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JFrog (FROG)
NASDAQ:FROG
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JFrog (FROG) AI Stock Analysis

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FROG

JFrog

(NASDAQ:FROG)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$92.00
▼(-0.86% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/17/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial quality (high margins, low leverage, and robust free cash flow) and a positive earnings call with raised guidance and accelerating cloud momentum. Offsetting these strengths are continued GAAP losses (and negative P/E) and a mixed technical picture with near-term weakness versus key moving averages.
Positive Factors
Cloud Expansion
Rapid cloud growth is shifting the business toward a recurring SaaS model with strong expansion potential. Increasing cloud mix can support more scalable delivery, deepen customer usage, and improve the durability and predictability of revenue over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent GAAP Losses
JFrog has improved its loss profile but has not yet established sustained GAAP profitability. Continued net losses can constrain reported returns and leave execution dependent on further operating leverage, making the transition to durable earnings an important medium-term hurdle.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cloud Expansion
Rapid cloud growth is shifting the business toward a recurring SaaS model with strong expansion potential. Increasing cloud mix can support more scalable delivery, deepen customer usage, and improve the durability and predictability of revenue over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

JFrog Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue across different business units, revealing which areas drive growth and where strategic focus may be needed.
Chart InsightsJFrog's Subscription Self-Managed and SaaS revenue has shown consistent growth, reflecting strong demand for its offerings. The latest earnings call highlights a 23% year-over-year increase in software revenue and a remarkable 45% growth in cloud revenue, now making up nearly half of total revenues. This growth is bolstered by strategic AI partnerships, such as with NVIDIA. However, potential slowdowns in cloud migrations due to AI infrastructure demands and macroeconomic uncertainties could pose risks to sustaining this momentum.
Data provided by:The Fly

JFrog (FROG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

JFrog Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
JFrog Ltd. delivers a comprehensive DevOps platform to businesses throughout the United States, providing a suite of tools designed to streamline software development and delivery. At the heart of their offerings is JFrog Artifactory, a flexible p...
How the Company Makes Money
JFrog primarily makes money by selling subscriptions to its software platform. Revenue is generated mainly through (1) self-managed subscriptions, where customers pay recurring fees to deploy and operate JFrog’s products in their own environments ...

JFrog Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong, broad-based financial and operational execution: robust revenue growth (+29% YoY), rapid cloud expansion (+53% YoY cloud growth), improving margins, record free cash flow, sizable RPO growth (+38% YoY) and a raised full-year outlook. Security momentum, enterprise upsells and strategic AI partnerships were emphasized as durable growth engines. Offsetting risks include a self-hosted vulnerability incident, rising AI-powered supply-chain attack frequency, significant self-hosted exposure (~47%), and forecasting variability from consumption overages and derisked large deals. Overall, positive execution and financial trends outweigh the noted risks, which management positions as addressable and in some cases accelerants for security and cloud demand.
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $163.8M in Q2 2026, up 29% year-over-year, exceeding the high end of guidance across all metrics.
Negative Updates
Self-Hosted Vulnerability Incident
A zero-day vulnerability in self-hosted Artifactory was discovered by an OpenAI model; although remediated quickly and cloud SaaS was not breached, the event highlights operational risk in self-hosted deployments and increased scrutiny from customers.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $163.8M in Q2 2026, up 29% year-over-year, exceeding the high end of guidance across all metrics.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
JFrog’s guidance for 2026 called for a Q3 revenue range of $164–$166M, Q3 non‑GAAP operating profit of $27–$29M and Q3 non‑GAAP diluted EPS of $0.22–$0.24 (assuming ~130M shares); full‑year 2026 revenue was raised to $648–$652M (about 22% y/y at the midpoint) with full‑year non‑GAAP operating income of $116–$120M and non‑GAAP diluted EPS of $0.96–$1.00 (assuming ~129M shares). Management reiterated annual gross margin of 82%–83%, raised baseline cloud growth to 41%–43%, set a net‑dollar‑retention floor of 120% for 2026, and noted the outlook excludes any benefit from cloud usage above contractual commitments.

JFrog Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong underlying business quality: revenue has scaled materially, gross margins are consistently high (~77–80%), the balance sheet carries minimal leverage, and free cash flow is robust and growing (~$170M TTM). The main drag is continued GAAP net losses and negative ROE, despite meaningful improvement in margins and loss narrowing.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue599.96M531.84M428.49M349.89M280.04M206.68M
Gross Profit467.14M408.39M330.19M272.84M217.75M164.86M
EBITDA-18.39M-41.53M-44.36M-39.21M-70.09M-58.88M
Net Income-44.07M-71.82M-69.24M-61.26M-90.18M-64.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.49B1.34B1.13B972.56M871.22M852.53M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments824.49M705.13M522.01M545.01M443.20M421.13M
Total Debt14.57M19.13M20.16M36.18M40.79M47.32M
Total Liabilities528.64M453.93M356.38M293.43M246.45M213.95M
Stockholders Equity960.71M887.45M773.53M679.12M624.77M638.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow169.70M142.27M107.78M72.17M16.80M23.67M
Operating Cash Flow176.26M145.73M110.92M74.16M21.43M27.90M
Investing Cash Flow-170.07M-152.27M-165.36M-53.48M-53.34M-125.55M
Financing Cash Flow39.00M31.21M21.23M18.37M11.03M1.44M

JFrog Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price92.80
Price Trends
50DMA
92.87
Positive
100DMA
88.48
Positive
200DMA
69.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.42
Positive
RSI
49.82
Neutral
STOCH
33.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FROG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 92.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 94.93, below the 50-day MA of 92.87, and above the 200-day MA of 69.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FROG.

JFrog Risk Analysis

JFrog disclosed 71 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. JFrog reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

JFrog Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$10.21B25.3835.31%―16.18%―
78
Outperform
$1.36B7.9270.79%―2.30%―
76
Outperform
$18.42B120.185.72%4.32%17.94%-69.28%
75
Outperform
$9.32B-177.36-5.51%―22.99%-1190.91%
68
Neutral
$11.66B-228.61-4.85%―26.37%51.51%
66
Neutral
$3.99B-47.30-8.46%―20.35%48.42%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FROG
JFrog
84.31
36.97
78.09%
ESTC
Elastic
91.74
10.58
13.04%
PD
PagerDuty
16.16
0.64
4.12%
FSLY
Fastly
22.47
14.61
185.88%
DT
Dynatrace
61.11
12.97
26.94%
GTLB
Gitlab
52.76
7.45
16.44%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 17, 2026