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Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL)
NASDAQ:FOSL
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Fossil Group (FOSL) Price & Analysis

430 Followers

FOSL Stock Chart & Stats

$5.60
>-$0.01(-0.26%)
At close: 4:00 PM EST
$5.60
>-$0.01(-0.26%)

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls Say
Sustained High Gross MarginA near-60% gross margin reflects durable pricing power and a favorable product mix (full-price selling and higher AUR). That margin cushion supports operating profitability even with top-line pressure, enabling the company to retain incremental profits from volume recovery and pricing actions over months.
Wholesale & Core Watch DemandMid-single digit wholesale growth and strong traditional watch performance indicate resilient demand in core channels. Strength in wholesale and heritage product lines sustains revenue base, supports distribution partnerships, and can restore scale and margin leverage as inventories normalize over the next several quarters.
Improved Working Capital & Expense ControlMaterial inventory reduction, a meaningful improvement in cash used in operations, and leaner SG&A reflect durable operational discipline. Better working capital management lowers funding needs and supports execution of the turnaround, reducing refinancing risk and improving free cash flow runway over the coming 2–6 months.
Bears Say
Top-line ContractionContinued revenue declines and conservative guidance highlight persistent demand and channel shifts (store closures, smartwatch exit). Reduced scale compresses operating leverage, limits fixed-cost absorption, and makes margin and return recovery contingent on regaining consistent top-line growth later this year.
Negative Operating & Free Cash FlowThe company remains a net cash user on operating activities and has negative free cash flow on a TTM basis. This structural cash deficit constrains reinvestment, heightens reliance on liquidity facilities, and increases execution risk if margins or sales fail to improve as planned in the near term.
Tariff And Licensing Cost VolatilityOngoing tariff exposure and royalty true-ups introduce non-product cost volatility that can erode gross margins unpredictably. These structural external headwinds complicate margin planning, increase earnings variability, and limit management's ability to deliver stable profitability in the medium term.

Fossil Group News

FOSL FAQ

What was Fossil Group, Inc.’s price range in the past 12 months?
Fossil Group, Inc. lowest stock price was $1.27 and its highest was $5.75 in the past 12 months.
    What is Fossil Group, Inc.’s market cap?
    Fossil Group, Inc.’s market cap is $245.27M.
      When is Fossil Group, Inc.’s upcoming earnings report date?
      Fossil Group, Inc.’s upcoming earnings report date is Aug 12, 2026 which is in 69 days.
        How were Fossil Group, Inc.’s earnings last quarter?
        Fossil Group, Inc. released its earnings results on May 13, 2026. The company reported -$0.03 earnings per share for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of -$0.285 by $0.255.
          Is Fossil Group, Inc. overvalued?
          According to Wall Street analysts Fossil Group, Inc.’s price is currently Undervalued. Get more investment ideas with TipRanks Premium
            Does Fossil Group, Inc. pay dividends?
            Fossil Group, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.
            What is Fossil Group, Inc.’s EPS estimate?
            Fossil Group, Inc.’s EPS estimate is -0.22.
              How many shares outstanding does Fossil Group, Inc. have?
              Fossil Group, Inc. has 59,101,597 shares outstanding.
                What happened to Fossil Group, Inc.’s price movement after its last earnings report?
                Fossil Group, Inc. reported an EPS of -$0.03 in its last earnings report, beating expectations of -$0.285. Following the earnings report the stock price went up 6.098%.
                  Which hedge fund is a major shareholder of Fossil Group, Inc.?
                  Currently, no hedge funds are holding shares in FOSL
                  What is the TipRanks Smart Score and how is it calculated?
                  Smart Score combines eight research factors - such as analyst recommendations, hedge fund trends, and technical indicators - to measure a stock’s outlook. These signals are unified into a single score that reflects bullish or bearish momentum. See detailed methodology

                    Company Description

                    Fossil Group, Inc.

                    Fossil Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company's products include traditional watches, smartwatches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, and sunglasses. It also manufactures and distributes private label brands, as well as purchases and resells branded products in non-FOSSIL branded retail stores. The company offers its products under its proprietary brands, such as FOSSIL, SKAGEN, MICHELE, RELIC, and ZODIAC; and under the licensed brands, including ARMANI EXCHANGE, DIESEL, DKNY, EMPORIO ARMANI, KATE SPADE NEW YORK, MICHAEL KORS, PUMA, TORY BURCH, Skechers, and BMW. The company sells its products through company-owned retail and outlet stores, department stores, specialty retail stores, specialty watch and jewelry stores, mass market stores, e-commerce sites, licensed and franchised FOSSIL retail stores, and retail concessions, as well as sells its products on airlines and cruise ships. As of January 2, 2022, it operated 370 stores worldwide. The company was formerly known as Fossil, Inc. and changed its name to Fossil Group, Inc. in May 2013. Fossil Group, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.

                    Fossil Group (FOSL) Earnings & Revenues

                    FOSL Earnings Call

                    Q1 2026
                    0:00 / 0:00
                    Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
                    The call conveyed clear operational progress: healthy gross margins (59.7%), expense discipline (SG&A down 13%), improved cash/working capital (cash $81M, inventory down 14%, cash from ops >50% improved) and meaningful product and wholesale momentum (mid-single digit wholesale growth, traditional watches up high-single digits, successful Big Tic and brand collaborations). However, near-term revenue remains pressured (Q1 net sales down 6%; FY guide -4% to -6%), and there are ongoing headwinds from tariffs and royalty true-ups. Management reiterated guidance and emphasized a conservative, second-half-weighted recovery with a targeted return to growth in Q4 and breakeven free cash flow for the year. On balance, the call emphasized stronger profitability and execution momentum that outweighs the revenue headwinds and one-time/regulatory drags.View all FOSL earnings summaries

                    FOSL Stock 12 Month Forecast

                    Average Price Target

                    $7.00
                    ▲(25.00% Upside)
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<span style=\"color:#828080\" class=\"mb3 mt2 fonth8_semibold\"> Hold</span>\n            <div class=\"flexrcb px3 displayflex fonth9_semibold\"><span  style=\"color:#199ca5\">Buy 0,\t&nbsp; </span>\n              <span  style=\"color:#828080\">Hold 0, \t&nbsp;</span>\n              <span  style=\"color:#912767\">Sell 0</span>\n      ","marker":{"lineColor":"#828080","enabled":true,"symbol":"circle"}},{"y":1.5,"date":1748736000000,"info":" <span style=\"color:#828080\" class=\"mb3 mt2 fonth8_semibold\"> Hold</span>\n            <div class=\"flexrcb px3 displayflex fonth9_semibold\"><span  style=\"color:#199ca5\">Buy 0,\t&nbsp; </span>\n              <span  style=\"color:#828080\">Hold 0, \t&nbsp;</span>\n              <span  style=\"color:#912767\">Sell 0</span>\n      ","marker":{"lineColor":"#828080","enabled":true,"symbol":"circle"}},{"y":1.58,"date":1751328000000,"info":" <span style=\"color:#199ca5\" class=\"mb3 mt2 fonth8_semibold\"> Strong Buy</span>\n            <div 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                    Ownership Overview

                    5.47%12.49%27.21%48.11%
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