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Coats Group plc (COA) AI Stock Analysis

GB:COA

Coats Group plc

(LSE:COA)

Select Model
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:GBX 94.00â–²(11.51% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/30/26

The score is driven primarily by strengthened financial performance (notably improved cash generation and a significantly de-levered balance sheet) and a supportive technical setup with price above major moving averages. This is tempered by only fair valuation (P/E ~20.6) and earnings-call risks tied to acquisition-related finance costs and some near-term operational headwinds, despite maintained guidance and synergy upside.

Positive Factors
Market outperformance and share gainsGrowing organically while the core markets contract indicates resilient customer positioning and execution. Continued share gains can support durable revenue growth, improve scale benefits, and reinforce Coats’ role as a preferred supplier across global apparel and footwear manufacturing.
Negative Factors
Acquisition-related finance burdenHigher acquisition funding costs are currently absorbing part of the operating improvement and reducing earnings available to shareholders. Until leverage falls and synergies offset financing expense, interest burden may constrain EPS growth and limit financial flexibility for further strategic investment.

Coats Group plc (COA) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%GB:COA+8.23%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
GBP 1.61B
Dividend Yield
2.95%
Average Volume (3M)
2.73M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
20.9
Beta (1Y)
1.12
Revenue Growth
4.98%
EPS Growth
-17.37%
Country
UK
Employees
19,000
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Manufacturing - Textiles

Coats Group plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Coats Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in thread manufacturing, structural components for apparel and footwear, and performance materials worldwide. The company provides threads, yarns, zips, composites, structural components, insol...

How the Company Makes Money

Coats makes money primarily by selling industrial threads and related textile components to manufacturers and brands, with revenue recognized from the supply of these products through its global manufacturing and distribution network. Its key revenue...

Coats Group plc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 27, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:9.73%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 10, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call conveyed a broadly positive operational and strategic performance despite a challenging macro backdrop. Key strengths included market outperformance (1% organic growth against mid-single-digit market declines), maintained near-20% group EBIT margin, identified significant OrthoLite synergies (both cost and material incremental sales synergies), strong cash generation (H1 free cash flow $30m) and increased dividend. Challenges were mainly acquisition-related (OrthoLite short-term revenue softness from capacity constraints), higher interest costs and a modest decline in EPS and some divisional margin pressure driven by strategic investments. Management reiterated unchanged guidance, confidence in H2 improvement and a clear plan to deliver additional cost benefits and revenue synergies.

Positive Updates

Organic Revenue Growth and Market Outperformance
Group revenue of $837 million, up 1% on an organic constant exchange rate basis, achieved while apparel and footwear end markets declined by mid-single digits — demonstrating consistent outperformance versus end markets.

Negative Updates

OrthoLite H1 Revenue Weakness and Capacity Constraints
OrthoLite revenue was below H1 2025 on a pro forma basis due to strong prior period comparators, subdued market conditions and temporary capacity challenges at an Indonesia facility that caused a sales shortfall with a customer.

Company Guidance

Guidance for 2026 was maintained: management expects an H2 improvement in EBIT despite assuming modest end‑market declines, driven by secured pricing, supply stability and around $15m of incremental cost benefits in H2 (including $5m of OrthoLite synergies), with profit "in line with market expectations" and good year‑on‑year earnings growth; working capital is expected to significantly unwind in H2 with working capital running at ~12% of sales for the full year; FY capex remains $40–45m plus $5m for a Coats capacity expansion (production from Q1 2027); OrthoLite synergies remain on track ($5m in 2026, at least $20m by 2028) and $40m+ of incremental annual sales synergies identified by 2030; the group sits with net debt of $842m (pro‑forma leverage 2.3x at H1) and remains fully on track to reduce leverage to ≤2x by year‑end, while delivering strong free cash flow (H1 pre‑dividends $30m) and targeting $1bn cumulative free cash flow over the next five years.

Coats Group plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial statements indicate meaningful improvement: rising net income (2023–2025), a sharp step-up in operating and free cash flow in 2025, and a major de-leveraging with higher equity. Key risk is historical volatility (including a 2022 loss) and uneven revenue growth, so sustainability of the latest improvement remains the main watch-out.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

81Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.59B1.46B1.50B1.39B1.58B1.45B
Gross Profit581.86M573.80M511.00M483.30M486.80M461.60M
EBITDA335.62M315.50M278.20M260.40M233.30M230.40M
Net Income105.21M103.40M80.10M56.50M-14.70M88.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.55B2.59B1.61B1.71B1.92B1.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments184.15M232.08M146.00M132.40M172.40M107.20M
Total Debt1.11B1.14B678.50M603.30M672.20M353.30M
Total Liabilities1.78B1.82B1.23B1.12B1.24B927.20M
Stockholders Equity735.30M722.76M346.10M558.10M616.50M553.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow190.44M198.38M68.10M92.90M62.60M97.40M
Operating Cash Flow221.53M231.15M95.80M123.90M96.40M128.60M
Investing Cash Flow-593.86M-580.33M-61.30M-20.30M-319.30M-30.00M
Financing Cash Flow390.52M435.75M3.60M-147.00M295.00M-57.60M

Coats Group plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price84.30

Price Trends

50DMA80.75Positive
100DMA79.66Positive
200DMA81.24Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.85Positive
RSI60.28Neutral
STOCH62.48Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:COA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 84.30 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 83.00, above the 50-day MA of 80.75, and above the 200-day MA of 81.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.85 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:COA.

Coats Group plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

GB:COA against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GB:NXTGB:NXT80OutperformGBP 17.53B19.1958.63%4.09%12.52%19.24%
GB:COAGB:COA74OutperformGBP 1.61B20.9414.43%2.95%4.98%-17.37%
GB:MKSGB:MKS62NeutralGBP 8.52B33.478.86%1.02%25.02%-13.12%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
GB:ASCGB:ASC53NeutralGBP 514.49M-2.22-155.17%―-15.00%21.71%
GB:BRBYGB:BRBY50NeutralGBP 3.80B183.452.29%―-1.67%―
GB:DEBSGB:DEBS48NeutralGBP 390.77M-5.27183.74%―120.30%66.52%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%GB:COAGB:ASCGB:BRBYGB:MKSGB:NXTGB:DEBSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
GB:COA and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:COACoats Group84.305.637.16%
GB:ASCASOS plc430.00194.5082.59%
GB:BRBYBurberry Group plc1053.00-162.00-13.33%
GB:MKSMarks And Spencer (Uk)412.0028.017.29%
GB:NXTNext Plc15355.001669.5712.20%
GB:DEBSboohoo group Plc25.5013.50112.50%

Coats Group plc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Coats Group Announces Board Departure and Committee Leadership Changes

Neutral
Sep 28, 2026

Coats Group plc, a leading industrial thread and footwear components maker serving the apparel and footwear supply chain, leverages more than 250 years of expertise to deliver materials, components, and software that support customer growth and compe...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2026