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Eagle Materials (EXP) AI Stock Analysis

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EXP

Eagle Materials

(NYSE:EXP)

Select Model
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:$205.00â–²(8.33% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/06/26

EXP scores positively on core fundamentals (strong profitability/ROE and solid operating cash generation), but the overall rating is held back by weaker free cash flow conversion and higher leverage. Technicals are mildly supportive (above short-term averages, positive MACD) but still below longer-term trend levels. Valuation is reasonable on P/E, while the latest call reinforces near-term cost and demand headwinds despite constructive long-term modernization and pricing initiatives.

Positive Factors
Strong profitability and returnsEagle continues to generate strong operating and net profitability, with returns on equity near 25%. This indicates an established business model with attractive earning power, supporting reinvestment, resilience, and competitive positioning across construction-material markets over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Higher leverage reduces flexibilityThe increase in leverage raises fixed financial obligations and reduces flexibility if construction activity weakens. Higher debt also competes with modernization, acquisitions, and shareholder returns for capital, making the balance sheet more exposed to a prolonged cyclical downturn.

Eagle Materials (EXP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%EXP-8.06%SPY+10.42%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$5.80B
Dividend Yield
0.53%
Average Volume (3M)
428.19K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
15.6
Beta (1Y)
0.93
Revenue Growth
1.61%
EPS Growth
-11.27%
Country
US
Employees
2,800
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Construction Materials

Eagle Materials Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Eagle Materials Inc., operating through its subsidiaries across the United States, stands as a key producer and supplier of both heavy construction and light building materials. The company's diverse operations are organized into distinct segments: C...

How the Company Makes Money

Eagle Materials makes money by producing and selling construction materials and building products, with revenue primarily generated from product sales to customers in construction-related end markets. (1) Heavy Materials revenue is driven mainly by c...

Eagle Materials Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2026(Q2-2027)|% Change Since:-1.83%|Next Earnings Date:Jan 27, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call was mixed but cautiously constructive. Eagle delivered record revenue, higher operating cash flow, strong liquidity, continued shareholder returns, and progress on major modernization projects. However, these positives were offset by a 14% EPS decline, lower operating earnings in both major sectors, elevated diesel, freight and raw material costs, ongoing Wallboard demand weakness, and operational disruptions at the older Mountain Cement plant.

Positive Updates

Record Revenue and Share Repurchases
Second-quarter revenue reached a record $653 million, up 2% year over year. EPS was $3.63, the company repurchased $62 million of shares during the quarter, and net leverage remained at 2.1x.

Negative Updates

Higher Costs Reduced EPS
Higher operating costs, particularly transportation costs from elevated diesel prices, offset revenue growth and contributed to a 14% year-over-year decrease in second-quarter EPS. The decline was partially mitigated by a 5% reduction in fully diluted shares from the share repurchase program.

Company Guidance

Eagle expects fiscal 2027 capital expenditures of between $490 million and $525 million, with construction of Mountain Cement on track to be completed later this calendar year and Duke Wallboard construction at mid-fiscal 2028; once Laramie construction is complete, commissioning will take about 2 quarters, while Duke construction and commissioning will occur about 1 year after the Laramie, Wyoming, cement plant is complete. By the later part of fiscal 2028, many cost savings are expected to be accretive to Mountain Cement’s margin profile, although achieving the full 25% cost savings requires selling the full capacity of the new plant and will take several years. Price increases in cement and aggregates are effective January 1, 2027, with cement increases anywhere between $10 to $14, $15 a ton depending upon the market, and about 50% of cement demand is driven by public infrastructure spending.

Eagle Materials Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong profitability and returns (TTM EBIT margin ~22%, net margin ~16%, ROE ~25%) and operating cash flow that comfortably supports earnings (~2.3x net income). Offsetting factors are TTM margin compression versus the most recent annual period, rising leverage (debt/equity ~1.15 TTM), and weak free cash flow conversion (~27% of net income) alongside declining FCF.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

67Positive

Cash Flow

62Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.34B2.31B2.26B2.26B2.15B1.86B
Gross Profit603.21M652.54M673.14M685.32M639.27M519.61M
EBITDA645.72M764.20M792.63M811.07M762.74M634.82M
Net Income376.72M423.81M463.42M477.64M461.54M374.25M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.97B3.84B3.26B2.95B2.78B2.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments241.17M297.92M20.40M34.92M15.24M19.42M
Total Debt1.76B1.80B1.28B1.12B1.12B974.60M
Total Liabilities2.43B2.37B1.81B1.64B1.60B1.45B
Stockholders Equity1.53B1.47B1.46B1.31B1.19B1.13B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow155.50M197.43M353.27M443.63M431.58M443.05M
Operating Cash Flow637.26M614.17M548.55M563.94M541.73M517.17M
Investing Cash Flow-496.76M-431.74M-370.13M-175.36M-268.59M-74.12M
Financing Cash Flow65.64M95.09M-192.94M-368.90M-277.31M-692.15M

Eagle Materials Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price189.24

Price Trends

50DMA179.46Positive
100DMA195.85Negative
200DMA201.38Negative

Market Momentum

MACD4.05Negative
RSI59.25Neutral
STOCH69.76Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 189.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 176.45, above the 50-day MA of 179.46, and below the 200-day MA of 201.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for EXP.

Eagle Materials Risk Analysis

Eagle Materials disclosed 15 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Eagle Materials reported the most risks in the "Production" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Production - Risks related to the company’s ability to manufacture goods and services

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Eagle Materials Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

EXP against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
MLMMLM75Outperform$39.53B13.9518.24%0.63%8.58%98.89%
CPACCPAC74Outperform$1.16B14.3619.61%4.78%20.97%27.03%
VMCVMC69Neutral$38.21B33.7113.04%0.72%1.61%0.24%
TTAMTTAM68Neutral$2.64B12.1716.96%1.37%5.34%-11.89%
EXPEXP67Neutral$6.08B15.6325.16%0.53%1.61%-11.27%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
KNFKNF58Neutral$3.53B24.268.22%―10.87%-9.45%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%75%EXPCPACMLMVMCKNFTTAMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
EXP and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
EXPEagle Materials189.24-16.70-8.11%
CPACCementos Pacasmayo S.a.a.12.735.9988.87%
MLMMartin Marietta Materials527.83-79.39-13.07%
VMCVulcan Materials Company285.510.340.12%
KNFKnife River Corporation57.25-13.74-19.35%
TTAMTitan America SA11.68-3.71-24.13%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2026