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Trimble Inc. (TRMB)
NASDAQ:TRMB
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Trimble (TRMB) AI Stock Analysis

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TRMB

Trimble

(NASDAQ:TRMB)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$64.00
▲(20.96% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:08/17/26
TRMB scores well overall on solid financial performance (high margins, improved balance sheet) and a strong earnings-call update (raised guidance, record ARR, and margin target achieved early). The score is held back by weaker valuation signals (negative P/E and no dividend yield provided) and only moderate technical positioning (above short-term averages but still below longer-term averages).
Positive Factors
High gross & EBITDA margins
Sustained high gross and healthy EBITDA margins reflect pricing power and scalable software/service economics layered on hardware sales. This margin profile supports long-term reinvestment, resilience against cost swings, and the ability to fund R&D and go-to-market expansion over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak cash conversion
Free cash flow converts only about half of reported earnings and has been volatile across years. This inconsistent cash conversion limits the reliability of cash available for sustained buybacks, debt paydown, or reinvestment, raising execution risk for multi-quarter capital deployment plans.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High gross & EBITDA margins
Sustained high gross and healthy EBITDA margins reflect pricing power and scalable software/service economics layered on hardware sales. This margin profile supports long-term reinvestment, resilience against cost swings, and the ability to fund R&D and go-to-market expansion over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Trimble Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down sales by region (e.g., North America, EMEA, APAC), revealing where Trimble’s demand is strongest and where it faces economic or currency risk. High concentration in one region increases vulnerability to local slowdowns, while broad international growth signals expansion opportunities and diversification of revenue sources.
Chart InsightsNorth America is the durable growth engine supporting Trimble’s margin expansion, while Europe is lumpy but showing meaningful recovery driven by AECO strength and cross‑sell. APAC and Rest of World are underperforming, reflecting the near‑term revenue drag from Field Systems’ license‑to‑recurring conversions and softer end markets (notably freight/government). Crucially, record ARR, AI-enabled upsells and a low leverage ratio mean revenue quality is improving—regional dips may compress near‑term top line but leave room for upside if APAC/freight rebound.
Data provided by:The Fly

Trimble (TRMB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Trimble Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Trimble Inc. develops and supplies technology solutions globally, empowering professionals and field workers to significantly improve or revolutionize their operational workflows. Through its Buildings and Infrastructure segment, the company deliv...
How the Company Makes Money
Trimble makes money by selling a mix of software, services/subscriptions, and hardware-enabled solutions that are typically deployed as integrated systems. Key revenue streams include: (1) Software and subscriptions: Recurring revenue from cloud a...

Trimble Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong operational performance: double-digit organic ARR growth, record ARR, margin expansion, robust free cash flow, accelerated AI and platform momentum (Trimble Connect), and a raised FY revenue and EPS midpoint. Near-term challenges include a planned Field Systems product transition causing a modest ARR headwind (400–500 bps in the segment, ~100 bps company-level), discrete tariff refunds in Q2, one-time costs reducing FCF conversion, and a board review of the Transportation & Logistics portfolio that introduces strategic uncertainty. On balance, the positive beats, record ARR, margin progress, capital returns, and AI-driven product momentum materially outweigh the isolated near-term headwinds.
Positive Updates
Top- and Bottom-Line Beat with Strong Organic Growth
Q2 revenue $972M with 10% organic growth, beating guidance; raised FY midpoint revenue by $50M to $3.925B (~9% growth).
Negative Updates
Field Systems ARR Transition Creates Near-Term Headwind
Decision to replace a white-label Field Systems product with an internally developed solution creates a 400–500 bps headwind to Field Systems ARR growth (Field Systems ARR base ~ $400M) — implying roughly $16M–$20M ARR impact this year and ~100 bps company-level ARR headwind.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Top- and Bottom-Line Beat with Strong Organic Growth
Q2 revenue $972M with 10% organic growth, beating guidance; raised FY midpoint revenue by $50M to $3.925B (~9% growth).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Trimble raised its 2026 midpoints, increasing full‑year revenue by $50 million to $3.925 billion (≈9% y/y) and EPS by $0.10 to $3.65 (≈17% y/y), now targeting EBITDA margins of approximately 30% (the high end of prior guidance and the 2027 target achieved a year early); ARR is expected toward the low‑to‑mid end of the range after a Field Systems ARR adjustment to high single‑digit to low double‑digit growth (a one‑time ~400–500 bp headwind to Field Systems ARR, ≈<100 bp at the company level), and free cash flow is now expected at ~0.9x non‑GAAP net income (down from ~1x due to incremental restructuring/onetime costs) with the company saying FCF should exceed non‑GAAP net income over the long term. For Q3 the midpoints are $965 million revenue (≈7% growth), $0.85 EPS, 12% ARR growth and 28.6% EBITDA margin. These raises are supported by strong Q2 results (organic revenue +10% to $972M, ARR +12% to a record $2.509B, AECO ARR $1.577B +14%, Field Systems ARR $399M +12%, T&L ARR $533M +7%, gross margin 71.8% +120 bps, EBITDA margin 28.6% +120 bps, Q2 EPS $0.86, YTD free cash flow $502M, cash $214M, leverage 1.1x) and a new $1 billion share repurchase authorization.

