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Cerillion (CER) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CER

Cerillion

(LSE:CER)

Select Model
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:GBX 756.00â–²(5.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/15/26

Strong financial performance (high margins, low leverage, and solid cash conversion) is the main positive, but it is materially offset by weak technicals (price below all key moving averages and bearish momentum/oversold signals). Valuation is supportive with a reasonable P/E and a modest dividend yield.

Positive Factors
High ProfitabilityCerillion’s unusually strong margins indicate an economically attractive software model with substantial value captured from each unit of revenue. If maintained, this profitability provides resilience, supports investment in product development, and gives the company capacity to absorb execution or market pressures.
Negative Factors
Declining EPSThe decline in earnings per share indicates that profit attributable to each share has weakened despite the company’s strong reported margins. Sustained EPS pressure would limit the pace of earnings compounding and could signal that profitability is not translating into equivalent shareholder-level growth.

Cerillion (CER) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%GB:CER-48.34%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
GBP 212.70M
Dividend Yield
2.24%
Average Volume (3M)
166.93K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
15.7
Beta (1Y)
1.69
Revenue Growth
0.72%
EPS Growth
-3.71%
Country
UK
Employees
367
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Application

Cerillion Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 1999 and headquartered in London, UK, Cerillion Plc is an international provider of specialized software solutions for the telecommunications sector. The company primarily focuses on delivering robust platforms for billing, charging, a...

How the Company Makes Money

Cerillion makes money mainly by licensing its BSS software and providing ongoing support and services around that software. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Software licence revenue: upfront and/or term-based fees for the right to use Ceril...

Cerillion Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong fundamentals overall: solid revenue growth (+7.61%) with very high profitability (gross margin 76.19%, net margin 36.64%, EBIT margin 48.29%, EBITDA margin 53.61%). Balance sheet risk looks low with minimal leverage (debt-to-equity 0.06) and a strong equity base (equity ratio 79.20%). Cash generation is healthy with good earnings-to-cash conversion (operating cash flow to net income 1.11) and strong free cash flow relative to net income (0.97).

Income Statement

85Very Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

80Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue42.45M45.36M43.75M39.17M32.73M26.07M
Gross Profit31.29M34.56M35.20M30.81M22.52M20.41M
EBITDA19.89M24.32M21.99M18.83M14.03M10.47M
Net Income13.69M16.62M15.26M12.93M9.34M6.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets75.91M75.27M63.10M52.78M42.63M35.67M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.47M34.40M29.85M24.74M20.25M13.17M
Total Debt4.00M3.31M2.80M3.16M4.03M4.81M
Total Liabilities15.33M15.66M14.59M15.90M15.90M15.46M
Stockholders Equity60.58M59.61M48.51M36.88M26.73M20.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.37M12.81M9.70M8.32M10.73M8.53M
Operating Cash Flow7.85M13.23M11.21M9.75M12.34M9.80M
Investing Cash Flow-2.26M-2.28M-1.51M-1.43M-1.61M-1.27M
Financing Cash Flow-4.33M-6.40M-4.54M-3.76M-3.76M-3.61M

Cerillion Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price720.00

Price Trends

50DMA779.44Negative
100DMA913.99Negative
200DMA1152.13Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-11.50Negative
RSI49.99Neutral
STOCH95.83Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CER, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 720.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 691.25, below the 50-day MA of 779.44, and below the 200-day MA of 1152.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -11.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.83 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:CER.

Cerillion Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

GB:CER against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GB:SGEGB:SGE81OutperformGBP 10.48B28.3881.91%1.93%8.75%15.70%
GB:NETGB:NET70OutperformGBP 219.22M138.173.23%0.73%20.24%-62.04%
GB:CERGB:CER66NeutralGBP 212.74M15.6522.77%2.24%0.72%-3.71%
GB:DOTDGB:DOTD64NeutralGBP 156.31M17.118.80%2.35%3.82%-18.43%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
GB:APTDGB:APTD54NeutralGBP 111.22M33.776.17%2.65%-9.87%-22.86%
GB:GBGGB:GBG54NeutralGBP 366.83M-4.98-14.39%2.74%0.82%-997.08%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%GB:CERGB:DOTDGB:GBGGB:APTDGB:NETGB:SGEDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
GB:CER and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:CERCerillion plc720.00-693.44-49.06%
GB:DOTDDotdigital Group plc51.50-15.26-22.86%
GB:GBGGB Group plc160.40-72.00-30.98%
GB:APTDAptitude Software Group plc204.00-81.21-28.47%
GB:NETNetcall plc128.503.572.86%
GB:SGESage Group plc1163.5018.991.66%

Cerillion Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

Cerillion Director Buys 20,000 Shares in AIM-Listed Software Group

Positive
Oct 22, 2026

Cerillion has disclosed that non-executive director Guy O’Connor purchased 20,000 ordinary shares in the company at an average price of £6.90 per share on 21 October 2026. The transaction, conducted on AIM and reported under UK Market Abus...

Business Operations and Strategy

Cerillion Secures Spot in Gartner Magic Quadrant for AI-Enabled CSP Solutions

Positive
Oct 7, 2026

Cerillion has been named in the 2026 Gartner Magic Quadrant for CSP AI-Enabled Marketing and Sales Solutions, underlining its role as a specialist provider of billing, charging and CRM software to global communications service providers. The recognit...

Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Cerillion Updates Share Capital After LTIP Option Exercise

Neutral
Oct 5, 2026

Cerillion plc has adjusted its capital structure following the exercise of share options under its Long-Term Incentive Plan by a former employee. The company bought 3,462 ordinary shares into treasury at an average price of £7.06 and immediately...

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements

Cerillion Boosts Telesur’s Capabilities with Smooth Upgrade to BSS/OSS Suite 26.1

Positive
Sep 28, 2026

Cerillion has completed a major upgrade of its business support and operations support system for Telesur, Suriname’s sole full-service telecoms operator, rolling out the latest Cerillion 26.1 suite. The deployment enhances Telesur’s abil...

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

Cerillion discloses CMO’s Bed & ISA share transfer

Neutral
Sep 17, 2026

Cerillion has disclosed a share dealing transaction by Chief Marketing Officer Andrew Smith, who carried out a “Bed & ISA” transfer involving ordinary shares of the company. The move shifts shares from his dealing account into tax-eff...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Cerillion cuts revenue outlook as order delays hit full-year performance

Negative
Sep 14, 2026

Cerillion has warned that its full-year revenue and earnings will fall short of market expectations, despite a strong second-half performance, as delays and deferrals in new and existing customer orders weigh on results. The company now expects reven...

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Cerillion updates share capital after employee SAYE option exercise

Neutral
Aug 3, 2026

Cerillion has a 26-year history supplying mission-critical billing, charging and customer relationship management software, mainly to telecoms operators but also to utilities and financial services firms worldwide. Headquartered in London with operat...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 15, 2026