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Exponent (EXPO)
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Exponent (EXPO) AI Stock Analysis

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EXPO

Exponent

(NASDAQ:EXPO)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$79.00
▲(14.39% Upside)
Exponent's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, tempered by mixed technical indicators and a moderate valuation. The company's robust revenue growth and strategic initiatives are significant strengths, while attention to cash flow management and market conditions will be crucial.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Exponent's strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for its services, suggesting effective market positioning and product relevance, which are crucial for long-term sustainability.
Business Model Strength
A subscription-based model provides predictable revenue streams and customer retention, supporting long-term financial stability and growth.
Strong Demand in Key Sectors
Growth in diverse sectors enhances Exponent's market resilience and reduces dependency on any single industry, supporting sustainable long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Decreased Activity in Consumer Electronics
Decreased activity in consumer electronics could signal challenges in adapting to market changes, potentially impacting growth in this sector.
Increased G&A Expenses
Rising G&A expenses can pressure margins and reduce profitability, necessitating careful cost management to maintain financial health.
Potential Revenue Headwind
Expected revenue headwinds could impact short-term financial performance, highlighting the need for strategic planning to mitigate seasonal fluctuations.

Exponent (EXPO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Exponent Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExponent (EXPO) is a technology company that specializes in providing data analytics solutions and software tools designed to enhance decision-making processes for businesses across various industries. The company operates primarily in the technology and data analytics sectors, offering a suite of products that includes predictive analytics, machine learning platforms, and business intelligence tools aimed at helping organizations optimize their operations and drive growth.
How the Company Makes MoneyExponent generates revenue through a subscription-based model for its software products, allowing customers to access its analytics tools and services on a recurring basis. The company also earns money through professional services, including consulting and support, which help clients implement and utilize their technologies effectively. Key revenue streams include subscriptions from enterprise clients, data integration services, and partnerships with other technology firms that enhance its product offerings. Additionally, Exponent may engage in strategic alliances that leverage its analytics capabilities, further driving sales and customer acquisition.

Exponent Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 25, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a strong quarter with significant revenue growth and increased demand in reactive engagements. However, challenges such as decreased activity in consumer electronics, increased expenses, and potential revenue headwinds were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Third Quarter Net Revenue Growth
Exponent delivered double-digit net revenue growth, with total revenues increasing 8% to $147.1 million and net revenues increasing 10% to $137.1 million year-over-year.
Increased Demand in Reactive Engagements
There was robust growth in reactive engagements across various sectors, including energy, transportation, life sciences, and construction, with a notable 18% growth in the reactive business.
Positive Developments in Human-Machine Interaction Studies
Encouraging demand trends in consumer electronics, particularly in human-machine interaction studies, are expected to improve in the fourth quarter.
Stock Repurchase Program and Dividend Payments
The company repurchased $40 million of common stock and approved a $100 million increase in the stock repurchase program, reflecting confidence in its long-term growth trajectory.
Negative Updates
Decreased Activity in Consumer Electronics
Lower activity in consumer electronics offset gains in other sectors, although there are signs of improving demand trends.
Year-Over-Year Decrease in EBITDA Margin
EBITDA margin slightly decreased from 28.6% to 28.3% due to costs associated with a managers meeting, despite better utilization and strong realized rate increases.
Increased G&A Expenses
General and administrative expenses increased by 44% due to travel and meals associated with an in-person managers meeting and were not present in the previous year.
Potential Revenue Headwind in Fourth Quarter
A year-over-year revenue headwind of approximately 7% is expected due to fewer workdays in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to 2024.
Company Guidance
During the Exponent, Inc. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported robust financial performance. Total revenues rose by 8% to $147.1 million, with net revenues increasing by 10% to $137.1 million compared to the same period in 2024. Net income surged to $28 million, equating to $0.55 per diluted share, up from $26 million or $0.50 per diluted share the previous year. The EBITDA climbed by 9% to $38.8 million, representing a margin of 28.3% of net revenues. The quarter saw a 4% increase in billable hours to approximately 376,000, with a technical full-time equivalent employee count rising by 3% to 976. Utilization improved to 74.1%, and the realized rate increase was approximately 6%. Looking forward, Exponent anticipates net revenue growth in the low to mid-single digits for the fourth quarter of 2025, with EBITDA margins expected to be between 26% and 27%. For the full year, the company maintains its revenue guidance, expecting low single-digit growth and an EBITDA margin of 27.4% to 27.65%. The company also highlighted strong demand for its services in reactive engagements, particularly within the energy, transportation, and life sciences sectors, while noting encouraging trends in consumer electronics for the upcoming quarter.

