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Cake Box Holdings
(LSE:CBOX)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
193.00 p
▼(-1.03% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/01/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (revenue growth and strong gross margins), partially offset by higher leverage and weaker recent cash conversion. Technicals are a notable headwind with the price below key moving averages and negative MACD, while valuation is supportive due to the high dividend yield and moderate P/E.
Positive Factors
Franchise-led operating model
The franchise-led model can support network expansion with less direct store capital than a company-operated estate, while central production and distribution create control over supplied products. As the estate grows, recurring franchise income and product supply sales can reinforce operating scale.
Negative Factors
Higher leverage
The significant step-up in debt relative to equity reduces financial flexibility compared with the company’s earlier position. Higher leverage can constrain investment and capital allocation choices, while making the business more exposed if trading conditions weaken or operating performance falls short.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Franchise-led operating model
The franchise-led model can support network expansion with less direct store capital than a company-operated estate, while central production and distribution create control over supplied products. As the estate grows, recurring franchise income and product supply sales can reinforce operating scale.
Read all positive factors
Cake Box Holdings (CBOX) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
£79.64M
Dividend Yield6%
Average Volume (3M)59.34K
Price to Earnings (P/E)15.2
Beta (1Y)0.40
Revenue Growth39.53%
EPS Growth8.81%
CountryUK
Employees377
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryFood Confectioners
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.12
Shares Outstanding44,000,000
10 Day Avg. Volume39,174
30 Day Avg. Volume59,339
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.59
Price to Book (P/B)3.03
Price to Sales (P/S)1.42
P/FCF Ratio11.95
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.17
Revenue Forecast (FY)£68.20M
Cake Box Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Cake Box Holdings Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the retail of fresh cream celebration cakes in the United Kingdom. The company sells cakes, cupcakes, cheesecakes, and treats; and party accessories, including balloons and candles....
How the Company Makes Money
Cake Box makes money primarily through a franchise-led model. Its key revenue streams typically include: (1) Franchise income: fees and ongoing charges paid by franchisees for the right to operate under the Cake Box brand (e.g., initial franchise ...
Cake Box Holdings Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
66
Positive
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 59.69M | 42.78M | 37.84M | 34.80M | 32.96M |
| Gross Profit | 32.05M | 22.46M | 19.61M | 16.04M | 14.85M |
| EBITDA | 12.56M | 7.76M | 7.72M | 6.66M | 8.80M |
| Net Income | 5.22M | 4.37M | 4.66M | 4.24M | 6.31M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 64.07M | 61.24M | 30.74M | 27.82M | 25.90M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.45M | 6.33M | 8.45M | 7.35M | 6.57M |
| Total Debt | 19.42M | 21.50M | 3.57M | 3.94M | 4.31M |
| Total Liabilities | 36.08M | 34.25M | 11.44M | 10.08M | 9.12M |
| Stockholders Equity | 27.99M | 26.99M | 19.30M | 17.74M | 16.78M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 7.09M | 3.53M | 4.93M | 4.19M | 4.08M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 9.35M | 6.60M | 6.28M | 6.15M | 5.21M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -5.89M | -25.15M | -1.14M | -1.90M | -1.12M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -7.34M | 16.42M | -4.03M | -3.47M | -2.65M |
Cake Box Holdings Technical Analysis
Negative
195.00
Price Trends
191.74
Negative
191.14
Negative
191.23
Negative
Market Momentum
-2.73
Positive
36.60
Neutral
28.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CBOX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 195 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 187.37, above the 50-day MA of 191.74, and above the 200-day MA of 191.23, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.73 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:CBOX.
Cake Box Holdings Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
82 Outperform | £29.20B | 17.59 | 16.05% | 3.05% | 5.43% | 15.57% | |
71 Outperform | £2.06B | 15.41 | 20.97% | 3.47% | 6.89% | -9.02% | |
67 Neutral | £1.69B | 12.44 | 9.74% | 1.76% | 2.31% | 9.04% | |
63 Neutral | £79.64M | 15.18 | 19.38% | 6.00% | 39.53% | 8.81% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
58 Neutral | £2.12B | -8.63 | -15.94% | ― | ― | ― | |
55 Neutral | £7.18B | 19.32 | 6.12% | 5.45% | 2.54% | 12.99% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
GB:CBOX
Cake Box Holdings
180.00
-8.41
-4.46%
GB:OCDO
Ocado Group
258.40
26.60
11.48%
GB:GRG
Greggs plc
1,988.00
383.04
23.87%
GB:PFD
Premier Foods
191.10
11.48
6.39%
GB:SBRY
J Sainsbury plc
326.00
15.93
5.14%
GB:TSCO
Tesco plc
474.80
40.23
9.26%
Cake Box Holdings Corporate Events
Other
Cake Box CEO Increases Stake With Fresh Share Purchase
Positive
Sep 29, 2026
Cake Box Holdings plc has disclosed that Chief Executive Officer Sukh Chamdal purchased 10,000 ordinary shares at 185 pence each on 28 September 2026. Following this transaction, Chamdal now holds 10,303,470 shares, representing about 23.42% of th...
Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Cake Box Secures Strong Shareholder Backing at AGM
Positive
Sep 2, 2026
Cake Box Holdings plc, the UK’s largest retailer of fresh cream celebration cakes, operates a predominantly franchised store network offering personalised, egg-free cakes tailored to birthdays, weddings and other celebrations. Its focus on c...
Other
Cake Box CEO boosts stake with fresh share purchase
Positive
Aug 24, 2026
Cake Box Holdings said chief executive Sukh Chamdal has increased his stake in the company with the purchase of 10,000 ordinary shares at 189 pence each on 21 August 2026. Following the transaction, Chamdal now holds 10,293,470 shares, giving him ...
Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Cake Box Publishes Annual Report and Sets Date for AGM
Positive
Aug 5, 2026
Cake Box Holdings has published its annual report and accounts for the 52 weeks ended 29 March 2026, and circulated the notice of its upcoming annual general meeting to shareholders via post and its investor website. The AGM will take place on 2 S...
Other
Cake Box CEO Boosts Stake with Fresh Share Purchase
Positive
Jul 1, 2026
Cake Box Holdings plc has disclosed that Chief Executive Officer Sukh Chamdal purchased 15,000 ordinary shares on 1 July 2026 at 201.5 pence per share on AIM, signalling increased personal investment in the business. Following this transaction, Ch...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.