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Pathward Financial (CASH)
NASDAQ:CASH
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Pathward Financial (CASH) AI Stock Analysis

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CASH

Pathward Financial

(NASDAQ:CASH)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$92.00
▲(12.81% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/21/26
CASH scores well primarily on solid underlying financial performance (strong profitability/returns and improved TTM cash generation) and attractive valuation (low P/E and ~2.39% yield). These positives are tempered by weak near-term technicals (negative MACD and price below key moving averages) and earnings-call risk signals tied to recent idiosyncratic credit losses and higher nonperforming loans, despite upbeat longer-term EPS guidance.
Positive Factors
Strong profitability and returns
Sustained high profitability and returns indicate an efficient operating model and strong earnings capacity. These metrics provide a durable foundation for reinvestment, capital returns and resilience across changing banking conditions.
Negative Factors
Elevated credit losses and nonperforming loans
Large specific reserves and rising nonaccrual exposure show that credit risk has become a material earnings variable. Concentration in troubled renewable projects could require further provisions and constrain profitability if recoveries disappoint.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong profitability and returns
Sustained high profitability and returns indicate an efficient operating model and strong earnings capacity. These metrics provide a durable foundation for reinvestment, capital returns and resilience across changing banking conditions.
Read all positive factors

Pathward Financial (CASH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pathward Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Pathward Financial, Inc. serves as the parent company for Pathward, National Association, providing a broad spectrum of banking products and services throughout the United States. Its operations are structured across three main divisions: Consumer...
How the Company Makes Money
Pathward primarily generates revenue through a combination of net interest income and non-interest (fee) income. Net interest income is earned by taking in deposits/funding and deploying those funds into interest-earning assets such as commercial ...

Pathward Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call described a generally healthy operating performance with solid revenue growth, strong returns, sizable liquidity, active share repurchases, and a constructive pipeline and FY2027 guidance. However, the quarter was materially impacted by specific credit losses (two large reserves, a CECL build and a suspected fraud), which reduced near-term EPS and increased nonperforming loans. Management characterized these as idiosyncratic events, maintained confidence in the broader portfolio and balance sheet, and emphasized ongoing discipline in underwriting, expense management, and capital deployment.
Positive Updates
Profitability and Earnings
Generated $29 million of net income and diluted EPS of $1.37 in Q3 FY2026; updated FY2026 EPS guidance to $7.80–$8.20 and introduced FY2027 EPS guidance of $9.50–$10.00, indicating expected earnings growth into FY2027.
Negative Updates
Elevated Credit Provisioning in Quarter
Provision for commercial finance credit in the quarter was roughly $34 million, with approximately $28–30 million of that attributed to specific reserves on two larger loans and CECL adjustments — management noted this reduced EPS by about $1 per share and reduced FY2026 guidance.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Profitability and Earnings
Generated $29 million of net income and diluted EPS of $1.37 in Q3 FY2026; updated FY2026 EPS guidance to $7.80–$8.20 and introduced FY2027 EPS guidance of $9.50–$10.00, indicating expected earnings growth into FY2027.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Pathward updated fiscal 2026 EPS guidance to $7.80–$8.20 (assuming no further rate changes, an effective tax rate of 16–18% and ongoing share repurchases) and introduced fiscal 2027 guidance of $9.50–$10.00 (assuming no rate changes, an effective tax rate of 18–22%, quarterly secondary market revenues of $5–$7M and expected share repurchases of roughly 70–80% of net income). Management said Q3’s commercial finance provision (~$34M, with roughly $28–30M tied to the two specific loans — about $1.00 per share) weighed on the FY26 guide but underlying trends remain healthy: adjusted NIM stable at 5.27% (GAAP NIM 6.59%), loans & leases +8% y/y, $760M of originations in the quarter, liquidity of $2.7B, and the company repurchased ~304k shares at an average $92.18 with ~3.1M shares still available under the buyback program.

Pathward Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financials are solid: strong profitability and returns (healthy net margins and ~20%+ ROE in recent periods) and materially improved TTM cash generation (FCF up sharply and covering a large share of net income). Key offsets are some recent margin compression versus 2024–2025, cash-flow volatility in prior years (including negative FCF), and a meaningful uptick in total debt from 2025 to TTM that bears monitoring.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue803.16M685.23M668.90M611.47M523.39M515.13M
Gross Profit722.19M616.86M589.57M491.35M461.73M458.50M
EBITDA250.88M282.78M276.38M220.00M241.90M215.49M
Net Income175.73M185.87M183.22M143.27M151.13M141.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.31B7.17B7.55B7.54B6.75B6.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.37B1.09B1.90B2.18B2.27B2.18B
Total Debt201.03M42.46M410.35M46.87M36.03M98.03M
Total Liabilities6.46B6.31B6.71B6.88B6.10B5.82B
Stockholders Equity850.90M858.04M839.88M651.63M645.17M870.73M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow594.28M236.59M176.78M-146.79M-170.06M517.62M
Operating Cash Flow696.87M450.62M453.54M303.11M268.81M581.64M
Investing Cash Flow-628.86M25.84M-227.66M-920.76M-310.87M-1.12B
Financing Cash Flow-173.68M-513.03M-443.20M604.86M117.82M422.93M

Pathward Financial Risk Analysis

Pathward Financial disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pathward Financial reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pathward Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$1.51B13.8314.67%3.40%1.83%18.85%
82
Outperform
$2.04B15.9316.41%2.39%3.23%10.13%
72
Outperform
$1.83B13.7510.91%0.30%7.11%132.73%
71
Outperform
$1.73B10.3720.58%0.24%1.95%6.07%
69
Neutral
$1.95B9.1813.78%4.83%0.47%1.51%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
56
Neutral
$769.36M-201.32-0.80%7.30%-106.97%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CASH
Pathward Financial
83.19
6.51
8.49%
BLX
Banco Latinoamericano De Comercio
55.64
11.80
26.91%
CHCO
City Holding Company
145.57
19.90
15.84%
LKFN
Lakeland Financial
60.57
-5.14
-7.82%
LOB
Live Oak Bancshares
39.61
1.78
4.69%
CCB
Coastal Financial
50.33
-61.24
-54.89%

Pathward Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Pathward Financial Declares Fourth-Quarter 2026 Cash Dividend
Positive
Aug 20, 2026
On August 20, 2026, Pathward Financial, Inc. announced a cash dividend of $0.05 per share for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, payable on October 1, 2026 to shareholders of record as of September 10, 2026. As of June 30, 2026, the company report...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Pathward Financial Reports Lower Q3 2026 Earnings
Negative
Jul 22, 2026
Pathward Financial reported unaudited net income of $29.0 million, or $1.37 per diluted share, for its fiscal third quarter ended June 30, 2026, down from $42.1 million, or $1.81 per diluted share, a year earlier, as credit performance was pressur...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Pathward Financial Declares Third-Quarter 2026 Cash Dividend
Positive
May 21, 2026
On May 21, 2026, Pathward Financial, Inc. declared a cash dividend of $0.05 per share for the third quarter of its 2026 fiscal year, payable on July 1, 2026 to shareholders of record as of June 11, 2026. As of March 31, 2026, the company reported ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 21, 2026