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HSBC Holdings (GB:HSBA)
LSE:HSBA

HSBC Holdings (HSBA) AI Stock Analysis

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GB

HSBC Holdings

(LSE:HSBA)

Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:
HSBC's strong financial performance, attractive valuation, and strategic corporate actions position it well within the banking sector. While technical indicators suggest potential caution, the overall outlook remains positive, supported by robust earnings and shareholder returns.
Positive Factors
Earnings Growth
Analysts maintain a 'Buy' recommendation for HSBC, indicating confidence in the company's overall financial health and future prospects.
Financial Performance
HSBC reported 4Q24 underlying PBT of $7.3bn, which was approximately 9% above consensus, driven by higher income with beats spread across Banking NII and fee and other income.
Negative Factors
Cost Reallocation
The reallocation of $1.5bn of costs has received considerable market attention, with concerns about the time lag between revenue lost and new revenue expected to be generated.
Revenue Concerns
The time lag between revenue lost and revenue generated could be longer, potentially resulting in a pinch point in 2025.

HSBC Holdings (HSBA) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

HSBC Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHSBC Holdings plc provides banking and financial services worldwide. The company operates through Wealth and Personal Banking, Commercial Banking, and Global Banking and Markets segments. The Wealth and Personal Banking segment offers retail banking and wealth products, including current and savings accounts, mortgages and personal loans, credit and debit cards, and local and international payment services; and wealth management services comprising insurance and investment products, global asset management services, investment management, and private wealth solutions. This segment serves personal banking and high net worth individuals. The Commercial Banking segment provides credit and lending, treasury management, payment, cash management, commercial insurance, and investment services; commercial cards; international trade and receivables finance services; foreign exchange products; capital raising services on debt and equity markets; and advisory services. It serves small and medium sized enterprises, mid-market enterprises, and corporates. The Global Banking and Markets segment offers financing, advisory, and transaction services; and credit, rates, foreign exchange, equities, money markets, and securities services; and engages in principal investment activities. It serves government, corporate and institutional clients, and private investors. HSBC Holdings plc was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyHSBC makes money primarily through its diverse range of banking and financial services. The company's revenue streams are largely derived from net interest income, which is the difference between the interest earned on loans and the interest paid on deposits. Additionally, HSBC generates significant revenue through fees and commissions from services such as wealth management, investment banking, and transaction processing. Global banking and markets also contribute to the company's earnings through trading activities, advisory services, and underwriting. The bank benefits from its expansive international presence, allowing it to capitalize on cross-border trade and investment flows. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with other financial institutions, governments, and corporations further enhance its revenue-generating capabilities. HSBC's geographic diversification, particularly its strong position in Asia, is a critical factor in its overall profitability.

HSBC Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.78%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a predominantly positive outlook with strong financial performance and strategic growth in key areas like wealth management and transaction banking. However, the bank faces challenges due to an uncertain macroeconomic environment, potential impacts from tariffs, and specific accounting impacts related to BoCom. Despite these challenges, the bank remains confident in achieving its financial targets.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Profit before tax increased by 11%, with an annualized return on tangible equity of 18.4%, excluding notable items.
Wealth Management Growth
Fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth in wealth, with $22 billion in net new invested assets and 300,000 new-to-bank customers in Hong Kong.
Shareholder Returns
Announced an up to $3 billion share buyback and a $0.10 per share interim dividend, reflecting ongoing capital returns to investors.
Transaction Banking Success
Strong performance in FX and equities trading, benefiting from higher volatility and increased client activity.
Resilience and Confidence
Despite an uncertain macroeconomic environment, the bank reaffirmed its confidence in achieving mid-teens return on tangible equity for 2025, 2026, and 2027.
Negative Updates
Uncertain Macroeconomic Environment
External environment is less favorable and more uncertain due to trade policy uncertainties, potentially impacting business confidence and investment.
Potential Impact of Tariffs
A plausible downside tariff scenario could have a low single-digit percentage impact on group revenues.
Economic Uncertainty Provisions
An ECL charge of $0.9 billion was recorded, including a $150 million provision for heightened economic uncertainty.
BoCom Dilution Impact
Expected to recognize an accounting impact dilution loss of between $1.2 billion and $1.6 billion on the BoCom stake.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, HSBC Holdings plc reported strong financial performance, with profit before tax up 11% and an annualized return on tangible equity of 18.4%, excluding notable items. The bank achieved significant growth in wealth, attracting net new invested assets of $22 billion, and increased its customer base by 300,000 in Hong Kong. HSBC also saw robust results in Transaction Banking, driven by heightened client activity in FX and equities amid market volatility. Despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, the bank reaffirmed its mid-teens return on tangible equity target for 2025-2027 and announced a $3 billion share buyback and a $0.10 per share interim dividend. Cost management remained disciplined, with a focus on achieving $0.3 billion in simplification savings this year. Additionally, HSBC's CET1 ratio stood at 14.7%, reflecting a stable capital position amidst ongoing strategic cost reallocations and external economic uncertainties.

