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EQT (EQT)
NYSE:EQT

EQT (EQT) AI Stock Analysis

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EQ

EQT

(NYSE:EQT)

75Outperform
EQT's robust financial health and strategic positioning underscore a strong performance outlook. Despite high valuation metrics and market volatility risks, positive earnings call results and financial resilience support a solid stock rating.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
EQT announced an attractive acquisition of upstream and midstream assets from Olympus Energy, which expands its position in Southwest Pennsylvania.
Financial Performance
EQT reported strong results surpassing expectations across all key metrics and improved its standalone outlook due to continued efficiency gains and strong well performance.
Strategic Growth
EQT is positioned for sustainable, demand-driven growth, pending firm contracts with power/data center partners, leveraging its low-cost, integrated business model for prudent production expansion.
Negative Factors
Market Valuation
The reaffirmed Hold rating is based on less attractive free cash flow yield compared to peers and a more expensive EV/EBITDA multiple in the current natural gas price environment.
Production Guidance
The production guidance for the second quarter fell short of expectations with higher capital expenditure than initially estimated.

EQT (EQT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

EQT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEQT Corporation is a leading independent natural gas production company with an emphasis on the Appalachian Basin. The company is primarily engaged in the exploration, development, and production of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and crude oil. EQT's core operations are focused on the Marcellus and Utica shale plays, making it one of the largest natural gas producers in the United States. With a commitment to sustainability and efficiency, EQT leverages advanced technologies to optimize resource extraction and reduce environmental impact.
How the Company Makes MoneyEQT Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and crude oil produced from its wells. The company sells its products to a variety of customers, including utilities, industrial users, and gas marketers, who use natural gas for electricity generation, heating, and other industrial processes. EQT's revenue model is heavily influenced by the market prices of natural gas, NGLs, and crude oil, which can fluctuate based on supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical factors, and global economic conditions. Additionally, EQT engages in hedging activities to manage price risks and stabilize cash flows. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other energy companies also play a role in expanding its operational capabilities and market reach.

EQT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
EQT exhibits strong financial health with revenue growth, robust cash flow, and a stable balance sheet. The company shows resilience against sector volatility, but rising debt and operational challenges need monitoring.
Income Statement
78
Positive
EQT has shown a positive trend in revenue growth, with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue of $5.66 billion, up from $5.22 billion in the previous year. The gross profit margin is strong at approximately 54.6%, reflecting efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved significantly to 7.82% in the TTM period, demonstrating enhanced profitability. However, there was a slight decline in EBIT margin, indicating potential operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's balance sheet exhibits a stable equity base with stockholders' equity at $20.72 billion. The debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.41 suggests moderate leverage, which is manageable. The equity ratio of 52.2% indicates a solid equity position relative to total assets, providing a cushion against financial volatility. However, the increase in total debt warrants monitoring to ensure continued financial stability.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
EQT shows robust cash flow generation with TTM operating cash flow of $3.41 billion and free cash flow of $1.19 billion. The free cash flow growth rate is impressive at over 108%, underscoring strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio stands at 7.71, reflecting efficient conversion of income into cash. These factors contribute to a strong cash flow position, reinforcing liquidity.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
5.22B5.07B12.14B6.84B2.66B
Gross Profit
2.68B3.08B8.06B3.00B-626.98M
EBIT
685.30M2.31B6.04B961.84M-877.67M
EBITDA
2.88B4.06B4.25B396.92M450.12M
Net Income Common Stockholders
230.58M1.74B1.77B-1.15B-967.18M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
202.09M80.98M1.46B113.96M18.21M
Total Assets
39.83B25.29B22.67B21.61B18.11B
Total Debt
9.37B5.84B5.71B5.51B4.95B
Net Debt
9.16B5.76B4.26B5.40B4.93B
Total Liabilities
15.55B10.50B11.46B11.56B8.85B
Stockholders Equity
20.60B14.77B11.17B10.03B9.26B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
573.26M1.16B2.04B607.32M495.47M
Operating Cash Flow
2.83B3.18B3.47B1.66B1.54B
Investing Cash Flow
-1.58B-4.31B-1.42B-2.07B-1.56B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.13B-242.86M-699.13M506.05M31.71M

EQT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price53.40
Price Trends
50DMA
50.48
Positive
100DMA
49.87
Positive
200DMA
43.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.73
Negative
RSI
59.22
Neutral
STOCH
86.17
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EQT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 53.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 50.52, above the 50-day MA of 50.48, and above the 200-day MA of 43.22, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.73 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.17 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EQT.

