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Ashmore Group PLC (GB:ASHM)
LSE:ASHM
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Ashmore Group PLC (ASHM) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:ASHM

Ashmore Group PLC

(LSE:ASHM)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
193.00p
▲(14.13% Upside)
Ashmore Group PLC's robust technical indicators and positive corporate events drive a strong overall stock score. While financial performance shows profitability and stability, the decline in revenue and cash flow remains a concern. Valuation metrics suggest fair pricing with a high dividend yield, making the stock attractive for income-seeking investors.
Positive Factors
Asset Growth
The increase in assets under management indicates strong investment performance and positions Ashmore well to capitalize on emerging market opportunities, enhancing its market position and growth potential.
Board Strengthening
The addition of a director with strong governance and risk management experience strengthens Ashmore's board oversight, potentially improving strategic decision-making and corporate governance.
Financial Stability
A strong balance sheet with minimal leverage provides Ashmore with financial stability, reducing risk and enhancing its ability to navigate market fluctuations and invest in growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A declining revenue trend poses challenges to growth and sustainability, potentially impacting Ashmore's ability to maintain its market position and profitability in the long term.
Cash Flow Concerns
Decreasing free cash flow raises concerns about Ashmore's cash generation capacity, which could limit its ability to fund operations and strategic initiatives, affecting long-term growth.
Earnings Decline
A significant decline in earnings per share growth suggests challenges in profitability and could impact investor confidence and the company's ability to reinvest in its business.

Ashmore Group PLC (ASHM) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Ashmore Group PLC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAshmore Group plc is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm primarily provides its services to retail and institutional clients. It manages separate client-focused equity and fixed income portfolios. The firm also launches and manages equity and fixed income mutual funds for its clients. It invests in the public equity and fixed income markets in emerging markets across the globe. The firm employs combination of fundamental analysis to make its investments. Ashmore Group Plc was founded in 1992 and is based in London, United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyAshmore Group PLC generates revenue primarily through management fees and performance fees associated with the investment products they offer. Management fees are typically a percentage of the assets under management (AUM), providing a steady income stream based on the total value of assets managed on behalf of clients. Performance fees are earned when the company's investment funds surpass specified benchmarks, offering an incentive-based revenue stream that aligns the company's interests with those of its clients. Ashmore's ability to attract and retain institutional clients, alongside its expertise in emerging markets, significantly contributes to its financial performance. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and a global network of offices that enhance its distribution capabilities and market reach.

Ashmore Group PLC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 05, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong emerging markets performance and strategic growth in local businesses, contrasted by declines in revenue and earnings, ongoing challenges in high-yield inflows, and increased operating costs. The firm is strategically positioned for future growth, although the immediate financial performance has been weaker.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Emerging Markets Performance
Emerging markets have shown strong returns, with a 15% year-to-date return in local currency. The firm's performance has been strong, with 70% of assets outperforming over 3 years and 81% over 5 years.
Strategic Growth in Local Businesses
Local businesses have grown, with assets under management increasing by 5% to just under $8 billion. The equities business now makes up 16% of assets and continues to grow.
Successful Fund Launches and Seed Investments
New product launches and seed investments include ex-China products, frontier debt, and impact debt space, with GBP 40 million contributed to profits from seed capital.
Positive Net Inflows in Multiple Areas
Net inflows observed in equities, alternatives, investment-grade strategies, and local offices, consistent with strategic objectives.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Revenue and Earnings
Revenue declined by 22% due to lower average AUM and performance fees. EBITDA decreased by 33% to GBP 52.5 million, and diluted EPS fell by 13% year-on-year.
Challenges in High Yield and Fixed Income
Net outflows continue in the high-yield space, and redemptions totalled $12.3 billion, a 22% decline, due to client-specific factors.
Increased Operating Costs and Variable Comp
Despite cost reductions, the variable compensation charge remains high, leading to an adjusted operating margin of 36%.
Weak U.S. Dollar Impact
A weaker U.S. dollar posed a modest headwind, impacting adjusted net revenue and contributing to a decline in management fees.
Company Guidance
During the call, Ashmore's CEO, Mark Coombs, and Finance Director, Tom Shippey, provided a comprehensive update on the company's financial and strategic performance for the fiscal year ending June 2025. Key metrics highlighted include a 3% decrease in assets under management (AUM) to $47 billion, with net inflows observed in equities and investment-grade assets, while high-yield remains a challenge. Operating costs were reduced by 14%, and EBITDA fell by 33% to GBP 52.5 million. The company maintained a margin of 36% and contributed GBP 40 million in profits from seed capital investments. Diluted EPS decreased by 13% to 11.8p, yet the dividend per share was sustained at 16.9p. Strategically, Ashmore expanded its local offices with new establishments in Qatar and Mexico, contributing to a 5% increase in AUM across its network. The group reported GBP 146.5 million in adjusted net revenue, down 22% year-on-year, and a robust performance fee contribution of GBP 10 million. The group's financial resources remain strong, with GBP 604 million in financial resources and a recommended unchanged final dividend of 12.1p. The outlook remains positive, with Ashmore positioned to capitalize on emerging market growth and increasing client engagement, particularly in Europe and Asia.