Exponent Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Exponent demonstrates strong financial health with high profitability and growth metrics. The income statement shows robust revenue growth and healthy margins, although a slight decline in net income and free cash flow growth warrants attention. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, and cash flow conversion is efficient.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Exponent's income statement shows strong profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 56.74% and a net profit margin of 18.35%. The company has demonstrated impressive revenue growth of 25.5% in the TTM period, indicating robust demand for its services. While the EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 25.31% and 26.18% respectively, there is a slight decline in net income from the previous annual report, which could be a point of concern.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19, suggesting prudent financial management. The return on equity is strong at 24.19%, indicating efficient use of equity capital. However, the equity ratio of 56.31% suggests moderate leverage, which is typical for the consulting industry but could pose risks if debt levels increase.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a slight decline in free cash flow growth by 9.87% in the TTM period, which may impact liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, indicating adequate cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 0.95, reflecting strong cash conversion efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue560.51M558.51M536.77M513.29M466.27M399.90M
Gross Profit318.06M142.28M135.76M164.50M124.21M96.14M
EBITDA146.72M129.25M120.24M147.92M115.41M90.12M
Net Income102.84M109.00M100.34M102.33M101.20M82.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets759.43M777.27M646.78M586.66M683.74M580.10M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments231.80M258.90M187.15M161.46M297.69M242.53M
Total Debt80.32M81.48M28.26M18.60M14.97M20.33M
Total Liabilities331.65M356.20M290.69M265.91M266.67M218.60M
Stockholders Equity427.78M421.07M356.08M320.75M417.06M361.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow120.92M137.60M111.00M81.76M117.74M98.33M
Operating Cash Flow129.26M144.54M127.35M93.81M124.57M103.31M
Investing Cash Flow-8.34M-6.94M-16.36M-12.04M38.18M5.02M
Financing Cash Flow-92.80M-65.11M-86.01M-215.98M-62.75M-88.36M

Exponent Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price69.06
Price Trends
50DMA
69.16
Positive
100DMA
70.79
Positive
200DMA
76.12
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.42
Negative
RSI
60.93
Neutral
STOCH
89.94
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXPO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 69.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.07, below the 50-day MA of 69.16, and below the 200-day MA of 76.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.94 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EXPO.

Exponent Risk Analysis

Exponent disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Exponent reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Exponent Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$1.24B22.6427.83%1.06%8.69%34.58%
$5.17B21.2813.30%-0.95%-10.54%
$3.62B35.1825.79%1.67%4.90%-1.52%
$2.84B27.6421.20%12.50%29.40%
$1.49B15.209.88%0.70%-3.81%-7.05%
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
$10.37B13.0574.72%2.15%2.42%3.05%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EXPO
Exponent
71.70
-25.09
-25.92%
BAH
Booz Allen
85.50
-96.40
-53.00%
CRAI
Cra International
188.29
2.01
1.08%
FCN
FTI Consulting
167.38
-31.61
-15.89%
HURN
Huron Consulting
164.92
44.60
37.07%
ICFI
Icf International
80.66
-89.34
-52.55%

Exponent Corporate Events

Exponent’s Earnings Call: Revenue Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 1, 2025

In the recent earnings call, Exponent demonstrated a strong quarter characterized by significant revenue growth and heightened demand in reactive engagements. Despite these positive developments, the company acknowledged challenges such as decreased activity in consumer electronics, increased expenses, and potential revenue headwinds.

Exponent Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Oct 31, 2025

Exponent, Inc. is a leading engineering and scientific consulting firm that operates across multiple industries, offering specialized expertise in failure analysis and risk management. The company reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with notable revenue growth driven by increased demand in various sectors, despite challenges in the consumer electronics space.

Stock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Exponent Announces Dividend and Share Repurchase Plan
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Exponent, Inc. announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.30 per share, payable on December 19, 2025, and authorized an additional $100 million for share repurchases. The company reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with an 8% increase in total revenues and a 10% increase in revenues before reimbursements compared to the same period in 2024. Exponent’s net income rose to $28.0 million, driven by increased demand for its services across various sectors, despite lower activity in consumer electronics. The company is strategically increasing headcount to support growth and has maintained its revenue guidance while raising its margin guidance for the full year.

The most recent analyst rating on (EXPO) stock is a Hold with a $74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exponent stock, see the EXPO Stock Forecast page.

Exponent’s Earnings Call: Mixed Results and Optimistic Outlook
Aug 2, 2025

The recent earnings call for Exponent presented a mixed sentiment, highlighting slight revenue growth and strong litigation-related activity. However, these positives were counterbalanced by flat net revenues, decreased net income, and challenges in utilization. While there were positive developments in utility sector risk management and recruiting efforts, these were overshadowed by declines in the environmental and health segment and regulatory delays.

Exponent’s Q2 2025 Earnings: Steady Revenue Amid Challenges
Aug 1, 2025

Exponent, Inc. is a multidisciplinary engineering and scientific consulting firm that operates across various industries, providing expertise in failure analysis and risk management. In its second quarter of 2025, Exponent reported flat revenues of $142.0 million, slightly exceeding expectations, with notable growth in dispute-related activities in the construction, automotive, and medical device sectors. However, the company faced softer demand in chemical regulatory work, impacting overall performance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025