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Erasca (ERAS)
NASDAQ:ERAS
US Market
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Erasca (ERAS) AI Stock Analysis

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ERAS

Erasca

(NASDAQ:ERAS)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$15.50
▼(-20.47% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/09/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance (no revenue, widening TTM losses, and persistent cash burn) and limited valuation support (negative P/E and no dividend). Technical signals are mixed/neutral. Corporate events are a partial offset, with Fast Track designation and promising early clinical data balanced by dilution risk from a sizable equity raise.
Positive Factors
Low leverage
Low leverage gives Erasca more financial flexibility than highly indebted development-stage peers. The relatively modest debt burden may reduce near-term solvency pressure and preserve capacity to direct available capital toward clinical development and other operating priorities.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue business model
With no current revenue base, Erasca cannot absorb substantial research, clinical, and corporate costs through commercial operations. Its future funding capacity therefore depends on successful development, regulatory approval, commercialization, or potential collaboration arrangements.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage
Low leverage gives Erasca more financial flexibility than highly indebted development-stage peers. The relatively modest debt burden may reduce near-term solvency pressure and preserve capacity to direct available capital toward clinical development and other operating priorities.
Read all positive factors

Erasca (ERAS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Erasca Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Erasca, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company in the clinical development stage, primarily focused on identifying, advancing, and commercializing therapeutic solutions for malignancies propelled by the RAS/MAPK pathway. The firm's pipeline features ...
How the Company Makes Money
As a clinical-stage biotechnology company, Erasca has not historically relied on recurring product sales as a primary revenue source (product-revenue details: null). Its funding has primarily come from external financing—such as issuing equity (e....

Erasca Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pre-revenue profile with zero revenue and sizeable losses, including a wider TTM net loss (-$287.2M). Cash burn remains significant (TTM operating cash flow about -$98.0M; free cash flow about -$98.1M), keeping the company reliant on external funding. Balance sheet is a relative strength with low leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.12), which helps near-term solvency despite negative ROE.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-1.47M-3.11M0.00-3.73M-2.64M-829.00K
EBITDA-284.29M-121.44M-153.28M-121.31M-240.16M-121.94M
Net Income-287.22M-124.55M-161.65M-125.04M-242.81M-122.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets435.05M396.15M502.53M395.30M514.91M501.42M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments268.74M276.07M298.31M312.35M435.62M414.48M
Total Debt44.71M47.14M51.89M55.86M55.10M18.79M
Total Liabilities73.19M70.98M79.03M78.61M103.06M44.89M
Stockholders Equity361.87M325.17M423.50M316.69M411.85M456.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-98.08M-95.58M-131.98M-102.99M-119.81M-98.48M
Operating Cash Flow-98.02M-95.45M-109.42M-101.22M-103.26M-79.60M
Investing Cash Flow-173.92M100.42M-156.62M-91.22M-71.08M-64.59M
Financing Cash Flow248.34M1.10M240.70M1.29M98.08M439.40M

Erasca Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.49
Price Trends
50DMA
16.50
Negative
100DMA
16.24
Negative
200DMA
14.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.34
Negative
RSI
50.55
Neutral
STOCH
84.57
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ERAS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.87, above the 50-day MA of 16.50, and above the 200-day MA of 14.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.57 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ERAS.

Erasca Risk Analysis

Erasca disclosed 88 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Erasca reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Erasca Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$3.48B-18.81-16.47%―3244.67%49.14%
58
Neutral
$942.98M-3.15-207.18%―-7.27%-48.89%
55
Neutral
$3.92B-11.39-42.27%―23.86%19.60%
54
Neutral
$1.76B-11.51-49.73%―1083.56%30.89%
53
Neutral
$1.37B-8.31-46.39%――-33.90%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
$5.61B-16.87-80.43%――-110.63%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ERAS
Erasca
15.46
13.06
544.17%
KURA
Kura Oncology
10.40
0.46
4.68%
IDYA
IDEAYA Biosciences
36.06
9.29
34.70%
RLAY
Relay Therapeutics
17.98
11.71
186.76%
NUVB
Nuvation Bio
4.90
1.22
33.15%
TYRA
Tyra Bioscience
19.60
5.24
36.49%

Erasca Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Erasca Wins FDA Fast Track for Pancreatic Therapy
Positive
Aug 24, 2026
On August 24, 2026, Erasca, Inc. reported that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration granted Fast Track Designation to its investigational therapy ERAS-0015 for patients with metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma. This designation, intended for ser...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Erasca Bolsters R&D Leadership With New President Appointment
Positive
Aug 10, 2026
On August 10, 2026, Erasca appointed Charles S. Fuchs, M.D., M.P.H., a veteran oncology leader with extensive experience at Tubulis, Genentech, Roche, Yale and Dana-Farber, as President, Research Development, signaling a strategic strengthening o...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Erasca Announces Major Equity Offering to Fund Oncology
Positive
Jul 15, 2026
On July 13, 2026, Erasca, Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement with a syndicate led by J.P. Morgan, Morgan Stanley, Jefferies and Evercore for a public offering of 31,428,572 shares of common stock at $17.50 per share, with underwriters pur...
Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Erasca Reports Promising ERAS-0015 Data in Solid Tumors
Positive
Jul 13, 2026
On July 13, 2026, Erasca reported updated preliminary Phase 1 data from its AURORAS-1 trial of ERAS-0015 in RAS-mutant solid tumors, showing encouraging monotherapy activity in second-line and later KRAS G12X pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, with...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 09, 2026