Trimble Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are solid: strong TTM gross margin (~68.8%) and EBITDA margin (~20.5%) with improving TTM revenue growth (+2.77%). Balance sheet is a strength with low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.25 TTM), but cash-flow quality is the main constraint—free cash flow is positive yet only ~50% of net income TTM and has been choppy year-to-year.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Cash Flow
66
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.69B3.59B3.68B3.80B3.68B3.66B
Gross Profit2.51B2.45B2.40B2.33B2.11B2.03B
EBITDA818.60M763.70M2.33B768.60M747.40M819.90M
Net Income456.20M424.00M1.50B311.30M449.70M492.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.99B9.31B9.49B9.54B7.27B7.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments234.10M253.40M738.80M229.80M271.00M325.70M
Total Debt1.41B1.39B1.54B3.19B1.63B1.45B
Total Liabilities3.35B3.48B3.74B5.04B3.22B3.15B
Stockholders Equity5.64B5.84B5.75B4.50B4.05B3.94B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow252.80M133.20M497.80M555.10M348.00M704.40M
Operating Cash Flow505.30M386.20M531.40M597.10M391.20M750.50M
Investing Cash Flow-27.60M-37.00M1.86B-2.07B-226.30M-203.50M
Financing Cash Flow-543.20M-868.40M-1.86B1.43B-199.00M-447.70M

Trimble Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price52.91
Price Trends
50DMA
53.53
Positive
100DMA
58.10
Negative
200DMA
66.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.23
Positive
RSI
55.80
Neutral
STOCH
28.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRMB, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 52.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 56.33, below the 50-day MA of 53.53, and below the 200-day MA of 66.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TRMB.

Trimble Risk Analysis

Trimble disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trimble reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Trimble Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
85
Outperform
$59.82B31.8221.00%1.54%13.51%19.53%
81
Outperform
$4.45B16.7016.52%-5.69%2.02%
77
Outperform
$206.04B39.7937.21%0.60%54.17%59.56%
77
Outperform
$31.51B32.729.13%7.70%13.95%
71
Outperform
$13.43B-122.55-1.87%5.80%-140.22%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
56
Neutral
$63.75B74.908.37%22.51%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TRMB
Trimble
57.60
-25.20
-30.43%
APH
Amphenol
167.11
56.80
51.49%
GRMN
Garmin
310.20
81.35
35.55%
COHR
Coherent Corp
325.83
235.34
260.07%
ITRI
Itron
101.56
-25.82
-20.27%
TDY
Teledyne Technologies
679.67
143.08
26.66%

Trimble Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Trimble boosts guidance and launches $1B buyback program
Positive
Aug 12, 2026
On Aug. 12, 2026, Trimble reported second-quarter 2026 revenue of $972.0 million, up 11% year over year, and record annualized recurring revenue of $2.51 billion, alongside record gross margins and adjusted EBITDA of $278.0 million. Despite a GAAP...
Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Trimble Shareholders Approve Proposals at 2026 Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 27, 2026
On May 26, 2026, Trimble held its 2026 annual meeting of stockholders, where shareholders elected eight directors to serve for the coming year following the previously announced resignation of director Mark S. Peek, which led the board to reduce i...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Trimble Strengthens Audit Oversight With New Committee Chair
Positive
May 26, 2026
Trimble announced that its Board has appointed Thomas Sweet as Chair of the Audit Committee, effective immediately. In this role, Sweet will oversee the remediation of the company&#8217;s material weaknesses in internal controls, a process Trimble...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026