EQT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
EQEQT
75
Outperform
$32.00B92.292.06%1.17%39.56%-59.84%
DVDVN
73
Outperform
$19.68B6.7220.88%4.13%12.06%-16.37%
72
Outperform
$17.52B14.719.40%3.76%10.33%-0.13%
RRRRC
67
Neutral
$8.37B31.436.96%0.92%11.88%-43.44%
CNCNX
62
Neutral
$4.55B9.01-7.30%22.23%-130.65%
CQCQP
61
Neutral
$28.70B13.95117.38%5.53%-9.93%-50.50%
56
Neutral
$6.91B3.46-4.86%5.95%0.08%-49.21%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EQT
EQT
53.40
13.98
35.46%
CTRA
Coterra Energy
23.12
-4.46
-16.17%
CQP
Cheniere Energy Partners
57.02
10.94
23.74%
CNX
CNX Resources
30.95
7.27
30.70%
DVN
Devon Energy
31.93
-17.30
-35.14%
RRC
Range Resources
36.73
0.17
0.46%

EQT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 22, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 10.26%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted EQT's strong financial performance, strategic acquisitions, and effective cost management. However, the company faces challenges related to market volatility and reliance on future in-basin demand growth. Despite these challenges, the sentiment leans positive due to the significant financial achievements and strategic positioning for future growth.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Financial Performance
The first quarter of 2025 was the strongest in recent company history, with production at the high end of guidance and over $1 billion in free cash flow generated.
Strategic Acquisition of Olympus Energy
EQT announced the acquisition of Olympus Energy's upstream and midstream assets for $1.8 billion, expected to deliver a 4% to 8% accretion in free cash flow per share over the next three years.
Successful Cost Management
Operating expenses and capital spending were below the low end of guidance, contributing to significant free cash flow generation.
Enhanced Production Outlook
EQT raised its full-year production outlook by 25 Bcfe and lowered the midpoint of 2025 capital spending guidance by $25 million.
Strong Balance Sheet Deleveraging
Net debt decreased from $9.1 billion at the end of 2024 to $8.1 billion, with a plan to reach $5 billion by mid-2026.
Negative Updates
Market Volatility and Price Uncertainty
EQT faces uncertainty in production growth from the Haynesville and Permian basins, potentially impacting the ability to meet future demand.
Dependence on In-Basin Demand Growth
The company's growth strategy is heavily reliant on the development of in-basin demand, particularly from power projects and data centers, which are still in discussion phases.
Company Guidance
In the EQT Q1 2025 earnings call, the company reported its strongest financial results in recent history, largely driven by strategic production management and market conditions. Production surged by 300 million cubic feet per day, leading to a free cash flow of over $1 billion with natural gas prices averaging $3.65 per million Btu. This performance represents nearly twice the consensus free cash flow estimates of the nearest competitor. EQT also announced a $1.8 billion acquisition of Olympus Energy, expected to enhance free cash flow per share by 4% to 8% over the next three years. The acquisition includes a 90,000 net acre position with a production capacity of 500 million cubic feet per day. The company continues to capture synergies from the Equitrans acquisition, achieving $360 million in annual savings, and has raised its full-year production outlook by 25 Bcfe while lowering capital spending by $25 million. Pro forma for the Olympus transaction, EQT forecasts year-end 2025 net debt of approximately $7 billion, with a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio decreasing by 0.1 times. The company is also exploring in-basin demand opportunities, including discussions with multiple power projects, which could support sustainable production growth linked to end-user demand. EQT's strategic initiatives position it to capitalize on local demand growth and improve through-cycle free cash flow generation, while maintaining a strong balance sheet and operational flexibility.

EQT Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
EQT Shareholders Approve 2025 Employee Stock Plan
Neutral
Apr 17, 2025

At the Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on April 16, 2025, EQT Corporation’s shareholders approved the 2025 Employee Stock Purchase Plan, which allows employees to purchase company stock at a discounted rate starting in 2026. Additionally, an amendment to the company’s bylaws was approved to provide officer exculpation under Pennsylvania law. The meeting also saw the election of directors, approval of executive compensation, and ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent auditor for 2025.

Spark’s Take on EQT Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, EQT is a Outperform.

EQT’s overall score reflects its strong operational performance and financial stability, supported by robust technical indicators and positive earnings call sentiment. However, high valuation metrics and challenges in cash flow growth slightly temper the outlook. The strategic corporate event adds a positive nuance, indicating proactive financial management.

To see Spark’s full report on EQT stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
EQT Extends Exchange Offers Deadline to March 28, 2025
Positive
Mar 24, 2025

On March 24, 2025, EQT Corporation announced an extension of the expiration date for its previously declared Exchange Offers and Consent Solicitations related to EQM Midstream Partners’ outstanding notes. The extension moves the deadline to March 28, 2025, and includes a waiver of the consent threshold condition, allowing for the adoption of proposed amendments to the notes’ indentures. This strategic move aims to streamline EQM’s financial structure by eliminating restrictive covenants and certain default events, potentially enhancing operational flexibility and financial stability.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
EQT Appoints New Board Chair Amid Leadership Transition
Neutral
Feb 12, 2025

On February 7 and February 11, 2025, EQT Corporation announced that several members of its Board of Directors, including Janet L. Carrig, James T. McManus II, Anita M. Powers, and Lydia I. Beebe, decided not to seek re-election and will retire following the 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders. As part of this transition, Thomas F. Karam was appointed as the new independent Board Chair, effective immediately after the 2025 Annual Meeting. Mr. Karam, who joined EQT’s Board in July 2024 after the acquisition of Equitrans Midstream Corporation, previously served as its CEO and Chairman, marking a significant shift in the company’s governance structure.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.