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Churchill China (CHH) AI Stock Analysis

GB:CHH

Churchill China

(LSE:CHH)

Select Model
Rating:85Outperform
Price Target:GBX 411.00â–²(8.16% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/06/26

The overall score reflects a compelling blend of financial strength and reasonable valuation, led by an exceptionally conservative balance sheet with very low leverage and healthy returns on equity that reduce financial risk. Attractive pricing, with a single-digit P/E and a dividend yield above 5%, further supports the investment case by offering both value and income. Technical momentum is clearly favorable, with the price above all major moving averages and positive MACD confirming an established uptrend, though the high RSI indicates the stock may be near an overbought area, suggesting investors consider entry timing carefully. Mild risks stem from historical volatility in gross margins and free cash flow within this cyclical sector, but the current trajectory of recovering revenues and strengthening cash flows supports the strong overall score.

Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheetMinimal leverage limits interest and refinancing pressure, giving Churchill China greater resilience if hospitality demand weakens. Steadily growing equity and strong returns achieved without relying on debt also preserve flexibility to fund investment, dividends, or expansion.
Negative Factors
Uneven revenue momentumThe recent pattern of small revenue declines shows that growth is not yet consistently established. Continued uneven demand could limit operating leverage, make planning less predictable, and leave earnings more dependent on periodic hospitality recovery or customer replacement cycles.

Churchill China (CHH) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%GB:CHH+10.46%EWC+24.02%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
GBP 40.69M
Dividend Yield
5.68%
Average Volume (3M)
14.40K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.9
Beta (1Y)
0.42
Revenue Growth
-1.20%
EPS Growth
-26.38%
Country
UK
Employees
687
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Churchill China Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Churchill China plc, a UK-headquartered company based in Stoke-on-Trent, specializes in the global manufacturing and sale of ceramic and related products. Established in 1795, its extensive product range serves markets across the United Kingdom, Euro...

How the Company Makes Money

Churchill China makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling ceramic tableware to commercial customers in the hospitality and foodservice market. Its core revenue stream is product sales from its own-branded tableware ranges, where it earns rev...

Churchill China Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is strong overall, supported by a very robust balance sheet with minimal debt and consistently solid returns on equity, alongside a clear recovery in revenue and operating cash flow since 2020. The balance sheet is a standout with debt-to-equity below 0.02 and expanding equity, while improving cash generation and stable net profit margins in the 8–9% range further reinforce quality. The score is moderated slightly below the balance sheet’s peak due to inconsistent gross margins and past volatility in free cash flow, which introduce some cyclical risk.

Income Statement

82Very Positive

Balance Sheet

92Very Positive

Cash Flow

78Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue75.24M76.28M78.28M82.34M82.53M60.84M
Gross Profit-32.68M5.79M67.38M74.85M9.17M50.79M
EBITDA9.52M9.59M12.29M14.37M12.62M8.83M
Net Income3.73M4.36M6.37M7.72M7.89M4.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets77.50M80.33M79.11M80.55M75.87M64.30M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.53M10.81M10.10M13.93M14.66M19.05M
Total Debt2.20M3.38M918.00K1.01M730.00K409.00K
Total Liabilities15.76M18.79M17.85M20.61M19.23M21.62M
Stockholders Equity61.73M61.54M61.26M59.94M56.65M42.68M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.15M4.99M645.00K3.07M-731.00K6.00M
Operating Cash Flow8.43M7.45M3.65M8.47M3.97M9.75M
Investing Cash Flow-2.23M-2.42M-3.10M-296.00K-5.74M-3.71M
Financing Cash Flow-3.26M-4.32M-4.38M-3.85M-3.68M-1.73M

Churchill China Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price380.00

Price Trends

50DMA362.60Positive
100DMA359.85Positive
200DMA348.41Positive

Market Momentum

MACD1.42Negative
RSI59.08Neutral
STOCH38.10Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CHH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 380.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 363.30, above the 50-day MA of 362.60, and above the 200-day MA of 348.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:CHH.

Churchill China Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

GB:CHH against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GB:CHHGB:CHH85OutperformGBP 40.14M10.886.05%5.68%-1.20%-26.38%
GB:SDGGB:SDG66NeutralGBP 52.39M17.994.12%2.07%4.46%―
GB:CFXGB:CFX63NeutralGBP 63.45M9.7922.35%0.46%5.39%29.75%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
GB:ULTPGB:ULTP61NeutralGBP 42.40M11.327.63%6.22%-3.48%-36.60%
GB:LIKEGB:LIKE54NeutralGBP 147.34M72.413.23%1.05%11.51%9.26%
GB:PMPGB:PMP29UnderperformGBP 22.67M-0.77-15.27%―-1.44%-9296.83%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%GB:CHHGB:CFXGB:PMPGB:ULTPGB:SDGGB:LIKEDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
GB:CHH and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:CHHChurchill China370.0030.328.93%
GB:CFXColefax Group plc1370.00454.7449.68%
GB:PMPPortmeirion Group plc44.50-58.00-56.59%
GB:ULTPUltimate Products plc49.00-11.58-19.11%
GB:SDGSanderson Design Group PLC72.5025.9255.65%
GB:LIKELikewise Group Plc42.0016.3964.02%

Churchill China Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDividendsFinancial Disclosures

Churchill China stabilises sales but profits slip amid hospitality headwinds

Neutral
Sep 7, 2026

Churchill China reported interim revenue of £37.4 million for the six months to 30 June 2026, down 2.9% year on year, as UK hospitality and materials sales softened in a contracting market while European and U.S. revenues edged higher. Profit be...

Business Operations and Strategy

Churchill China Names Panmure Liberum as New Adviser and Sole Broker

Positive
Sep 7, 2026

Churchill China has appointed Panmure Liberum as its new Nominated Advisor and Sole Broker with immediate effect, replacing its previous advisory and broking arrangements on the AIM market. The move is expected to strengthen the company’s capit...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Churchill China Sets Date for Interim Results and Analyst Briefing

Positive
Aug 28, 2026

Churchill China has announced it will publish its interim results for the six months to 30 June 2026 on 7 September 2026, providing investors and the market with an update on its trading performance in the first half of the year. The company will als...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Churchill China Completes CEO Succession as James Roper Takes Helm

Positive
Aug 26, 2026

Churchill China plc has completed its planned leadership succession programme with the appointment of long-serving Sales and Marketing Director James Roper as chief executive, succeeding Dave O’Connor after his 35-year tenure at the company, in...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Churchill China CFO Michael Cunningham to Step Down

Neutral
Aug 21, 2026

Churchill China has announced that its Chief Financial Officer and Executive Director, Michael Cunningham, has resigned to pursue other opportunities. The board expressed appreciation for his three-year tenure and confirmed that he is expected to rem...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Churchill China Reports Stabilising Hospitality Demand and Strong Cash Generation

Positive
Jul 31, 2026

Churchill China reported that first-half 2026 external sales dipped marginally to £37.4 million from £38.5 million a year earlier, signalling stabilisation after 2025’s declines in hospitality demand. Added-value hospitality products...

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings

Churchill China Appoints Forvis Mazars as New Auditor After Tender

Neutral
Jun 17, 2026

Churchill China has appointed Forvis Mazars LLP as its new statutory auditor, following shareholder approval at its 29 May 2026 annual general meeting. The move follows a competitive tender process in which incumbent auditor PricewaterhouseCoopers LL...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026