Ashmore Group PLC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ashmore Group PLC shows strong profitability with high margins and a solid balance sheet characterized by low debt levels. However, challenges are evident in declining revenue and cash flow, which may impact future growth prospects. The company needs to address these issues to sustain its financial health.
Income Statement
70
Positive
The income statement shows a declining trend in revenue over recent years, with a noticeable drop from the previous year. Despite this, the company maintains strong profitability with a net profit margin of approximately 49.6% for the most recent year, and an EBITDA margin of 69.6%. The revenue growth rate is negative, indicating a decrease in revenue year-over-year. This pattern suggests that while the company is efficient at converting revenue into profit, it faces challenges in growing its revenue base.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
Ashmore Group PLC maintains a solid balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01, highlighting minimal leverage. The equity ratio is strong at 90.1%, indicating robust financial stability and a high proportion of assets financed by equity. Return on equity stands at 10.6%, reflecting a moderate return on shareholders' investments. Overall, the company's balance sheet reflects financial strength and stability, with low risk from debt obligations.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a decline in free cash flow from the previous year, resulting in a negative free cash flow growth rate. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.95, demonstrating that the company effectively converts net income into cash. However, the reduction in free cash flow raises concerns about cash generation capacity. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.94, indicating good cash conversion, though long-term sustainability of cash flows should be monitored.
BreakdownTTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income Statement
Total Revenue172.00M189.00M219.30M199.50M424.90M322.90M
Gross Profit90.10M103.90M153.10M126.10M344.60M240.30M
EBITDA64.80M131.50M86.60M107.60M276.80M207.00M
Net Income72.60M93.70M83.30M88.50M240.10M182.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets929.40M979.70M1.01B1.10B1.11B1.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments696.20M745.50M534.40M584.30M497.10M512.50M
Total Debt6.00M6.40M5.80M8.00M9.80M10.20M
Total Liabilities102.40M88.90M95.70M131.40M175.30M168.60M
Stockholders Equity818.10M882.60M898.80M945.00M911.60M856.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow74.90M88.30M140.00M158.10M154.30M215.40M
Operating Cash Flow75.70M89.10M140.40M158.60M155.00M216.40M
Investing Cash Flow-123.70M-108.40M-36.80M61.70M-35.20M-9.80M
Financing Cash Flow-160.10M-151.20M-170.00M-172.40M-121.10M-196.00M

Ashmore Group PLC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price169.10
Price Trends
50DMA
172.69
Negative
100DMA
163.24
Positive
200DMA
157.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.82
Positive
RSI
49.21
Neutral
STOCH
84.03
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:ASHM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 169.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 170.33, below the 50-day MA of 172.69, and above the 200-day MA of 157.37, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.03 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:ASHM.

Ashmore Group PLC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
£1.12B13.899.75%9.99%-28.89%-12.14%
71
Outperform
7.000.00%0.00%0.00%
62
Neutral
35.170.00%5.70%0.00%0.00%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:ASHM
Ashmore Group PLC
169.10
-9.49
-5.31%
GB:TPV
Triple Point VCT 2011 PLC
89.00
0.99
1.12%
GB:CHRY
Chrysalis Investments Limited
122.00
35.80
41.53%
GB:DORE
Downing Renewables & Infrastructure Trust Plc
102.00
26.18
34.53%
GB:PU13
Puma VCT 13 PLC
119.50
0.00
0.00%
GB:SIGC
Sherborne Investors (Guernsey) C Ltd.
44.00
-7.12
-13.93%

Ashmore Group PLC Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ashmore Group Reports Growth in Assets Under Management Amid Emerging Markets Outperformance
Positive
Jul 14, 2025

Ashmore Group PLC reported a $1.4 billion increase in assets under management for the quarter ending June 30, 2025, driven by positive investment performance despite net outflows. The company saw improved net flows, lower redemptions, and consistent subscription levels amid geopolitical uncertainties. Ashmore’s diversified product range and investment outperformance position it well to capitalize on the shift of investor interest towards emerging markets, as these markets continue to deliver strong returns compared to developed markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ASHM) stock is a Hold with a £1.52 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ashmore Group PLC stock, see the GB:ASHM Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
BlackRock Increases Stake in Ashmore Group PLC
Neutral
Jul 11, 2025

Ashmore Group PLC has announced a change in its voting rights structure due to an acquisition by BlackRock, Inc., which has increased its stake in the company. The acquisition has resulted in BlackRock holding 5.89% of Ashmore’s voting rights, up from a previous 5.41%. This change signifies BlackRock’s growing influence within Ashmore, potentially impacting the company’s strategic decisions and stakeholder dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ASHM) stock is a Hold with a £1.52 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ashmore Group PLC stock, see the GB:ASHM Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Ashmore Group Announces Board Changes with New Non-Executive Director
Neutral
Jun 30, 2025

