TipRanks
Go Ultimate55% OFF

Rathbones Group PLC (RAT) AI Stock Analysis

GB:RAT

Rathbones Group PLC

(LSE:RAT)

Select Model
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:GBX 1,810.00â–²(4.50% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/03/26

The score is driven mainly by solid underlying financial performance (strong profitability and low leverage) and supportive valuation (moderate P/E with a high dividend yield). These positives are tempered by weak technical trend signals (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and earnings-call risks, notably regulatory remediation costs, fee-margin headwinds, and a reduced Q4 margin target despite improving operating momentum.

Positive Factors
Recurring fee model & AUM growthRathbones’ core revenue is recurring management fees tied to assets under management. A 10.7% y/y FUMA increase to £120.7bn expands the fee base and supports steady, predictable revenue and margin leverage over time, strengthening long‑term cash generation if flows and markets remain constructive.
Negative Factors
Cash‑flow volatilitySharp YoY decline in free cash flow and a history of choppy conversion reduce confidence in cash reliability across cycles. Volatile cash generation makes funding dividends, buybacks and remediation more dependent on favourable markets and could constrain capital allocation flexibility during downturns.

Rathbones Group PLC (RAT) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%GB:RAT+1.25%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
GBP 1.77B
Dividend Yield
5.77%
Average Volume (3M)
122.27K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.0
Beta (1Y)
1.17
Revenue Growth
5.39%
EPS Growth
85.13%
Country
UK
Employees
3,300
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Asset Management

Rathbones Group PLC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Rathbones Group Plc specializes in providing personalized investment and wealth management services through its subsidiaries. These services are extended to a diverse clientele, including private individuals, charitable organizations, trusts, and pro...

How the Company Makes Money

Rathbones Group PLC primarily makes money by charging fees for managing client assets and providing related wealth and investment services. The group’s main revenue stream is recurring management fees (often calculated as a percentage of assets under...

Rathbones Group PLC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:2.79%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presents a predominantly positive operational and financial picture: strong FUMA growth, double‑digit underlying profit and EPS increases, improving Wealth Management flows, successful synergy delivery, robust capital position, and measurable progress on strategy, digital adoption, brand and client experience. Major challenges are centered on regulatory remediation costs (Skilled Person Review), H1 group net outflows (partly driven by Q1), continued pressure in the active asset management business, and a headwind to margins from the cessation of cash fees. Management has quantified the regulatory cost exposure, completed buybacks, and revised margin guidance (Q4 target lowered from 30.0% to 28.7%), and describes remediation as manageable and largely insured. Overall, positive operational momentum and financial improvement outweigh the notable but contained risks and headwinds.

Positive Updates

Strong FUMA Growth
Funds under management and advice (FUMA) reached GBP 120.7bn at 30 June, up 10.7% year‑on‑year and up 4.4% (GBP 5.1bn) since the start of 2026.

Negative Updates

Group Net Outflows
Group reported net outflows of GBP 0.9bn for H1 (vs GBP 1.0bn in H1 2025). Q1 net outflows were GBP 845m, though Q2 improved materially.

Company Guidance

Guidance from the call stressed continued growth but a revised margin target: FUMA was £120.7bn (+10.7% y/y; +£5.1bn YTD), operating income £487.5m (+8.6%), underlying PBT £123.2m (+14.4%) with an operating margin of 25.3% (+1.3pp), statutory PBT £72.1m (+15.7%), underlying EPS £0.885 (+17.1%) and an interim dividend of £0.32 (+3.2%); H1 group net outflows were £0.9bn (Q1 £845m outflow; Q2 nearly neutral at £31m outflow; Wealth Management Q2 inflows £450m and underlying WM H1 inflow c.£0.5bn after exclusions). Management reiterated £76m of synergy delivery (adding ~£17m to H1 PBT), confirmed the Skilled Person Review incremental cost of ~£60m (portion recognized/committed) and remediation of ~4,700 EDD clients by year‑end; Salesforce is due end‑Q3 reducing tech costs by ~£6m in H2 (benefiting Q4). The cessation of cash charges will cut the Wealth fee margin by ~1.5bps and is a ~1.3pp headwind to H2 margin, so the Q4 margin target was revised from 30% to 28.7% (subject to c.3% FUMA growth, stable inflation and market rates); capital remains strong with a total capital ratio of 18.3% at 30 June and a £166m surplus after completing buybacks of >3.5m shares (~3.3%).

