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FB Financial (FBK) AI Stock Analysis

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FBK

FB Financial

(NYSE:FBK)

Select Model
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:$59.00â–²(8.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/04/26

The score is driven by mixed financial performance—solid profitability and balance-sheet conservatism are weighed down by a sharp TTM revenue decline and significantly weaker, volatile free cash flow. Technicals add modest support (near-term strength but weaker longer-term trend), valuation appears reasonable at ~12x earnings, and the earnings call was constructive with growth and margin guidance despite ongoing mortgage and funding-cost headwinds.

Positive Factors
Loan and Deposit GrowthStrong loan and customer-deposit growth indicates continued relationship acquisition and demand across FB Financial’s commercial and consumer franchise. If sustained, this expansion can enlarge earning assets, deepen funding relationships, and support recurring net interest income over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Mortgage Revenue PressureThe sharp TTM revenue decline and continuing mortgage headwinds weaken confidence in the durability of recent earnings. Lower origination volumes and mortgage profitability can reduce fee income, leaving the company more dependent on spread revenue and exposing results to an uneven business mix.

FB Financial (FBK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%FBK+4.82%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$2.73B
Dividend Yield
1.54%
Average Volume (3M)
479.59K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
12.1
Beta (1Y)
0.81
Revenue Growth
27.18%
EPS Growth
110.85%
Country
US
Employees
1,594
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

FB Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

FB Financial Corporation functions as the parent entity for FirstBank, offering an extensive array of commercial and consumer banking solutions tailored for businesses, professionals, and individual clients. The company organizes its activities into...

How the Company Makes Money

FB Financial primarily makes money through its banking operations. The largest driver is net interest income: the company earns interest and fees on loans and other interest-earning assets (such as investment securities) and pays interest on deposits...

FB Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 13, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:3.57%|Next Earnings Date:Jan 19, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive, supported by strong loan and customer deposit growth, solid profitability, stable credit trends, healthy pipelines, strong capital ratios and continued expansion and talent investments. The main challenges were mortgage banking pressure, deposit-cost competition, net interest margin compression, higher expenses, the non-accrual interest reversal and expected seasonal moderation in fourth-quarter growth. Highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights.

Positive Updates

Strong Earnings and Profitability
Third-quarter EPS was $1.2 and adjusted EPS was $1.21. Net income totaled $60.2 million, or $60.9 million on an adjusted basis. Return on average tangible common equity was 15.2%, or 15.7% on an adjusted basis, while return on average assets remained above 1.4%.

Negative Updates

Mortgage Banking Headwinds
The mortgage banking segment faced headwinds from the sharp rise in interest rates during the second half of the quarter. Management expects higher rates to weigh on near-term origination volumes and profitability, with mortgage earnings likely to be reduced in the fourth quarter and 2027.

Company Guidance

Management expects full year loan and deposit growth within its mid to high single digit range, with growth to moderate into the fourth quarter due to the normal timing of pay downs, renewals and larger commercial closings, while pipelines remain healthy and activity is expected to be really strong as the company heads into 2027. Full year net interest margin outlook excluding loan accretion is 3.7% to 3.8%, with fourth-quarter core margin expected to remain near third quarter levels; each 25 basis point increase in fed funds is expected to produce around a 3 basis point increase in margin. Banking segment expense guidance was narrowed to $325 million to $335 million, near the lower end of prior guidance, mortgage earnings are expected to be lower in the fourth quarter and 2027, and net charge offs are expected to remain within the company’s long term target range.

FB Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are mixed: strong current profitability and a conservative leverage profile (low TTM debt-to-equity and improved ROE) support the score, but TTM revenue fell sharply (-27.9%) and cash generation deteriorated materially with volatile, down ~76% free cash flow versus the prior annual period—raising durability and quality-of-earnings concerns.

Income Statement

63Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

42Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.03B877.84M766.77M748.98M596.35M613.25M
Gross Profit684.38M516.73M445.74M475.25M508.19M616.62M
EBITDA314.68M155.87M161.58M165.13M172.18M256.94M
Net Income233.35M122.62M116.03M120.22M124.56M190.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.09B16.30B13.16B12.60B12.85B12.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.56B1.56B1.74B1.71B2.29B3.35B
Total Debt321.61M283.21M246.55M468.35M494.99M226.52M
Total Liabilities15.16B14.35B11.59B11.15B11.52B11.16B
Stockholders Equity1.93B1.95B1.57B1.45B1.33B1.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow167.43M147.01M132.25M190.84M789.08M48.78M
Operating Cash Flow179.00M155.86M138.80M211.07M799.71M54.88M
Investing Cash Flow-1.07B-32.48M-294.00M-55.22M-1.75B-849.56M
Financing Cash Flow626.70M-9.97M386.76M-371.98M184.10M1.27B

FB Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price54.63

Price Trends

50DMA53.27Positive
100DMA55.79Negative
200DMA54.76Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.48Negative
RSI56.29Neutral
STOCH33.99Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FBK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 54.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.75, above the 50-day MA of 53.27, and below the 200-day MA of 54.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FBK.

FB Financial Risk Analysis

FB Financial disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FB Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.The rise of artificial intelligence and generative AI presents risks to our operations, controls, and compliance.Q4, 2025
2.Negative developments affecting the banking industry may erode client confidence in the banking system.Q4, 2024
3.Significant changes to the size, structure, powers and operations of the federal government may cause economic disruptions that could, in turn, adversely impact our business, results of operations and financial condition.Q4, 2024

FB Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

FBK against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
RNSTRNST75Outperform$3.63B11.188.62%2.34%20.27%79.91%
SFNCSFNC73Outperform$3.38B13.037.61%3.66%121.80%―
TRMKTRMK73Outperform$2.76B11.9411.10%2.07%0.97%9.33%
UCBUCB71Outperform$4.46B31.364.03%2.71%5.43%-52.84%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
SMBKSMBK67Neutral$821.82M12.9610.97%0.71%9.88%34.28%
FBKFBK67Neutral$2.68B12.0611.98%1.54%27.18%110.85%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%FBKRNSTSFNCTRMKUCBSMBKDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
FBK and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
FBKFB Financial Corporation54.633.286.39%
RNSTRenasant40.237.6323.40%
SFNCSimmons First National23.466.9041.64%
TRMKTrustmark47.8811.9733.35%
UCBUnited Community Banks37.329.2532.98%
SMBKSmartFinancial, Inc.48.0713.6639.71%

FB Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing

FB Financial posts strong third-quarter 2026 earnings growth

Positive
Oct 13, 2026

FB Financial reported strong third-quarter 2026 results on October 13, 2026, posting net income of $60.2 million, or $1.20 per diluted share, up from $1.13 in the prior quarter and $0.43 a year earlier, while adjusted EPS reached $1.21. The bank expa...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

FB Financial Completes $125 Million Subordinated Notes Offering

Positive
Sep 24, 2026

On September 24, 2026, FB Financial Corporation completed a $125 million offering of 6.625% fixed-to-floating rate subordinated notes due 2036, issued under a subordinated indenture with U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association, as trustee. The...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance

FB Financial Updates Fixed Income Investor Presentation Materials

Neutral
Sep 21, 2026

On September 21, 2026, FB Financial Corporation released an updated fixed income investor presentation for use in meetings with investors, analysts and other market participants, formally making the materials available through its latest regulatory f...

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance

FB Financial Releases Fixed Income Investor Risk Presentation

Neutral
Sep 17, 2026

On September 17, 2026, FB Financial Corporation released a fixed income investor presentation for use in meetings with investors, analysts and other market participants. The materials outline the company’s use of non-GAAP financial measures, such as...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2026