HSBC Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
HSBC demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, robust profitability, and solid cash flow generation. The balance sheet shows stability with minimal leverage, though some equity volatility is noted.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
HSBC has shown consistent revenue growth with a notable increase from the previous year, indicating positive growth trends. The gross profit margin is healthy at 100%, typical for banking as revenue equals gross profit. The net profit margin is strong, reflecting effective cost management. However, the absence of EBIT and EBITDA data limits analysis of operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity position with a high equity ratio, indicating financial stability. There is no reported debt in the latest year, reducing financial leverage risks. However, fluctuations in shareholder equity and assets suggest potential volatility in financial structure.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Operating cash flow is robust compared to net income, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. Free cash flow has grown significantly, underscoring financial flexibility. The cash flow to net income ratios are favorable, indicating efficient cash usage to support operations.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
71.90B67.40B63.02B67.01B64.24B63.22B
Gross Profit
67.82B67.40B63.02B67.01B64.24B63.22B
EBIT
36.31B34.46B26.11B39.34B18.13B7.91B
EBITDA
-916.00M0.000.000.000.000.00
Net Income Common Stockholders
20.72B23.98B23.53B15.56B13.92B5.23B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
275.94B287.08B307.03B350.05B407.15B308.57B
Total Assets
3.00T3.02T3.04T2.97T2.96T2.98T
Total Debt
101.44B0.00235.16B100.44B99.04B117.44B
Net Debt
-174.50B-284.51B-299.57B-233.86B-308.11B-191.13B
Total Liabilities
2.80T2.82T2.85T2.77T99.04B117.44B
Stockholders Equity
191.19B184.97B185.33B187.48B198.25B196.44B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
0.0061.42B35.42B22.02B100.75B178.71B
Operating Cash Flow
0.0065.31B39.11B26.43B104.31B182.22B
Investing Cash Flow
0.00-76.56B-62.91B-34.48B27.54B-22.43B
Financing Cash Flow
0.0017.78B-17.56B-6.29B-10.79B-4.64B

HSBC Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price874.00
Price Trends
50DMA
837.20
Positive
100DMA
831.78
Positive
200DMA
746.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
8.94
Positive
RSI
55.02
Neutral
STOCH
64.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:HSBA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 874 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 876.51, above the 50-day MA of 837.20, and above the 200-day MA of 746.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 8.94 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:HSBA.

HSBC Holdings Risk Analysis

HSBC Holdings disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. HSBC Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

HSBC Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
£153.41B10.2910.86%5.76%-3.40%-7.51%
64
Neutral
$12.83B9.787.78%16985.64%12.26%-7.81%
$35.98B10.518.79%2.38%
76
Outperform
£45.44B12.058.75%5.60%-4.18%-16.04%
75
Outperform
£45.90B8.369.38%2.53%9.76%46.29%
GBNWG
74
Outperform
£42.69B9.0113.72%6.03%15.69%11.47%
65
Neutral
£59.02B86.982.93%1.16%6.19%-13.58%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:HSBA
HSBC Holdings
874.00
252.69
40.67%
SCBFF
Standard Chartered
15.56
6.58
73.27%
GB:BARC
Barclays
323.00
120.70
59.66%
GB:LLOY
Lloyds Banking
76.06
23.83
45.63%
GB:LSEG
London Stock Exchange
11,205.00
1,912.77
20.58%
GB:NWG
NatWest Group
514.40
220.44
74.99%

