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Greatland Resources (GGP) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:GGP

Greatland Resources

(LSE:GGP)

Select Model
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:GBX 585.00â–²(18.28% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/24/26

The score is supported primarily by strong financial performance (high margins, robust cash generation, and very low leverage) and an attractive low P/E valuation. These positives are partially offset by very weak technicals, with the stock trading below all key moving averages and showing bearish momentum despite oversold readings.

Positive Factors
Revenue and profitability growthThe sharp increase in revenue and strong profitability indicate that the company has reached meaningful operating scale. If maintained, these margins can support reinvestment, strengthen resilience through normal operating fluctuations, and provide a durable foundation for future earnings generation.
Negative Factors
Earnings sustainability riskThe recent earnings step-change is not yet supported by a long operating history at the current scale. The contrast with several years of negligible revenue and losses makes durability a central risk, particularly if operations or profitability fail to remain at present levels.

Greatland Resources (GGP) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%GB:GGP+41.74%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
GBP 3.33B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.92M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
8.0
Beta (1Y)
1.84
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
UK
Employees
32
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Gold

Greatland Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Greatland Gold plc is a natural resources firm dedicated to discovering and advancing mineral assets across the United Kingdom and Australia. The company primarily targets deposits of gold, copper, cobalt, and nickel. In Western Australia, it maintai...

How the Company Makes Money

Greatland Resources makes money primarily through its economic interest in gold and copper production from projects in which it participates (notably Havieron) and, where applicable, through the sale of produced metals. In practice, this revenue is d...

Greatland Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials show a major step-change to scale and profitability in 2025–2026: 2026 revenue ~1.14B (+22.8% YoY) with very high margins (gross ~54%, operating ~52%, net ~38). Balance sheet leverage is extremely low (debt-to-equity ~0.01 in 2026) with expanded equity and strong ROE (~37% in 2026). Cash generation is strong (operating cash flow ~620M; free cash flow ~409M), though FCF dipped ~5.9% in 2026 and the key risk is sustainability given the sharp turnaround from 2021–2024 pre-revenue losses.

Income Statement

86Very Positive

Balance Sheet

90Very Positive

Cash Flow

82Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.15B1.14B459.06M000
Gross Profit624.21M619.38M237.83M-187.00K-315.00K-347.69K
EBITDA677.78M672.57M225.35M-13.72M-18.76M-11.18M
Net Income439.05M435.34M161.72M-14.87M-21.12M-11.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.66B1.66B1.01B89.96M105.04M55.27M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments672.80M672.80M275.55M4.81M31.15M18.80M
Total Debt11.58M11.58M15.14M41.80M41.91M43.38M
Total Liabilities496.87M496.87M371.74M49.01M52.56M49.55M
Stockholders Equity1.16B1.16B642.59M40.95M52.48M5.73M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow422.60M408.52M201.06M-24.59M-25.99M-26.52M
Operating Cash Flow641.55M620.17M288.24M-12.20M-11.47M-5.97M
Investing Cash Flow-261.61M-252.89M-221.76M-12.99M-26.85M-28.96M
Financing Cash Flow-9.36M-9.05M198.81M-918.00K61.55M38.39M

Greatland Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price494.60

Price Trends

50DMA566.66Negative
100DMA589.05Negative
200DMA635.00Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-15.75Negative
RSI42.08Neutral
STOCH77.02Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:GGP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 494.60 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 512.30, below the 50-day MA of 566.66, and below the 200-day MA of 635.00, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -15.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:GGP.

Greatland Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

GB:GGP against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GB:PAFGB:PAF88OutperformGBP 2.55B5.3561.74%2.09%106.49%139.42%
GB:SRBGB:SRB76OutperformGBP 136.59M2.7535.76%0.03%63.34%67.29%
GB:GGPGB:GGP73OutperformGBP 3.33B7.9643.78%―――
GB:HOCGB:HOC72OutperformGBP 2.22B9.9435.59%1.54%37.18%95.38%
GB:ALTNGB:ALTN71OutperformGBP 223.04M3.8743.53%―67.48%66.08%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
GB:AAZGB:AAZ51NeutralGBP 447.03M10.2453.59%0.77%220.16%―

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%GB:GGPGB:ALTNGB:AAZGB:HOCGB:PAFGB:SRBDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
GB:GGP and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:GGPGreatland Resources Limited494.60121.6032.60%
GB:ALTNAltynGold Plc816.00-96.00-10.53%
GB:AAZAnglo Asian Mining390.00184.0189.33%
GB:HOCHochschild Mining430.80106.7832.95%
GB:PAFPan African Resources104.5021.4625.84%
GB:SRBSerabi Gold Plc (UK)179.00-68.54-27.69%

Greatland Resources Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Greatland Resources to Present September Quarter Results via Investor Webcast

Positive
Oct 19, 2026

Greatland Resources will lodge its Quarterly Activities report for the September 2026 quarter with the ASX on 26 October 2026 and will present the results via a webcast the same day for shareholders, analysts, media and other stakeholders. The compan...

Business Operations and Strategy

Greatland Resources Updates on Employee Equity Incentive Exercises and Lapses

Neutral
Oct 16, 2026

Greatland Resources has reported the exercise of 230,000 vested options and 583,963 vested performance rights by employees under its equity incentive plan. Each security converted into one fully paid ordinary share, satisfied through transfers from t...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Greatland Resources Grants FY27 Performance Rights to Align Incentives With Growth Targets

Positive
Oct 16, 2026

Greatland Resources has granted a total of 774,272 FY27 long‑term incentive performance rights to employees under its equity incentive plan, including awards to Chief Operating Officer Nickolas Strong and Chief Financial Officer Monique Connoll...

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings

Greatland Resources sets hybrid 2026 AGM for November in Western Australia

Positive
Oct 16, 2026

Greatland Resources has scheduled its 2026 Annual General Meeting for 19 November 2026 at the University Club of Western Australia in Crawley, with proceedings accessible both in person and virtually. The notice of meeting is available on the company...

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

Greatland CFO Exercises Performance Rights Without Share Dilution

Positive
Oct 15, 2026

Greatland Resources has disclosed that Chief Financial Officer Monique Connolly has exercised a total of 78,395 vested performance rights, converting them into ordinary shares in the company. The rights, priced at A$0.04 and expiring in 2034 and 2035...

Business Operations and Strategy

Greatland Resources updates corporate presentation for gold-copper portfolio

Positive
Sep 23, 2026

Greatland Resources, a dual-listed gold and copper miner with core operations in Western Australia’s Paterson Province, controls the Telfer mine, the world-class Havieron development and a significant exploration portfolio in the surrounding re...

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

Greatland Resources Discloses Share Sales by Senior Directors

Neutral
Sep 2, 2026

Greatland Resources has disclosed share dealings by senior board members, in line with UK Market Abuse Regulation requirements. The announcement details that Non-Executive Deputy Chair Elizabeth Gaines and Non-Executive Director Michael Alexander Bor...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 24, 2026