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Trimble Inc. (TRMB)
NASDAQ:TRMB
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Trimble (TRMB) AI Stock Analysis

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TRMB

Trimble

(NASDAQ:TRMB)

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Neutral 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:
$62.00
▼(-10.52% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/27/26
The score is driven primarily by solid fundamentals (strong margins and a strengthened balance sheet) and a notably positive earnings call with raised guidance and strong ARR/FCF performance. These are offset by weak technicals (downtrend and negative MACD) and a relatively expensive valuation (high P/E, no dividend yield provided).
Positive Factors
High Gross and EBITDA Margins
Sustained high gross margins and healthy EBITDA indicate durable pricing power from software and services mix plus efficient operating leverage. This margin profile supports long-term reinvestment, R&D and predictable profitability even if hardware sales cycle intermittently softens.
Negative Factors
Subpar FCF Conversion and Choppiness
Free cash flow converts only ~50% of net income and has shown year-to-year volatility, limiting consistent internal funding for growth and returns. This variability raises execution risk for multi-year investments and could constrain capital allocation during tougher quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High Gross and EBITDA Margins
Sustained high gross margins and healthy EBITDA indicate durable pricing power from software and services mix plus efficient operating leverage. This margin profile supports long-term reinvestment, R&D and predictable profitability even if hardware sales cycle intermittently softens.
Read all positive factors

Trimble Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down sales by region (e.g., North America, EMEA, APAC), revealing where Trimble’s demand is strongest and where it faces economic or currency risk. High concentration in one region increases vulnerability to local slowdowns, while broad international growth signals expansion opportunities and diversification of revenue sources.
Chart InsightsNorth America is the durable growth engine supporting Trimble’s margin expansion, while Europe is lumpy but showing meaningful recovery driven by AECO strength and cross‑sell. APAC and Rest of World are underperforming, reflecting the near‑term revenue drag from Field Systems’ license‑to‑recurring conversions and softer end markets (notably freight/government). Crucially, record ARR, AI-enabled upsells and a low leverage ratio mean revenue quality is improving—regional dips may compress near‑term top line but leave room for upside if APAC/freight rebound.
Data provided by:The Fly

Trimble (TRMB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Trimble Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Trimble Inc. provides technology solutions that enable professionals and field mobile workers to enhance or transform their work processes worldwide. The company's Buildings and Infrastructure segment offers field and office software for route sel...
How the Company Makes Money
Trimble primarily makes money by selling and subscribing customers to technology solutions that combine (1) software (increasingly delivered as cloud/SaaS subscriptions), (2) connected hardware and devices, and (3) recurring services and support. ...

Trimble Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a strongly positive operational and financial quarter: solid top-line beats, record ARR, margin expansion, strong free cash flow and meaningful capital returns. Segment performance (notably AECO, Field Systems and Transportation) and strategic moves in AI and M&A (Document Crunch, SketchUp-Claude integration) reinforce growth and monetization pathways. Offsetting factors include reduced visibility in hardware, near-term OpEx timing pressures in Field Systems, and macro/geopolitical risks that introduced conservatism into guidance. On balance, the positive results, raised guidance and strategic progress materially outweigh the near-term risks and conservatism.
Positive Updates
Top-line Beat and ARR Growth
Q1 revenue $940M, up 12% year-over-year; ARR $2.435B, up 13% year-over-year (record ARR) — both ahead of expectations and driving recurring revenue momentum.
Negative Updates
Hardware Visibility and Conservatism
Management cited reduced visibility in the hardware business (Field Systems) and conservative assumptions for the back half due to tougher comps and macro uncertainty, limiting a larger full-year guide raise despite a strong Q1 beat (only $15M added to FY midpoint).
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Top-line Beat and ARR Growth
Q1 revenue $940M, up 12% year-over-year; ARR $2.435B, up 13% year-over-year (record ARR) — both ahead of expectations and driving recurring revenue momentum.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Trimble raised and affirmed 2026 guidance with a full‑year revenue midpoint of $3.875 billion (a $15M raise, ~8% growth), EPS guidance of $3.55, midpoint ARR growth of 13%, and expected EBITDA margins of 29.7%; management also guided Q2 midpoints of $950 million revenue (~7.5% growth), $0.80 EPS, 13% ARR growth and a 27.7% EBITDA margin (30 bps y/y expansion), and said free cash flow should be approximately 1x non‑GAAP net income with a goal of FCF > non‑GAAP net income over the long term. Those targets lean on a strong Q1 print—revenue $940M (+12%), record ARR $2.435B (+13%), reported EPS $0.79 (above the high end), gross margin 71%, EBITDA margin 27.4% (+150 bps), FCF $275M, $234M cash and 1.1x leverage—and management reiterated the Investor Day 2027 objectives of $3B ARR, $4B revenue and 30% EBITDA margins.