HSBC Holdings Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
HSBC Holdings Announces 2025 AGM Results
Neutral
May 2, 2025

HSBC Holdings PLC announced the results of its 2025 Annual General Meeting, where the majority of resolutions were passed, including both ordinary and special resolutions. Notably, the shareholder-requisitioned resolution 20 did not pass, aligning with the Board’s recommendation. The AGM results reflect the company’s strategic decisions and governance practices, potentially impacting its operational and market strategies.

Spark’s Take on GB:HSBA Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:HSBA is a Outperform.

HSBC’s strong financial performance, attractive valuation, and strategic corporate actions position it well within the banking sector. While technical indicators suggest potential caution, the overall outlook remains positive, supported by robust earnings and shareholder returns.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:HSBA stock, click here.

Shareholder MeetingsStock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
HSBC Celebrates 160 Years with Record Profits and Strong Shareholder Returns
Positive
May 2, 2025

At its Annual General Meeting, HSBC Holdings PLC celebrated its 160th anniversary and reported record financial results for 2024, with a profit before tax of $32.3 billion and a return on tangible equity of 14.6%. The company rewarded shareholders with $26.9 billion in returns, including dividends and share buy-backs. HSBC’s strategy focuses on geographic and business diversification, and it aims to maintain strong dividend payouts and a mid-teens return on equity in the coming years. Despite global economic uncertainties, HSBC is confident in its ability to deliver healthy returns and capitalize on international trade opportunities. The bank is also committed to sustainability, aiming to become a net-zero bank by 2050 and facilitating $400 billion in sustainable financing since 2020.

Spark’s Take on GB:HSBA Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:HSBA is a Outperform.

HSBC’s strong financial performance and strategic initiatives, including share buybacks and solid earnings, are significant strengths. The stock’s valuation is attractive, with a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield. Technical indicators suggest stability but caution due to potential overbought conditions. Overall, HSBC is well-positioned within the banking sector, despite some macroeconomic uncertainties.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:HSBA stock, click here.

Executive/Board Changes
HSBC Announces Group Chairman Succession Plan
Neutral
May 1, 2025

HSBC Holdings plc has announced that Sir Mark Tucker will retire as Group Chairman before the end of 2025. The Board has initiated a succession process, led by Ann Godbehere, to find his replacement. Sir Mark has been praised for his strategic guidance and leadership, particularly through the COVID-19 pandemic and the Group CEO succession process. He will remain as a strategic adviser during the transition. This change marks a significant moment for HSBC as it continues its development and growth under the leadership of Group CEO Georges Elhedery.

Spark’s Take on GB:HSBA Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:HSBA is a Outperform.

HSBC’s strong financial performance and strategic initiatives, including share buybacks and solid earnings, are significant strengths. The stock’s valuation is attractive, with a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield. Technical indicators suggest stability but caution due to potential overbought conditions. Overall, HSBC is well-positioned within the banking sector, despite some macroeconomic uncertainties.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:HSBA stock, click here.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
HSBC Executes Share Buy-Back to Optimize Capital Structure
Neutral
Apr 4, 2025

HSBC Holdings PLC announced the purchase and cancellation of 1.9 million of its ordinary shares as part of a buy-back program initiated in February 2025. This move, conducted through UK venues, is part of a broader strategy to manage the company’s share capital, having repurchased over 149 million shares for approximately $1.693 billion. The cancellation of these shares will adjust the company’s issued ordinary share capital, impacting shareholder calculations under regulatory guidelines.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
HSBC Executes Strategic Share Buy-Back to Enhance Shareholder Value
Positive
Feb 21, 2025

