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First Commonwealth Financial Corp. (FCF)
NYSE:FCF

First Commonwealth (FCF) AI Stock Analysis

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First Commonwealth

(NYSE:FCF)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$17.00
▲(11.11%Upside)
First Commonwealth's overall stock score reflects its solid financial performance and reasonable valuation, counterbalanced by mixed technical indicators and earnings call highlights. Strong loan and deposit growth, along with net interest margin improvements, are significant positives. However, operational efficiency and external economic risks present areas of concern.

First Commonwealth (FCF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Commonwealth Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Commonwealth Financial Corporation, a financial holding company, provides various consumer and commercial banking services in the United States. Its consumer services include personal checking accounts, interest-earning checking accounts, savings and health savings accounts, insured money market accounts, debit cards, investment certificates, fixed and variable rate certificates of deposit, mortgage loans, secured and unsecured installment loans, construction and real estate loans, safe deposit facilities, credit cards, credit lines with overdraft checking protection, IRA accounts, and automated teller machine (atm) services, as well as internet, mobile, and telephone banking services. The company's commercial banking services comprise commercial lending, business checking accounts, online account management services, payroll direct deposits, commercial cash management services, and repurchase agreements, as well as ACH origination services. It also offers various trust and asset management services; auto, home, and business insurance, as well as term life insurance; and annuities, mutual funds, and stock and bond brokerage services through a broker-dealer and insurance brokers. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 118 community banking offices in western and central Pennsylvania, as well as northeastern, central, and southwestern Ohio; corporate banking centers in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, as well as Columbus, Canton, and Cleveland, Ohio; and mortgage banking offices in Wexford, Pennsylvania, and Hudson, Westlake, as well as Lewis Center, Ohio. It also operates 136 automated teller machines. First Commonwealth Financial Corporation was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Indiana, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Commonwealth makes money primarily through interest income generated from its lending activities. This includes offering personal loans, mortgages, commercial loans, and lines of credit to individuals and businesses. Additionally, the company earns revenue through non-interest income streams such as service charges on deposit accounts, fees from wealth management and insurance services, and transaction-based fees. The bank also benefits from strategic partnerships with financial service providers to expand its product offerings and enhance its financial solutions for clients.

First Commonwealth Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.79%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted positive aspects such as loan and deposit growth, net interest margin expansion, and strategic acquisitions. However, these were offset by challenges like decreased return on assets, reduced fee income, and increased expenses. Additionally, external economic factors like tariffs and inflation present potential risks.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Loan Growth and Deposit Improvement
Loans grew at an annualized rate of 4.4%, with commercial loans accounting for 64% of the increase. Deposit costs fell to 1.99%, and deposits grew at an annualized rate of 7.7%.
Net Interest Margin Expansion
Net interest margin increased by 8 basis points to 3.62%, with expectations of further expansion due to macro swaps expiring.
Dividend Increase
The Board approved a dividend increase, bringing the dividend yield to approximately 3.5% and the payout ratio to 40%.
Successful CenterBank Acquisition
The acquisition of CenterBank was completed, which is expected to boost efficiency, margin, and talent pool.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Return on Assets
Return on assets decreased from 1.23% in the previous quarter to 1.14% due to rising expenses and falling fee income.
Fee Income Decline
Fee income dropped by $1.5 million in the first quarter, with specific challenges in SBA gain on sale income, which was down by about $1 million.
Increased Expenses
Expenses rose by $2.1 million to $71.1 million, driven by higher salaries, wages, and snow removal costs.
Tariff and Inflation Concerns
Uncertainty around tariffs and inflation could pose risks to consumer and business financial health, potentially impacting future growth.
Company Guidance
During the First Commonwealth Financial Corporation's first-quarter 2025 earnings release call, the company reported core earnings per share of $0.32, aligning with consensus estimates. They experienced a decline in return on assets to 1.14% from 1.23% in the previous quarter due to increased expenses and decreased fee income. Loans grew at an annualized rate of 4.4%, with commercial loans contributing $63 million, or 64% of the quarterly increase. The net interest margin rose by 8 basis points to 3.62%, as deposit costs fell to 1.99%. The company also noted a decrease in the loan-to-deposit ratio to 92% over the past two years, indicating improved liquidity. Fee income dropped by $1.5 million, while expenses increased by $2.1 million, leading to an efficiency ratio rise to 59.08%. The board approved a $0.01 increase in dividends, maintaining a payout ratio of approximately 40%. The company expects continued improvement in credit conditions and anticipates further expansion of the net interest margin, particularly as macro swaps expire throughout the year.