Rathbones Group PLC Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong profitability and revenue scale with a conservative balance sheet (low leverage, improving ROE). The key drag is cash-flow volatility, including a sharp YoY decline in free cash flow and prior-year negative cash flow, which lowers confidence in consistency across cycles.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.07B1.03B1.01B677.90M511.38M468.82M
Gross Profit894.70M861.60M834.80M563.20M414.02M377.20M
EBITDA296.40M293.20M263.90M177.20M127.07M130.88M
Net Income119.60M112.30M65.50M37.50M48.98M75.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.51B5.22B4.29B4.22B3.47B3.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.48B1.50B1.17B1.20M1.48B1.53B
Total Debt133.00M198.10M88.50M127.20M91.41M97.08M
Total Liabilities4.18B3.87B2.93B2.87B2.84B2.67B
Stockholders Equity1.32B1.35B1.36B1.35B634.83M623.28M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow294.00M187.40M237.00M-100.10M84.17M41.03M
Operating Cash Flow304.90M196.20M293.60M-89.40M97.30M53.73M
Investing Cash Flow-67.80M-670.20M-38.00M-79.90M-293.71M-244.44M
Financing Cash Flow-512.20M783.50M-99.30M-100.50M115.53M-212.39M

Rathbones Group PLC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

GB:RAT against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GB:ASHMGB:ASHM76OutperformGBP 1.48B13.8413.19%7.53%2.50%27.89%
GB:CLDNGB:CLDN75OutperformGBP 1.90B14.724.51%2.04%68.95%109.67%
GB:AJBGB:AJB74OutperformGBP 2.28B19.3757.35%2.54%19.27%40.49%
GB:QLTGB:QLT74OutperformGBP 2.40B20.868.39%3.48%191.46%―
GB:IHPGB:IHP69NeutralGBP 1.25B19.7427.60%3.13%37.79%29.03%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
GB:RATGB:RAT67NeutralGBP 1.77B13.978.95%5.77%5.39%85.13%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%GB:RATGB:ASHMGB:AJBGB:QLTGB:CLDNGB:IHPDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
GB:RAT and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:RATRathbones Group PLC1732.0019.541.14%
GB:ASHMAshmore Group Plc224.4050.8129.27%
GB:AJBAJ BELL581.0055.0210.46%
GB:QLTQuilter Plc183.806.003.38%
GB:CLDNCaledonia Investments Plc376.502.200.59%
GB:IHPIntegraFin Holdings PLC377.0022.576.37%

Rathbones Group PLC Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

Rathbones updates market on total voting rights and share capital structure

Neutral
Aug 3, 2026

Rathbones Group PLC has reported that, as of 3 August 2026, its issued share capital comprises 90,489,844 ordinary shares of 5 pence each with full voting rights and 17,481,868 convertible non-voting ordinary shares of 5 pence each. The company holds...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Rathbones bolsters board with appointment of veteran asset management executive

Positive
Jul 30, 2026

Rathbones Group PLC has strengthened its board with the appointment of experienced asset management executive Michelle Scrimgeour as an Independent Non-Executive Director, effective 1 October 2026, subject to regulatory approval. She will join the Ri...

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Rathbones lifts profits and assets but trims margin outlook after FCA review

Positive
Jul 29, 2026

Rathbones Group PLC reported a strong first half of 2026, with funds under management and administration rising 10.7% year on year to £120.7 billion and underlying profit before tax up 14.4% to £123.2 million. Wealth Management returned to...

Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Rathbones Completes £20m Share Buyback, Updates Voting Capital

Positive
Jul 13, 2026

Rathbones Group PLC has completed its previously announced share buyback programme of up to £20 million, purchasing 939,315 ordinary shares at an average price of £16.22 for cancellation. The buyback is linked to maintaining Investec’...

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback

Rathbones Cancels Further Shares as Buyback Programme Progresses

Positive
Jul 13, 2026

Rathbones Group PLC has continued to execute its previously announced share buyback programme, repurchasing and cancelling 234,822 ordinary shares between 6 and 10 July 2026 through Merrill Lynch International. These transactions, carried out at a vo...

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

Rathbones Executives Acquire Shares Under Incentive Plan

Positive
Jul 8, 2026

Rathbones Group PLC has disclosed share acquisitions by its top executives under an Inland Revenue Approved Share Incentive Plan, in line with UK market abuse regulation reporting requirements. The Group Chief Executive Officer, Jonathan Sorrell, acq...

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback

Rathbones Reduces Share Capital Through Ongoing Buyback Programme

Positive
Jul 6, 2026

Rathbones Group PLC has continued executing its share buyback programme launched on 17 June 2026, purchasing and cancelling 297,510 ordinary shares between 29 June and 3 July on the London Stock Exchange via Merrill Lynch International. This brings t...

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

Rathbones updates market on total voting rights and share capital structure

Neutral
Jul 3, 2026

Rathbones Group PLC has updated the market on its total voting rights, confirming that as of 2 July 2026 the company has 90,713,495 ordinary shares of 5 pence each in issue with full voting rights and 17,481,868 convertible non-voting ordinary shares...

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Rathbones advances buyback as voting share count falls

Positive
Jun 29, 2026

Rathbones Group PLC has continued executing its recently launched share buyback programme, repurchasing and cancelling 248,376 ordinary shares over the period 22–26 June 2026 at a volume-weighted average price of around 1,617 pence per share. T...

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Rathbones cancels 158,607 shares under new buyback programme

Positive
Jun 22, 2026

Rathbones Group PLC has repurchased 158,607 ordinary shares for cancellation under its recently launched share buyback programme, with purchases executed on the London Stock Exchange and related venues at a volume-weighted average price of about 1,61...

