tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Fold Holdings (FLD)
NASDAQ:FLD
US Market
Advertisement

Fold Holdings (FLD) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
28 Followers

Top Page

FLD

Fold Holdings

(NASDAQ:FLD)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▼(-1.72% Downside)
Fold Holdings' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance, which shows strong revenue growth but significant profitability and liquidity challenges. Technical analysis provides a neutral outlook with short-term positive momentum. However, the negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield weigh heavily on the valuation, resulting in a lower overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The substantial revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, positioning Fold Holdings for potential long-term expansion.
Strategic Partnerships
Partnerships with major players like Stripe and Visa enhance Fold's service offerings, potentially increasing user adoption and market reach.
Regulatory Environment
Improved regulatory climate for bitcoin supports Fold's business model, reducing compliance risks and fostering a more stable operational environment.
Negative Factors
Profitability Issues
Negative margins indicate challenges in cost management, which could hinder sustainable growth and long-term financial health.
Liquidity Challenges
Negative operating cash flow suggests potential difficulties in meeting short-term obligations, which could impact operational stability.
Negative Return on Equity
Inefficiencies in generating shareholder returns can undermine investor confidence and limit the company's ability to attract new capital.

Fold Holdings (FLD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fold Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFold Holdings, Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides a financial services platform that allows customers to earn, accumulate, and utilize bitcoin in their everyday life.
How the Company Makes MoneyFold Holdings generates revenue primarily through transaction fees associated with its mobile wallet services and cryptocurrency transactions. Additionally, the company earns income from its rewards program, where it partners with various merchants to provide customers with cryptocurrency rewards for their purchases. This not only drives user engagement but also encourages spending within the ecosystem. Furthermore, Fold Holdings may benefit from strategic partnerships with financial institutions and technology providers that enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach.

Fold Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
30
Negative
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
Cash Flow
35
Negative
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.0021.53M28.88M0.00
Gross Profit0.0017.65M25.06M0.00
EBITDA-2.89M-3.70M-14.68M636.00
Net Income-1.87M4.44M-11.97M-120.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets52.22M165.96M255.66M225.17M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments906.04K29.84K72.75K1.23M
Total Debt5.74M2.02M0.000.00
Total Liabilities60.54M4.55M10.35M8.95M
Stockholders Equity-8.32M-8.43M-1.27M216.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.43M-5.08M-1.82M-712.14K
Operating Cash Flow-3.43M-5.08M-1.49M-712.14K
Investing Cash Flow117.32M99.81M-28.43M-266.64M
Financing Cash Flow-113.01M-94.77M28.98M268.82M

Fold Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.07
Price Trends
50DMA
3.74
Positive
100DMA
4.11
Negative
200DMA
5.68
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Negative
RSI
55.37
Neutral
STOCH
52.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FLD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.87, above the 50-day MA of 3.74, and below the 200-day MA of 5.68, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FLD.

Fold Holdings Risk Analysis

Fold Holdings disclosed 88 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fold Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fold Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
5.57%-16.40%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$158.52M44.581.21%26.17%-49.76%-84.43%
66
Neutral
$202.44M9.1710.74%3.53%11.05%8.18%
54
Neutral
$326.93M28.8626.01%
45
Neutral
$591.54M-125.22%-33.99%-121.80%
44
Neutral
$190.44M-54.34%-8567.69%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FLD
Fold Holdings
4.07
-6.77
-62.45%
ESSA
Essa Bancorp
20.61
1.01
5.15%
WHF
WhiteHorse
7.04
-2.88
-29.03%
OPBK
OP Bancorp
13.60
0.88
6.92%
FLYX
flyExclusive
4.08
1.52
59.38%
SWIN
Solowin Holdings
3.68
0.87
30.96%

Fold Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Fold Holdings Approves Executive Salary Increases
Neutral
Aug 25, 2025

On February 28, 2025, Fold Holdings‘ Compensation Committee approved salary increases for its top executives. The CEO, Mr. Will Reeves, and CFO, Mr. Wolfe Repass, received raises to $500,000 and $400,000, respectively, effective February 19, 2025.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fold Holdings Issues Executive Severance Participation Notices
Neutral
Aug 14, 2025

On August 8, 2025, Fold Holdings, Inc. announced the approval of its Annual Bonus Plan, which applies to all full-time employees, including executive officers. The plan outlines performance criteria such as revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and the success of the Fold Bitcoin Credit Card launch. Bonuses will be paid by March of the following year, contingent on continued employment. On August 11, 2025, Fold Holdings issued Participation Notices to its CEO and CFO under the Executive Severance Plan, detailing their eligibility for benefits in the event of a qualifying termination.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Fold Holdings Secures $250M for Bitcoin Expansion
Positive
Aug 12, 2025

Fold Holdings reported a strong second quarter for 2025, with a 59% year-over-year increase in revenue to $8.2 million and a net income of $13.4 million. The company also saw significant growth in new accounts and transaction volumes, alongside securing a $250 million equity purchase facility to expand its Bitcoin holdings. Fold’s strategic initiatives, including the upcoming launch of the Fold Credit Card and the successful introduction of the Bitcoin Gift Card, are expected to enhance its market presence and drive further growth. The company’s Bitcoin Investment Treasury holds 1,492 BTC, valued at $160 million as of June 30, 2025, underscoring its commitment to Bitcoin as a core asset.

Executive/Board Changes
Fold Holdings Reaches Severance Agreement with Former VP
Neutral
Jul 28, 2025

Fold Holdings, Inc. has reached a severance agreement with its former Vice President of Risk and Compliance, Nicolleta Goncalves, following her employment termination. The agreement, dated July 22, 2025, includes a severance payment, coverage of a COBRA premium for August 2025, a release of claims by Goncalves, and restrictive covenants such as nondisclosure and non-solicitation clauses.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fold Holdings Terminates VP of Risk and Compliance
Negative
Jul 16, 2025

On July 11, 2025, Fold Holdings, Inc. terminated the employment of Nicolleta Goncalves, who served as the Vice President of Risk and Compliance. This decision may impact the company’s risk management strategies and compliance operations, potentially affecting its industry positioning and stakeholder confidence.

Private Placements and Financing
Fold Holdings Secures $250M Equity Purchase Facility
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 16, 2025, Fold Holdings, Inc. entered into a $250 million Equity Purchase Facility Agreement with an accredited investor, allowing the company to issue and sell newly issued shares of its common stock at its discretion. The proceeds from this facility are intended primarily for purchasing additional bitcoin for Fold’s corporate treasury. The agreement provides Fold with flexibility in managing its equity sales, but also poses risks of stock dilution and potential share price volatility for existing shareholders. The facility is subject to various conditions and limitations, including a cap on the percentage of shares that can be issued without stockholder approval.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 14, 2025