First Commonwealth Financial Statement Overview

Summary
First Commonwealth demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability, effective balance sheet management, and robust cash flow generation. While the company shows strengths in revenue growth and leverage management, there is room for improvement in operational efficiency and return on equity.
Income Statement
78
Positive
First Commonwealth has demonstrated strong revenue growth and profitability. The TTM data shows a solid gross profit margin of 98.5% and a net profit margin of 31.3%. Revenue growth has been steady, indicating robust business operations. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity base with an equity ratio of 100%. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.65, indicating prudent financial leverage management. However, the return on equity is moderate at 11.7%, suggesting room to improve shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Operating cash flow remains healthy, with a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio. Free cash flow is positive, supporting potential reinvestment and debt servicing. However, fluctuations in investing and financing cash flows suggest potential volatility in cash management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
584.43M478.12M467.27M389.48M385.30M362.75M
Gross Profit
523.24M478.12M626.39M380.23M358.63M362.75M
EBIT
175.71M235.33M197.56M160.19M212.78M90.20M
EBITDA
137.18M184.01M211.43M2.83M175.79M1.41M
Net Income Common Stockholders
137.72M142.57M157.06M128.18M138.26M73.45M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.27B1.25B1.17B916.90M1.44B1.20B
Total Assets
11.79B11.58B11.46B9.81B9.55B9.07B
Total Debt
340.19M343.12M749.76M553.92M320.58M350.63M
Net Debt
198.84M209.72M637.60M399.67M-74.79M-123.33M
Total Liabilities
10.34B10.18B10.15B8.75B8.44B8.00B
Stockholders Equity
1.45B1.41B1.31B1.05B1.11B1.07B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
117.45M113.92M128.72M140.21M154.41M98.08M
Operating Cash Flow
145.70M129.46M150.76M151.41M165.05M105.70M
Investing Cash Flow
-271.04M-121.72M-586.28M-588.79M-565.30M-483.14M
Financing Cash Flow
-43.67M-21.32M416.26M196.25M439.05M612.16M

First Commonwealth Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.30
Price Trends
50DMA
15.30
Positive
100DMA
15.62
Negative
200DMA
16.31
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
45.10
Neutral
STOCH
33.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FCF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.69, above the 50-day MA of 15.30, and below the 200-day MA of 16.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FCF.

First Commonwealth Risk Analysis

First Commonwealth disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Commonwealth reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Commonwealth Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.60B12.728.14%-5.61%-44.11%
73
Outperform
$1.55B13.607.19%6.57%6.30%-12.43%
FCFCF
70
Outperform
$1.62B11.439.91%3.48%6.42%-15.95%
68
Neutral
$1.50B16.7713.44%3.41%5.03%-3.19%
64
Neutral
$12.86B9.797.84%78.10%12.05%-7.99%
63
Neutral
$1.67B19.096.03%2.18%-2.00%-23.83%
48
Neutral
$1.46B97.23-0.15%4.29%-109.93%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FCF
First Commonwealth
15.30
2.53
19.81%
FBNC
First Bancorp
40.32
10.63
35.80%
LKFN
Lakeland Financial
58.35
-0.48
-0.82%
NWBI
Northwest Bancshares
12.05
1.81
17.68%
CUBI
Customers Bancorp
50.92
6.21
13.89%
CLBK
Columbia Financial
13.75
-0.44
-3.10%

First Commonwealth Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
First Commonwealth Reports Q1 2025 Earnings and Dividend
Neutral
Apr 29, 2025

On April 29, 2025, First Commonwealth Financial Corporation announced its first quarter 2025 earnings, reporting a net income of $32.7 million, which marks a decrease from the previous quarter and the same quarter in 2024. The company also declared an increased quarterly cash dividend of $0.135 per share. Despite the decrease in net income, the company saw growth in commercial loans and deposits, with a notable increase in savings deposits. However, noninterest income decreased due to lower gains on the sale of Small Business Administration loans, and noninterest expenses rose from the previous quarter.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.