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Inventiva (IVA) AI Stock Analysis

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FR:IVA

Inventiva

(Paris:IVA)

Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:EUR 3.50â–²(10.06% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/27/26

Overall score reflects a tug-of-war between weak fundamentals and better near-term execution visibility: financial performance is the biggest drag (shrinking revenue, widening losses, ongoing cash burn, and negative equity), while the earnings call provides meaningful offset via clear Phase III/NDA timeline and improved runway. Technicals and valuation contribute only modestly given mixed signals and limited valuation interpretability with negative earnings.

Positive Factors
Phase III ExecutionCompleting recruitment and final patient visits keeps Inventiva on a defined clinical timetable and reduces enrollment execution risk. The large, biopsy-confirmed cohort provides a meaningful validation event that could support regulatory progress and commercial planning over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Negative Equity and LeverageNegative equity indicates that accumulated losses have overwhelmed the capital base, limiting financial flexibility and weakening the balance sheet ahead of major development decisions. Increased debt further raises leverage pressure and can constrain the company's ability to absorb setbacks or fund future programs.

Inventiva (IVA) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%80%FR:IVA-13.47%EWQ-1.36%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
EUR 443.61M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
515.57K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-6.0
Beta (1Y)
0.15
Revenue Growth
-99.64%
EPS Growth
68.67%
Country
France
Employees
87
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Biotechnology

Inventiva Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Inventiva S.A. is a biopharmaceutical firm currently in the clinical development phase, specializing in creating orally administered small molecule treatments for conditions such as non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), mucopolysaccharidoses (MPS), a...

Inventiva Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 27, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:11.78%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 30, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly focused on positive clinical, regulatory, commercial, and financing progress: NATiV3 is fully recruited with the final 72-week visit completed, phase II-B results were described as robust, the balance sheet was strengthened, and cash runway covers the expected Q4 2026 readout and potential 2027 filing. The principal negatives were the pending phase III outcome, known weight gain and edema effects, lower-end liver stiffness results, increased marketing and G&A expenses, and financing runway beyond Q2 2027 remaining conditional. Highlights significantly outweighed the stated challenges.

Positive Updates

NATiV3 Phase III Trial Remains on Track
Inventiva remains on track to report top-line results from the NATiV3 phase III MASH trial in the fourth quarter of 2026. The last patient completed the final 72-week visit earlier in September, and the main cohort enrolled 1,009 participants with biopsy-confirmed non-cirrhotic MASH and F2 or F3 fibrosis.

Negative Updates

Lanifibranor Remains Unapproved and Phase III Results Are Pending
Lanifibranor's regulatory filings, potential approvals, and 2028 launch remain contingent on positive NATiV3 top-line results. The company said it is not yet guiding on the specific data that will be included in the Q4 readout.

Company Guidance

Inventiva remains on track to report NATiV3 top-line data in the fourth quarter of 2026 from the main cohort of 1,009 participants, is preparing for a potential NDA submission with the FDA in the first half of 2027, and is building for a potential commercial launch in 2028; the market potential is expected to exceed $15 billion by 2035. Current financing assumptions, existing resources, and completed financing transactions provide cash runway until the end of the second quarter of 2027, while, assuming full exercise of Tranche 3 warrants on the back of a positive top-line result and successful completion of Tranche C of the debt financing transaction, cash runway would extend to the start of the first quarter of 2028. The company secured new debt financing of up to EUR 130 million in three committed tranches, subject to conditions, with an initial drawdown of two tranches of EUR 75 million gross, plus an additional uncommitted tranche of up to EUR 20 million, and completed an underwritten public offering generating gross proceeds of EUR 103 million; it is not guiding on any future raises, top-line data contents, or what it expects over time for edema.

Inventiva Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial profile is high-risk: revenue deteriorated sharply in the latest year (~73% decline vs. prior year), losses widened, and cash burn remains large and persistent. Balance sheet flexibility is constrained by negative equity (2024–2025) alongside increased debt, which amplifies financing risk.