Ashmore Group PLC has announced a significant change in its board of directors, with Anna Sweeney joining as a Non-Executive Director effective 1 August 2025. With a robust background in banking and insurance regulation, Anna is set to bring her expertise in risk management and governance to the company. Concurrently, Shirley Garrood will be stepping down from her role, and Anna will succeed her as Chair of the Audit and Risk Committee, pending regulatory approval. These changes are expected to enhance the board’s oversight capabilities and strengthen Ashmore’s governance framework.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ASHM) stock is a Hold with a £197.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ashmore Group PLC stock, see the GB:ASHM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
BlackRock Increases Voting Rights in Ashmore Group
Neutral
Jun 18, 2025

Ashmore Group PLC has announced an increase in its voting rights holdings by BlackRock, Inc., a major shareholder, following a client instruction to elect for decision-making on voting rights. This change, effective as of June 17, 2025, raises BlackRock’s total voting rights in Ashmore to 5.46%, reflecting a slight increase from the previous 5.40%. This adjustment in shareholder voting rights could influence future corporate governance decisions and reflects BlackRock’s active involvement in Ashmore’s strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ASHM) stock is a Hold with a £197.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ashmore Group PLC stock, see the GB:ASHM Stock Forecast page.

Other
Ashmore Group PLC Announces Change in BlackRock’s Voting Rights
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

Ashmore Group PLC has announced a change in the voting rights held by BlackRock, Inc., a major shareholder. BlackRock’s voting rights in Ashmore have decreased slightly from 5.42% to 5.40%, following an acquisition or disposal of voting rights. This adjustment reflects a minor shift in BlackRock’s investment position in Ashmore, which may have implications for the company’s shareholder dynamics and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ASHM) stock is a Hold with a £197.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ashmore Group PLC stock, see the GB:ASHM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
BlackRock Increases Stake in Ashmore Group PLC
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

BlackRock, Inc., a major shareholder in Ashmore Group PLC, has increased its holding in the company following a client instruction to make decisions on voting rights. This change in BlackRock’s stake, which now stands at 5.42% of total voting rights, reflects a slight increase from its previous position and may influence Ashmore’s strategic decisions and shareholder dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ASHM) stock is a Hold with a £197.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ashmore Group PLC stock, see the GB:ASHM Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Ashmore Group Reports Change in BlackRock’s Voting Rights
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

Ashmore Group PLC has reported a change in the voting rights held by BlackRock, Inc., a major shareholder. As of June 9, 2025, BlackRock’s total voting rights in Ashmore Group decreased slightly to 5.35% from a previous 5.36%. This adjustment in holdings reflects a minor shift in BlackRock’s investment position, potentially impacting its influence on Ashmore’s corporate decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ASHM) stock is a Hold with a £197.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ashmore Group PLC stock, see the GB:ASHM Stock Forecast page.

Other
Ashmore Group PLC Announces Significant Share Sale by Finance Director’s Associate
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

Ashmore Group PLC has announced a transaction involving the sale of 125,000 ordinary shares at a price of £1.533 per share by Fay Shippey, who is closely associated with Tom Shippey, the Group Finance Director. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange on June 5, 2025, may have implications for the company’s stock performance and investor perception, as it involves a significant volume of shares being sold by a person closely linked to the company’s financial leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ASHM) stock is a Hold with a £135.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ashmore Group PLC stock, see the GB:ASHM Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Ashmore Group PLC Announces Change in Voting Rights Structure
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

Ashmore Group PLC has announced a change in its voting rights structure following an acquisition or disposal by BlackRock, Inc. As of June 4, 2025, BlackRock’s total voting rights in Ashmore have decreased slightly to 5.35% from a previous 5.38%. This adjustment reflects a minor shift in BlackRock’s investment position in Ashmore, which may have implications for shareholder dynamics and influence within the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ASHM) stock is a Hold with a £135.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ashmore Group PLC stock, see the GB:ASHM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
BlackRock Adjusts Voting Rights in Ashmore Group
Neutral
Jun 4, 2025

Ashmore Group PLC, a UK-based company, has announced a change in its major holdings, with BlackRock, Inc. increasing its voting rights in the company. This adjustment in voting rights, which now stand at 5.38%, reflects a slight decrease from the previous position of 5.43%, indicating a strategic move by BlackRock in its investment approach.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ASHM) stock is a Hold with a £197.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ashmore Group PLC stock, see the GB:ASHM Stock Forecast page.

Other
Ashmore Group PLC Announces Change in Voting Rights Holdings
Neutral
May 27, 2025

Ashmore Group PLC has announced a change in its voting rights holdings, with BlackRock, Inc. adjusting its position. BlackRock’s total voting rights in Ashmore have decreased to 5.43%, down from a previous total of 5.59%. This adjustment reflects a slight reduction in BlackRock’s influence within Ashmore, potentially impacting the company’s stakeholder dynamics and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ASHM) stock is a Hold with a £197.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ashmore Group PLC stock, see the GB:ASHM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 14, 2025