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

Rathbones Director Buys Shares in Market-Notified Transaction

Positive
Jun 19, 2026

Rathbones Group PLC has disclosed that non-executive director Iain Cummings purchased 800 ordinary shares of 5 pence each in the company on 19 June 2026. The transaction, executed on the London Stock Exchange at a price of £16.22 per share, refl...

Other

Rathbones Non-Executive Director Iain Cummings Buys Shares

Positive
Jun 18, 2026

Rathbones Group PLC disclosed that non-executive director Iain Cummings has purchased 1,282 ordinary shares of 5 pence each in the company at a price of £16.21 per share on 18 June 2026. The transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, r...

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

Rathbones Non-Executive Director Purchases Shares in Market-Notified Deal

Positive
Jun 17, 2026

Rathbones Group PLC has disclosed a share transaction by non-executive director Terri Duhon, in line with requirements under the UK’s implementation of the EU Market Abuse Regulation. The director purchased 500 ordinary shares of 5p each in the...

Stock Buyback

Rathbones Launches £20 Million Share Buyback to Cut Share Capital

Positive
Jun 17, 2026

Rathbones Group PLC has launched a share buyback programme to repurchase up to £20 million of its ordinary shares, following prior approval granted at its May 2026 annual general meeting. Merrill Lynch International has been appointed to indepen...

Other

Rathbones Chair and CEO Increase Stakes with New Share Purchases

Positive
Jun 16, 2026

Rathbones Group PLC has disclosed share purchases by its chair, Clive Bannister, and its group chief executive officer, Jonathan Sorrell, in line with UK market abuse regulations. Bannister acquired 15,300 ordinary shares at £16.38 each on 16 Ju...

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Rathbones pauses some client inflows and absorbs £60m costs after FCA-driven review

Negative
Jun 16, 2026

Rathbones Group has launched a Skilled Person Review-led remediation programme after an FCA-engaged assessment found shortcomings in how its UK wealth management arm has implemented Consumer Duty and in aspects of compliance, oversight and assurance....

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Rathbones Strengthens Board With Two New Independent Non-Executive Directors

Positive
Jun 16, 2026

Rathbones Group PLC has appointed Angela Seymour-Jackson and Kathryn Purves as independent non-executive directors to the group and its main subsidiary, effective 1 October 2026 and 1 July 2026 respectively, subject to regulatory approval. Both will...

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Rathbones pauses some EDD client inflows as FCA review drives £60m overhaul

Negative
Jun 16, 2026

Rathbones Group has completed a Skilled Person Review with the UK Financial Conduct Authority that highlighted weaknesses in how Consumer Duty has been embedded in its UK wealth management arm, alongside gaps in compliance, oversight and assurance. I...

Executive/Board Changes

Rathbones CEO and CFO Increase Stakes via Share Incentive Plan

Positive
Jun 5, 2026

Rathbones Group PLC has disclosed that its Group Chief Executive Officer, Jonathan Sorrell, and Group Chief Financial Officer, Iain Hooley, have each acquired ordinary shares under the company’s Inland Revenue Approved Share Incentive Plan. The...

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

Rathbones Confirms Total Voting Rights and Share Capital Structure

Neutral
Jun 1, 2026

Rathbones Group PLC has confirmed that, as of 31 May 2026, its issued share capital comprises 91,376,799 ordinary shares with voting rights and 17,481,868 convertible non-voting ordinary shares, with no shares held in treasury. This disclosure sets t...

DividendsRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Rathbones Director Reinvests Dividend in Additional Company Shares

Positive
May 20, 2026

Rathbones Group PLC has disclosed that non-executive director Iain Cummings acquired 97 ordinary shares in the company through the reinvestment of the group’s 2025 final dividend. The transaction, executed on 18 May 2026 at a price of £19....

DividendsRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Rathbones discloses CEO and CFO dividend reinvestment into company shares

Neutral
May 14, 2026

Rathbones Group PLC has disclosed routine share transactions by its top executives under regulatory market abuse rules, detailing the reinvestment of the company’s 2025 final dividend into ordinary shares via an Inland Revenue Approved Share In...

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

Rathbones Executives Increase Holdings Through Share Incentive Plan

Neutral
May 8, 2026

Rathbones Group PLC has reported routine share transactions by senior executives under its Inland Revenue Approved Share Incentive Plan, highlighting continued participation in the company’s equity schemes. The group’s CEO, Jonathan Sorre...

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsShareholder Meetings

Rathbones AGM Backs Dividend and Board, But Rejects Pre-Emption Waivers

Neutral
May 7, 2026

Rathbones Group PLC reported that shareholders approved the majority of resolutions at its 55th annual general meeting, including the adoption of 2025 financial statements, the directors’ remuneration report, a 68p final dividend, all director...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Rathbones lifts Q1 income despite continued client outflows

Neutral
May 7, 2026

Rathbones Group PLC reported a 9.4% rise in first-quarter operating income to £240.7 million, driven by higher fees, commissions and net interest income amid improved market levels compared with a year earlier. Funds under management and adminis...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 03, 2026