Income Statement

14Very Negative

Balance Sheet

18Very Negative

Cash Flow

16Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue49.00K4.48M14.72M17.48M12.18M4.19M
Gross Profit-2.56M1.57M9.20M17.50M11.18M3.18M
EBITDA-37.34M-133.10M-92.36M-102.04M-57.70M-52.27M
Net Income-247.72M-354.14M-184.21M-110.43M-54.27M-49.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets251.21M249.51M118.97M69.56M116.00M121.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments166.13M230.87M96.56M26.99M87.02M86.55M
Total Debt66.66M59.86M54.33M37.49M34.51M10.12M
Total Liabilities192.21M278.03M225.61M101.59M70.53M33.12M
Stockholders Equity59.00M-28.52M-106.65M-32.03M45.48M88.87M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-109.71M-105.13M-86.26M-82.15M-45.49M-48.16M
Operating Cash Flow-109.35M-104.88M-85.93M-81.61M-44.93M-47.63M
Investing Cash Flow-44.57M-133.19M8.74M-7.73M8.87M-1.79M
Financing Cash Flow196.96M241.29M145.59M29.08M37.27M25.45M

Inventiva Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3.18

Price Trends

50DMA3.33Negative
100DMA3.49Negative
200DMA4.16Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.01Negative
RSI51.76Neutral
STOCH78.55Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:IVA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.99, below the 50-day MA of 3.33, and below the 200-day MA of 4.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FR:IVA.

Inventiva Risk Analysis

Inventiva disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Inventiva reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Tech & Innovation - Risks related to the company’s reliance on technology and ability to make innovative products

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.Through the Royalty Certificates, we transferred to the holders thereof rights to receive certain payments in connection with potential future net sales of lanifibranor, if any, which may reduce our ability to realize potential future revenue from such sales.Q4, 2023

Inventiva Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

FR:IVA against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
FR:IVAFR:IVA50NeutralEUR 760.35M-6.00-1625.48%―-99.64%68.67%
FR:POXELFR:POXEL46NeutralEUR 8.87M-0.4333.88%―――
FR:ABVXFR:ABVX44NeutralEUR 6.92B-16.78-85.88%―――
FR:GNFTFR:GNFT44NeutralEUR 541.90M-5.32279.22%―27.70%-162.89%
FR:ALVALFR:ALVAL37UnderperformEUR 22.31M-2.13-87.66%―183.47%57.15%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%300%FR:IVAFR:GNFTFR:ABVXFR:POXELFR:ALVALDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
FR:IVA and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
FR:IVAInventiva SA3.18-0.34-9.66%
FR:GNFTGenfit SA10.867.31205.92%
FR:ABVXAbivax SA79.05-4.25-5.10%
FR:POXELPoxel SA0.17-0.17-50.30%
FR:ALVALValbiotis SA0.63-0.01-0.95%

Inventiva Corporate Events

Inventiva Showcases New Lanifibranor Data as Pan-PPAR MASH Strategy Advances

Oct 6, 2026

Inventiva will present three new scientific abstracts at AASLD The Liver Meeting 2026 detailing how its investigational MASH therapy lanifibranor exerts balanced activation of the three PPAR isoforms across multiple hepatic cell types implicated in f...

Inventiva Extends Cash Runway as Phase 3 MASH Trial Nears Key Readout

Sep 28, 2026

Inventiva reported a first-half 2026 net loss of €69.5 million as it ramped up spending on the Phase 3 NATiV3 trial of lanifibranor in MASH and related pre-commercial activities. The company ended June with €166.1 million in cash and &#83...

Inventiva Highlights Lanifibranor’s Metabolic and Cardiovascular Benefits in MASH

Sep 8, 2026

Inventiva reported new Phase 1 and Phase 2 clinical data, along with preclinical results, showing that lanifibranor improves insulin sensitivity, glycemic control, lipid parameters and key cardiovascular risk factors in patients with MASH, including...

Inventiva Hits Phase 3 Milestone as MASH Drug Lanifibranor Nears Key Readout

Sep 2, 2026

Inventiva has completed the final 72-week visit for the last patient in its pivotal NATiV3 Phase 3 trial of lanifibranor in adults with non-cirrhotic MASH and moderate to advanced fibrosis, after enrolling 1,009 patients in the main cohort and 410 in...

Inventiva Taps Veteran Operator as It Gears Up for Potential MASH Drug Launch

Aug 31, 2026

Inventiva has appointed industry veteran Chris Benecchi as Chief Operating Officer to steer operational preparations ahead of key Phase 3 results for its lead MASH candidate lanifibranor, expected in late 2026. The move signals the company’s tr...

Inventiva Corrects Financing Disclosure and Extends Cash Runway as MASH Program Advances

Jul 30, 2026

Inventiva reported preliminary first-half 2026 figures showing cash and cash equivalents of €166.1 million plus €67.8 million in short-term deposits, reflecting recent equity and debt financing transactions and an optimization of its capi...

Inventiva strengthens cash position but flags funding gap amid phase 3 MASH push

Jul 29, 2026

Inventiva reported preliminary first-half 2026 figures showing cash and cash equivalents of €166.1 million and €67.8 million in short-term deposits, underpinned by recent equity and debt financings and an early repayment of its European I...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 27, 2026