Trimble Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability is solid (TTM gross margin ~68.8%, EBITDA margin ~20.5%) and the balance sheet is currently conservative (debt-to-equity ~0.25). Offsetting this, cash-flow quality is only moderate (FCF to net income ~0.50) and results/FCF have been somewhat choppy across periods, reducing confidence in consistency.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Cash Flow
66
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.69B3.59B3.68B3.80B3.68B3.66B
Gross Profit2.51B2.45B2.40B2.33B2.11B2.03B
EBITDA814.70M763.70M2.33B768.60M747.40M819.90M
Net Income456.20M424.00M1.50B311.30M449.70M492.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.99B9.31B9.49B9.54B7.27B7.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments234.10M253.40M738.80M229.80M271.00M325.70M
Total Debt1.41B1.39B1.51B3.19B1.63B1.41B
Total Liabilities3.35B3.48B3.74B5.04B3.22B3.15B
Stockholders Equity5.64B5.84B5.75B4.50B4.05B3.94B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow252.80M133.20M497.80M555.10M348.00M704.40M
Operating Cash Flow505.30M386.20M531.40M597.10M391.20M750.50M
Investing Cash Flow-27.60M-37.00M1.86B-2.07B-226.30M-203.50M
Financing Cash Flow-543.20M-868.40M-1.86B1.43B-199.00M-447.70M

Trimble Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price69.29
Price Trends
50DMA
62.25
Negative
100DMA
65.35
Negative
200DMA
72.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.03
Negative
RSI
33.81
Neutral
STOCH
26.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRMB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 69.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 56.14, above the 50-day MA of 62.25, and below the 200-day MA of 72.72, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 33.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TRMB.

Trimble Risk Analysis

Trimble disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trimble reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Trimble Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$28.66B30.218.85%7.74%12.76%
76
Outperform
$58.84B54.3317.44%19.19%42.75%
75
Outperform
$58.44B64.5717.26%8.14%10.64%
70
Neutral
$12.98B27.867.95%3.25%-68.85%
69
Neutral
$39.44B46.5058.99%0.14%19.00%78.70%
63
Neutral
$18.74B34.897.39%0.43%-23.36%-26.77%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TRMB
Trimble
54.19
-18.17
-25.11%
FLEX
Flex
151.92
108.20
247.48%
JBL
Jabil
353.24
176.09
99.40%
TDY
Teledyne Technologies
602.27
96.91
19.18%
KEYS
Keysight Technologies
329.83
167.27
102.90%
FTV
Fortive
61.28
6.32
11.49%

Trimble Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Trimble Shareholders Approve Proposals at 2026 Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 27, 2026
On May 26, 2026, Trimble held its 2026 annual meeting of stockholders, where shareholders elected eight directors to serve for the coming year following the previously announced resignation of director Mark S. Peek, which led the board to reduce i...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Trimble Strengthens Audit Oversight With New Committee Chair
Positive
May 26, 2026
Trimble announced that its Board has appointed Thomas Sweet as Chair of the Audit Committee, effective immediately. In this role, Sweet will oversee the remediation of the company’s material weaknesses in internal controls, a process Trimble...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 27, 2026