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Flex Ltd (FLEX)
NASDAQ:FLEX

Flex (FLEX) AI Stock Analysis

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Flex

(NASDAQ:FLEX)

78Outperform
Flex scores well due to strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, demonstrating effective strategy execution and growth in key sectors like data centers. Technical analysis shows mixed signals, and the valuation appears fair. Overall, the company is well-positioned but should remain cautious about geopolitical risks and sector-specific challenges.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Strong quarter, continued strong revenues in data center.
Strategic Expansion
The company's recent acquisitions illustrate diversification into attractive growth areas.
Negative Factors
Market Conditions
F26 end-market expectations amid macro uncertainty.
Revenue Impact
Customer-sourced inventory reduces the total revenue for FLEX, but is a tailwind to margins.

Flex (FLEX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Flex Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFlex Ltd. provides design, engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain services and solutions to original equipment manufacturers in Asia, the Americas, and Europe. It operates through three segments: Flex Agility Solutions (FAS), Flex Reliability Solutions (FRS), and Nextracker. The company provides cross-industry technologies, including human-machine interface, internet of things platforms, power, sensor fusion, and smart audio. It also offers integrated solar tracker and software solutions used in utility-scale and ground-mounted distributed generation solar projects. In addition, the company provides value-added design and engineering services; and systems assembly and manufacturing services that include enclosures, testing services, and materials procurement and inventory management services. Further, it offers chargers for smartphones and tablets; adapters for notebooks and gaming systems; power supplies for the server, storage, and networking markets; and power solutions, such as switchgear, busway, power distribution, modular power systems, and monitoring solutions and services. Additionally, the company provides after-market and forward supply chain logistics services to computing, consumer digital, infrastructure, industrial, mobile, automotive, and medical industries; and reverse logistics and repair solutions, including returns management, exchange programs, complex repair, asset recovery, recycling, and e-waste management. It serves to cloud, communications, enterprise, automotive, industrial, consumer devices, lifestyle, healthcare, and energy industries. The company was formerly known as Flextronics International Ltd. and changed its name to Flex Ltd. in September 2016. Flex Ltd. was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Singapore.
How the Company Makes MoneyFlex makes money primarily through its manufacturing and supply chain solutions, which are offered to businesses across diverse industries. The company generates revenue by providing end-to-end services that include product design, engineering, component sourcing, assembly, and logistics. Flex's key revenue streams include contract manufacturing services, where it produces products for clients under their brand names, and supply chain management services, which optimize the logistics and distribution processes for its clients. Significant partnerships with major companies in the automotive, healthcare, and technology sectors further bolster its earnings by providing steady contracts and collaborative opportunities for innovation.

Flex Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Flex demonstrates strong growth and profitability in the income statement, with stable financial management in the balance sheet, and excellent cash flow management. The company is well-positioned in the hardware and equipment industry, though it should monitor asset and equity trends to mitigate potential risks.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Flex has shown strong revenue growth over the years, with a recent TTM revenue of $23.94 billion, indicating a stable demand in the hardware and equipment industry. The gross profit margin is healthy at approximately 8.29%, and the net profit margin stands at 4.07%, highlighting operational efficiency. However, there was a slight decline in revenue from the previous year. EBITDA and EBIT margins are robust, supporting good operational performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is solid with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.20, showcasing strong financial leverage management. The equity ratio of 27.32% suggests a balanced approach to funding operations through equity. ROE is impressive at 19.52%, indicating effective use of equity. However, the decrease in total assets and equity over the years may pose future risks.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Flex demonstrates strong cash flow management with a free cash flow of $1.35 billion, reflecting a significant improvement. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.80 indicates efficient cash generation relative to profit. The free cash flow growth rate is substantial, pointing to an effective capital expenditure strategy. The company maintains a healthy liquidity position.
Breakdown
Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
26.41B30.35B26.04B24.12B24.21B
Gross Profit
1.86B2.27B1.93B1.69B1.34B
EBIT
1.03B1.18B972.00M821.00M348.19M
EBITDA
1.32B1.49B1.46B1.43B790.98M
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.01B793.00M936.00M613.00M88.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.47B3.29B2.96B2.64B1.92B
Total Assets
18.26B21.39B19.32B15.84B13.69B
Total Debt
3.75B4.35B4.75B4.34B3.37B
Net Debt
1.28B1.05B1.78B1.71B1.44B
Total Liabilities
12.93B15.69B15.12B12.40B10.86B
Stockholders Equity
5.33B5.35B4.13B3.44B2.83B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
796.00M315.00M581.00M-207.00M-2.00B
Operating Cash Flow
1.33B950.00M1.02B144.00M-1.53B
Investing Cash Flow
-492.00M-604.00M-951.00M-202.00M2.28B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.66B2.00M280.00M743.00M-508.00M

Flex Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price38.48
Price Trends
50DMA
33.91
Positive
100DMA
37.36
Positive
200DMA
35.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.33
Negative
RSI
66.95
Neutral
STOCH
86.33
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FLEX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 38.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.17, above the 50-day MA of 33.91, and above the 200-day MA of 35.66, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.33 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FLEX.

