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Trustmark (TRMK) AI Stock Analysis

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TRMK

Trustmark

(NASDAQ:TRMK)

Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:$49.00â–²(7.55% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:11/06/26

TRMK scores highest on financial strength and reasonable valuation, supported by solid margins, improved leverage, and strong cash conversion, plus constructive earnings-call guidance (stable-to-improving NIM and credit quality). The overall score is held back by weaker technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and a fundamental watch item around slowing/recent revenue growth and relatively low operating cash flow coverage of debt.

Positive Factors
Strong profitabilityTrustmark’s healthy net and operating margins show that its banking model is converting revenue into meaningful earnings. This profitability provides capacity to absorb normal credit or funding volatility, support investment, and sustain shareholder returns over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Revenue contractionThe recent top-line contraction indicates that prior growth has not yet become a consistently expanding revenue trend. If this persists, it could constrain operating leverage, reduce the capacity to fund strategic investments, and make future earnings more dependent on margin management.

Trustmark (TRMK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%TRMK+21.15%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$2.63B
Dividend Yield
2.17%
Average Volume (3M)
380.15K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.4
Beta (1Y)
0.67
Revenue Growth
0.97%
EPS Growth
9.33%
Country
US
Employees
2,574
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

Trustmark Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Trustmark Corporation, the parent entity of Trustmark National Bank, delivers a comprehensive suite of banking and financial services to both individual consumers and corporate clients across the United States. Its operations are strategically divide...

How the Company Makes Money

Trustmark primarily makes money through a combination of interest-based income and fee-based (noninterest) income. (1) Net interest income: The core earnings driver is the spread between interest earned on loans and investment securities and interest...

Trustmark Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-1.21%|Next Earnings Date:Jan 26, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was broadly positive. Trustmark reported record quarterly operating EPS, stable net interest margin, deposit growth, strong credit quality, a sizeable approved loan pipeline, strategic transactions expected to add to fourth-quarter earnings, continued shareholder returns and ongoing investment in organic growth. These strengths were partially offset by a quarterly decline in loans, elevated commercial loan payoffs, mortgage banking and treasury management fee pressure, higher expected deposit costs, competitive lending conditions and slower public finance and equipment finance activity.

Positive Updates

Record Quarterly Operating EPS
Third-quarter net income was $58.1 million, or $1.00 per diluted share. Return on average tangible equity was 12.72% and return on average assets was 1.21%. Quarterly operating EPS was a record for Trustmark in its 137-year history.

Negative Updates

Quarterly Loan Balance Decline and Elevated Payoffs
Loans held for investment declined $43.9 million, or 0.3%, during the quarter. Management cited continued elevated commercial loan payoffs, including approximately $214 million of unexpected commercial real estate payoffs and approximately $60 million of unexpected commercial and industrial payoffs from four credits.

Company Guidance

For the full year 2026, Trustmark expects mid-single-digit growth in both loans held for investment and deposits excluding broker deposits, stable security balances, a net interest margin of 3.83 to 3.87%, fully tax equivalent net interest income up mid single digits compared to 2025, total provision for credit losses including off balance sheet credit exposure to normalize and remain consistent with prior 2026 quarters, low- to mid-single-digit growth in full year noninterest income, and mid-single-digit growth in full-year 2026 noninterest expense; it expects to be at the high end of its guide range with Q4 NIM around 4%, Q4 deposit costs of approximately 1.76% with a 33% beta, deposit mix of approximately 80% interest-bearing and 20% non-interest-bearing to remain relatively stable, approximately $5.7 million of incremental net interest income from the transactions, approximately 12 basis points of margin, approximately $3.2 million of incremental net income, and $0.05 of diluted shares, while the approved loan pipeline is around $1 billion, a new public finance facility has today about $115 million of availability to be drawn and is expected to fund up over Q4 and into 2027, and faster equipment finance growth is expected to reoccur in Q4 of this year.

Trustmark Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall fundamentals are solid: healthy profitability (TTM net margin ~21.9%; EBIT margin ~34%) and improved leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.33 TTM) support stability. Key offsets are the TTM revenue decline (~-8.7%) and relatively low operating cash flow coverage of debt (~1.7%), which reduce cushion if conditions weaken.

Income Statement

71Positive

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

67Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.08B1.12B831.37M916.33M583.32M567.82M
Gross Profit778.81M794.92M414.20M565.80M513.31M568.11M
EBITDA398.01M325.73M72.12M216.79M98.99M221.23M
Net Income235.59M224.13M223.01M165.49M71.89M147.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.11B18.93B18.15B18.72B18.02B17.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.68B2.54B2.26B2.74B2.76B5.51B
Total Debt684.49M1.12B849.80M1.11B1.72B550.97M
Total Liabilities17.02B16.80B16.19B17.06B16.52B15.85B
Stockholders Equity2.09B2.12B1.96B1.66B1.49B1.74B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow244.28M223.69M88.34M148.23M262.50M317.57M
Operating Cash Flow280.83M243.90M116.93M196.89M296.52M348.77M
Investing Cash Flow-296.04M-586.20M284.59M-411.17M-2.28B-1.01B
Financing Cash Flow-7.45M443.05M-809.62M455.04M451.84M970.57M

Trustmark Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price45.56

Price Trends

50DMA45.58Negative
100DMA46.06Negative
200DMA44.62Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.05Negative
RSI52.16Neutral
STOCH34.28Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRMK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 45.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.29, below the 50-day MA of 45.58, and above the 200-day MA of 44.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TRMK.

Trustmark Risk Analysis

Trustmark disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trustmark reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.Trustmark's ability to declare and pay dividends is subject to restriction by various laws and regulations and other factors.Q4, 2025

Trustmark Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

TRMK against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
RNSTRNST75Outperform$3.62B11.188.62%2.34%20.27%79.91%
SBCFSBCF75Outperform$3.29B18.736.12%2.25%28.80%1.35%
OBKOBK72Outperform$1.65B12.4010.20%1.48%5.03%117.09%
UCBUCB71Outperform$4.48B31.464.03%2.70%5.43%-52.84%
TRMKTRMK69Neutral$2.62B11.3611.10%2.17%0.97%9.33%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
FBKFBK67Neutral$2.69B12.1211.98%1.53%27.18%110.85%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%TRMKRNSTSBCFUCBFBKOBKDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TRMK and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TRMKTrustmark45.568.2622.13%
RNSTRenasant40.256.3318.67%
SBCFSeacoast Banking Corporation Of Florida33.724.4015.01%
UCBUnited Community Banks37.448.3728.78%
FBKFB Financial Corporation54.901.102.04%
OBKOrigin Bancorp, Inc.53.9919.6957.42%

Trustmark Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Trustmark executes major sale-leaseback and portfolio repositioning

Neutral
Sep 10, 2026

On September 3, 2026, Trustmark Bank completed a $91.7 million sale-leaseback transaction with entities affiliated with Blue Owl Real Estate Capital, selling 34 branch properties across five states and simultaneously entering into triple net leases w...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2026