HSBC Holdings has announced the repurchase and cancellation of 3,793,287 ordinary shares, valued at approximately US$42.3 million, as part of its previously announced buy-back program. This strategic move, involving transactions on both the London and Hong Kong Stock Exchanges, aims to optimize capital structure and enhance shareholder value, impacting the total voting rights and share capital of the company.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
HSBC Publishes New Base Prospectus Supplement
Neutral
Feb 21, 2025

HSBC Holdings plc has announced the approval and publication of a base prospectus supplement by the Financial Conduct Authority. This document, which updates the base prospectus from March 2024 and its subsequent supplements, is now available for investors to view online. The publication of this supplement is an important step in HSBC’s financial operations, potentially impacting its market positioning and providing stakeholders with updated financial information.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
HSBC Holdings Releases 2024 Annual Report
Neutral
Feb 21, 2025

HSBC Holdings plc has released its 2024 Annual Report on Form 20-F, which has been filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. This document is now accessible on the company’s website and has also been submitted to the National Storage Mechanism for public inspection, reflecting the company’s commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
HSBC Announces $2 Billion Share Buy-Back Program
Positive
Feb 20, 2025

HSBC Holdings plc announced a share buy-back program to reduce its outstanding ordinary shares, with a maximum expenditure of US$2 billion. The buy-back, facilitated through Merrill Lynch International, will occur on various stock exchanges including the London Stock Exchange and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with the repurchased shares set to be cancelled, marking a strategic move to optimize shareholder value.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
HSBC Submits 2024 Annual Report for Inspection
Neutral
Feb 19, 2025

HSBC Holdings plc has submitted its Annual Report for the year ending December 31, 2024, to the National Storage Mechanism. The report, which will soon be available online, provides the required regulated information and will be mailed in hard copy to shareholders who have requested it, reflecting the company’s commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
HSBC Holdings Reports Strong 2024 Financial Performance Amid Strategic Restructuring
Positive
Feb 19, 2025

HSBC Holdings reported a strong financial performance for 2024, with profit before tax increasing by $2.0 billion to $32.3 billion, driven by strategic business disposals and revenue growth in key segments like Wealth and Personal Banking. The company continues to focus on strategic simplification and cost management, aiming for sustainable growth and returns, despite challenges such as decreased net interest income and increased operating expenses. HSBC’s strategic moves, including business disposals and restructuring, are set to enhance its market positioning, with a focus on growth areas and maintaining strong capital ratios.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
HSBC Adjusts Capital Recognition for Legacy Debt Securities
Neutral
Feb 19, 2025

HSBC Holdings plc has announced that it will no longer recognize certain legacy New York law-governed subordinated and senior debt securities as part of its tier 2 capital instruments for UK CRR purposes, nor towards its minimum requirement for own funds and eligible liabilities (MREL). This decision is aimed at maintaining the eligibility of HSBC’s other non-legacy tier 2 securities and aligning with the Bank of England’s policies on securities without a CROB clause. The move would have decreased HSBC’s MREL by 54 basis points and its total capital ratio by 46 basis points had it been implemented at the end of 2024, though it has no impact on the total capital ratio excluding transitional arrangements.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial Disclosures
HSBC Holdings to Present 2024 Annual Results in Investor Meeting
Neutral
Feb 19, 2025

HSBC Holdings announced an investor and analyst Zoom meeting for February 19th, 2025, featuring presentations from Group Chief Executive Georges Elhedery and Group Chief Financial Officer Pam Kaur. This meeting is part of HSBC’s annual results presentation for 2024, highlighting the company’s performance and strategic direction, which could influence its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
HSBC Executes Share Cancellation as Part of Capital Management
Neutral
Feb 18, 2025

HSBC Holdings PLC announced the cancellation of 10,868,800 ordinary shares that were previously repurchased on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. This reduction brings the company’s total number of voting shares to 17,824,985,413, impacting shareholder calculations under various financial regulations. The move is part of HSBC’s ongoing capital management strategy, which can influence its market positioning by potentially altering shareholder composition and voting rights.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.