Covivio Hotels SCA (COVH) AI Stock Analysis

Covivio Hotels SCA

(Paris:COVH)

Select Model

Rating:67Neutral

Price Target:EUR 22.00▲(8.91% Upside)

Action:reiterated

Date:08/06/26

The score is driven primarily by improving but still volatile financial performance (strong recent growth and margins tempered by inconsistent earnings/cash flow) and an attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). Technicals add modest support with a slightly positive trend and neutral momentum.

Positive Factors

Strong revenue growthThe substantial 2025 revenue increase indicates expanding income from the hotel property portfolio and provides a stronger base for future operating performance. If sustained through recurring leases and hotel demand, this growth can support reinvestment, debt service, and shareholder distributions over the coming quarters.

Negative Factors

Earnings volatilityLarge swings between losses and unusually high profits make reported earnings less predictable and reduce confidence that recent margins represent a stable normalized level. Such volatility can complicate dividend planning, capital allocation, and assessment of the company’s sustainable earnings power over the next several quarters.

Covivio Hotels SCA (COVH) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

Market Cap: EUR 3.19B
Dividend Yield: 14.85%
Average Volume (3M): 678
Price to Earnings (P/E): 9.1
Beta (1Y): 0.10
Revenue Growth: 4.74%
EPS Growth: 54.71%
Country: France
Employees: 33
Sector: General
Sector Strength: 55
Industry: REIT - Hotel & Motel

Covivio Hotels SCA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Specializing in the ownership and leasing of properties across the hotel sector, Covivio Hotels operates as a publicly listed real estate investment firm (SIIC). Standard & Poor's has affirmed the company's financial strength with a BBB+/Stable outlo...

How the Company Makes Money

Covivio Hotels primarily makes money by generating recurring income from its hotel real estate portfolio and by realizing value from property transactions. The main revenue stream is rental/lease income paid by hotel operators that run the hotels hou...

Covivio Hotels SCA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong recent revenue growth and solid profitability in 2024–2025 support the score, but earnings and cash-flow volatility (loss years and inconsistent cash conversion) reduce confidence in durability. Leverage appears manageable for the sector but adds cyclical sensitivity.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

66Positive

Cash Flow

58Neutral

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	708.90M	716.00M	585.50M	551.00M	471.27M	290.28M
Gross Profit	211.70M	185.00M	346.30M	332.53M	260.52M	155.54M
EBITDA	485.40M	470.50M	956.00M	88.94M	321.19M	231.39M
Net Income	337.50M	308.00M	224.60M	-11.57M	478.79M	50.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	7.02B	6.80B	7.16B	6.72B	7.03B	6.86B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	242.00M	337.50M	577.00M	108.78M	127.41M	145.18M
Total Debt	2.77B	2.86B	3.08B	2.74B	2.78B	2.96B
Total Liabilities	3.23B	2.93B	3.55B	3.17B	3.27B	3.46B
Stockholders Equity	3.62B	3.69B	3.43B	3.39B	3.58B	3.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	110.10M	225.90M	2.13B	286.31M	124.64M	13.46M
Operating Cash Flow	258.20M	279.30M	3.48B	324.12M	195.70M	87.21M
Investing Cash Flow	-170.00M	46.40M	808.00M	-5.75M	99.99M	-2.99M
Financing Cash Flow	-490.30M	-566.30M	388.00M	-327.60M	-383.23M	-100.48M

Covivio Hotels SCA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative

Last Price20.20

Price Trends

50DMA21.06Negative

100DMA21.84Negative

200DMA22.00Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.17Negative

RSI43.92Neutral

STOCH65.89Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:COVH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 20.20 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.24, below the 50-day MA of 21.06, and below the 200-day MA of 22.00, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FR:COVH.

Covivio Hotels SCA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

FR:COVH against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
FR:COV	68Neutral	EUR 4.87B	7.42	7.67%	8.53%	5.45%	56.76%
FR:COVH	67Neutral	EUR 3.19B	9.06	9.24%	14.85%	4.74%	54.71%
FR:BAIN	66Neutral	EUR 4.49B	31.89	6.65%	1.36%	12.18%	2.47%
FR:CDA	62Neutral	EUR 939.67M	7.96	10.30%	5.95%	7.76%	18.31%
FR:GLO	62Neutral	EUR 899.92M	10.18	16.60%	3.24%	5.59%	-0.11%
Sector *	55Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
FR:VAC	50Neutral	EUR 866.54M	17.00	-14.15%	―	4.72%	386.12%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

FR:COVH and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
FR:COVH	Covivio Hotels SCA	20.20	-1.75	-7.99%
FR:BAIN	Monte-Carlo Societe Des Bains De Mer Sa	147.00	41.97	39.96%
FR:CDA	Compagnie des Alpes	18.48	-0.62	-3.26%
FR:COV	Covivio SA	43.94	-7.25	-14.15%
FR:GLO	GL EVENTS	30.85	5.19	20.22%
FR:VAC	Pierre et Vacances	1.87	0.26	16.15%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026

Covivio Hotels SCA AI Stock Analysis