, though the company remains exposed to commodity and high‑street volatility.

Positive Updates

Record Revenue and Profit
Revenue exceeded GBP 100m for the first time (revenue +22% YoY). Profit before tax (PBT) was GBP 16.2m, up 43% from GBP 11.4m last year. Profit after tax was GBP 11.9m (basic EPS 37p). Dividend increased 43% to 16p total (including a 2.5p special).

Negative Updates

Earnings Sensitivity to Gold Price Volatility
Management acknowledged a significant portion of FY25 upside was gold-driven and emphasised volatility risk. They structured a 2.5p special dividend reflecting the windfall; future earnings could contract if gold prices fall materially.

Company Guidance

Management guided that FY26 PBT will exceed £18.0m and trading has started strongly in Q1 (gold‑buying profit in Q1 +50%); they plan to open 8–12 stores this year (c. £0.5m cash per new store: ~£225k sunk CapEx + £275k working capital) and will only proceed where they can deliver ≥20% return on capital, with four stores slated to open by early March. FY25 metrics reiterated: revenue >£100m (+22%), PBT £16.2m (+43%), PAT £11.9m (EPS 37p), net assets £62.9m, cash £15m (incl. ~£9m FX), ROE 20%; segment highlights include gold‑buying revenue +44% (volumes +14%; 9ct avg price £21→£28, +34%), retail +20% (gross margin 37%, £8m stock investment; pre‑owned +35%, watches +13%, online retail +14%), pawnbroking loan book £11.4m (Dec £12.8m, loan book +7%), currency cards 40,000, currency revenue +1% (avg transaction -2%, gross profit -3%), finance costs -20%, and a 16p dividend (including 2.5p special; ~43% payout).

Ramsdens Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong revenue, profit, equity, and asset growth, supported by low and declining leverage. Volatile operating and free cash flow, including a recent decline, is the main weakness.

Income Statement

88Very Positive

Balance Sheet

92Very Positive

Cash Flow

72Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue83.73M116.80M95.61M83.81M66.10M40.68M
Gross Profit36.09M53.75M51.53M45.76M34.53M18.79M
EBITDA19.12M21.61M16.52M14.68M12.78M3.02M
Net Income12.27M11.89M8.30M7.76M6.59M366.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets101.55M91.09M81.69M74.28M68.32M52.72M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.76M15.36M15.78M13.02M15.28M13.03M
Total Debt18.88M17.05M18.07M18.11M16.40M8.60M
Total Liabilities31.38M28.20M28.08M26.11M26.47M16.57M
Stockholders Equity70.17M62.90M53.61M48.17M41.84M36.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.21M5.19M9.30M561.00K92.00K-553.00K
Operating Cash Flow3.20M6.11M11.88M3.28M2.94M1.08M
Investing Cash Flow-1.05M-914.00K-3.21M-3.00M-3.75M-1.63M
Financing Cash Flow-4.75M-5.62M-5.91M-2.53M3.06M-2.30M

Ramsdens Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price631.00

Price Trends

50DMA641.62Negative
100DMA622.01Positive
200DMA511.60Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-2.69Negative
RSI38.57Neutral
STOCH37.50Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:RFX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 631.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 631.90, below the 50-day MA of 641.62, and above the 200-day MA of 511.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:RFX.

Ramsdens Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

GB:RFX against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GB:RFXGB:RFX76OutperformGBP 206.11M10.3429.66%2.38%43.98%97.22%
GB:WILGB:WIL70OutperformGBP 250.76M22.9310.05%4.46%18.24%-3.79%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
GB:ULTPGB:ULTP61NeutralGBP 42.40M11.697.63%6.03%-3.48%-36.60%
GB:MACFGB:MACF58NeutralGBP 125.54M21.035.10%4.47%5.45%-48.47%
GB:MOTRGB:MOTR53NeutralGBP 114.24M21.6522.27%1.53%8.14%81.96%
GB:EVOKGB:EVOK46NeutralGBP 209.06M-0.3876.91%―0.07%-388.74%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%GB:RFXGB:MACFGB:MOTRGB:ULTPGB:WILGB:EVOKDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
GB:RFX and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:RFXRamsdens Holdings631.00303.9492.93%
GB:MACFMacfarlane Group plc81.8017.1426.52%
GB:MOTRMotorpoint Group plc144.00-12.29-7.86%
GB:ULTPUltimate Products plc50.60-10.93-17.76%
GB:WILWilmington plc280.00-18.63-6.24%
GB:EVOK888 Holdings46.605.3012.83%

Ramsdens Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Ramsdens lifts profits on gold boom as FirstCash takeover awaits CMA nod

Positive
Oct 12, 2026

Ramsdens reported a strong FY26 performance, driven by a surge in precious metals trading, robust pawnbroking demand, and resilient jewellery retail sales, both online and in-store. The group expects profit before tax of £32m–£35m, si...

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings

Ramsdens Shareholders Approve FirstCash Takeover as Regulatory Hurdles Ease

Positive
Aug 10, 2026

Ramsdens shareholders have overwhelmingly backed a final recommended cash offer from Chess Bidco Limited, an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of U.S.-based FirstCash Holdings, Inc., to acquire the entire share capital of the AIM-quoted pawnbroking an...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 17, 2026