Flex Risk Analysis

Flex disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Flex reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Flex Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$14.09B14.8918.45%-12.94%47.70%
78
Outperform
$4.21B18.2111.03%-1.50%1.84%
ESESE
77
Outperform
$4.23B38.619.66%0.20%8.40%
75
Outperform
$3.40B24.3910.93%-0.69%42.26%
BHBHE
66
Neutral
$1.26B24.094.84%1.94%-7.36%-20.46%
JBJBL
64
Neutral
$16.13B36.0024.10%0.21%-14.45%-64.32%
60
Neutral
$10.94B10.37-6.73%2.98%7.75%-12.61%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FLEX
Flex
38.48
9.82
34.26%
BHE
Benchmark Electronics
34.99
-4.53
-11.46%
ESE
Esco Technologies
175.65
70.91
67.70%
JBL
Jabil
153.98
36.33
30.88%
PLXS
Plexus
126.09
18.14
16.80%
SANM
Sanmina-Sci
79.95
15.02
23.13%

Flex Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.65%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance by Flex, driven by significant growth in the data center segment, record annual results, and strategic acquisitions. However, challenges such as automotive sector weakness and potential tariff impacts introduce some uncertainty. The company's guidance and strategic positioning suggest confidence in continued margin improvement and growth.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Margin Growth
Fiscal Q4 revenue was $6.4 billion, growing almost 4% year-over-year. Adjusted operating margin came in at 6.2%, another quarterly record, with adjusted EPS of $0.73, up 28% over last year.
Record Annual Performance
Flex achieved record annual adjusted operating margins of 5.7% and double-digit adjusted EPS growth for the fifth consecutive year, reaching $2.65 per share. Free cash flow exceeded $1 billion for the second consecutive year.
Data Center Segment Surge
Total data center revenue grew about 50% year-over-year, reaching approximately $4.8 billion in fiscal '25 at accretive margins.
Strategic Acquisitions and Awards
Flex completed several key acquisitions and won two PACE awards in the automotive space with its NVIDIA Drive AGX powered Jupyter compute platform and backup DC/DC converter.
Positive Outlook and Guidance
Flex expects to achieve 6% adjusted operating margin in fiscal 2026, reaching the fiscal 2027 target a year ahead of schedule, with continued strong free cash flow conversion.
Negative Updates
Automotive Sector Weakness
The company expects revenue in the automotive sector to be flat at the midpoint due to macro-related softness, with further weakness anticipated in fiscal Q1 2026.
Potential Impact of Tariffs
The rapidly evolving tariff situation poses risks, particularly in automotive, with potential demand impacts and higher costs for raw materials procured from China.
Challenges in Core Industrial and Renewables
Revenue in the industrial and renewables sectors showed softness, with expectations for these headwinds to be temporary.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call for Flex's fiscal Q4 and FY 2025, the company reported a robust performance with revenue reaching $6.4 billion, a 4% year-over-year increase, and an adjusted operating margin of 6.2%, marking a new quarterly record. The full year results showed an adjusted operating margin of 5.7% and an adjusted EPS of $2.65, reflecting a 28% rise compared to the previous year. Flex also achieved over $1 billion in free cash flow, surpassing their 80%-plus free cash flow conversion target for the second consecutive year. The data center business was a major growth driver, with revenue climbing approximately 50% year-over-year to $4.8 billion, fueled by strong demand in both cloud operations and power solutions. For fiscal 2026, Flex anticipates revenue between $25 billion and $26.8 billion, with an operating margin of 6% to 6.1%. The company is on track to achieve its FY 2027 margin target a year ahead of schedule, despite potential tariff impacts and macroeconomic uncertainties.

Flex Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Flex Appoints Kevin S. Krumm as New CFO
Positive
Nov 22, 2024

Flex Ltd. has appointed Kevin S. Krumm as Chief Financial Officer, effective January 6, 2025, as part of its strategic push to enhance shareholder value and achieve long-term financial success. Krumm, with over 20 years of experience in various industries, will replace interim CFO Jaime Martinez. He aims to leverage his expertise in driving the company’s financial strategy, ensuring Flex remains at the forefront of innovation and operational excellence.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.